Today · 2026-09-06

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Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather

2025 full-season backtest

2025 backtest: a top-15 pick went yard on 92.9% of slates · top-50 picks hit 1.6x the field

Sample window: 2025 full-season backtest · 182 slates · 2025-03-27 to 2025-09-28 Live 2026 is current through 2026-09-05. Past performance ≠ guarantee.

92.9% top-15 slates, 2025

1.6x top-50 vs field

92.5% Live 2026 top-15

See the full record

#	Batter	Score	Edge	Roster	Pitcher · Game	Time	Tier	Hand	'26 HR	Form	Last HR	Last 5	Due	BvP	BP	Weather
1	Kyle Schwarber (L)	71	-13.5	●	Tyler Mahle (RHP) ATL @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	1:10p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	41	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%10.9% Avg EV92.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-09-05 OffMartín Pérez Exit Velo108.7 mph Angle25.0° Distance435 ft StadiumCitizens Bank Park	○○○○●	0.0×	·	ATL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.9% HR/91.13 FIP4.17 IP1202.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-25 Weather · Citizens Bank Park warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp76°F Wind6 mph N Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-25 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 40 HR Note76°F, wind 6 mph N (in) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
2	Matt Olson (L)	69	-8.0	●	Aaron Nola (RHP) ATL @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	1:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	37	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%11.8% Avg EV92.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	11d Last HR · 2026-08-26 OffRoki Sasaki Exit Velo110.4 mph Angle25.0° Distance400 ft StadiumTruist Park	○○○○○	3.0×	2	PHI Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.5% HR/91.20 FIP3.81 IP1227.6 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-25 Weather · Citizens Bank Park warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp76°F Wind6 mph N Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-25 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 37 HR Note76°F, wind 6 mph N (in) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
3	Munetaka Murakami (L)	69	-10.6	●	Bailey Ober (RHP) MIN @ CWS · Rate Field	6:20p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	30	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls22 BBE Barrel%13.9% Avg EV93.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-09-05 OffTaj Bradley Exit Velo103.6 mph Angle49.0° Distance346 ft StadiumRate Field	○○○○●	0.0×	·	MIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.1% HR/91.18 FIP4.34 IP1193.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 30 HR NoteUnknown stadium
4	James Wood (L)	68	-3.9	●	Justin Wrobleski (LHP) WSH @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	10:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	30	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls9 BBE Barrel%13.8% Avg EV95.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	42d Last HR · 2026-07-26 OffKevin Ginkel Exit Velo109.6 mph Angle25.0° Distance418 ft StadiumNationals Park	○○○○○	6.0×	·	LAD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.20 FIP4.03 IP1238.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-4 Weather · Dodger Stadium warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp76°F Wind4 mph NNW Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-4 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 30 HR Note76°F, wind 4 mph NNW (in) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
5	Joc Pederson (L)	66	·	●	Ian Seymour (LHP) TB @ TEX · Globe Life Field	2:35p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	25	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls17 BBE Barrel%10.2% Avg EV92.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-09-05 OffDrew Rasmussen Exit Velo106.3 mph Angle31.0° Distance409 ft StadiumGlobe Life Field	●○●○●	0.0×	·	TB Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.21 FIP4.05 IP1232.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-5 Weather · Globe Life Field hot air · steady crosswind · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp101°F Wind8 mph ESE Charactercross HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind-5 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 25 HR Note101°F, wind 8 mph ESE (cross) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
6	Pro pick (L)	66	-9.9	●	Bailey Ober (RHP) MIN @ CWS · Rate Field	6:20p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls25 BBE Barrel%11.0% Avg EV88.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	MIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.1% HR/91.18 FIP4.34 IP1193.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 30 HR NoteUnknown stadium
7	Pro pick (L)	65	-9.9	●	Christian Scott (RHP) SF @ NYM · Citi Field	1:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls40 BBE Barrel%9.0% Avg EV92.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	NYM Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.2% HR/91.14 FIP4.17 IP1384.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-17 Weather · Citi Field mild air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp70°F Wind5 mph NE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-17 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 35 HR Note70°F, wind 5 mph NE (in) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
8	Pro pick (R)	65	-9.0	●	MacKenzie Gore (LHP) TB @ TEX · Globe Life Field	2:35p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls40 BBE Barrel%10.3% Avg EV92.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TEX Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.8% HR/91.25 FIP4.17 IP1216.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+15 Weather · Globe Life Field hot air · steady crosswind · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp101°F Wind8 mph ESE Charactercross HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+15 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 38 HR Note101°F, wind 8 mph ESE (cross) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
9	Pro pick (R)	65	-13.2	●	Kyle Leahy (RHP) STL @ COL · Coors Field	3:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%12.4% Avg EV90.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	STL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/91.00 FIP4.11 IP1268.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+1 Weather · Coors Field hot air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp89°F Wind8 mph E Characterslight_out HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+1 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 35 HR Note89°F, wind 8 mph E (slight_out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
10	Pro pick (R)	63	-9.2	●	Bailey Ober (RHP) MIN @ CWS · Rate Field	6:20p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls39 BBE Barrel%11.7% Avg EV90.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	MIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.1% HR/91.18 FIP4.34 IP1193.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 30 HR NoteUnknown stadium
11	Pro pick (L)	66	-8.6	●	SF Bullpen Proxy SF @ NYM · Citi Field	1:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls22 BBE Barrel%14.6% Avg EV92.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SF Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.8% HR/90.99 FIP4.24 IP1313.7 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-20 Weather · Citi Field mild air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp70°F Wind5 mph NE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-20 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 23 HR Note70°F, wind 5 mph NE (in) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
12	Pro pick (R)	62	-7.9	●	Kyle Harrison (LHP) MIL @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	12:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls41 BBE Barrel%10.0% Avg EV90.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	MIL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.5% HR/91.08 FIP3.69 IP1222.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-3 Weather · Great American Ball Park warm air · steady crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74°F Wind9 mph NE Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-3 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 31 HR Note74°F, wind 9 mph NE (cross) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
13	Pro pick (L)	62	-5.9	●	Spencer Arrighetti (RHP) TOR @ KC · Kauffman Stadium	2:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%9.5% Avg EV91.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/91.00 FIP3.84 IP1190.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-34 Weather · Kauffman Stadium hot air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp95°F Wind6 mph E Charactercross HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind-34 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR Note95°F, wind 6 mph E (cross) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
14	Pro pick (L)	61	-8.6	●	Eduardo Rodriguez (LHP) AZ @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	2:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%11.3% Avg EV94.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	AZ Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.8% HR/91.12 FIP4.32 IP1231.3 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-1 Weather · Minute Maid Park hot air · light partial wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp88°F Wind2 mph E Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind-1 · Neutral Spray Sourceblend · 3 HR Note88°F, wind 2 mph E (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
