Today · 2026-08-27

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⭐ Today's Slate

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Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather

🥇 Golden Slate 3 top-15 batters face HR-prone pitchers

#1 Hunter Goodman vs Jake Irvin FIP 5.14 HR/FB 26.1% #11 Pro pick vs Jose Cabrera FIP 5.52 HR/FB 28.6% #13 Pro pick vs Spencer Arrighetti FIP 5.21 HR/FB 21.9%

📦 STACK Jake Irvin FIP 5.14 HR/FB 26.1% → #1 Hunter Goodman, #3 Mickey Moniak, #14 Pro pick

📦 STACK Hayden Wesneski FIP 3.69 HR/FB 16.7% → #2 Ben Rice, #12 Pro pick

📦 STACK Chris Sale FIP 2.3 HR/FB 11.1% → #6 Max Muncy, #7 Pro pick

2025 full-season backtest

2025 backtest: a top-15 pick went yard on 92.9% of slates · top-50 picks hit 1.6x the field

Sample window: 2025 full-season backtest · 182 slates · 2025-03-27 to 2025-09-28 Live 2026 is current through 2026-08-26. Past performance ≠ guarantee.

92.9% top-15 slates, 2025

1.6x top-50 vs field

92% Live 2026 top-15

See the full record

#	Batter	Score	Edge	Roster	Pitcher · Game	Time	Tier	Hand	'26 HR	Form	Last HR	Last 5	Due	BvP	BP	Weather
1	Hunter Goodman (R) ³	80	-7.6	●	Jake Irvin (RHP) COL @ WSH · Nationals Park	1:05p	🟢 A	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	36	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls8 BBE Barrel%13.5% Avg EV90.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-08-26 OffOrlando Ribalta Exit Velo108.8 mph Angle25.0° Distance435 ft StadiumNationals Park	○○○●●	0.0×	1	WSH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.4% HR/91.45 FIP4.87 IP1182.9 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+42 Weather · Nationals Park hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp86°F Wind7 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+42 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 35 HR Note86°F, wind 7 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
2	Mickey Moniak (L) ⁴	68	-8.7	●	Jake Irvin (RHP) COL @ WSH · Nationals Park	1:05p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	21	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%10.6% Avg EV89.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	5d Last HR · 2026-08-22 OffTanner Bibee Exit Velo105.2 mph Angle42.0° Distance407 ft StadiumCoors Field	●○○○○	1.0×	1	WSH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.4% HR/91.45 FIP4.87 IP1182.9 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+29 Weather · Nationals Park hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp86°F Wind7 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+29 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note86°F, wind 7 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
3	Ben Rice (L) ³	67	-11.7	●	Hayden Wesneski (RHP) HOU @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	7:05p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	35	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%10.1% Avg EV92.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-08-26 OffPeter Lambert Exit Velo107.4 mph Angle23.0° Distance364 ft StadiumYankee Stadium	○○○○●	0.0×	·	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.1% HR/91.35 FIP4.73 IP1189.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+1 Weather · Yankee Stadium warm air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp76°F Wind11 mph S Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+1 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 34 HR Note76°F, wind 11 mph S (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
4	Matt Olson (L) ³	64	-5.0	●	Yoshinobu Yamamoto (RHP) LAD @ ATL · Truist Park	7:15p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	37	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%10.0% Avg EV92.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-08-26 OffRoki Sasaki Exit Velo110.4 mph Angle25.0° Distance400 ft StadiumTruist Park	○○○○●	0.0×	1	LAD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.21 FIP4.08 IP1175.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-22 Weather · Truist Park warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp81°F Wind4 mph S Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-22 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 37 HR Note81°F, wind 4 mph S (in) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
5	Max Muncy (L) ²	63	·	●	Chris Sale (LHP) LAD @ ATL · Truist Park	7:15p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	7	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls48 BBE Barrel%8.7% Avg EV90.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	4d Last HR · 2026-08-23 OffSteven Okert Exit Velo101.1 mph Angle31.0° Distance409 ft StadiumDodger Stadium	○●●○○	0.7×	·	ATL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.2% HR/91.16 FIP4.21 IP1134.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-20 Weather · Truist Park warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp81°F Wind4 mph S Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-20 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 33 HR Note81°F, wind 4 mph S (in) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
6	Pro pick (L) ⁴	62	-5.6	●	Chris Sale (LHP) LAD @ ATL · Truist Park	7:15p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%9.6% Avg EV93.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.2% HR/91.16 FIP4.21 IP1134.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-19 Weather · Truist Park warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp81°F Wind4 mph S Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-19 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 30 HR Note81°F, wind 4 mph S (in) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
7	Pro pick (L) ⁴	61	·	●	Sean Manaea (LHP) MIL @ NYM · Citi Field	7:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls23 BBE Barrel%12.3% Avg EV92.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	NYM Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.9% HR/91.12 FIP4.14 IP1279.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+54 Weather · Citi Field warm air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp76°F Wind13 mph S Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+54 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 23 HR Note76°F, wind 13 mph S (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
8	Pro pick (R) ⁴	63	·	●	STL Bullpen Proxy BAL @ STL · Busch Stadium	2:15p	🔵 C+	RHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls39 BBE Barrel%13.9% Avg EV94.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	STL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/91.00 FIP4.12 IP1177.1000000000001 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-25 Weather · Busch Stadium hot air · steady crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp85°F Wind8 mph NNW Charactercross HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind-25 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 32 HR Note85°F, wind 8 mph NNW (cross) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
