2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 James Wood 7 HRs · 2 Ben Rice 5 HRs · 3 Jordan Walker 5 HRs · 4 Junior Caminero 5 HRs · 5 Shohei Ohtani 4 HRs · 6 Yordan Alvarez 4 HRs · 7 Kyle Karros 4 HRs · 8 Juan Soto 4 HRs · 9 Jake Bauers 4 HRs · 10 Chase DeLauter 4 HRs · 11 Samuel Basallo 4 HRs · 12 Brayan Rocchio 3 HRs 1 James Wood 7 HRs · 2 Ben Rice 5 HRs · 3 Jordan Walker 5 HRs · 4 Junior Caminero 5 HRs · 5 Shohei Ohtani 4 HRs · 6 Yordan Alvarez 4 HRs · 7 Kyle Karros 4 HRs · 8 Juan Soto 4 HRs · 9 Jake Bauers 4 HRs · 10 Chase DeLauter 4 HRs · 11 Samuel Basallo 4 HRs · 12 Brayan Rocchio 3 HRs
Janson Junk

Janson Junk

RHP MIA
98 matchups scored · 11 game days
12
HRs allowed
12.2%
HR rate (pool)
15.6%
Overall HR/FB
3.78
FIP
4.15
xFIP
-0.37
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter STINGY
LEAKY 75
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
75
no model flags today
Vulnerability 75th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
73.3%
73.3%
Fly-ball rate
avg HR 103.2 EV · 397 ft max EV allowed 111.9
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
2026-04-06 · 1 HR 2026-04-11 · 1 HR 2026-04-22 · 1 HR 2026-05-04 · 1 HR 2026-05-09 · 1 HR 2026-05-15 · 2 HR 2026-05-20 · 2 HR 2026-05-25 · 1 HR 2026-07-09 · 2 HR
7D · 2 HR ↑ 15D · 2 HR ↑ 30D · 2 HR ↑
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Not on today's slate — matchup context appears when he's next listed.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Janson Junk.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Fastball Hard 34.4% 84.2 30.4° 1 -0.2
Slider Breaking 22.6% 81.1 16.7° 3 +0.3
Changeup Offspeed 18.8% 81.7 -1.9° 0 +0.3
Sweeper Breaking 13.2% 81.0 24.5° 4 +2.6
Curveball Breaking 7.3% 84.1 0.8° 1 +3.2
Sinker Hard 3.6% 81.8 11.8° 0 -1.0
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups98
HRs allowed (pool)12
Pool HR rate12.2%
Pool HR/game day1.09
Top-15 matchups4
HRs to top-151
Overall HR/FB15.6% 75
HR/9
FIP3.78 38
xFIP4.15
FIP − xFIP-0.37 25
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed73.3%
FB%
K/9
BB/9
WHIP
IP
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-16
Fastball
Hard · 34.4% usage
-0.2 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against84.2 mph
Avg launch angle30.4°
HRs allowed1
Pitches372
Slider
Breaking · 22.6% usage
+0.3 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.1 mph
Avg launch angle16.7°
HRs allowed3
Pitches244
Changeup
Offspeed · 18.8% usage
+0.3 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.7 mph
Avg launch angle-1.9°
HRs allowed0
Pitches203
Sweeper
Breaking · 13.2% usage
+2.6 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.0 mph
Avg launch angle24.5°
HRs allowed4
Pitches143
Curveball
Breaking · 7.3% usage
+3.2 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against84.1 mph
Avg launch angle0.8°
HRs allowed1
Pitches79
Sinker
Hard · 3.6% usage
-1.0 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.8 mph
Avg launch angle11.8°
HRs allowed0
Pitches39
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Janson Junk.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
12 allowed · scored pool
avg 103.2 EV · 397 ft 2 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
2026-07-09 Dominic Canzone #6 64 loanDepot Park 106.1 32.0° 421
2026-07-09 Randy Arozarena #60 47 loanDepot Park 104.4 26.0° 414
2026-05-25 Ernie Clement #150 37 Rogers Centre 98.9 37.0° 372.0
2026-05-20 Austin Riley #82 51 loanDepot Park 103.6 33.0° 415.0
2026-05-20 Dominic Smith #86 50 loanDepot Park 100.8 23.0° 393.0
2026-05-15 Yandy Díaz #174 37 Tropicana Field 99.8 29.0° 374.0
2026-05-15 Cedric Mullins #247 16 Tropicana Field 97.0 27.0° 366.0
2026-05-09 James Wood #62 37 loanDepot Park 109.6 28.0° 442.0
2026-05-04 Bryce Harper #114 28 loanDepot Park 103.3 28.0° 393.0
2026-04-22 Iván Herrera #136 36 loanDepot Park 108.2 21.0° 388.0
2026-04-11 Riley Greene #76 50 Comerica Park 106.9 32.0° 408.0
2026-04-06 Tyler Stephenson #72 48 loanDepot Park 100.1 35.0° 376.0
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 11 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-07-09 loanDepot Park 8 2 110.6
2026-05-25 Rogers Centre 9 1 111.2
2026-05-20 loanDepot Park 9 2 110.6
2026-05-15 Tropicana Field 9 2 104.3
2026-05-09 loanDepot Park 9 1 109.6
2026-05-04 loanDepot Park 9 1 110.3
2026-04-28 Dodger Stadium 9 0 105.8
2026-04-22 loanDepot Park 9 1 108.2
2026-04-17 loanDepot Park 9 0 111.6
2026-04-11 Comerica Park 9 1 106.9
2026-04-06 loanDepot Park 9 1 111.9
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Janson Junk isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.
Six home runs to freedom

Janson Junk's full pitcher profile is waiting

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THR 3.3.92 · build 597

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