10
HRs allowed
14.1%
HR rate (pool)
10.4%
Overall HR/FB
4.01
FIP
4.44
xFIP
-0.43
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
29
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 29th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
77.6%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 104.2 EV · 401 ft
max EV allowed 112.9
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 2 HR
15D · 4 HR
30D · 8 HR ↑
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Tyler Phillips.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Sinker Hard
25.5%
85.8
6.2°
4
+1.9
Sweeper Breaking
24.3%
83.1
26.7°
0
-1.8
Splitter Offspeed
23.3%
81.0
0.5°
1
-1.4
Curveball Breaking
17.2%
83.7
4.7°
0
-0.3
Fastball Hard
8.8%
84.0
23.6°
2
+3.2
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups71
HRs allowed (pool)10
Pool HR rate14.1%
Pool HR/game day1.11
Top-15 matchups5
HRs to top-151
Overall HR/FB10.4% 29
HR/9—
FIP4.01 48
xFIP4.44
FIP − xFIP-0.43 22
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed77.6%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-16
Sinker
Hard · 25.5% usage
+1.9
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against85.8 mph
Avg launch angle6.2°
HRs allowed4
Pitches313
Sweeper
Breaking · 24.3% usage
-1.8
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.1 mph
Avg launch angle26.7°
HRs allowed0
Pitches299
Splitter
Offspeed · 23.3% usage
-1.4
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.0 mph
Avg launch angle0.5°
HRs allowed1
Pitches286
Curveball
Breaking · 17.2% usage
-0.3
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.7 mph
Avg launch angle4.7°
HRs allowed0
Pitches211
Fastball
Hard · 8.8% usage
+3.2
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against84.0 mph
Avg launch angle23.6°
HRs allowed2
Pitches108
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Tyler Phillips.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
10 allowed · scored pool
avg 104.2 EV · 401 ft
8 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 9 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-07-12
9
2
109.8
2026-07-08
8
0
106.1
2026-07-03
5
1
112.9
2026-06-28
8
1
106.1
2026-06-22
9
1
111.4
2026-06-16
7
3
105.7
2026-06-11
7
0
103.2
2026-05-30
9
2
111.3
2026-05-24
9
0
111.4
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Tyler Phillips isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.