Today · 2026-08-25

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⭐ Today's Slate

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Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather

🔥 High Conviction 2 top-15 batters face HR-prone pitchers

#13 Pro pick vs Jackson Jobe FIP 5.15 HR/FB 20.0% #14 Pro pick vs Aaron Nola FIP 5.02 HR/FB 34.2%

📦 STACK Bryce Elder FIP 4.65 HR/FB 17.1% → #1 Max Muncy, #5 Shohei Ohtani

📦 STACK Jacob deGrom FIP 3.17 HR/FB 19.0% → #3 Munetaka Murakami, #8 Pro pick

2025 full-season backtest

2025 backtest: a top-15 pick went yard on 92.9% of slates · top-50 picks hit 1.6x the field

Sample window: 2025 full-season backtest · 182 slates · 2025-03-27 to 2025-09-28 Live 2026 is current through 2026-08-24. Past performance ≠ guarantee.

92.9% top-15 slates, 2025

1.6x top-50 vs field

91.9% Live 2026 top-15

See the full record

#	Batter	Score	Edge	Roster	Pitcher · Game	Time	Tier	Hand	'26 HR	Form	Last HR	Last 5	Due	BvP	BP	Weather
1	Max Muncy (L) ⁴	70	-7.2	●	Bryce Elder (RHP) LAD @ ATL · Truist Park	7:15p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	7	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls53 BBE Barrel%9.5% Avg EV90.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-08-23 OffSteven Okert Exit Velo101.1 mph Angle31.0° Distance409 ft StadiumDodger Stadium	●○○●●	0.0×	1	ATL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.4% HR/91.18 FIP4.21 IP1110.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+36 Weather · Truist Park hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp84°F Wind8 mph NW Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+36 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 33 HR Note84°F, wind 8 mph NW (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
2	Ben Rice (L)	73	-7.9	●	HOU Bullpen Proxy HOU @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	7:05p	🟡 B	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	34	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%14.9% Avg EV92.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	6d Last HR · 2026-08-19 OffChris Bassitt Exit Velo110.2 mph Angle33.0° Distance447 ft StadiumCamden Yards	●○○○○	1.3×	·	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.1% HR/91.34 FIP4.70 IP1168.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+30 Weather · Yankee Stadium warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp73°F Wind7 mph NW Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+30 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 33 HR Note73°F, wind 7 mph NW (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
3	Munetaka Murakami (L) ²	69	-6.7	●	Jacob deGrom (RHP) TEX @ CWS · Rate Field	7:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	29	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%13.3% Avg EV94.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	7d Last HR · 2026-08-18 OffKevin Gausman Exit Velo111.1 mph Angle39.0° Distance406 ft StadiumWrigley Field	○○○○○	2.0×	·	TEX Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.4% HR/91.22 FIP4.11 IP1122.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 29 HR NoteUnknown stadium
4	Kyle Schwarber (L) ⁶	69	-13.3	●	George Kirby (RHP) PHI @ SEA · T-Mobile Park	9:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	39	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%11.0% Avg EV92.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-08-23 OffRiley O'Brien Exit Velo108.5 mph Angle33.0° Distance459 ft StadiumCitizens Bank Park	○○●●○	0.2×	·	SEA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.20 FIP3.95 IP1145.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+13 Weather · T-Mobile Park warm air · steady wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp80°F Wind8 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+13 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 38 HR Note80°F, wind 8 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
5	Shohei Ohtani (L) ⁴	68	-14.6	●	Bryce Elder (RHP) LAD @ ATL · Truist Park	7:15p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	30	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%10.5% Avg EV93.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	7d Last HR · 2026-08-18 OffRyan Feltner Exit Velo105.6 mph Angle33.0° Distance448 ft StadiumCoors Field	●○○○○	1.0×	1	ATL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.4% HR/91.18 FIP4.21 IP1110.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+36 Weather · Truist Park hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp84°F Wind8 mph NW Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+36 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 30 HR Note84°F, wind 8 mph NW (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
6	Pro pick (L) ²	66	-7.7	●	Tyler Glasnow (RHP) LAD @ ATL · Truist Park	7:15p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%11.2% Avg EV92.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	LAD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.21 FIP4.08 IP1158.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+36 Weather · Truist Park hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp84°F Wind8 mph NW Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+36 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 36 HR Note84°F, wind 8 mph NW (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
7	Pro pick (R) ²	64	-5.2	●	Jacob deGrom (RHP) TEX @ CWS · Rate Field	7:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls39 BBE Barrel%11.4% Avg EV90.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TEX Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.4% HR/91.22 FIP4.11 IP1122.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 29 HR NoteUnknown stadium
