Today · 2026-08-26

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⭐ Today's Slate

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Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather

📦 STACK MacKenzie Gore FIP 3.76 HR/FB 9.1% → #2 Munetaka Murakami, #8 Pro pick

📦 STACK Matt Waldron FIP 4.94 HR/FB 12.5% → #4 Hunter Goodman, #11 Pro pick

📦 STACK AJ Smith-Shawver FIP 3.26 → #6 Max Muncy, #7 Pro pick

📦 STACK J.T. Ginn FIP 4.2 HR/FB 14.7% → #9 Pro pick, #15 Pro pick

2025 full-season backtest

2025 backtest: a top-15 pick went yard on 92.9% of slates · top-50 picks hit 1.6x the field

Sample window: 2025 full-season backtest · 182 slates · 2025-03-27 to 2025-09-28 Live 2026 is current through 2026-08-25. Past performance ≠ guarantee.

92.9% top-15 slates, 2025

1.6x top-50 vs field

91.9% Live 2026 top-15

See the full record

#	Batter	Score	Edge	Roster	Pitcher · Game	Time	Tier	Hand	'26 HR	Form	Last HR	Last 5	Due	BvP	BP	Weather
1	Hunter Goodman (R) ³	72	-9.0	●	Matt Waldron (RHP) COL @ WSH · Nationals Park	6:45p	🟡 B	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	35	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls5 BBE Barrel%10.5% Avg EV90.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-08-25 OffAndrew Alvarez Exit Velo109.5 mph Angle31.0° Distance432 ft StadiumNationals Park	○○○○●	0.0×	·	WSH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.3% HR/91.44 FIP4.85 IP1170.4 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+43 Weather · Nationals Park warm air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp80°F Wind8 mph SSE Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+43 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 33 HR Note80°F, wind 8 mph SSE (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
2	Matt Olson (L) ³	69	-6.7	●	Roki Sasaki (RHP) LAD @ ATL · Truist Park	7:15p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	36	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%12.2% Avg EV92.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	10d Last HR · 2026-08-16 OffBrandyn Garcia Exit Velo109.5 mph Angle24.0° Distance437 ft StadiumTruist Park	○○○○○	2.7×	·	LAD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.21 FIP4.08 IP1158.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-7 Weather · Truist Park hot air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp83°F Wind2 mph ENE Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-7 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 36 HR Note83°F, wind 2 mph ENE (cross) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
3	Munetaka Murakami (L) ⁴	69	-6.4	●	MacKenzie Gore (LHP) TEX @ CWS · Rate Field	7:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	29	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%13.4% Avg EV94.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	8d Last HR · 2026-08-18 OffKevin Gausman Exit Velo111.1 mph Angle39.0° Distance406 ft StadiumWrigley Field	○○○○○	2.3×	·	TEX Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.4% HR/91.22 FIP4.10 IP1131.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 29 HR NoteUnknown stadium
4	Kyle Schwarber (L) ²	67	-13.5	●	Bryan Woo (RHP) PHI @ SEA · T-Mobile Park	4:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	39	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%11.0% Avg EV92.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-08-23 OffRiley O'Brien Exit Velo108.5 mph Angle33.0° Distance459 ft StadiumCitizens Bank Park	○●●○○	0.5×	·	SEA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.20 FIP3.96 IP1151.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+17 Weather · T-Mobile Park warm air · light wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp74°F Wind6 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+17 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 38 HR Note74°F, wind 6 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
5	Max Muncy (L)	67	-6.9	●	AJ Smith-Shawver (RHP) LAD @ ATL · Truist Park	7:15p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	7	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls52 BBE Barrel%10.1% Avg EV90.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-08-23 OffSteven Okert Exit Velo101.1 mph Angle31.0° Distance409 ft StadiumDodger Stadium	○○●●○	0.3×	·	ATL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.4% HR/91.18 FIP4.21 IP1110.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-7 Weather · Truist Park hot air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp83°F Wind2 mph ENE Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-7 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 33 HR Note83°F, wind 2 mph ENE (cross) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
6	Pro pick (L) ⁴	66	-13.2	●	AJ Smith-Shawver (RHP) LAD @ ATL · Truist Park	7:15p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%11.1% Avg EV93.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.4% HR/91.18 FIP4.21 IP1110.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-8 Weather · Truist Park hot air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp83°F Wind2 mph ENE Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-8 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 30 HR Note83°F, wind 2 mph ENE (cross) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
7	Pro pick (L) ⁴	66	-7.4	●	Matt Waldron (RHP) COL @ WSH · Nationals Park	6:45p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%8.3% Avg EV89.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	WSH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.3% HR/91.44 FIP4.85 IP1170.4 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+6 Weather · Nationals Park warm air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp80°F Wind8 mph SSE Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+6 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note80°F, wind 8 mph SSE (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
8	Pro pick (R) ⁴	65	-8.9	●	MacKenzie Gore (LHP) TEX @ CWS · Rate Field	7:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%11.4% Avg EV90.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TEX Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.4% HR/91.22 FIP4.10 IP1131.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 29 HR NoteUnknown stadium
