16
HRs allowed
14.0%
HR rate (pool)
17.5%
Overall HR/FB
5.07
FIP
4.47
xFIP
+0.60
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
82
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 82th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
71.3%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 104.8 EV · 410 ft
max EV allowed 111.8
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 4 HR ↑
15D · 6 HR ↑
30D · 10 HR ↑
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Ryan Feltner.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Fastball Hard
26.2%
85.4
18.5°
5
+0.4
Slider Breaking
25.7%
83.6
18.4°
2
-0.7
Changeup Offspeed
15.3%
74.3
4.3°
1
-1.0
Sinker Hard
13.8%
85.5
10.8°
0
-0.3
Sweeper Breaking
10.9%
81.6
27.5°
2
+2.1
Curveball Breaking
8.1%
83.8
8.7°
1
+1.2
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups114
HRs allowed (pool)16
Pool HR rate14.0%
Pool HR/game day1.23
Top-15 matchups9
HRs to top-151
Overall HR/FB17.5% 82
HR/9—
FIP5.07 82
xFIP4.47
FIP − xFIP+0.60 77
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed71.3%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-16
Fastball
Hard · 26.2% usage
+0.4
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against85.4 mph
Avg launch angle18.5°
HRs allowed5
Pitches281
Slider
Breaking · 25.7% usage
-0.7
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.6 mph
Avg launch angle18.4°
HRs allowed2
Pitches275
Changeup
Offspeed · 15.3% usage
-1.0
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against74.3 mph
Avg launch angle4.3°
HRs allowed1
Pitches164
Sinker
Hard · 13.8% usage
-0.3
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against85.5 mph
Avg launch angle10.8°
HRs allowed0
Pitches148
Sweeper
Breaking · 10.9% usage
+2.1
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.6 mph
Avg launch angle27.5°
HRs allowed2
Pitches117
Curveball
Breaking · 8.1% usage
+1.2
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.8 mph
Avg launch angle8.7°
HRs allowed1
Pitches87
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Ryan Feltner.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
16 allowed · scored pool
avg 104.8 EV · 410 ft
10 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 13 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-07-09
8
3
108.5
2026-07-03
8
1
104.1
2026-06-28
9
2
105.2
2026-06-22
8
0
103.0
2026-06-16
9
1
111.0
2026-06-11
9
3
107.7
2026-06-05
9
0
111.8
2026-05-30
9
1
107.0
2026-04-23
9
1
108.5
2026-04-18
9
1
110.4
2026-04-11
9
1
108.7
2026-04-06
9
2
110.9
2026-03-31
9
0
111.0
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Ryan Feltner isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.