2026
Janson Junk

Janson Junk

RHP MIA
205 matchups scored · 24 game days
22
HRs allowed
10.7%
HR rate (pool)
16.7%
Overall HR/FB
4.08
FIP
4.29
xFIP
-0.21
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter STINGY
LEAKY 76
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
76
no model flags today
Vulnerability 76th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
17.6%
17.6%
Hard-Hit% allowed
71.4%
71.4%
Fly-ball rate
—
—
avg HR 103.5 EV · 396 ft max EV allowed 114.2
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
2026-07-26 · 2 HR 2026-07-31 · 1 HR 2026-08-06 · 1 HR 2026-09-04 · 1 HR 2026-09-09 · 1 HR 2026-09-15 · 1 HR 2026-09-27 · 1 HR
7D · 1 HR 15D · 2 HR 30D · 4 HR
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Not on today's slate — matchup context appears when he's next listed.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Janson Junk.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
No arsenal data cached for this pitcher.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups205
HRs allowed (pool)22
Pool HR rate10.7%
Pool HR/game day0.92
Top-15 matchups10
HRs to top-153
Overall HR/FB16.7% 76
HR/9—
FIP4.08 51
xFIP4.29
FIP − xFIP-0.21 30
Barrel% allowed17.6%
Hard-Hit% allowed71.4%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-10-17
No arsenal data cached for this pitcher.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Janson Junk.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
22 allowed · scored pool
avg 103.5 EV · 396 ft 4 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
2026-09-27 Mauricio Dubón #235 28 loanDepot Park 101.8 32.0° 385
2026-09-15 Gabriel Moreno #135 42 Chase Field 107.1 32.0° 431
2026-09-09 Francisco Lindor #99 46 loanDepot Park 94.0 32.0° 351
2026-09-04 Michael Busch #170 39 loanDepot Park 105.6 32.0° 427
2026-08-06 Matt Olson #3 71 Truist Park 105.7 34.0° 422
2026-07-31 Francisco Lindor #110 47 Citi Field 103.5 30.0° 392
2026-07-26 Manny Machado #38 52 loanDepot Park 106.1 21.0° 399
2026-07-26 Jackson Merrill #100 44 loanDepot Park 109.0 23.0° 395
2026-07-20 Yordan Alvarez #6 70 Minute Maid Park 108.3 23.0° 419
2026-07-20 Jeremy Peña #178 39 Minute Maid Park 97.7 34.0° 340
2026-07-09 Dominic Canzone #6 64 loanDepot Park 106.1 32.0° 421
2026-07-09 Randy Arozarena #60 47 loanDepot Park 104.4 26.0° 414
2026-05-25 Ernie Clement #150 37 Rogers Centre 98.9 37.0° 372.0
2026-05-20 Austin Riley #82 51 loanDepot Park 103.6 33.0° 415.0
2026-05-20 Dominic Smith #86 50 loanDepot Park 100.8 23.0° 393.0
2026-05-15 Yandy Díaz #174 37 Tropicana Field 99.8 29.0° 374.0
2026-05-15 Cedric Mullins #247 16 Tropicana Field 97.0 27.0° 366.0
2026-05-09 James Wood #62 37 loanDepot Park 109.6 28.0° 442.0
2026-05-04 Bryce Harper #114 28 loanDepot Park 103.3 28.0° 393.0
2026-04-22 Iván Herrera #136 36 loanDepot Park 108.2 21.0° 388.0
2026-04-11 Riley Greene #76 50 Comerica Park 106.9 32.0° 408.0
2026-04-06 Tyler Stephenson #72 48 loanDepot Park 100.1 35.0° 376.0
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 15 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-09-27 loanDepot Park 8 1 102.4
2026-09-22 Wrigley Field 9 0 109.7
2026-09-15 Chase Field 9 1 109.0
2026-09-09 loanDepot Park 9 1 105.8
2026-09-04 loanDepot Park 9 1 110.0
2026-08-30 Nationals Park 9 0 110.2
2026-08-23 loanDepot Park 9 0 108.4
2026-08-17 Citizens Bank Park 9 0 107.6
2026-08-12 loanDepot Park 8 0 105.4
2026-08-06 Truist Park 7 1 108.8
2026-07-31 Citi Field 7 1 109.1
2026-07-26 loanDepot Park 7 2 109.0
2026-07-20 Minute Maid Park 7 2 114.2
2026-07-09 loanDepot Park 8 2 110.6
2026-05-25 Rogers Centre 9 1 111.2
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Janson Junk isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Janson Junk isn't on a scored slate — no park to compare his damage against.
Venue splits
HRs allowed by venue · pool
VenueFacedHRRate
loanDepot Park 112 13 12%
Tropicana Field 9 2 22%
Minute Maid Park 7 2 29%
Chase Field 9 1 11%
Comerica Park 9 1 11%
Rogers Centre 9 1 11%
HRs allowed ÷ scored matchups at each park · top 6 of 12. Rate is per scored matchup, not HR/9 — box-score innings aren't tracked.
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Six home runs to freedom

Janson Junk's full pitcher profile is waiting

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205 more waiting in the on-deck circle

Common questions about Janson Junk

How many home runs has Janson Junk allowed this season?

Janson Junk has allowed 22 home runs across 24 scored game days in the TheHomeRuns pool this season.

Which batters have homered off Janson Junk?

In the TheHomeRuns scored pool, the batters with home runs against Janson Junk include Austin Riley (2), Francisco Lindor (2), Anthony Volpe (1) and 27 more.

Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.

THR 3.3.180 · build 681
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