2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 James Wood 7 HRs · 2 Ben Rice 5 HRs · 3 Jordan Walker 5 HRs · 4 Junior Caminero 5 HRs · 5 Shohei Ohtani 4 HRs · 6 Yordan Alvarez 4 HRs · 7 Kyle Karros 4 HRs · 8 Juan Soto 4 HRs · 9 Jake Bauers 4 HRs · 10 Chase DeLauter 4 HRs · 11 Samuel Basallo 4 HRs · 12 Brayan Rocchio 3 HRs 1 James Wood 7 HRs · 2 Ben Rice 5 HRs · 3 Jordan Walker 5 HRs · 4 Junior Caminero 5 HRs · 5 Shohei Ohtani 4 HRs · 6 Yordan Alvarez 4 HRs · 7 Kyle Karros 4 HRs · 8 Juan Soto 4 HRs · 9 Jake Bauers 4 HRs · 10 Chase DeLauter 4 HRs · 11 Samuel Basallo 4 HRs · 12 Brayan Rocchio 3 HRs
Bryce Miller

Bryce Miller

RHP SEA
76 matchups scored · 9 game days
7
HRs allowed
9.2%
HR rate (pool)
13.0%
Overall HR/FB
3.0
FIP
3.12
xFIP
-0.12
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter STINGY
LEAKY 54
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
54
no model flags today
Vulnerability 54th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
63.6%
63.6%
Fly-ball rate
avg HR 104.5 EV · 388 ft max EV allowed 111.5
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
2026-05-13 · 1 HR 2026-06-12 · 2 HR 2026-06-19 · 1 HR 2026-06-25 · 2 HR 2026-07-09 · 1 HR
7D · 1 HR 15D · 3 HR ↑ 30D · 6 HR ↑
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Not on today's slate — matchup context appears when he's next listed.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Bryce Miller.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Fastball Hard 42.6% 83.1 33.2° 5 -1.0
Splitter Offspeed 24.4% 78.1 5.1° 0 -3.5
Slider Breaking 11.8% 84.2 23.7° 2 +1.0
Sweeper Breaking 6.3% 76.9 6.1° 0 -2.7
Cutter Hard 5.5% 83.7 13.6° 1 +0.8
Knuckle Curve Breaking 4.9% 77.1 -3.8° 0 +0.0
Sinker Hard 4.4% 85.3 11.9° 0 -1.4
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups76
HRs allowed (pool)7
Pool HR rate9.2%
Pool HR/game day0.78
Top-15 matchups3
HRs to top-151
Overall HR/FB13.0% 54
HR/9
FIP3.0 14
xFIP3.12
FIP − xFIP-0.12 40
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed63.6%
FB%
K/9
BB/9
WHIP
IP
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-16
Fastball
Hard · 42.6% usage
-1.0 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.1 mph
Avg launch angle33.2°
HRs allowed5
Pitches349
Splitter
Offspeed · 24.4% usage
-3.5 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against78.1 mph
Avg launch angle5.1°
HRs allowed0
Pitches200
Slider
Breaking · 11.8% usage
+1.0 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against84.2 mph
Avg launch angle23.7°
HRs allowed2
Pitches97
Sweeper
Breaking · 6.3% usage
-2.7 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against76.9 mph
Avg launch angle6.1°
HRs allowed0
Pitches52
Cutter
Hard · 5.5% usage
+0.8 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.7 mph
Avg launch angle13.6°
HRs allowed1
Pitches45
Knuckle Curve
Breaking · 4.9% usage
+0.0 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against77.1 mph
Avg launch angle-3.8°
HRs allowed0
Pitches40
Sinker
Hard · 4.4% usage
-1.4 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against85.3 mph
Avg launch angle11.9°
HRs allowed0
Pitches36
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Bryce Miller.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
7 allowed · scored pool
avg 104.5 EV · 388 ft 6 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
2026-07-09 Griffin Conine #81 44 loanDepot Park 106.5 42.0° 373
2026-06-25 Brandon Lowe #39 52 PNC Park 104.5 34.0° 391
2026-06-25 Henry Davis #99 35 PNC Park 102.0 33.0° 390
2026-06-19 Caleb Durbin #171 33 T-Mobile Park 100.5 40.0° 367
2026-06-12 James Wood #38 61 Nationals Park 111.5 26.0° 416
2026-06-12 Dylan Crews #168 36 Nationals Park 109.5 22.0° 440
2026-05-13 Christian Walker #12 55 Minute Maid Park 96.8 32.0° 338.0
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 9 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-07-09 loanDepot Park 9 1 107.2
2026-07-02 T-Mobile Park 8 0 110.3
2026-06-25 PNC Park 8 2 104.5
2026-06-19 T-Mobile Park 7 1 105.1
2026-06-12 Nationals Park 8 2 111.5
2026-06-06 Comerica Park 9 0 102.2
2026-05-31 T-Mobile Park 9 0 103.4
2026-05-19 T-Mobile Park 9 0 100.0
2026-05-13 Minute Maid Park 9 1 106.9
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Bryce Miller isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.
Six home runs to freedom

Bryce Miller's full pitcher profile is waiting

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76 more waiting in the on-deck circle
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