7
HRs allowed
9.2%
HR rate (pool)
13.0%
Overall HR/FB
3.0
FIP
3.12
xFIP
-0.12
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
54
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 54th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
63.6%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 104.5 EV · 388 ft
max EV allowed 111.5
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 1 HR
15D · 3 HR ↑
30D · 6 HR ↑
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Bryce Miller.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Fastball Hard
42.6%
83.1
33.2°
5
-1.0
Splitter Offspeed
24.4%
78.1
5.1°
0
-3.5
Slider Breaking
11.8%
84.2
23.7°
2
+1.0
Sweeper Breaking
6.3%
76.9
6.1°
0
-2.7
Cutter Hard
5.5%
83.7
13.6°
1
+0.8
Knuckle Curve Breaking
4.9%
77.1
-3.8°
0
+0.0
Sinker Hard
4.4%
85.3
11.9°
0
-1.4
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups76
HRs allowed (pool)7
Pool HR rate9.2%
Pool HR/game day0.78
Top-15 matchups3
HRs to top-151
Overall HR/FB13.0% 54
HR/9—
FIP3.0 14
xFIP3.12
FIP − xFIP-0.12 40
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed63.6%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-16
Fastball
Hard · 42.6% usage
-1.0
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.1 mph
Avg launch angle33.2°
HRs allowed5
Pitches349
Splitter
Offspeed · 24.4% usage
-3.5
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against78.1 mph
Avg launch angle5.1°
HRs allowed0
Pitches200
Slider
Breaking · 11.8% usage
+1.0
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against84.2 mph
Avg launch angle23.7°
HRs allowed2
Pitches97
Sweeper
Breaking · 6.3% usage
-2.7
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against76.9 mph
Avg launch angle6.1°
HRs allowed0
Pitches52
Cutter
Hard · 5.5% usage
+0.8
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.7 mph
Avg launch angle13.6°
HRs allowed1
Pitches45
Knuckle Curve
Breaking · 4.9% usage
+0.0
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against77.1 mph
Avg launch angle-3.8°
HRs allowed0
Pitches40
Sinker
Hard · 4.4% usage
-1.4
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against85.3 mph
Avg launch angle11.9°
HRs allowed0
Pitches36
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Bryce Miller.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
7 allowed · scored pool
avg 104.5 EV · 388 ft
6 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 9 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-07-09
9
1
107.2
2026-07-02
8
0
110.3
2026-06-25
8
2
104.5
2026-06-19
7
1
105.1
2026-06-12
8
2
111.5
2026-06-06
9
0
102.2
2026-05-31
9
0
103.4
2026-05-19
9
0
100.0
2026-05-13
9
1
106.9
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Bryce Miller isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.