9	Pro pick (R) ⁴	64	-13.3	●	J.T. Ginn (RHP) MIN @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:05p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%9.5% Avg EV90.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.1% HR/91.52 FIP4.95 IP1191.0 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+57 Weather · Sutter Health Park hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp93°F Wind9 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+57 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 25 HR Note93°F, wind 9 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
10	Pro pick (L) ⁴	64	-10.0	●	Tanner Gordon (RHP) COL @ WSH · Nationals Park	6:45p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls22 BBE Barrel%9.9% Avg EV89.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.8% HR/91.40 FIP4.89 IP1149.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+17 Weather · Nationals Park warm air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp80°F Wind8 mph SSE Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+17 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceblend · 1 HR Note80°F, wind 8 mph SSE (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
11	Pro pick (L) ⁴	63	-8.7	●	Peter Lambert (RHP) HOU @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	7:05p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%10.1% Avg EV92.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.1% HR/91.34 FIP4.70 IP1168.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-1 Weather · Yankee Stadium warm air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp75°F Wind10 mph S Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-1 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 33 HR Note75°F, wind 10 mph S (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
12	Pro pick (L) ⁴	66	-13.6	●	NYY Bullpen Proxy HOU @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	7:05p	🔵 C+	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%17.3% Avg EV94.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	NYY Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.4% HR/90.99 FIP3.72 IP1165.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+2 Weather · Yankee Stadium warm air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp75°F Wind10 mph S Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+2 · Neutral Spray Sourceblend · 3 HR Note75°F, wind 10 mph S (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
13	Pro pick (L) ⁴	61	-4.9	●	Eduardo Rodriguez (LHP) CHC @ AZ · Chase Field	3:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls42 BBE Barrel%10.0% Avg EV90.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	AZ Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/91.16 FIP4.38 IP1137.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Chase Field hot air · light crosswind · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp114°F Wind2 mph NE Charactercross HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 32 HR Note114°F, wind 2 mph NE (cross) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
14	Pro pick (L) ⁴	61	-11.0	●	Randy Vásquez (RHP) PIT @ SD · Petco Park	4:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls12 BBE Barrel%13.2% Avg EV95.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.5% HR/91.08 FIP4.16 IP1128.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+44 Weather · Petco Park hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp92°F Wind10 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier7 Spray/Wind+44 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 16 HR Note92°F, wind 10 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +7 (first-pitch forecast)
15	Pro pick (L) ⁴	59	-9.9	●	J.T. Ginn (RHP) MIN @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:05p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%8.1% Avg EV92.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.1% HR/91.52 FIP4.95 IP1191.0 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+42 Weather · Sutter Health Park hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp93°F Wind9 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+42 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note93°F, wind 9 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
16	Pro pick (L) ⁴	58	-6.8	●	Robert Stock (RHP) MIL @ NYM · Citi Field	7:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%11.2% Avg EV92.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	NYM Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.2% HR/91.14 FIP4.17 IP1246.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+58 Weather · Citi Field warm air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp72°F Wind12 mph S Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+58 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 23 HR Note72°F, wind 12 mph S (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
17	Pro pick (R) ⁴	58	-5.8	●	Connor Prielipp (LHP) MIN @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:05p	🟠 C	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%8.1% Avg EV88.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	MIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.1% HR/91.18 FIP4.37 IP1118.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+57 Weather · Sutter Health Park hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp93°F Wind9 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+57 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 14 HR Note93°F, wind 9 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
18	Pro pick (R) ⁴	58	-7.4	●	Michael McGreevy (RHP) BAL @ STL · Busch Stadium	7:45p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls39 BBE Barrel%11.5% Avg EV94.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	STL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.9% HR/90.98 FIP4.10 IP1161.4 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-27 Weather · Busch Stadium hot air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp87°F Wind5 mph NNW Charactercross HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind-27 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 30 HR Note87°F, wind 5 mph NNW (cross) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
