Morning Wizard

2026-09-06 · 198 matchups scored

1 of 9 steps done

Step 1 of 9 15 candidates · 0 locked from this step

Park + Weather

Today's most HR-friendly environments — parks and weather conditions that favor the long ball.

TEX

TB @ TEX Crosswind 1.373

Globe Life Field Park × 1.06 hot air · steady crosswind · retractable roof

1.06× 101°F 8 mph retractable

· #8 Junior Caminero 2nd signal park · top ·

TOR

TOR @ KC Crosswind 1.352

Kauffman Stadium Park × 1.04 hot air · light crosswind · roof open

1.04× 95°F 6 mph open

· · #87 George Springer

HOU

AZ @ HOU Wind out 1.349

Minute Maid Park Park × 1.12 hot air · light partial wind out · retractable roof

1.12× 88°F 2 mph retractable

#13 Yordan Alvarez · ·

STL

COL

STL @ COL Wind out 1.316

Coors Field Park × 1.01 hot air · steady partial wind out · roof open

1.01× 89°F 8 mph open

· #23 Jordan Walker ·

ATL

PHI

ATL @ PHI Wind in 1.106

Citizens Bank Park Park × 1.11 warm air · light wind in · roof open

1.11× 76°F 6 mph open

· · #18 Bryce Harper 2nd signal park · pitcher

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Step 2 of 9 1 candidate · 0 locked from this step

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Susceptible Pitchers

Pitchers on today's slate with the highest HR-susceptibility scores — they give up dingers at elevated rates.

Aaron Nola ⚠️ High

32 HRs · 0.220 HR/IP · 21.6% HR/FB · 4.93 ERA

FIP 4.93 · xFIP 3.65 · Gap +1.28

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The Wizard has more to show you

Steps 3–9 include FIP-xFIP gap risk, splits edges, arsenal matchups, hot/cold streaks, unlucky barrels, and your final picks summary.

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Morning Wizard

Park + Weather

Susceptible Pitchers

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