9	Pro pick (L) ⁴	59	-16.4	●	Gerrit Cole (RHP) HOU @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	7:05p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%11.7% Avg EV94.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	NYY Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.6% HR/91.00 FIP3.74 IP1182.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+4 Weather · Yankee Stadium warm air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp76°F Wind11 mph S Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+4 · Neutral Spray Sourceblend · 3 HR Note76°F, wind 11 mph S (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
10	Pro pick (L) ⁴	58	-9.9	●	Gabriel Hughes (RHP) COL @ WSH · Nationals Park	1:05p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%7.3% Avg EV89.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.39 FIP4.85 IP1165.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+33 Weather · Nationals Park hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp86°F Wind7 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+33 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceblend · 1 HR Note86°F, wind 7 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
11	Pro pick (L) ⁴	58	-7.2	●	Jose Cabrera (RHP) AZ @ SF · Oracle Park	9:45p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%8.8% Avg EV92.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	AZ Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.0% HR/91.15 FIP4.37 IP1155.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+40 Weather · Oracle Park warm air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp74°F Wind10 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+40 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 29 HR Note74°F, wind 10 mph SW (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
12	Pro pick (S) ⁴	56	-5.1	●	Jake Irvin (RHP) COL @ WSH · Nationals Park	1:05p	🟠 C	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%9.7% Avg EV87.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	WSH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.4% HR/91.45 FIP4.87 IP1182.9 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+30 Weather · Nationals Park hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp86°F Wind7 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+30 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 15 HR Note86°F, wind 7 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
13	Pro pick (L) ⁴	54	-13.4	●	Hayden Wesneski (RHP) HOU @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	7:05p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%8.3% Avg EV90.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.1% HR/91.35 FIP4.73 IP1189.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-5 Weather · Yankee Stadium warm air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp76°F Wind11 mph S Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-5 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 18 HR Note76°F, wind 11 mph S (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
14	Pro pick (L) ⁴	54	-9.5	●	Spencer Arrighetti (RHP) KC @ TOR · Rogers Centre	7:07p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls23 BBE Barrel%10.8% Avg EV93.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/91.00 FIP3.87 IP1116.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-17 Weather · Rogers Centre warm air · steady crosswind · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp75°F Wind8 mph WNW Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-17 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note75°F, wind 8 mph WNW (cross) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
15	Pro pick (L) ⁴	52	+2.4	●	Jake Irvin (RHP) COL @ WSH · Nationals Park	1:05p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls39 BBE Barrel%7.5% Avg EV85.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	WSH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.4% HR/91.45 FIP4.87 IP1182.9 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+28 Weather · Nationals Park hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp86°F Wind7 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+28 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceblend · 4 HR Note86°F, wind 7 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
16	Pro pick (R) ⁴	51	·	●	Trevor Rogers (LHP) BAL @ STL · Busch Stadium	2:15p	🟠 C	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls40 BBE Barrel%9.7% Avg EV92.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	BAL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.8% HR/91.09 FIP4.14 IP1177.3 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-34 Weather · Busch Stadium hot air · steady crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp85°F Wind8 mph NNW Charactercross HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind-34 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 27 HR Note85°F, wind 8 mph NNW (cross) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
17	Pro pick (R) ⁴	51	-7.7	●	Gerrit Cole (RHP) HOU @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	7:05p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%8.4% Avg EV89.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	NYY Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.6% HR/91.00 FIP3.74 IP1182.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+30 Weather · Yankee Stadium warm air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp76°F Wind11 mph S Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+30 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 23 HR Note76°F, wind 11 mph S (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
18	Pro pick (R) ⁴	51	-10.3	●	Sean Manaea (LHP) MIL @ NYM · Citi Field	7:10p	🟠 C	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%11.9% Avg EV91.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	NYM Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.9% HR/91.12 FIP4.14 IP1279.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+58 Weather · Citi Field warm air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp76°F Wind13 mph S Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+58 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 17 HR Note76°F, wind 13 mph S (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
19	Pro pick (R) ⁴	50	-9.5	●	Noah Cameron (LHP) KC @ TOR · Rogers Centre	7:07p	🟠 C	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%10.0% Avg EV90.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	KC Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.2% HR/91.29 FIP4.72 IP1126.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-22 Weather · Rogers Centre warm air · steady crosswind · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp75°F Wind8 mph WNW Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-22 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 25 HR Note75°F, wind 8 mph WNW (cross) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