19	Pro pick (L) ⁴	57	-6.1	●	Roki Sasaki (RHP) LAD @ ATL · Truist Park	7:15p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%11.1% Avg EV91.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	LAD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.21 FIP4.08 IP1158.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-7 Weather · Truist Park hot air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp83°F Wind2 mph ENE Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-7 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note83°F, wind 2 mph ENE (cross) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
20	Pro pick (R) ⁴	56	-5.1	●	Ryan Gusto (RHP) BOS @ MIA · loanDepot Park	6:40p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%10.8% Avg EV89.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	MIA Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.4% HR/91.03 FIP4.07 IP1173.6 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-14 Weather · loanDepot Park hot air · steady wind in · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp84°F Wind9 mph SE Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-14 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 26 HR Note84°F, wind 9 mph SE (in) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
21	Pro pick (L) ⁴	56	-9.0	●	MacKenzie Gore (LHP) TEX @ CWS · Rate Field	7:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%10.4% Avg EV88.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TEX Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.4% HR/91.22 FIP4.10 IP1131.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 26 HR NoteUnknown stadium
22	Pro pick (L) ⁴	56	-2.5	●	Nick Lodolo (LHP) CIN @ SF · Oracle Park	3:45p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%9.7% Avg EV92.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.26 FIP4.70 IP1137.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+49 Weather · Oracle Park hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp82°F Wind7 mph WSW Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+49 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 27 HR Note82°F, wind 7 mph WSW (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
23	Pro pick (R) ⁴	56	-9.9	●	Troy Melton (RHP) TB @ DET · Comerica Park	1:10p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls43 BBE Barrel%9.1% Avg EV93.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	DET Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.4% HR/91.06 FIP4.02 IP1188.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-12 Weather · Comerica Park warm air · steady crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp75°F Wind10 mph SSW Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-12 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 35 HR Note75°F, wind 10 mph SSW (cross) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
24	Pro pick (L) ⁴	55	-11.0	●	Sean Burke (RHP) TEX @ CWS · Rate Field	7:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls18 BBE Barrel%9.1% Avg EV92.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CWS Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/91.09 FIP4.19 IP1135.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR NoteUnknown stadium
25	Pro pick (L) ⁴	55	-7.6	●	Bryan Woo (RHP) PHI @ SEA · T-Mobile Park	4:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%8.9% Avg EV90.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SEA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.20 FIP3.96 IP1151.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+19 Weather · T-Mobile Park warm air · light wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp74°F Wind6 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+19 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 26 HR Note74°F, wind 6 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
26	Pro pick (L) ⁴	54	-10.8	●	Peter Lambert (RHP) HOU @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	7:05p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%8.4% Avg EV90.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.1% HR/91.34 FIP4.70 IP1168.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-8 Weather · Yankee Stadium warm air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp75°F Wind10 mph S Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-8 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 18 HR Note75°F, wind 10 mph S (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
27	Pro pick (L) ⁴	54	-12.1	●	Randy Vásquez (RHP) PIT @ SD · Petco Park	4:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%10.9% Avg EV91.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.5% HR/91.08 FIP4.16 IP1128.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+47 Weather · Petco Park hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp92°F Wind10 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier7 Spray/Wind+47 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 27 HR Note92°F, wind 10 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +7 (first-pitch forecast)
28	Pro pick (L) ⁴	54	-3.0	●	Matthew Boyd (LHP) CHC @ AZ · Chase Field	3:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%10.6% Avg EV91.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CHC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB16.1% HR/91.54 FIP4.77 IP1016.1 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-3 Weather · Chase Field hot air · light crosswind · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp114°F Wind2 mph NE Charactercross HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind-3 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 18 HR Note114°F, wind 2 mph NE (cross) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
29	Pro pick (R) ⁴	54	-10.5	●	Sean Burke (RHP) TEX @ CWS · Rate Field	7:40p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls25 BBE Barrel%9.1% Avg EV90.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CWS Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/91.09 FIP4.19 IP1135.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR NoteUnknown stadium
30	Pro pick (L) ⁴	54	-6.9	●	Tanner Gordon (RHP) COL @ WSH · Nationals Park	6:45p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls40 BBE Barrel%9.0% Avg EV88.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.8% HR/91.40 FIP4.89 IP1149.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+12 Weather · Nationals Park warm air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp80°F Wind8 mph SSE Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+12 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 16 HR Note80°F, wind 8 mph SSE (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)

