12
HRs allowed
12.2%
HR rate (pool)
15.6%
Overall HR/FB
3.78
FIP
4.15
xFIP
-0.37
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
75
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 75th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
73.3%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 103.2 EV · 397 ft
max EV allowed 111.9
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 2 HR ↑
15D · 2 HR ↑
30D · 2 HR ↑
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Janson Junk.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Fastball Hard
34.4%
84.2
30.4°
1
-0.2
Slider Breaking
22.6%
81.1
16.7°
3
+0.3
Changeup Offspeed
18.8%
81.7
-1.9°
0
+0.3
Sweeper Breaking
13.2%
81.0
24.5°
4
+2.6
Curveball Breaking
7.3%
84.1
0.8°
1
+3.2
Sinker Hard
3.6%
81.8
11.8°
0
-1.0
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups98
HRs allowed (pool)12
Pool HR rate12.2%
Pool HR/game day1.09
Top-15 matchups4
HRs to top-151
Overall HR/FB15.6% 75
HR/9—
FIP3.78 38
xFIP4.15
FIP − xFIP-0.37 25
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed73.3%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-16
Fastball
Hard · 34.4% usage
-0.2
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against84.2 mph
Avg launch angle30.4°
HRs allowed1
Pitches372
Slider
Breaking · 22.6% usage
+0.3
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.1 mph
Avg launch angle16.7°
HRs allowed3
Pitches244
Changeup
Offspeed · 18.8% usage
+0.3
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.7 mph
Avg launch angle-1.9°
HRs allowed0
Pitches203
Sweeper
Breaking · 13.2% usage
+2.6
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.0 mph
Avg launch angle24.5°
HRs allowed4
Pitches143
Curveball
Breaking · 7.3% usage
+3.2
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against84.1 mph
Avg launch angle0.8°
HRs allowed1
Pitches79
Sinker
Hard · 3.6% usage
-1.0
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.8 mph
Avg launch angle11.8°
HRs allowed0
Pitches39
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Janson Junk.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
12 allowed · scored pool
avg 103.2 EV · 397 ft
2 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 11 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-07-09
8
2
110.6
2026-05-25
9
1
111.2
2026-05-20
9
2
110.6
2026-05-15
9
2
104.3
2026-05-09
9
1
109.6
2026-05-04
9
1
110.3
2026-04-28
9
0
105.8
2026-04-22
9
1
108.2
2026-04-17
9
0
111.6
2026-04-11
9
1
106.9
2026-04-06
9
1
111.9
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Janson Junk isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.