2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Max Muncy 9 HRs · 2 Pete Alonso 6 HRs · 3 Tristan Peters 6 HRs · 4 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 5 Brooks Lee 5 HRs · 6 Rafael Devers 5 HRs · 7 Heriberto Hernández 4 HRs · 8 Jake Burger 4 HRs · 9 Luis García Jr. 4 HRs · 10 Cal Raleigh 4 HRs · 11 Mickey Gasper 4 HRs · 12 Jordan Walker 4 HRs 1 Max Muncy 9 HRs · 2 Pete Alonso 6 HRs · 3 Tristan Peters 6 HRs · 4 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 5 Brooks Lee 5 HRs · 6 Rafael Devers 5 HRs · 7 Heriberto Hernández 4 HRs · 8 Jake Burger 4 HRs · 9 Luis García Jr. 4 HRs · 10 Cal Raleigh 4 HRs · 11 Mickey Gasper 4 HRs · 12 Jordan Walker 4 HRs
Ian Happ
Ian Happ
CHC · SHB
Ian Happ

Ian Happ

SHB
CHC · 129 appearances tracked
23 HRs
17.8% HR Rate
24.7% Avg HR/FB
89.8 Avg EV
0.223 ISO
#1 Best Rank
as of 2026-08-28
HR Profile Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
ISO
80
0.206
Avg EV
55
89.4
Barrel%
74
10.1%
HR/FB vs RHP
91
25.6%
Avg HR Dist
77
403
Match%
96
25.9%
Season HR%
18.5%
14D Pace
30.0%
ISO EV BRL HR/FB DIST MATCH
80
55
74
91
77
96
ISOEVBRLHR/FBDISTMATCH
BBE 29 · season HR% & 14D pace unranked
Pitch Analysis season · as of 2026-08-28
Pitch Seen Barrel% HR K%
Fastball 52.2%
15.2%
14
30.8%
Breaking 24.9%
14.1%
8
33.6%
Offspeed 22.8%
2.5%
1
27.1%
All 100% 11.5% 23 30.6%
Barrel vs. Whiff BRL K
Fastball Breaking Offspeed
Crushes the fastball — whiffs climb on breaking & offspeed.
Batter vs. Pitcher vs Rhett Lowder · RHP · CHC
SMALL SAMPLE · 9 PA · since 2026
.000
AVG
.000
SLG
0
HR
0-for-6 and 3 walks across 9 plate appearances since 2026. Thin sample — lean on the season profile.
Modifiers 4 of 4 active
Wrigley +HR Pitcher form Cold Platoon Edge Weather +1
Edge by rate · batter vs pitcher-allowed
Barrel% 10.1 vs
10.1
HR/FB 25.6 vs 14.7 ▲ edge
25.6
14.7
K% 30.6 vs
30.6
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked. HR/FB compared head-to-head.
HR Days 23 this season · avg 406 ft
Date Opp · Pitcher Pitch EV Dist
Mar 29 Jake Irvin · Wrigley Field 99.8 361.0
Mar 30 Ryan Johnson · Wrigley Field 101.6 378.0
Apr 17 Kodai Senga · Wrigley Field 106.4 411.0
Apr 18 Freddy Peralta · Wrigley Field 105.4 431.0
Apr 23 Cristopher Sánchez · Wrigley Field 110.7 429.0
May 14 Chris Sale · Truist Park 107.6 424.0
May 28 @ PIT · Paul Skenes 103.7 403.0
May 29 @ STL · Andre Pallante 104.1 407
Jun 4 vs ATH · J.T. Ginn 108.1 446