🔥

Six home runs to freedom

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Slate reference

Symbol Guide

Every icon, badge, and shorthand on the slate. Hover the table itself for quick tips; use this when you want the full translation.

Row Actions

👁: WatchTrack a batter without counting him as one of today's locked picks.
🔒: LockAdd this batter to today's tracked picks. Locked picks are the choices that count.
★: FavoriteYou starred this batter so he is easier to find on crowded slates.
▲ / ▼: Conviction editYour notes or tags adjusted the recommendation score up or down.

Batter and Pitcher Marks

R L S: Batter handR = right-handed, L = left-handed, S = switch-hitter. Pitchers show RHP or LHP.
: Platoon advantageGreen means the batter has an opposite-handed or switch-hitter look.
: Neutral handGold means the matchup is neutral, most commonly righty versus righty.
: Same-side cautionRed means lefty versus lefty, usually the toughest handedness setup for hitters.
◎: Pitcher flagTop HR-susceptible pitcher. Open the row and inspect the full matchup.

Lightning and Tags

⚡: Arsenal EdgePitch-type mismatch. The batter damages a pitch the opposing pitcher throws and allows damage on. A small number means multiple exploitable pitch types.
⚡²: Chip firingOne or more saved Chips matched this batter tonight. This only appears when the Chip system is active for the user.
2: Your tag countNumber of your saved tags on the batter. Hover the number on the slate to see the tag names.
💬 ↑ ↓: Community toolsComment link and limited daily up/down votes. These are hidden when the launch-minimal UI is active.

Score and Tier

82: ScoreComposite 0-100 HR grade for tonight. Higher means more of the model's power, pitcher, park, and context signals agree.
🥇 S: S tierElite, score 95+.
🔥 A+: A+ tierPremium, score 90-94.
🟢 A: A tierExcellent, score 80-89.
🟡 B: B tierAbove average, score 70-79.
🔵 C+: C+ tierValue, score 60-69.
🟠 C: C tierBelow average, score 50-59.
⚪ D: D tierBelow 50.

Colors

Color meaning changes by surface. Percentile bars use Baseball Savant-style heat, where red means elite. Spray and wind use green for favorable and red for unfavorable.

