Slate · 2026-08-28

↩ today Share Slate 🧙 Morning Wizard 🎲 Build Variance Card

244 scored matchups · top 5 preview · upgrade for full slate Lineups loading…

2:20p

6:40p

6:45p

7:10p

7:15p

7:40p

🔥

8:10p

🔥

8:15p

9:38p

9:40p

10:15p

Locks 0/1

Daily Routine ready Routine

Prime Card 0/6 not saved

‹

2026-08-28

›

Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather

🥇 Golden Slate 3 top-15 batters face HR-prone pitchers

#1 Matt Olson vs Tomoyuki Sugano FIP 5.54 HR/FB 24.4% #6 Munetaka Murakami vs Dean Kremer FIP 5.28 HR/FB 24.2% #11 Miguel Vargas vs Dean Kremer FIP 5.28 HR/FB 25.0%

📦 STACK Grant Holmes FIP 4.91 HR/FB 17.9% → #2 Hunter Goodman, #8 Mickey Moniak

📦 STACK Jacob Lopez FIP 4.94 HR/FB 16.9% → #3 Pete Alonso, #7 Coby Mayo

📦 STACK Rhett Lowder FIP 4.74 HR/FB 14.7% → #4 Pete Crow-Armstrong, #14 Ian Happ

📦 STACK Dean Kremer FIP 5.28 HR/FB 24.2% → #6 Munetaka Murakami, #11 Miguel Vargas

2025 full-season backtest

2025 backtest: a top-15 pick went yard on 92.9% of slates · top-50 picks hit 1.6x the field

Sample window: 2025 full-season backtest · 182 slates · 2025-03-27 to 2025-09-28 Live 2026 is current through 2026-08-28. Past performance ≠ guarantee.

