Today · 2026-08-29

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⭐ Today's Slate

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Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather

2025 full-season backtest

2025 backtest: a top-15 pick went yard on 92.9% of slates · top-50 picks hit 1.6x the field

Sample window: 2025 full-season backtest · 182 slates · 2025-03-27 to 2025-09-28 Live 2026 is current through 2026-08-28. Past performance ≠ guarantee.

92.9% top-15 slates, 2025

1.6x top-50 vs field

92.1% Live 2026 top-15

See the full record

#	Batter	Score	Edge	Roster	Pitcher · Game	Time	Tier	Hand	'26 HR	Form	Last HR	Last 5	Due	BvP	BP	Weather
1	Matt Olson	74	-9.3	●	Ryan Feltner (RHP) COL @ ATL · Truist Park	4:10p	🟡 B	?HH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	37	— Form · — SignalNO_DATA Batted Balls0 BBE Barrel%12.8% Avg EV92.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-08-26 OffRoki Sasaki Exit Velo110.4 mph Angle25.0° Distance400 ft StadiumTruist Park	○○●○○	0.7×	·	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.39 FIP4.87 IP1176.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Truist Park Neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 37 HR
2	Pete Alonso	73	-15.4	●	Jack Perkins (RHP) BAL @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	10:05p	🟡 B	?HH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	32	— Form · — SignalNO_DATA Batted Balls0 BBE Barrel%11.0% Avg EV94.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-08-26 OffMichael McGreevy Exit Velo102.8 mph Angle35.0° Distance369 ft StadiumBusch Stadium	○●●○○	0.7×	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.1% HR/91.52 FIP4.95 IP1209.0 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+0 Weather · Sutter Health Park Neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 32 HR
3	Pete Crow-Armstrong	69	-6.7	●	Andrew Abbott (LHP) CIN @ CHC · Wrigley Field	2:20p	🔵 C+	?HH vs LHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	33	— Form · — SignalNO_DATA Batted Balls0 BBE Barrel%9.6% Avg EV90.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	6d Last HR · 2026-08-23 OffMichael Rucker Exit Velo110.7 mph Angle22.0° Distance355 ft StadiumT-Mobile Park	●○○○○	1.3×	·	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.28 FIP4.72 IP1156.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Wrigley Field Neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 32 HR
4	Hunter Goodman	68	-8.3	●	Martín Pérez (LHP) COL @ ATL · Truist Park	4:10p	🔵 C+	?HH vs LHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	36	— Form · — SignalNO_DATA Batted Balls0 BBE Barrel%9.6% Avg EV90.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-08-26 OffOrlando Ribalta Exit Velo108.8 mph Angle25.0° Distance435 ft StadiumNationals Park	○○●●○	0.3×	·	ATL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.1% HR/91.15 FIP4.19 IP1143.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Truist Park Neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 35 HR
5	Ben Rice	71	-1.7	●	BOS Bullpen Proxy BOS @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	7:15p	🟡 B	?HH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	35	— Form · — SignalNO_DATA Batted Balls0 BBE Barrel%15.2% Avg EV92.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-08-26 OffPeter Lambert Exit Velo107.4 mph Angle23.0° Distance364 ft StadiumYankee Stadium	○○●○○	0.7×	·	BOS Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.4% HR/90.95 FIP3.69 IP1168.2 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+0 Weather · Yankee Stadium Neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 34 HR
6	Pro pick	67	-20.0	●	Ryan Johnson (RHP) PHI @ LAA · Angel Stadium	10:07p	🔵 C+	?HH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	— Form · — SignalNO_DATA Batted Balls0 BBE Barrel%13.2% Avg EV92.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	LAA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.0% HR/91.09 FIP4.29 IP1217.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Angel Stadium Neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 39 HR
7	Pro pick	66	-14.0	●	Bailey Ober (RHP) CWS @ MIN · Target Field	2:10p	🔵 C+	?HH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	— Form · — SignalNO_DATA Batted Balls0 BBE Barrel%14.1% Avg EV94.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	MIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.1% HR/91.18 FIP4.36 IP1135.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Target Field Neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 29 HR
8	Pro pick	65	·	●	Jack Perkins (RHP) BAL @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	10:05p	🔵 C+	?HH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	— Form · — SignalNO_DATA Batted Balls0 BBE Barrel%10.5% Avg EV91.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.1% HR/91.52 FIP4.95 IP1209.0 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+0 Weather · Sutter Health Park Neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 16 HR
9	Pro pick	64	-4.0	●	Jake Bennett (LHP) BOS @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	1:05p	🔵 C+	?HH vs LHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	— Form · — SignalNO_DATA Batted Balls0 BBE Barrel%10.0% Avg EV92.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	BOS Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.4% HR/90.95 FIP3.69 IP1168.2 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+0 Weather · Yankee Stadium Neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 34 HR
10	Pro pick	63	-12.0	●	Walker Buehler (RHP) SD @ TB · Tropicana Field	4:10p	🔵 C+	?HH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	— Form · — SignalNO_DATA Batted Balls0 BBE Barrel%10.1% Avg EV93.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.4% HR/91.07 FIP4.15 IP1147.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Tropicana Field Neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 35 HR
11	Pro pick	61	-7.5	●	Bailey Ober (RHP) CWS @ MIN · Target Field	2:10p	🔵 C+	?HH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	— Form · — SignalNO_DATA Batted Balls0 BBE Barrel%11.9% Avg EV90.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	MIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.1% HR/91.18 FIP4.36 IP1135.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Target Field Neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 29 HR
12	Pro pick	61	-8.5	●	Ryan Feltner (RHP) COL @ ATL · Truist Park	4:10p	🔵 C+	?HH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	— Form · — SignalNO_DATA Batted Balls0 BBE Barrel%11.7% Avg EV91.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.39 FIP4.87 IP1176.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Truist Park Neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR
13	Pro pick	60	·	●	Erick Fedde (RHP) CWS @ MIN · Target Field	2:10p	🔵 C+	?HH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	— Form · — SignalNO_DATA Batted Balls0 BBE Barrel%11.3% Avg EV90.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CWS Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/91.11 FIP4.24 IP1149.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Target Field Neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 25 HR
14	Pro pick	60	·	●	Jack Perkins (RHP) BAL @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	10:05p	🔵 C+	?HH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	— Form · — SignalNO_DATA Batted Balls0 BBE Barrel%10.5% Avg EV90.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.1% HR/91.52 FIP4.95 IP1209.0 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+0 Weather · Sutter Health Park Neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 17 HR