Surface	Green	Orange	Red
Percentile bars	Average range	Above average	Elite / great
Spray chart	Favorable HR zone or wind fit	Neutral / mixed	Unfavorable zone or wind fit
Slate weather	Carry help	Neutral or dome context	Carry drag
Edge and results	Model ahead or hit	Mostly aligned / watch	Market ahead or miss

Edge

Edge is model probability minus market consensus probability, shown in percentage points.

+3.1: Model aheadThe model is higher than the market, a price-positive signal.
+0.2: Mostly alignedThe model and market are close.
-3.1: Market aheadThe book is more optimistic than the model, so treat the price with caution.

Form

🔥 HOT: HotRecent contact quality is running above the batter's baseline.
↗ WARM: WarmRecent indicators are positive, but not screaming.
— NTRL: NeutralNo meaningful hot or cold form signal.
↘ COOL: CoolRecent contact quality is softening.
❄ COLD: ColdRecent indicators are materially below baseline.

Timing and History

2d: Last HRDays since the batter's last home run.
●○: Last 5Home run results across the last five games. Filled dot = homered; open dot = did not homer.
1.6×: DueHow far past the batter's usual HR cadence he is. 1.5× or higher is strongly overdue; use it as a tiebreaker.
2: BvPHome runs versus today's pitcher in the app's data. Useful color, usually a small sample.

Bullpen

🔥: VulnerableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 15%.
!: WatchOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 12%, but below the vulnerable threshold.
✓: StableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is below 12%.
—: No readNo reliable bullpen value is available.

Weather

→: Tail / carry helpWeather modifier is +3 or better. Conditions are helping fly-ball carry.
←: Head / carry dragWeather modifier is -3 or worse. Conditions are working against carry.
⌂: Dome or retractable roofRoof context keeps weather noise low.
+24: Spray/WindOptional batter-specific wind read, comparing wind direction to where this batter usually hits home runs.

Roster and Results

●: Roster activeActive in the roster feed. This is not a health guarantee.
?: QuestionableManual availability risk flag. The batter remains visible, but the recommendation score is discounted.
IL: Injured listThe roster feed reports an IL status. These batters should be excluded from active slate scoring.
PPD: PostponedOfficial MLB game status says postponed. Treat the row as unavailable tonight.
✓: HitPast-slate result: this batter homered.
×: MissPast-slate result: no home run.
?: PendingPast-slate result has not loaded yet.

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Full board + 6-pick cards — Pro

Season · Top 50 Catch Rate

last 30 days

15.3%

▲ +0.3 pts

avg daily catch rate · vs 15.1% prior 15d

Yesterday · 2026-08-25

27 HRs

33%

9 caught / 27 HRs

in top 50

#10 Hunter Goodman

23.8%

🔵

#12 Luis García Jr.

23.4%

🔵

#15 Oneil Cruz

27.6%

🟠

#21 Pete Alonso

19.8%

🟠

#24 Jake Burger

25.4%

🟠

#33 Cal Raleigh

16.3%

🟠

#35 Rafael Devers

25.4%

🟠

#38 Justin Foscue

17.6%

🟠

#48 Christian Encarnacion-Strand

25.9%

🟠

Missed

Ian Happ Heriberto Hernández Jeremy Peña Sal Stewart Tristan Peters +13 more

7-Day Streaks

top 50 pool

🔥 Hot

Max Muncy ×6 Jordan Walker ×3 Luis García Jr. ×3 Pete Alonso ×3 Jake Burger ×2

❄️ Cold

Munetaka Murakami 0 of 7d Junior Caminero 0 of 7d Byron Buxton 0 of 6d Dominic Canzone 0 of 6d Matt Olson 0 of 6d

Model Health · HR catch rate by tier

season-to-date

A+

C+

S 0.0%

A+ 16.7%

A 19.3%

B 20.2%

C+ 16.9%

C 13.5%

D 9.0%

Best Day

32.0%

May 29

Today · 2026-08-26

The free preview stops at 5. Tonight's board doesn't.

Yesterday's results + tonight's board. Every morning.