92.9% top-15 slates, 2025

1.6x top-50 vs field

92.1% Live 2026 top-15

See the full record

#	Batter	Score	Edge	Pitcher · Game	Time	Tier	Hand	'26 HR	Form	Due	BP	Weather	Hit?
1	·Matt Olson (L)	74	+3.3	Tomoyuki Sugano (RHP) COL @ ATL · Truist Park	7:15p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	37	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%13.9% Avg EV92.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.7×	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.39 FIP4.85 IP1165.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-16 Weather · Truist Park hot air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp89°F Wind3 mph E Charactercross HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind-16 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 37 HR Note89°F, wind 3 mph E (cross) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
2	·Hunter Goodman (R)	74	+7.3	Grant Holmes (RHP) COL @ ATL · Truist Park	7:15p	🟡 B	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	36	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls9 BBE Barrel%12.1% Avg EV90.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.3×	ATL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.2% HR/91.16 FIP4.21 IP1134.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-16 Weather · Truist Park hot air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp89°F Wind3 mph E Charactercross HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind-16 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 35 HR Note89°F, wind 3 mph E (cross) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
3	·Pete Alonso (R)	71	-14.0	Jacob Lopez (LHP) BAL @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🟡 B	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	32	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls39 BBE Barrel%9.1% Avg EV94.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.7×	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.1% HR/91.52 FIP4.95 IP1209.0 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+18 Weather · Sutter Health Park warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp78°F Wind4 mph WNW Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+18 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 32 HR Note78°F, wind 4 mph WNW (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
4	·Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)	71	·	Rhett Lowder (RHP) CIN @ CHC · Wrigley Field	2:20p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	33	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls39 BBE Barrel%10.6% Avg EV90.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.3×	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.4% HR/91.27 FIP4.71 IP1155.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+6 Weather · Wrigley Field warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp80°F Wind1 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+6 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 32 HR Note80°F, wind 1 mph SW (out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
5	·Ben Rice (L)	68	+7.2	Patrick Sandoval (LHP) BOS @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	7:15p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	35	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%10.1% Avg EV92.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.7×	BOS Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.4% HR/90.95 FIP3.69 IP1168.2 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+23 Weather · Yankee Stadium hot air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp82°F Wind12 mph NNW Characterslight_out HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+23 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 34 HR Note82°F, wind 12 mph NNW (slight_out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
6	·Munetaka Murakami (L)	67	-1.4	Dean Kremer (RHP) CWS @ MIN · Target Field	8:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	29	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%12.2% Avg EV94.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3.0×	MIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.1% HR/91.18 FIP4.35 IP1132.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-35 Weather · Target Field hot air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp82°F Wind4 mph SSE Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-35 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 29 HR Note82°F, wind 4 mph SSE (in) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
7	·Coby Mayo (R)	65	-12.4	Jacob Lopez (LHP) BAL @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	18	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%8.6% Avg EV92.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.2×	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.1% HR/91.52 FIP4.95 IP1209.0 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+12 Weather · Sutter Health Park warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp78°F Wind4 mph WNW Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+12 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 15 HR Note78°F, wind 4 mph WNW (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
8	·Max Muncy (L)	64	·	Drew Anderson (RHP) LAD @ DET · Comerica Park	6:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	7	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls47 BBE Barrel%10.6% Avg EV90.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.0×	DET Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.3% HR/91.05 FIP4.00 IP1204.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-31 Weather · Comerica Park warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp76°F Wind6 mph SSE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-31 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 33 HR Note76°F, wind 6 mph SSE (in) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
9	·Mickey Moniak (L)	63	+5.6	Grant Holmes (RHP) COL @ ATL · Truist Park	7:15p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	21	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%9.4% Avg EV89.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.2×	ATL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.2% HR/91.16 FIP4.21 IP1134.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-16 Weather · Truist Park hot air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp89°F Wind3 mph E Charactercross HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind-16 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note89°F, wind 3 mph E (cross) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
10	·Shohei Ohtani (L)	63	·	Drew Anderson (RHP) LAD @ DET · Comerica Park	6:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	30	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%11.7% Avg EV93.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2.0×	DET Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.3% HR/91.05 FIP4.00 IP1204.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-31 Weather · Comerica Park warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp76°F Wind6 mph SSE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-31 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 30 HR Note76°F, wind 6 mph SSE (in) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
11	Heriberto Hernández (R)	62	·	Jackson Kent (LHP) MIA @ WSH · Nationals Park	6:45p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	21	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%10.2% Avg EV91.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.0×	WSH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.4% HR/91.45 FIP4.87 IP1182.9 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-11 Weather · Nationals Park hot air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp86°F Wind3 mph ENE Characterin HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind-11 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 19 HR Note86°F, wind 3 mph ENE (in) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)	Heriberto Hernández — Home Run OffMax Kranick Exit Velo106.9 mph Angle31.0° Distance445 ft StadiumNationals Park
12	·Miguel Vargas (R)	62	-0.7	Dean Kremer (RHP) CWS @ MIN · Target Field	8:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	29	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%10.5% Avg EV90.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.2×	MIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.1% HR/91.18 FIP4.35 IP1132.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-17 Weather · Target Field hot air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp82°F Wind4 mph SSE Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-17 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 29 HR Note82°F, wind 4 mph SSE (in) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
13	·Yordan Alvarez (L)	62	+5.2	Christian Scott (RHP) HOU @ NYM · Citi Field	7:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	36	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%11.4% Avg EV94.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3.7×	NYM Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.9% HR/91.12 FIP4.14 IP1279.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-53 Weather · Citi Field warm air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp81°F Wind12 mph NNW Characterin HR Modifier-2 Spray/Wind-53 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 33 HR Note81°F, wind 12 mph NNW (in) — modifier: -2 (first-pitch forecast)
14	·Ian Happ (S)	61	·	Rhett Lowder (RHP) CIN @ CHC · Wrigley Field	2:20p	🔵 C+	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	23	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%10.1% Avg EV89.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.2×	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.4% HR/91.27 FIP4.71 IP1155.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+6 Weather · Wrigley Field warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp80°F Wind1 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+6 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 23 HR Note80°F, wind 1 mph SW (out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
15	·Drake Baldwin (L)	61	+3.7	Tomoyuki Sugano (RHP) COL @ ATL · Truist Park	7:15p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	22	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls39 BBE Barrel%12.7% Avg EV91.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.2×	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.39 FIP4.85 IP1165.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-17 Weather · Truist Park hot air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp89°F Wind3 mph E Charactercross HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind-17 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note89°F, wind 3 mph E (cross) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