15	Pro pick	59	-7.1	●	Carlos Rodón (LHP) BOS @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	1:05p	🟠 C	?HH vs LHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	— Form · — SignalNO_DATA Batted Balls0 BBE Barrel%9.6% Avg EV89.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	NYY Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.7% HR/91.01 FIP3.76 IP1189.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Yankee Stadium Neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 26 HR
16	Pro pick	59	-1.6	●	Martín Pérez (LHP) COL @ ATL · Truist Park	4:10p	🟠 C	?HH vs LHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	— Form · — SignalNO_DATA Batted Balls0 BBE Barrel%7.6% Avg EV89.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.1% HR/91.15 FIP4.19 IP1143.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Truist Park Neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR
17	Pro pick (L)	59	-7.1	●	Keider Montero (RHP) LAD @ DET · Comerica Park	1:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	— Form · — SignalNO_DATA Batted Balls0 BBE Barrel%9.8% Avg EV90.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	DET Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.3% HR/91.05 FIP4.00 IP1204.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Comerica Park Neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 33 HR
18	Pro pick	59	·	●	Andrew Abbott (LHP) CIN @ CHC · Wrigley Field	2:20p	🟠 C	?HH vs LHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	— Form · — SignalNO_DATA Batted Balls0 BBE Barrel%9.3% Avg EV89.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.28 FIP4.72 IP1156.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Wrigley Field Neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 23 HR
19	Pro pick	58	·	●	Merrill Kelly (RHP) AZ @ SF · Oracle Park	4:05p	🟠 C	?HH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	— Form · — SignalNO_DATA Batted Balls0 BBE Barrel%11.5% Avg EV92.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	AZ Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.1% HR/91.15 FIP4.37 IP1162.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Oracle Park Neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 29 HR
20	Pro pick	57	-13.3	●	Keider Montero (RHP) LAD @ DET · Comerica Park	1:10p	🟠 C	?HH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	— Form · — SignalNO_DATA Batted Balls0 BBE Barrel%10.9% Avg EV93.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	DET Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.3% HR/91.05 FIP4.00 IP1204.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Comerica Park Neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 30 HR
21	Pro pick	57	-11.3	●	Ryan Johnson (RHP) PHI @ LAA · Angel Stadium	10:07p	🟠 C	?HH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	— Form · — SignalNO_DATA Batted Balls0 BBE Barrel%10.7% Avg EV90.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	LAA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.0% HR/91.09 FIP4.29 IP1217.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Angel Stadium Neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 27 HR
22	Pro pick	57	-7.1	●	Foster Griffin (LHP) KC @ CLE · Progressive Field	4:10p	🟠 C	?HH vs LHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	— Form · — SignalNO_DATA Batted Balls0 BBE Barrel%11.4% Avg EV93.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CLE Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.1% HR/91.15 FIP3.95 IP1159.1000000000001 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Progressive Field Neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR
23	Pro pick	57	-12.1	●	Bailey Ober (RHP) CWS @ MIN · Target Field	2:10p	🟠 C	?HH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	— Form · — SignalNO_DATA Batted Balls0 BBE Barrel%11.2% Avg EV89.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	MIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.1% HR/91.18 FIP4.36 IP1135.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Target Field Neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 26 HR
24	Pro pick	57	-6.1	●	Kevin Gausman (RHP) CIN @ CHC · Wrigley Field	2:20p	🟠 C	?HH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	— Form · — SignalNO_DATA Batted Balls0 BBE Barrel%9.5% Avg EV90.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CHC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB16.2% HR/91.55 FIP4.78 IP1024.4 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+0 Weather · Wrigley Field Neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 28 HR
25	Pro pick	56	-6.4	●	Andrew Abbott (LHP) CIN @ CHC · Wrigley Field	2:20p	🟠 C	?HH vs LHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	— Form · — SignalNO_DATA Batted Balls0 BBE Barrel%8.8% Avg EV88.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.28 FIP4.72 IP1156.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Wrigley Field Neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR
26	Pro pick	56	-5.1	●	Erick Fedde (RHP) CWS @ MIN · Target Field	2:10p	🟠 C	?HH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	— Form · — SignalNO_DATA Batted Balls0 BBE Barrel%9.8% Avg EV92.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CWS Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/91.11 FIP4.24 IP1149.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Target Field Neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR
27	Pro pick	56	-7.7	●	Jack Perkins (RHP) BAL @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	10:05p	🟠 C	?HH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	— Form · — SignalNO_DATA Batted Balls0 BBE Barrel%9.7% Avg EV87.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.1% HR/91.52 FIP4.95 IP1209.0 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+0 Weather · Sutter Health Park Neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 12 HR
28	Pro pick	56	-6.4	●	Kade Anderson (LHP) SEA @ TOR · Rogers Centre	3:07p	🟠 C	?HH vs LHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	— Form · — SignalNO_DATA Batted Balls0 BBE Barrel%10.9% Avg EV90.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SEA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.20 FIP3.95 IP1167.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rogers Centre Neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 25 HR
29	Pro pick	55	-8.2	●	Sandy Alcantara (RHP) MIA @ WSH · Nationals Park	4:05p	🟠 C	?HH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	— Form · — SignalNO_DATA Batted Balls0 BBE Barrel%7.4% Avg EV89.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	MIA Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.5% HR/91.03 FIP4.10 IP1192.1 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+0 Weather · Nationals Park Neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceblend · 1 HR
30	Pro pick	55	-6.7	●	Kevin Gausman (RHP) CIN @ CHC · Wrigley Field	2:20p	🟠 C	?HH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	— Form · — SignalNO_DATA Batted Balls0 BBE Barrel%9.7% Avg EV93.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CHC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB16.2% HR/91.55 FIP4.78 IP1024.4 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+0 Weather · Wrigley Field Neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR

🔥

Six home runs to freedom

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233 more waiting in the on-deck circle

Slate reference

Symbol Guide

Every icon, badge, and shorthand on the slate. Hover the table itself for quick tips; use this when you want the full translation.

Row Actions

👁: WatchTrack a batter without counting him as one of today's locked picks.
🔒: LockAdd this batter to today's tracked picks. Locked picks are the choices that count.
★: FavoriteYou starred this batter so he is easier to find on crowded slates.
▲ / ▼: Conviction editYour notes or tags adjusted the recommendation score up or down.

Batter and Pitcher Marks

R L S: Batter handR = right-handed, L = left-handed, S = switch-hitter. Pitchers show RHP or LHP.
: Platoon advantageGreen means the batter has an opposite-handed or switch-hitter look.
: Neutral handGold means the matchup is neutral, most commonly righty versus righty.
: Same-side cautionRed means lefty versus lefty, usually the toughest handedness setup for hitters.
◎: Pitcher flagTop HR-susceptible pitcher. Open the row and inspect the full matchup.

Lightning and Tags

⚡: Arsenal EdgePitch-type mismatch. The batter damages a pitch the opposing pitcher throws and allows damage on. A small number means multiple exploitable pitch types.
⚡²: Chip firingOne or more saved Chips matched this batter tonight. This only appears when the Chip system is active for the user.
2: Your tag countNumber of your saved tags on the batter. Hover the number on the slate to see the tag names.
💬 ↑ ↓: Community toolsComment link and limited daily up/down votes. These are hidden when the launch-minimal UI is active.