8	Pro pick (R) ²	64	-14.9	●	Gage Jump (LHP) MIN @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%10.2% Avg EV90.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.2% HR/91.53 FIP4.97 IP1171.4 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+48 Weather · Sutter Health Park hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp90°F Wind9 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+48 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 25 HR Note90°F, wind 9 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
9	Pro pick (L) ²	63	-8.2	●	Brandon Pfaadt (RHP) CHC @ AZ · Chase Field	9:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls43 BBE Barrel%9.4% Avg EV90.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	AZ Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.1% HR/91.16 FIP4.36 IP1129.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+8 Weather · Chase Field hot air · steady crosswind · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp108°F Wind8 mph WNW Charactercross HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+8 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 32 HR Note108°F, wind 8 mph WNW (cross) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
10	Pro pick (R) ²	62	-9.0	●	Jackson Jobe (RHP) TB @ DET · Comerica Park	6:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls41 BBE Barrel%11.3% Avg EV92.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	DET Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.4% HR/91.06 FIP4.01 IP1175.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-22 Weather · Comerica Park warm air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp76°F Wind8 mph S Characterin HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind-22 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 35 HR Note76°F, wind 8 mph S (in) — modifier: -1 (first-pitch forecast)
11	Pro pick (L) ²	62	-0.7	●	Andrew Alvarez (LHP) COL @ WSH · Nationals Park	6:45p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%7.7% Avg EV89.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	WSH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.3% HR/91.43 FIP4.84 IP1163.4 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-20 Weather · Nationals Park warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp78°F Wind6 mph N Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-20 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note78°F, wind 6 mph N (in) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
12	Pro pick (L) ²	65	-3.7	●	COL Bullpen Proxy COL @ WSH · Nationals Park	6:45p	🔵 C+	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls24 BBE Barrel%10.2% Avg EV89.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.8% HR/91.41 FIP4.89 IP1143.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-20 Weather · Nationals Park warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp78°F Wind6 mph N Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-20 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceblend · 1 HR Note78°F, wind 6 mph N (in) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
13	Pro pick (L) ²	61	-18.1	●	Will Warren (RHP) HOU @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	7:05p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%11.7% Avg EV94.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	NYY Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.5% HR/90.99 FIP3.72 IP1163.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+28 Weather · Yankee Stadium warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp73°F Wind7 mph NW Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+28 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceblend · 3 HR Note73°F, wind 7 mph NW (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
14	Pro pick (L) ²	60	·	●	Anthony Kay (LHP) TEX @ CWS · Rate Field	7:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls17 BBE Barrel%9.4% Avg EV92.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CWS Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.1% HR/91.09 FIP4.19 IP1109.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR NoteUnknown stadium
15	Pro pick (R) ²	59	-3.5	●	Aaron Nola (RHP) PHI @ SEA · T-Mobile Park	9:40p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%8.5% Avg EV90.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	PHI Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.4% HR/91.20 FIP3.80 IP1129.1 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+18 Weather · T-Mobile Park warm air · steady wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp80°F Wind8 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+18 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 20 HR Note80°F, wind 8 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
16	Pro pick (L) ²	59	-8.1	●	Michael King (RHP) PIT @ SD · Petco Park	9:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls10 BBE Barrel%12.2% Avg EV96.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.6% HR/91.09 FIP4.18 IP1121.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+14 Weather · Petco Park hot air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp83°F Wind5 mph WSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+14 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 16 HR Note83°F, wind 5 mph WSW (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
17	Pro pick (L) ²	59	-6.5	●	Gage Jump (LHP) MIN @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%8.7% Avg EV92.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.2% HR/91.53 FIP4.97 IP1171.4 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+34 Weather · Sutter Health Park hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp90°F Wind9 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+34 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note90°F, wind 9 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
18	Pro pick (L) ²	59	-6.5	●	Aaron Nola (RHP) PHI @ SEA · T-Mobile Park	9:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%10.7% Avg EV91.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	PHI Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.4% HR/91.20 FIP3.80 IP1129.1 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+15 Weather · T-Mobile Park warm air · steady wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp80°F Wind8 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+15 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 19 HR Note80°F, wind 8 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