16	·Rafael Devers (L)	61	-3.6	Kohl Drake (LHP) AZ @ SF · Oracle Park	10:15p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	29	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls41 BBE Barrel%11.6% Avg EV92.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.5×	AZ Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.0% HR/91.15 FIP4.37 IP1155.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+38 Weather · Oracle Park mild air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp66°F Wind8 mph W Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+38 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 29 HR Note66°F, wind 8 mph W (out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
17	·Junior Caminero (R)	60	·	Casey Mize (RHP) SD @ TB · Tropicana Field	7:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	35	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls41 BBE Barrel%10.4% Avg EV93.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	5.0×	SD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.4% HR/91.07 FIP4.15 IP1147.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Tropicana Field neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 35 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
18	·Willson Contreras (R)	60	·	Cam Schlittler (RHP) BOS @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	7:15p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	26	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%10.3% Avg EV89.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.2×	NYY Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.6% HR/91.00 FIP3.74 IP1182.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-26 Weather · Yankee Stadium hot air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp82°F Wind12 mph NNW Characterslight_out HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind-26 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 26 HR Note82°F, wind 12 mph NNW (slight_out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
19	·Michael Conforto (L)	60	·	Rhett Lowder (RHP) CIN @ CHC · Wrigley Field	2:20p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	12	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls18 BBE Barrel%10.2% Avg EV90.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.1×	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.4% HR/91.27 FIP4.71 IP1155.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+6 Weather · Wrigley Field warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp80°F Wind1 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+6 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 12 HR Note80°F, wind 1 mph SW (out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
20	·Kyle Schwarber (L)	60	-14.5	Reid Detmers (LHP) PHI @ LAA · Angel Stadium	9:38p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	40	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%11.8% Avg EV92.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.2×	LAA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.0% HR/91.09 FIP4.29 IP1217.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+36 Weather · Angel Stadium hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp91°F Wind9 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+36 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 39 HR Note91°F, wind 9 mph SW (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
21	Michael Harris II (L)	60	·	Tomoyuki Sugano (RHP) COL @ ATL · Truist Park	7:15p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	22	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls39 BBE Barrel%11.5% Avg EV90.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.0×	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.39 FIP4.85 IP1165.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-16 Weather · Truist Park hot air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp89°F Wind3 mph E Charactercross HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind-16 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note89°F, wind 3 mph E (cross) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)	Michael Harris II — Home Run OffTomoyuki Sugano Exit Velo97.1 mph Angle38.0° Distance351 ft StadiumTruist Park
22	·Jac Caglianone (L)	58	·	Tanner Bibee (RHP) KC @ CLE · Progressive Field	7:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	23	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%10.8% Avg EV93.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.2×	CLE Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.1% HR/91.15 FIP3.95 IP1159.1000000000001 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-8 Weather · Progressive Field warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74°F Wind5 mph NE Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-8 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note74°F, wind 5 mph NE (cross) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
23	·Samuel Basallo (L)	58	·	Jacob Lopez (LHP) BAL @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	17	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls16 BBE Barrel%8.9% Avg EV91.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2.8×	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.1% HR/91.52 FIP4.95 IP1209.0 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+21 Weather · Sutter Health Park warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp78°F Wind4 mph WNW Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+21 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 17 HR Note78°F, wind 4 mph WNW (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
24	·Seiya Suzuki (R)	58	·	Rhett Lowder (RHP) CIN @ CHC · Wrigley Field	2:20p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	22	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%9.7% Avg EV88.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3.0×	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.4% HR/91.27 FIP4.71 IP1155.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+5 Weather · Wrigley Field warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp80°F Wind1 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+5 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR Note80°F, wind 1 mph SW (out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
25	·Andres Chaparro (R)	56	·	Eury Pérez (RHP) MIA @ WSH · Nationals Park	6:45p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	9	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls25 BBE Barrel%11.2% Avg EV89.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	·	MIA Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.5% HR/91.03 FIP4.10 IP1192.1 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-9 Weather · Nationals Park hot air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp86°F Wind3 mph ENE Characterin HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind-9 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 9 HR Note86°F, wind 3 mph ENE (in) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
26	·Colton Cowser (L)	56	·	Jacob Lopez (LHP) BAL @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	12	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls22 BBE Barrel%8.2% Avg EV87.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.0×	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.1% HR/91.52 FIP4.95 IP1209.0 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+21 Weather · Sutter Health Park warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp78°F Wind4 mph WNW Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+21 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 12 HR Note78°F, wind 4 mph WNW (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
27	·Zack Gelof (R)	56	-9.0	Brandon Young (RHP) BAL @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	14	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%7.6% Avg EV88.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3.3×	BAL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.8% HR/91.09 FIP4.14 IP1177.3 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+14 Weather · Sutter Health Park warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp78°F Wind4 mph WNW Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+14 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 14 HR Note78°F, wind 4 mph WNW (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
28	·Elly De La Cruz (S)	56	·	David Peterson (LHP) CIN @ CHC · Wrigley Field	2:20p	🟠 C	SHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	21	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls39 BBE Barrel%9.4% Avg EV93.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.0×	CHC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB16.2% HR/91.55 FIP4.78 IP1024.4 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+6 Weather · Wrigley Field warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp80°F Wind1 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+6 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note80°F, wind 1 mph SW (out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
29	Sal Stewart (R)	56	·	David Peterson (LHP) CIN @ CHC · Wrigley Field	2:20p	🟠 C	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	29	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls46 BBE Barrel%9.0% Avg EV90.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.0×	CHC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB16.2% HR/91.55 FIP4.78 IP1024.4 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+6 Weather · Wrigley Field warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp80°F Wind1 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+6 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 28 HR Note80°F, wind 1 mph SW (out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)	Sal Stewart — Home Run OffDavid Peterson Exit Velo101.9 mph Angle24.0° Distance382 ft StadiumWrigley Field
30	·Kyle Stowers (L)	55	·	Jackson Kent (LHP) MIA @ WSH · Nationals Park	6:45p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	16	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls4 BBE Barrel%9.5% Avg EV92.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3.7×	WSH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.4% HR/91.45 FIP4.87 IP1182.9 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-17 Weather · Nationals Park hot air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp86°F Wind3 mph ENE Characterin HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind-17 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 16 HR Note86°F, wind 3 mph ENE (in) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)