Jun 10 @ COL · Antonio Senzatela 98.2 424
Jun 27 @ MIL · Chad Patrick 106.4 381
Aug 8 @ KC · Seth Lugo 98.2 381
Aug 21 @ SEA · Eduard Bazardo 107.3 432
Aug 23 @ SEA · Bryce Miller 101.6 378
HR by month
3
3
3
May Jun Aug
All Appearances 129 tracked · 23 HR · 85 top‑50
Date Opp · Pitcher BIP Max EV Result HR
Aug 28 vs CIN · Rhett Lowder 2 85.8 2 BIP
Aug 25 @ AZ · Brandon Pfaadt 3 104.4 HR 3 BIP
Aug 24 @ AZ · Merrill Kelly 5 105.3 5 BIP
Aug 23 @ SEA · Bryce Miller 3 101.6 HR 3 BIP
Aug 21 @ SEA · Emerson Hancock 2 107.3 HR 2 BIP
Aug 19 vs CWS · Sean Newcomb 1 74.6 1 BIP
Aug 18 vs CWS · Bryan Hudson 4 99.8 4 BIP
Aug 17 vs CWS · Luis Castillo 4 100.0 4 BIP
Aug 16 vs STL · Hunter Dobbins 3 96.6 3 BIP
Aug 15 vs STL · Michael McGreevy 2 97.5 2 BIP
Aug 14 vs STL · Matthew Liberatore 1 90.1 1 BIP
Aug 13 @ WSH · Cade Cavalli 2 71.7 2 BIP
Aug 11 @ WSH · Jake Irvin 3 99.6 3 BIP
Aug 9 @ KC · Randy Dobnak 4 104.2 HR 4 BIP
Aug 8 @ KC · Seth Lugo 3 106.7 HR 3 BIP
Aug 7 @ KC · Daniel Lynch IV 0
Aug 6 vs TOR · Dylan Cease 3 99.3 3 BIP
Aug 5 vs LAD · Eric Lauer 2 89.8 2 BIP
Aug 4 vs LAD · Tarik Skubal 0
Aug 3 vs LAD · Justin Wrobleski 0
Aug 2 vs NYY · Gerrit Cole 2 78.9 2 BIP
Aug 1 vs NYY · Max Fried 3 99.6 3 BIP
Jul 31 vs NYY · Will Warren 2 93.2 2 BIP
Jul 30 @ STL · Andre Pallante 5 100.3 5 BIP
Jul 29 @ STL · Dustin May 2 96.9 2 BIP
Jul 28 @ STL · Michael McGreevy 3 103.6 3 BIP
Jul 27 @ STL · Matthew Liberatore 2 92.9 2 BIP
Jul 26 @ PIT · Braxton Ashcraft 3 101.0 3 BIP
Jul 25 @ PIT · Paul Skenes 1 82.9 1 BIP
Jul 24 @ PIT · Jared Jones 2 71.3 2 BIP
Jul 22 vs DET · Keider Montero 2 81.1 2 BIP
Jul 21 vs DET · Framber Valdez 2 94.1 2 BIP
Jul 20 vs DET · Jack Flaherty 4 104.8 HR 4 BIP
Jul 19 vs MIN · Zebby Matthews 2 94.9 2 BIP
Jul 18 vs MIN · Taj Bradley 2 100.1 2 BIP
Jul 17 vs MIN · Bailey Ober 2 96.8 2 BIP
Jul 12 @ CIN · Andrew Abbott 1 75.8 1 BIP
Jul 11 @ CIN · Nick Lodolo 3 100.6 3 BIP
Jul 10 @ CIN · Hunter Greene 1 107.1 1 BIP
Jul 9 @ BAL · Trevor Rogers 3 102.9 3 BIP
Jul 8 @ BAL · Dean Kremer 3 103.8 3 BIP
Jul 7 @ BAL · Shane Baz 4 100.5 4 BIP
Jul 5 vs STL · Matthew Liberatore 2 84.9 2 BIP
Jul 4 vs STL · Kyle Leahy 3 106.1 3 BIP
Jul 3 vs STL · Andre Pallante 2 100.4 2 BIP
Jul 1 vs SD · Walker Buehler 1 93.5 1 BIP
Jun 30 vs SD · JP Sears 3 88.0 3 BIP
Jun 29 vs SD · Griffin Canning 3 88.8 3 BIP
Jun 28 @ MIL · Brandon Woodruff 2 101.1 2 BIP
Jun 27 @ MIL · Kyle Harrison 1 106.4 HR 1 BIP
