2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Matt Olson 7 HRs · 2 Ceddanne Rafaela 5 HRs · 3 Sal Stewart 5 HRs · 4 Kyle Stowers 4 HRs · 5 Pete Crow-Armstrong 4 HRs · 6 Ozzie Albies 4 HRs · 7 Wilyer Abreu 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Chase Meidroth 3 HRs · 10 Ezequiel Duran 3 HRs · 11 Royce Lewis 3 HRs · 12 Randy Arozarena 3 HRs 1 Matt Olson 7 HRs · 2 Ceddanne Rafaela 5 HRs · 3 Sal Stewart 5 HRs · 4 Kyle Stowers 4 HRs · 5 Pete Crow-Armstrong 4 HRs · 6 Ozzie Albies 4 HRs · 7 Wilyer Abreu 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Chase Meidroth 3 HRs · 10 Ezequiel Duran 3 HRs · 11 Royce Lewis 3 HRs · 12 Randy Arozarena 3 HRs
Gage Jump

Gage Jump

LHP ATH
96 matchups scored · 12 game days
13
HRs allowed
13.5%
HR rate (pool)
6.1%
Overall HR/FB
2.94
FIP
3.82
xFIP
-0.87
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter STINGY
LEAKY 6
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
6
no model flags today
Vulnerability 6th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
65.5%
65.5%
Fly-ball rate
avg HR 104.8 EV · 413 ft max EV allowed 113.6
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
2026-06-24 · 1 HR 2026-06-29 · 3 HR 2026-07-05 · 3 HR 2026-07-17 · 1 HR 2026-07-22 · 5 HR
7D · 0 HR 15D · 5 HR ↑ 30D · 9 HR ↑
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Not on today's slate — matchup context appears when he's next listed.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Gage Jump.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Fastball Hard 47.5% 83.3 28.8° 5 +0.4
Slider Breaking 22.7% 85.5 15.2° 1 -1.3
Curveball Breaking 12.1% 78.7 0.6° 0 +0.3
Changeup Offspeed 7.9% 77.1 4.4° 1 +3.3
Sweeper Breaking 6.5% 76.5 16.9° 0 -0.5
Sinker Hard 3.4% 83.1 1.2° 0 +4.9
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups96
HRs allowed (pool)13
Pool HR rate13.5%
Pool HR/game day1.08
Top-15 matchups6
HRs to top-150
Overall HR/FB6.1% 6
HR/9
FIP2.94 12
xFIP3.82
FIP − xFIP-0.87 6
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed65.5%
FB%
K/9
BB/9
WHIP
IP
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-08-07
Fastball
Hard · 47.5% usage
+0.4 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.3 mph
Avg launch angle28.8°
HRs allowed5
Pitches550
Slider
Breaking · 22.7% usage
-1.3 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against85.5 mph
Avg launch angle15.2°
HRs allowed1
Pitches263
Curveball
Breaking · 12.1% usage
+0.3 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against78.7 mph
Avg launch angle0.6°
HRs allowed0
Pitches140
Changeup
Offspeed · 7.9% usage
+3.3 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against77.1 mph
Avg launch angle4.4°
HRs allowed1
Pitches91
Sweeper
Breaking · 6.5% usage
-0.5 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against76.5 mph
Avg launch angle16.9°
HRs allowed0
Pitches75
Sinker
Hard · 3.4% usage
+4.9 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.1 mph
Avg launch angle1.2°
HRs allowed0
Pitches39
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Gage Jump.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
13 allowed · scored pool
avg 104.8 EV · 413 ft 9 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
2026-07-22 Corbin Carroll #142 44 Chase Field 100.0 35.0° 375
2026-07-22 Nolan Arenado #178 40 Chase Field 100.1 32.0° 396
2026-07-22 James McCann #234 35 Chase Field 106.7 27.0° 431
2026-07-22 Gabriel Moreno #245 32 Chase Field 108.4 32.0° 427
2026-07-22 Ryan Waldschmidt #264 28 Chase Field 103.9 30.0° 426
2026-07-17 Daylen Lile #114 46 Sutter Health Park 100.9 31.0° 412
2026-07-05 Heriberto Hernández #97 47 Sutter Health Park 104.5 34.0° 422
2026-07-05 Otto Lopez #126 44 Sutter Health Park 105.7 30.0° 420
2026-07-05 Leo Jiménez #212 35 Sutter Health Park 102.2 35.0° 405
2026-06-29 Shohei Ohtani #33 58 Sutter Health Park 112.3 25.0° 432
2026-06-29 Max Muncy #47 54 Sutter Health Park 104.0 30.0° 422
2026-06-29 Andy Pages #102 46 Sutter Health Park 107.6 30.0° 387
2026-06-24 Rafael Devers #189 35 Oracle Park 106.1 30.0° 416
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 12 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-08-02 Sutter Health Park 7 0 105.2
2026-07-28 Sutter Health Park 8 0 99.9
2026-07-22 Chase Field 9 5 108.6
2026-07-17 Sutter Health Park 8 1 105.7
2026-07-11 Rate Field 9 0 113.6
2026-07-05 Sutter Health Park 8 3 108.6
2026-06-29 Sutter Health Park 8 3 112.3
2026-06-24 Oracle Park 7 1 106.1
2026-06-18 Sutter Health Park 7 0 106.4
2026-06-12 Las Vegas Ballpark 8 0 104.3
2026-06-07 Minute Maid Park 8 0 107.3
2026-06-02 Wrigley Field 9 0 105.1
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Gage Jump isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Gage Jump isn't on a scored slate — no park to compare his damage against.
Venue splits
HRs allowed by venue · pool
VenueFacedHRRate
Sutter Health Park 46 7 15%
Chase Field 9 5 56%
Oracle Park 7 1 14%
Rate Field 9 0 0%
Wrigley Field 9 0 0%
Las Vegas Ballpark 8 0 0%
HRs allowed ÷ scored matchups at each park · top 6 of 7. Rate is per scored matchup, not HR/9 — box-score innings aren't tracked.
Six home runs to freedom

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THR 3.3.152 · build 657

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