15	Pro pick (R)	61	-5.7	●	Brady Singer (RHP) MIL @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	12:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls46 BBE Barrel%10.7% Avg EV92.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.31 FIP4.73 IP1226.8999999999999 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Great American Ball Park warm air · steady crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74°F Wind9 mph NE Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note74°F, wind 9 mph NE (cross) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
16	Pro pick (L)	61	-10.3	●	Tyler Phillips (RHP) CHC @ MIA · loanDepot Park	1:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls41 BBE Barrel%10.1% Avg EV90.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	MIA Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.5% HR/91.05 FIP4.13 IP1265.3 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-22 Weather · loanDepot Park hot air · light crosswind · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp89°F Wind6 mph SSW Charactercross HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind-22 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 38 HR Note89°F, wind 6 mph SSW (cross) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
17	Pro pick (L)	61	-9.1	●	Brady Singer (RHP) MIL @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	12:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls17 BBE Barrel%10.9% Avg EV92.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.31 FIP4.73 IP1226.8999999999999 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+8 Weather · Great American Ball Park warm air · steady crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74°F Wind9 mph NE Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+8 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 23 HR Note74°F, wind 9 mph NE (cross) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
18	Pro pick (L)	59	·	●	Andrew Alvarez (LHP) WSH @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	10:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls45 BBE Barrel%8.9% Avg EV90.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	WSH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.4% HR/91.43 FIP4.85 IP1267.2 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-2 Weather · Dodger Stadium warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp76°F Wind4 mph NNW Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-2 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 35 HR Note76°F, wind 4 mph NNW (in) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
19	Pro pick (L)	59	-5.3	●	Tyler Mahle (RHP) ATL @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	1:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%8.9% Avg EV90.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.9% HR/91.13 FIP4.17 IP1202.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-28 Weather · Citizens Bank Park warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp76°F Wind6 mph N Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-28 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 27 HR Note76°F, wind 6 mph N (in) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
20	Pro pick (L)	59	-9.2	●	Spencer Arrighetti (RHP) TOR @ KC · Kauffman Stadium	2:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%10.7% Avg EV93.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/91.00 FIP3.84 IP1190.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-34 Weather · Kauffman Stadium hot air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp95°F Wind6 mph E Charactercross HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind-34 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR Note95°F, wind 6 mph E (cross) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
21	Pro pick (R)	59	·	●	Bailey Ober (RHP) MIN @ CWS · Rate Field	6:20p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls9 BBE Barrel%10.9% Avg EV91.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	MIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.1% HR/91.18 FIP4.34 IP1193.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 11 HR NoteUnknown stadium
22	Pro pick (R)	58	-9.2	●	Payton Tolle (LHP) BOS @ BAL · Camden Yards	1:35p	🟠 C	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%9.4% Avg EV94.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	BOS Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.5% HR/90.97 FIP3.75 IP1258.4 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-53 Weather · Camden Yards warm air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp78°F Wind8 mph NE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-53 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 33 HR Note78°F, wind 8 mph NE (in) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
23	Pro pick (S)	58	-10.0	●	Gage Jump (LHP) ATH @ SEA · T-Mobile Park	4:10p	🟠 C	SHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%10.1% Avg EV89.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATH Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.9% HR/91.48 FIP4.88 IP1289.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-4 Weather · T-Mobile Park mild air · light crosswind · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp68°F Wind7 mph NNW Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-4 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note68°F, wind 7 mph NNW (cross) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
24	Pro pick (L)	58	-8.2	●	Michael King (RHP) NYY @ SD · Petco Park	4:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%11.0% Avg EV91.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.5% HR/91.07 FIP4.13 IP1203.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-67 Weather · Petco Park hot air · strong wind in · roof open Analyst note: conditions are working against carry tonight. Roofopen Temp89°F Wind15 mph NNW Characterin HR Modifier-3 Spray/Wind-67 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 35 HR Note89°F, wind 15 mph NNW (in) — modifier: -3 (first-pitch forecast)
25	Pro pick (R)	58	-14.9	●	Tanner Gordon (RHP) STL @ COL · Coors Field	3:10p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%11.4% Avg EV92.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.36 FIP4.82 IP1269.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-15 Weather · Coors Field hot air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp89°F Wind8 mph E Characterslight_out HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind-15 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 28 HR Note89°F, wind 8 mph E (slight_out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
26	Pro pick (L)	57	-8.5	●	Bryan Hudson (LHP) MIN @ CWS · Rate Field	6:20p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%7.4% Avg EV92.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CWS Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.9% HR/91.09 FIP4.22 IP1225.0 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 24 HR NoteUnknown stadium
27	Pro pick (S)	57	-7.5	●	Kyle Harrison (LHP) MIL @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	12:10p	🟠 C	SHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%10.3% Avg EV94.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	MIL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.5% HR/91.08 FIP3.69 IP1222.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-8 Weather · Great American Ball Park warm air · steady crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74°F Wind9 mph NE Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-8 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR Note74°F, wind 9 mph NE (cross) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
28	Pro pick (L)	57	·	●	Andrew Alvarez (LHP) WSH @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	10:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls22 BBE Barrel%9.7% Avg EV93.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	WSH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.4% HR/91.43 FIP4.85 IP1267.2 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-4 Weather · Dodger Stadium warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp76°F Wind4 mph NNW Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-4 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 30 HR Note76°F, wind 4 mph NNW (in) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
29	Pro pick (L)	57	-7.1	●	Aaron Nola (RHP) ATL @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	1:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%10.9% Avg EV91.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	PHI Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.5% HR/91.20 FIP3.81 IP1227.6 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-27 Weather · Citizens Bank Park warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp76°F Wind6 mph N Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-27 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR Note76°F, wind 6 mph N (in) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
30	Pro pick (L)	57	-5.9	●	Peter Lambert (RHP) AZ @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	2:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%8.8% Avg EV91.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.29 FIP4.62 IP1290.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Minute Maid Park hot air · light partial wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp88°F Wind2 mph E Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 19 HR Note88°F, wind 2 mph E (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)

