35
HRs allowed
13.0%
HR rate (pool)
13.2%
Overall HR/FB
4.01
FIP
4.23
xFIP
-0.22
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
51
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 51th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
16.7%
Hard-Hit% allowed
69.3%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 103.6 EV · 401 ft
max EV allowed 115.8
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 5 HR ↑
15D · 7 HR ↑
30D · 10 HR ↑
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Michael Wacha.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Fastball Hard
27.9%
82.5
30.5°
6
-0.6
Changeup Offspeed
24.8%
80.0
19.5°
7
-1.3
Cutter Hard
15.0%
81.1
22.3°
7
-0.8
Sinker Hard
13.7%
84.0
19.1°
6
+0.3
Curveball Breaking
9.8%
82.3
9.7°
4
+2.1
Slider Breaking
8.8%
83.9
15.0°
1
+1.0
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups269
HRs allowed (pool)35
Pool HR rate13.0%
Pool HR/game day1.13
Top-15 matchups13
HRs to top-154
Overall HR/FB13.2% 51
HR/9—
FIP4.01 47
xFIP4.23
FIP − xFIP-0.22 30
Barrel% allowed16.7%
Hard-Hit% allowed69.3%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-10-17
Fastball
Hard · 27.9% usage
-0.6
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against82.5 mph
Avg launch angle30.5°
HRs allowed6
Pitches869
Changeup
Offspeed · 24.8% usage
-1.3
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against80.0 mph
Avg launch angle19.5°
HRs allowed7
Pitches774
Cutter
Hard · 15.0% usage
-0.8
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.1 mph
Avg launch angle22.3°
HRs allowed7
Pitches468
Sinker
Hard · 13.7% usage
+0.3
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against84.0 mph
Avg launch angle19.1°
HRs allowed6
Pitches428
Curveball
Breaking · 9.8% usage
+2.1
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against82.3 mph
Avg launch angle9.7°
HRs allowed4
Pitches304
Slider
Breaking · 8.8% usage
+1.0
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.9 mph
Avg launch angle15.0°
HRs allowed1
Pitches273
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Michael Wacha.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
35 allowed · scored pool
avg 103.6 EV · 401 ft
10 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 15 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-09-26
9
3
107.9
2026-09-20
9
2
110.9
2026-09-15
9
2
107.7
2026-09-08
9
1
111.3
2026-09-03
9
2
108.7
2026-08-28
9
0
102.9
2026-08-22
8
1
110.0
2026-08-17
9
3
103.5
2026-08-11
7
1
107.7
2026-08-06
9
1
108.2
2026-07-31
9
0
104.3
2026-07-25
9
1
104.5
2026-07-20
9
2
107.5
2026-07-09
8
1
106.9
2026-07-04
7
1
110.5
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Michael Wacha isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Michael Wacha isn't on a scored slate — no park to compare his damage against.
Venue splits
HRs allowed by venue · pool
VenueFacedHRRate
122
19
16%
18
2
11%
9
2
22%
9
2
22%
9
2
22%
9
2
22%
HRs allowed ÷ scored matchups at each park · top 6 of 17. Rate is per scored matchup, not HR/9 — box-score innings aren't tracked.
Common questions about Michael Wacha
How many home runs has Michael Wacha allowed this season?
Michael Wacha has allowed 35 home runs across 31 scored game days in the TheHomeRuns pool this season.
Which batters have homered off Michael Wacha?
In the TheHomeRuns scored pool, the batters with home runs against Michael Wacha include Brayan Rocchio (2), Cal Raleigh (2), Hao-Yu Lee (2) and 42 more.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.