8
HRs allowed
8.0%
HR rate (pool)
10.8%
Overall HR/FB
4.79
FIP
5.32
xFIP
-0.53
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
33
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 33th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
69.7%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 105.3 EV · 404 ft
max EV allowed 113.1
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 2 HR ↑
15D · 3 HR ↑
30D · 4 HR ↑
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Christian Scott.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Fastball Hard
50.1%
80.1
29.0°
5
+0.4
Sweeper Breaking
22.7%
79.8
29.6°
2
+0.3
Cutter Hard
17.5%
80.7
10.8°
0
-2.9
Curveball Breaking
4.0%
84.5
2.6°
0
+0.3
Splitter Offspeed
3.5%
84.9
2.8°
0
+3.7
Sinker Hard
2.1%
86.7
2.0°
0
+2.2
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups100
HRs allowed (pool)8
Pool HR rate8.0%
Pool HR/game day0.67
Top-15 matchups3
HRs to top-150
Overall HR/FB10.8% 33
HR/9—
FIP4.79 75
xFIP5.32
FIP − xFIP-0.53 18
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed69.7%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-16
Fastball
Hard · 50.1% usage
+0.4
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against80.1 mph
Avg launch angle29.0°
HRs allowed5
Pitches500
Sweeper
Breaking · 22.7% usage
+0.3
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against79.8 mph
Avg launch angle29.6°
HRs allowed2
Pitches227
Cutter
Hard · 17.5% usage
-2.9
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against80.7 mph
Avg launch angle10.8°
HRs allowed0
Pitches175
Curveball
Breaking · 4.0% usage
+0.3
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against84.5 mph
Avg launch angle2.6°
HRs allowed0
Pitches40
Splitter
Offspeed · 3.5% usage
+3.7
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against84.9 mph
Avg launch angle2.8°
HRs allowed0
Pitches35
Sinker
Hard · 2.1% usage
+2.2
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against86.7 mph
Avg launch angle2.0°
HRs allowed0
Pitches21
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Christian Scott.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
8 allowed · scored pool
avg 105.3 EV · 404 ft
4 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 12 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-07-08
8
0
113.1
2026-07-03
8
2
106.3
2026-06-27
8
1
105.1
2026-06-11
7
1
107.5
2026-06-05
6
0
105.7
2026-05-30
9
0
106.3
2026-05-24
9
0
105.5
2026-05-18
9
0
107.0
2026-05-13
9
0
107.6
2026-05-07
9
1
107.4
2026-05-01
9
1
107.3
2026-04-23
9
2
108.8
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Christian Scott isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.