Score and Tier

82: ScoreComposite 0-100 HR grade for tonight. Higher means more of the model's power, pitcher, park, and context signals agree.
🥇 S: S tierElite, score 95+.
🔥 A+: A+ tierPremium, score 90-94.
🟢 A: A tierExcellent, score 80-89.
🟡 B: B tierAbove average, score 70-79.
🔵 C+: C+ tierValue, score 60-69.
🟠 C: C tierBelow average, score 50-59.
⚪ D: D tierBelow 50.

Colors

Color meaning changes by surface. Percentile bars use Baseball Savant-style heat, where red means elite. Spray and wind use green for favorable and red for unfavorable.

Surface	Green	Orange	Red
Percentile bars	Average range	Above average	Elite / great
Spray chart	Favorable HR zone or wind fit	Neutral / mixed	Unfavorable zone or wind fit
Slate weather	Carry help	Neutral or dome context	Carry drag
Edge and results	Model ahead or hit	Mostly aligned / watch	Market ahead or miss

Edge

Edge is model probability minus market consensus probability, shown in percentage points.

+3.1: Model aheadThe model is higher than the market, a price-positive signal.
+0.2: Mostly alignedThe model and market are close.
-3.1: Market aheadThe book is more optimistic than the model, so treat the price with caution.

Form

🔥 HOT: HotRecent contact quality is running above the batter's baseline.
↗ WARM: WarmRecent indicators are positive, but not screaming.
— NTRL: NeutralNo meaningful hot or cold form signal.
↘ COOL: CoolRecent contact quality is softening.
❄ COLD: ColdRecent indicators are materially below baseline.

Timing and History

2d: Last HRDays since the batter's last home run.
●○: Last 5Home run results across the last five games. Filled dot = homered; open dot = did not homer.
1.6×: DueHow far past the batter's usual HR cadence he is. 1.5× or higher is strongly overdue; use it as a tiebreaker.
2: BvPHome runs versus today's pitcher in the app's data. Useful color, usually a small sample.

Bullpen

🔥: VulnerableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 15%.
!: WatchOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 12%, but below the vulnerable threshold.
✓: StableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is below 12%.
—: No readNo reliable bullpen value is available.

Weather

→: Tail / carry helpWeather modifier is +3 or better. Conditions are helping fly-ball carry.
←: Head / carry dragWeather modifier is -3 or worse. Conditions are working against carry.
⌂: Dome or retractable roofRoof context keeps weather noise low.
+24: Spray/WindOptional batter-specific wind read, comparing wind direction to where this batter usually hits home runs.

Roster and Results

●: Roster activeActive in the roster feed. This is not a health guarantee.
?: QuestionableManual availability risk flag. The batter remains visible, but the recommendation score is discounted.
IL: Injured listThe roster feed reports an IL status. These batters should be excluded from active slate scoring.
PPD: PostponedOfficial MLB game status says postponed. Treat the row as unavailable tonight.
✓: HitPast-slate result: this batter homered.
×: MissPast-slate result: no home run.
?: PendingPast-slate result has not loaded yet.

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Full board + 6-pick cards — Pro

Season · Top 50 Catch Rate

last 30 days

16.4%

▼ -2.6 pts

avg daily catch rate · vs 17.7% prior 15d

Yesterday · 2026-08-28

26 HRs

26%

7 caught / 26 HRs

in top 50

#10 Heriberto Hernández

39.6%

🔵

#21 Michael Harris II

15.8%

🔵

#31 Sal Stewart

15.1%

🟠

#36 Colson Montgomery

15.4%

🟠

#37 Kody Clemens

13.7%

🟠

#43 Paul Goldschmidt

19.4%

🟠

#45 Jackson Merrill

15.0%

🟠

Missed

Carter Jensen Michael Busch Kazuma Okamoto Bryce Eldridge Brady House +14 more

7-Day Streaks

top 50 pool

🔥 Hot

Luis García Jr. ×3 Kyle Schwarber ×3 Daylen Lile ×2 Bryce Harper ×2 Hunter Goodman ×2

❄️ Cold

Shohei Ohtani 0 of 6d Junior Caminero 0 of 6d Munetaka Murakami 0 of 6d Miguel Vargas 0 of 6d Yordan Alvarez 0 of 6d

Model Health · HR catch rate by tier

season-to-date

A+

C+

S 0.0%

A+ 16.7%

A 19.3%

B 20.1%

C+ 17.0%

C 13.6%

D 8.9%

Best Day

32.0%

May 29

Today · 2026-08-29

The free preview stops at 5. Tonight's board doesn't.

Yesterday's results + tonight's board. Every morning.