🔥

Six home runs to freedom

The free preview stops at 5. Tonight's board doesn't.

Tonight's full board — all 244 ranked matchups plus the conviction tools — is Pro. Check the public track record first: every board graded next morning, hits and misses included.

Create a free account — no card required Try Pro free for 3 days — then $10/mo Already have an account? Sign in

No card to sign up. Yesterday's graded board and the daily top-5 preview are free.

239 more waiting in the on-deck circle

Slate reference

Symbol Guide

Every icon, badge, and shorthand on the slate. Hover the table itself for quick tips; use this when you want the full translation.

Row Actions

👁: WatchTrack a batter without counting him as one of today's locked picks.
🔒: LockAdd this batter to today's tracked picks. Locked picks are the choices that count.
★: FavoriteYou starred this batter so he is easier to find on crowded slates.
▲ / ▼: Conviction editYour notes or tags adjusted the recommendation score up or down.

Batter and Pitcher Marks

R L S: Batter handR = right-handed, L = left-handed, S = switch-hitter. Pitchers show RHP or LHP.
: Platoon advantageGreen means the batter has an opposite-handed or switch-hitter look.
: Neutral handGold means the matchup is neutral, most commonly righty versus righty.
: Same-side cautionRed means lefty versus lefty, usually the toughest handedness setup for hitters.
◎: Pitcher flagTop HR-susceptible pitcher. Open the row and inspect the full matchup.

Lightning and Tags

⚡: Arsenal EdgePitch-type mismatch. The batter damages a pitch the opposing pitcher throws and allows damage on. A small number means multiple exploitable pitch types.
⚡²: Chip firingOne or more saved Chips matched this batter tonight. This only appears when the Chip system is active for the user.
2: Your tag countNumber of your saved tags on the batter. Hover the number on the slate to see the tag names.
💬 ↑ ↓: Community toolsComment link and limited daily up/down votes. These are hidden when the launch-minimal UI is active.