20	Pro pick (L) ⁴	50	-4.1	●	Yoshinobu Yamamoto (RHP) LAD @ ATL · Truist Park	7:15p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%9.2% Avg EV91.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	LAD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.21 FIP4.08 IP1175.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-18 Weather · Truist Park warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp81°F Wind4 mph S Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-18 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note81°F, wind 4 mph S (in) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
21	Pro pick (R) ⁴	50	·	●	Hayden Wesneski (RHP) HOU @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	7:05p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls2 BBE Barrel%8.4% Avg EV86.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.1% HR/91.35 FIP4.73 IP1189.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+26 Weather · Yankee Stadium warm air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp76°F Wind11 mph S Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+26 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 16 HR Note76°F, wind 11 mph S (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
22	Pro pick (R) ⁴	49	-5.8	●	Gerrit Cole (RHP) HOU @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	7:05p	⚪ D	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls24 BBE Barrel%6.6% Avg EV88.4 mph Surprise BarrelYes Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	NYY Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.6% HR/91.00 FIP3.74 IP1182.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+28 Weather · Yankee Stadium warm air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp76°F Wind11 mph S Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+28 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 13 HR Note76°F, wind 11 mph S (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
23	Pro pick (R) ⁴	49	-4.3	●	Gerrit Cole (RHP) HOU @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	7:05p	⚪ D	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls21 BBE Barrel%9.5% Avg EV89.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	NYY Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.6% HR/91.00 FIP3.74 IP1182.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+33 Weather · Yankee Stadium warm air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp76°F Wind11 mph S Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+33 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 17 HR Note76°F, wind 11 mph S (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
24	Pro pick (R) ⁴	49	-4.3	●	Jake Irvin (RHP) COL @ WSH · Nationals Park	1:05p	⚪ D	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls19 BBE Barrel%8.6% Avg EV87.4 mph Surprise BarrelYes Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	WSH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.4% HR/91.45 FIP4.87 IP1182.9 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+41 Weather · Nationals Park hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp86°F Wind7 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+41 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 10 HR Note86°F, wind 7 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
25	Pro pick (L) ⁴	49	-6.9	●	Gabriel Hughes (RHP) COL @ WSH · Nationals Park	1:05p	⚪ D	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls39 BBE Barrel%6.7% Avg EV88.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.39 FIP4.85 IP1165.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+31 Weather · Nationals Park hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp86°F Wind7 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+31 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 17 HR Note86°F, wind 7 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
26	Pro pick (R) ⁴	52	·	●	STL Bullpen Proxy BAL @ STL · Busch Stadium	2:15p	🟠 C	RHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls23 BBE Barrel%12.4% Avg EV92.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	STL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/91.00 FIP4.12 IP1177.1000000000001 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-49 Weather · Busch Stadium hot air · steady crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp85°F Wind8 mph NNW Charactercross HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind-49 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 15 HR Note85°F, wind 8 mph NNW (cross) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
27	Pro pick (L) ⁴	48	+0.2	●	Sean Manaea (LHP) MIL @ NYM · Citi Field	7:10p	⚪ D	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls19 BBE Barrel%11.7% Avg EV92.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	NYM Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.9% HR/91.12 FIP4.14 IP1279.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+58 Weather · Citi Field warm air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp76°F Wind13 mph S Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+58 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 8 HR Note76°F, wind 13 mph S (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
28	Pro pick (L) ⁴	48	-9.4	●	Spencer Arrighetti (RHP) KC @ TOR · Rogers Centre	7:07p	⚪ D	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%9.2% Avg EV90.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/91.00 FIP3.87 IP1116.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-16 Weather · Rogers Centre warm air · steady crosswind · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp75°F Wind8 mph WNW Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-16 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 17 HR Note75°F, wind 8 mph WNW (cross) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
29	Pro pick (R) ⁴	48	-9.6	●	Gabriel Hughes (RHP) COL @ WSH · Nationals Park	1:05p	⚪ D	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%7.3% Avg EV90.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.39 FIP4.85 IP1165.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+42 Weather · Nationals Park hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp86°F Wind7 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+42 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 10 HR Note86°F, wind 7 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
30	Pro pick (L) ⁴	47	-4.8	●	Jake Irvin (RHP) COL @ WSH · Nationals Park	1:05p	⚪ D	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%7.0% Avg EV83.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	WSH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.4% HR/91.45 FIP4.87 IP1182.9 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+28 Weather · Nationals Park hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp86°F Wind7 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+28 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 13 HR Note86°F, wind 7 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)