Jun 26 @ MIL · Jacob Misiorowski 2 93.8 2 BIP
Jun 25 @ NYM · Freddy Peralta 2 91.6 2 BIP
Jun 24 @ NYM · Sean Manaea 2 106.1 2 BIP
Jun 23 @ NYM · Kodai Senga 3 106.8 3 BIP
Jun 22 @ NYM · Kodai Senga 0
Jun 21 vs TOR · Dylan Cease 0
Jun 20 vs TOR · Patrick Corbin 3 109.0 3 BIP
Jun 19 vs TOR · Kevin Gausman 3 100.8 3 BIP
Jun 17 vs COL · COL Bullpen Proxy 3 81.8 3 BIP
Jun 16 vs COL · Ryan Feltner 3 85.5 3 BIP
Jun 15 vs COL · Michael Lorenzen 4 101.2 4 BIP
Jun 14 @ SF · Logan Webb 2 79.9 2 BIP
Jun 13 @ SF · Trevor McDonald 3 103.6 HR 3 BIP
Jun 12 @ SF · Landen Roupp 3 81.4 3 BIP
Jun 11 @ COL · Ryan Feltner 3 95.3 3 BIP
Jun 10 @ COL · Michael Lorenzen 3 100.7 HR 3 BIP
Jun 9 @ COL · Tomoyuki Sugano 1 86.1 1 BIP
Jun 7 vs SF · Trevor McDonald 2 98.6 2 BIP
Jun 6 vs SF · Landen Roupp 2 97.1 2 BIP
Jun 5 vs SF · Robbie Ray 1 67.4 1 BIP
Jun 4 vs ATH · J.T. Ginn 2 108.1 HR 2 BIP
Jun 3 vs ATH · Jeffrey Springs 4 105.8 4 BIP
Jun 2 vs ATH · Gage Jump 1 95.6 1 BIP
May 31 @ STL · Matthew Liberatore 2 101.5 2 BIP
May 30 @ STL · Kyle Leahy 4 107.0 4 BIP
May 29 @ STL · Andre Pallante 3 104.7 HR 3 BIP
May 28 @ PIT · Paul Skenes 4 103.7 HR 4 BIP
May 27 @ PIT · Bubba Chandler 6 99.4 HR 6 BIP
May 26 @ PIT · Braxton Ashcraft 3 108.7 3 BIP
May 25 @ PIT · Carmen Mlodzinski 2 93.5 2 BIP
May 22 vs HOU · Spencer Arrighetti 3 82.6 3 BIP
May 20 vs MIL · Kyle Harrison 0
May 19 vs MIL · Jacob Misiorowski 1 81.4 1 BIP
May 18 vs MIL · Brandon Sproat 2 97.8 2 BIP
May 17 @ CWS · Erick Fedde 3 105.7 3 BIP
May 16 @ CWS · Davis Martin 1 90.0 1 BIP
May 15 @ CWS · Sean Burke 3 109.2 3 BIP
May 14 @ ATL · Chris Sale 3 107.6 HR 3 BIP
May 13 @ ATL · JR Ritchie 0
May 12 @ ATL · Grant Holmes 1 105.7 1 BIP
May 10 @ TEX · Jacob deGrom 0
May 9 @ TEX · Jack Leiter 1 77.6 1 BIP
May 8 @ TEX · Kumar Rocker 4 109.5 4 BIP
May 7 vs CIN · Rhett Lowder 1 72.3 1 BIP
May 6 vs CIN · Brady Singer 4 105.0 HR 4 BIP
May 5 vs CIN · Andrew Abbott 1 91.8 1 BIP
May 4 vs CIN · Chase Petty 1 58.4 1 BIP
May 3 vs AZ · Merrill Kelly 2 100.0 2 BIP
May 2 vs AZ · Ryne Nelson 3 110.6 HR 3 BIP
May 1 vs AZ · Zac Gallen 1 93.8 1 BIP
Apr 29 @ SD · Matt Waldron 2 77.9 2 BIP
Apr 28 @ SD · Walker Buehler 3 83.0 3 BIP
Apr 27 @ SD · Randy Vásquez 3 100.8 3 BIP
Apr 26 @ LAD · Justin Wrobleski 3 93.9 3 BIP
Apr 25 @ LAD · Roki Sasaki 0
Apr 24 @ LAD · Emmet Sheehan 2 91.7 2 BIP
Apr 23 vs PHI · Cristopher Sánchez 5 110.7 HR 5 BIP
Apr 22 vs PHI · Kyle Backhus 3 93.5 3 BIP