🔥

Six home runs to freedom

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Slate reference

Symbol Guide

Every icon, badge, and shorthand on the slate. Hover the table itself for quick tips; use this when you want the full translation.

Row Actions

👁: WatchTrack a batter without counting him as one of today's locked picks.
🔒: LockAdd this batter to today's tracked picks. Locked picks are the choices that count.
★: FavoriteYou starred this batter so he is easier to find on crowded slates.
▲ / ▼: Conviction editYour notes or tags adjusted the recommendation score up or down.

Batter and Pitcher Marks

R L S: Batter handR = right-handed, L = left-handed, S = switch-hitter. Pitchers show RHP or LHP.
: Platoon advantageGreen means the batter has an opposite-handed or switch-hitter look.
: Neutral handGold means the matchup is neutral, most commonly righty versus righty.
: Same-side cautionRed means lefty versus lefty, usually the toughest handedness setup for hitters.
◎: Pitcher flagTop HR-susceptible pitcher. Open the row and inspect the full matchup.

Lightning and Tags

⚡: Arsenal EdgePitch-type mismatch. The batter damages a pitch the opposing pitcher throws and allows damage on. A small number means multiple exploitable pitch types.
⚡²: Chip firingOne or more saved Chips matched this batter tonight. This only appears when the Chip system is active for the user.
2: Your tag countNumber of your saved tags on the batter. Hover the number on the slate to see the tag names.
💬 ↑ ↓: Community toolsComment link and limited daily up/down votes. These are hidden when the launch-minimal UI is active.