🔥

Six home runs to freedom

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Slate reference

Symbol Guide

Every icon, badge, and shorthand on the slate. Hover the table itself for quick tips; use this when you want the full translation.

Row Actions

👁: WatchTrack a batter without counting him as one of today's locked picks.
🔒: LockAdd this batter to today's tracked picks. Locked picks are the choices that count.
★: FavoriteYou starred this batter so he is easier to find on crowded slates.
▲ / ▼: Conviction editYour notes or tags adjusted the recommendation score up or down.

Batter and Pitcher Marks

R L S: Batter handR = right-handed, L = left-handed, S = switch-hitter. Pitchers show RHP or LHP.
: Platoon advantageGreen means the batter has an opposite-handed or switch-hitter look.
: Neutral handGold means the matchup is neutral, most commonly righty versus righty.
: Same-side cautionRed means lefty versus lefty, usually the toughest handedness setup for hitters.
◎: Pitcher flagTop HR-susceptible pitcher. Open the row and inspect the full matchup.

Lightning and Tags

⚡: Arsenal EdgePitch-type mismatch. The batter damages a pitch the opposing pitcher throws and allows damage on. A small number means multiple exploitable pitch types.
⚡²: Chip firingOne or more saved Chips matched this batter tonight. This only appears when the Chip system is active for the user.
2: Your tag countNumber of your saved tags on the batter. Hover the number on the slate to see the tag names.
💬 ↑ ↓: Community toolsComment link and limited daily up/down votes. These are hidden when the launch-minimal UI is active.

Score and Tier

82: ScoreComposite 0-100 HR grade for tonight. Higher means more of the model's power, pitcher, park, and context signals agree.
🥇 S: S tierElite, score 95+.
🔥 A+: A+ tierPremium, score 90-94.
🟢 A: A tierExcellent, score 80-89.
🟡 B: B tierAbove average, score 70-79.
🔵 C+: C+ tierValue, score 60-69.
🟠 C: C tierBelow average, score 50-59.
⚪ D: D tierBelow 50.

Colors

Color meaning changes by surface. Percentile bars use Baseball Savant-style heat, where red means elite. Spray and wind use green for favorable and red for unfavorable.