Apr 21 vs PHI · Jesús Luzardo 4 102.8 4 BIP
Apr 20 vs PHI · Aaron Nola 1 111.5 1 BIP
Apr 19 vs NYM · Tobias Myers 3 97.9 3 BIP
Apr 18 vs NYM · Freddy Peralta 2 105.4 HR 2 BIP
Apr 17 vs NYM · Kodai Senga 3 106.4 HR 3 BIP
Apr 15 @ PHI · Jesús Luzardo 2 91.5 2 BIP
Apr 14 @ PHI · Aaron Nola 3 103.2 3 BIP
Apr 13 @ PHI · Cristopher Sánchez 3 108.3 3 BIP
Apr 11 vs PIT · Braxton Ashcraft 3 102.9 3 BIP
Apr 10 vs PIT · Carmen Mlodzinski 3 96.7 3 BIP
Apr 8 @ TB · Joe Boyle 0
Apr 7 @ TB · Drew Rasmussen 0
Apr 6 @ TB · Shane McClanahan 3 103.5 3 BIP
Apr 5 @ CLE · Slade Cecconi 3 107.5 HR 3 BIP
Apr 4 @ CLE · Slade Cecconi 0
Apr 1 vs LAA · Yusei Kikuchi 3 102.7 3 BIP
Mar 31 vs LAA · José Soriano 1 78.9 1 BIP
Mar 30 vs LAA · Ryan Johnson 4 103.2 HR 4 BIP
Mar 29 vs WSH · Jake Irvin 1 99.8 HR 1 BIP
Mar 28 vs WSH · Miles Mikolas 4 111.2 HR 4 BIP
Mar 26 vs WSH · Cade Cavalli 2 108.5 2 BIP
Ballpark Wrigley Field · open-air
Park Factor 1.072 Wind 1 mph from SW Temp 80°F Roof Open
TimeWindTempFIT
1:20p 1 80° +4
2:20p 1 80° +4
3:20p 1 80° +4
4:20p 1 80° +4
5:20p 1 80° +4
+4
Neutral alignment
true spray · live hourly FIT · open-air wind signal
HIT LOCATIONS'25–'26
1 mph 17% 13% 4% 30% 35% OPPO PULL Wrigley Field
Game-window avg wind · blowing out to center (from SW)

Open the Dueness Calendar → His month grid, rhythm tightness, and tonight’s crossing mark load on demand.

Score Breakdown Base 61 → 61
ISO (Power)
+20.5
Barrel Matchup
+14.5
Park Factor
+8.6
season hr rate
+5.1
Pitcher FIP
+4.5
HR/FB Matchup
+4.1
recent hr density 14d
+3.2
Exit Velocity
+1.0
Six home runs to freedom

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Common questions about Ian Happ

Will Ian Happ hit a home run today?

Ian Happ is on today's TheHomeRuns slate, ranked #14 among tonight's scored batters for home run likelihood, facing Rhett Lowder at Wrigley Field. That's a model ranking, not a prediction of a certain outcome — even the model's top-ranked bats homer in roughly one of five games. Not gambling advice.

How often does Ian Happ hit home runs?

Across 129 scored games this season, Ian Happ has 23 home runs — one every 5.6 games, or about 18% of his scored games.

Has Ian Happ homered off Rhett Lowder before?

Not yet — Ian Happ has faced Rhett Lowder 9 times without a home run.

Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.

THR 3.3.164 · build 668

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