Score and Tier

82: ScoreComposite 0-100 HR grade for tonight. Higher means more of the model's power, pitcher, park, and context signals agree.
🥇 S: S tierElite, score 95+.
🔥 A+: A+ tierPremium, score 90-94.
🟢 A: A tierExcellent, score 80-89.
🟡 B: B tierAbove average, score 70-79.
🔵 C+: C+ tierValue, score 60-69.
🟠 C: C tierBelow average, score 50-59.
⚪ D: D tierBelow 50.

Colors

Color meaning changes by surface. Percentile bars use Baseball Savant-style heat, where red means elite. Spray and wind use green for favorable and red for unfavorable.

Surface	Green	Orange	Red
Percentile bars	Average range	Above average	Elite / great
Spray chart	Favorable HR zone or wind fit	Neutral / mixed	Unfavorable zone or wind fit
Slate weather	Carry help	Neutral or dome context	Carry drag
Edge and results	Model ahead or hit	Mostly aligned / watch	Market ahead or miss

Edge

Edge is model probability minus market consensus probability, shown in percentage points.

+3.1: Model aheadThe model is higher than the market, a price-positive signal.
+0.2: Mostly alignedThe model and market are close.
-3.1: Market aheadThe book is more optimistic than the model, so treat the price with caution.

Form

🔥 HOT: HotRecent contact quality is running above the batter's baseline.
↗ WARM: WarmRecent indicators are positive, but not screaming.
— NTRL: NeutralNo meaningful hot or cold form signal.
↘ COOL: CoolRecent contact quality is softening.
❄ COLD: ColdRecent indicators are materially below baseline.

Timing and History

2d: Last HRDays since the batter's last home run.
●○: Last 5Home run results across the last five games. Filled dot = homered; open dot = did not homer.
1.6×: DueHow far past the batter's usual HR cadence he is. 1.5× or higher is strongly overdue; use it as a tiebreaker.
2: BvPHome runs versus today's pitcher in the app's data. Useful color, usually a small sample.

Bullpen

🔥: VulnerableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 15%.
!: WatchOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 12%, but below the vulnerable threshold.
✓: StableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is below 12%.
—: No readNo reliable bullpen value is available.

Weather

→: Tail / carry helpWeather modifier is +3 or better. Conditions are helping fly-ball carry.
←: Head / carry dragWeather modifier is -3 or worse. Conditions are working against carry.
⌂: Dome or retractable roofRoof context keeps weather noise low.
+24: Spray/WindOptional batter-specific wind read, comparing wind direction to where this batter usually hits home runs.

Roster and Results

●: Roster activeActive in the roster feed. This is not a health guarantee.
?: QuestionableManual availability risk flag. The batter remains visible, but the recommendation score is discounted.
IL: Injured listThe roster feed reports an IL status. These batters should be excluded from active slate scoring.
PPD: PostponedOfficial MLB game status says postponed. Treat the row as unavailable tonight.
✓: HitPast-slate result: this batter homered.
×: MissPast-slate result: no home run.
?: PendingPast-slate result has not loaded yet.

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Full board + 6-pick cards — Pro

Season · Top 50 Catch Rate

last 30 days

16.0%

▼ -0.6 pts

avg daily catch rate · vs 16.3% prior 15d

Yesterday · 2026-09-05

33 HRs

30%

10 caught / 33 HRs

in top 50

#2 Kyle Schwarber

38.7%

🔵

#4 Munetaka Murakami

21.3%

🔵

#13 Colson Montgomery

29.9%

🔵

#14 Rafael Devers

19.8%

🔵

#20 Ryan Jeffers

25.8%

🔵

#22 Ketel Marte

16.6%

🔵

#27 Junior Caminero

20.5%

🟠

#28 Max Muncy

17.8%

🟠

#30 Joc Pederson

31.2%

🟠

#50 Elly De La Cruz

13.3%

🟠

Missed

Kyle Stowers John Rave Tyler Stephenson Ronald Acuña Jr. Griffin Conine +18 more

7-Day Streaks

top 50 pool

🔥 Hot

Rafael Devers ×5 Colson Montgomery ×3 Carter Jensen ×2 Junior Caminero ×2 Juan Soto ×2

❄️ Cold

Yordan Alvarez 0 of 7d Hunter Goodman 0 of 6d Jake Bauers 0 of 6d Jeremy Peña 0 of 6d Oneil Cruz 0 of 6d

Model Health · HR catch rate by tier

season-to-date

A+

C+

S 0.0%

A+ 16.7%

A 19.3%

B 19.9%

C+ 17.0%

C 13.8%

D 9.0%

Best Day

32.0%

May 29

Today · 2026-09-06

The free preview stops at 5. Tonight's board doesn't.

Yesterday's results + tonight's board. Every morning.