Surface	Green	Orange	Red
Percentile bars	Average range	Above average	Elite / great
Spray chart	Favorable HR zone or wind fit	Neutral / mixed	Unfavorable zone or wind fit
Slate weather	Carry help	Neutral or dome context	Carry drag
Edge and results	Model ahead or hit	Mostly aligned / watch	Market ahead or miss

Edge

Edge is model probability minus market consensus probability, shown in percentage points.

+3.1: Model aheadThe model is higher than the market, a price-positive signal.
+0.2: Mostly alignedThe model and market are close.
-3.1: Market aheadThe book is more optimistic than the model, so treat the price with caution.

Form

🔥 HOT: HotRecent contact quality is running above the batter's baseline.
↗ WARM: WarmRecent indicators are positive, but not screaming.
— NTRL: NeutralNo meaningful hot or cold form signal.
↘ COOL: CoolRecent contact quality is softening.
❄ COLD: ColdRecent indicators are materially below baseline.

Timing and History

2d: Last HRDays since the batter's last home run.
●○: Last 5Home run results across the last five games. Filled dot = homered; open dot = did not homer.
1.6×: DueHow far past the batter's usual HR cadence he is. 1.5× or higher is strongly overdue; use it as a tiebreaker.
2: BvPHome runs versus today's pitcher in the app's data. Useful color, usually a small sample.

Bullpen

🔥: VulnerableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 15%.
!: WatchOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 12%, but below the vulnerable threshold.
✓: StableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is below 12%.
—: No readNo reliable bullpen value is available.

Weather

→: Tail / carry helpWeather modifier is +3 or better. Conditions are helping fly-ball carry.
←: Head / carry dragWeather modifier is -3 or worse. Conditions are working against carry.
⌂: Dome or retractable roofRoof context keeps weather noise low.
+24: Spray/WindOptional batter-specific wind read, comparing wind direction to where this batter usually hits home runs.

Roster and Results

●: Roster activeActive in the roster feed. This is not a health guarantee.
?: QuestionableManual availability risk flag. The batter remains visible, but the recommendation score is discounted.
IL: Injured listThe roster feed reports an IL status. These batters should be excluded from active slate scoring.
PPD: PostponedOfficial MLB game status says postponed. Treat the row as unavailable tonight.
✓: HitPast-slate result: this batter homered.
×: MissPast-slate result: no home run.
?: PendingPast-slate result has not loaded yet.

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Full board + 6-pick cards — Pro

Season · Top 50 Catch Rate

last 30 days

16.0%

▼ -0.6 pts

avg daily catch rate · vs 16.3% prior 15d

Yesterday · 2026-08-26

28 HRs

39%

11 caught / 28 HRs

in top 50

#1 Hunter Goodman

27.9%

🔵

#3 Matt Olson

21.3%

🔵

#4 Kyle Schwarber

33.0%

🔵

#9 Ben Rice

20.6%

🔵

#10 Andrés Chaparro

35.6%

🔵

#15 Luis García Jr.

29.8%

🔵

#19 Pete Alonso

22.9%

🟠

#24 Joc Pederson

18.0%

🟠

#27 Bryce Harper

17.6%

🟠

#28 Rafael Devers

19.1%

🟠

#34 Brooks Lee

24.8%

🟠

Missed

Lawrence Butler Tristan Peters Trevor Larnach Jonah Cox Cole Carrigg +12 more

7-Day Streaks

top 50 pool

🔥 Hot

Luis García Jr. ×4 Max Muncy ×4 Pete Alonso ×3 Kyle Schwarber ×3 Jake Burger ×2

❄️ Cold

Munetaka Murakami 0 of 7d Junior Caminero 0 of 7d Zack Gelof 0 of 6d Dominic Canzone 0 of 6d Yordan Alvarez 0 of 6d

Model Health · HR catch rate by tier

season-to-date

A+

C+

S 0.0%

A+ 16.7%

A 19.3%

B 20.2%

C+ 17.1%

C 13.5%

D 8.9%

Best Day

32.0%

May 29

Today · 2026-08-27

The free preview stops at 5. Tonight's board doesn't.

Yesterday's results + tonight's board. Every morning.