Score and Tier

82: ScoreComposite 0-100 HR grade for tonight. Higher means more of the model's power, pitcher, park, and context signals agree.
🥇 S: S tierElite, score 95+.
🔥 A+: A+ tierPremium, score 90-94.
🟢 A: A tierExcellent, score 80-89.
🟡 B: B tierAbove average, score 70-79.
🔵 C+: C+ tierValue, score 60-69.
🟠 C: C tierBelow average, score 50-59.
⚪ D: D tierBelow 50.

Colors

Color meaning changes by surface. Percentile bars use Baseball Savant-style heat, where red means elite. Spray and wind use green for favorable and red for unfavorable.

Surface	Green	Orange	Red
Percentile bars	Average range	Above average	Elite / great
Spray chart	Favorable HR zone or wind fit	Neutral / mixed	Unfavorable zone or wind fit
Slate weather	Carry help	Neutral or dome context	Carry drag
Edge and results	Model ahead or hit	Mostly aligned / watch	Market ahead or miss

Edge

Edge is model probability minus market consensus probability, shown in percentage points.

+3.1: Model aheadThe model is higher than the market, a price-positive signal.
+0.2: Mostly alignedThe model and market are close.
-3.1: Market aheadThe book is more optimistic than the model, so treat the price with caution.

Form

🔥 HOT: HotRecent contact quality is running above the batter's baseline.
↗ WARM: WarmRecent indicators are positive, but not screaming.
— NTRL: NeutralNo meaningful hot or cold form signal.
↘ COOL: CoolRecent contact quality is softening.
❄ COLD: ColdRecent indicators are materially below baseline.

Timing and History

2d: Last HRDays since the batter's last home run.
●○: Last 5Home run results across the last five games. Filled dot = homered; open dot = did not homer.
1.6×: DueHow far past the batter's usual HR cadence he is. 1.5× or higher is strongly overdue; use it as a tiebreaker.
2: BvPHome runs versus today's pitcher in the app's data. Useful color, usually a small sample.

Bullpen

🔥: VulnerableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 15%.
!: WatchOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 12%, but below the vulnerable threshold.
✓: StableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is below 12%.
—: No readNo reliable bullpen value is available.

Weather

→: Tail / carry helpWeather modifier is +3 or better. Conditions are helping fly-ball carry.
←: Head / carry dragWeather modifier is -3 or worse. Conditions are working against carry.
⌂: Dome or retractable roofRoof context keeps weather noise low.
+24: Spray/WindOptional batter-specific wind read, comparing wind direction to where this batter usually hits home runs.

Roster and Results

●: Roster activeActive in the roster feed. This is not a health guarantee.
?: QuestionableManual availability risk flag. The batter remains visible, but the recommendation score is discounted.
IL: Injured listThe roster feed reports an IL status. These batters should be excluded from active slate scoring.
PPD: PostponedOfficial MLB game status says postponed. Treat the row as unavailable tonight.
✓: HitPast-slate result: this batter homered.
×: MissPast-slate result: no home run.
?: PendingPast-slate result has not loaded yet.

🔒

Lock one pick tonight

Free accounts lock 1 pick a night from the preview — graded on your own record the next morning. No card required.

Create a free account →

Full board + 6-pick cards — Pro

Season · Top 50 Catch Rate

last 30 days

16.4%

▼ -2.6 pts

avg daily catch rate · vs 17.7% prior 15d

Results · 2026-08-28

26 HRs

26%

7 caught / 26 HRs

in top 50

#10 Heriberto Hernández

39.6%

🔵

#21 Michael Harris II

15.8%

🔵

#31 Sal Stewart

15.1%

🟠

#36 Colson Montgomery

15.4%

🟠

#37 Kody Clemens

13.7%

🟠

#43 Paul Goldschmidt

19.4%

🟠

#45 Jackson Merrill

15.0%

🟠

Missed

Carter Jensen Michael Busch Kazuma Okamoto Bryce Eldridge Brady House +14 more

Model Health · HR catch rate by tier

season-to-date

A+

C+

S 0.0%

A+ 16.7%

A 19.3%

B 20.1%

C+ 17.0%

C 13.6%

D 8.9%

Best Day

32.0%

May 29

Slate · 2026-08-28

The free preview stops at 5. Tonight's board doesn't.

Yesterday's results + tonight's board. Every morning.