19	Pro pick (R) ²	58	-7.2	●	Taj Bradley (RHP) MIN @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%8.5% Avg EV88.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	MIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.1% HR/91.18 FIP4.38 IP1110.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+48 Weather · Sutter Health Park hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp90°F Wind9 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+48 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 14 HR Note90°F, wind 9 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
20	Pro pick (L) ²	57	-4.8	●	Zac Thornton (LHP) MIL @ NYM · Citi Field	7:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%11.3% Avg EV92.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	NYM Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.14 FIP4.16 IP1245.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-15 Weather · Citi Field warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp72°F Wind7 mph NW Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-15 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 23 HR Note72°F, wind 7 mph NW (cross) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
21	Pro pick (L) ²	57	-10.1	●	Max Scherzer (RHP) KC @ TOR · Rogers Centre	7:07p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%11.4% Avg EV93.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.5% HR/91.02 FIP3.90 IP1092.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-9 Weather · Rogers Centre mild air · light crosswind · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp71°F Wind3 mph WNW Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-9 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note71°F, wind 3 mph WNW (cross) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
22	Pro pick (R) ²	60	-6.8	●	STL Bullpen Proxy BAL @ STL · Busch Stadium	7:45p	🔵 C+	RHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%14.0% Avg EV94.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	STL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.9% HR/90.98 FIP4.10 IP1161.4 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-38 Weather · Busch Stadium warm air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp81°F Wind9 mph E Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-38 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 30 HR Note81°F, wind 9 mph E (in) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
23	Pro pick (R) ²	56	-6.4	●	Anthony Kay (LHP) TEX @ CWS · Rate Field	7:40p	🟠 C	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls24 BBE Barrel%9.3% Avg EV89.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CWS Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.1% HR/91.09 FIP4.19 IP1109.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR NoteUnknown stadium
24	Pro pick (L) ²	56	-6.4	●	George Kirby (RHP) PHI @ SEA · T-Mobile Park	9:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%8.8% Avg EV90.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SEA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.20 FIP3.95 IP1145.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+18 Weather · T-Mobile Park warm air · steady wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp80°F Wind8 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+18 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 26 HR Note80°F, wind 8 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
25	Pro pick (L) ²	56	-6.4	●	Anthony Kay (LHP) TEX @ CWS · Rate Field	7:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%11.0% Avg EV91.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CWS Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.1% HR/91.09 FIP4.19 IP1109.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 13 HR NoteUnknown stadium
26	Pro pick (L) ²	56	-10.8	●	Brady Singer (RHP) CIN @ SF · Oracle Park	9:45p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%9.8% Avg EV92.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.4% HR/91.26 FIP4.70 IP1129.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+35 Weather · Oracle Park warm air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp75°F Wind8 mph WSW Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+35 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 26 HR Note75°F, wind 8 mph WSW (out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
27	Pro pick (L) ²	59	-10.7	●	HOU Bullpen Proxy HOU @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	7:05p	🟠 C	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%9.8% Avg EV90.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.1% HR/91.34 FIP4.70 IP1168.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+34 Weather · Yankee Stadium warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp73°F Wind7 mph NW Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+34 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 18 HR Note73°F, wind 7 mph NW (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
28	Pro pick (R) ²	59	-3.5	●	MIA Bullpen Proxy BOS @ MIA · loanDepot Park	6:40p	🟠 C	RHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%14.2% Avg EV89.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	MIA Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.5% HR/91.04 FIP4.08 IP1164.6 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-34 Weather · loanDepot Park hot air · steady wind in · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp87°F Wind12 mph ESE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-34 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 26 HR Note87°F, wind 12 mph ESE (in) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
29	Pro pick (L) ²	55	-8.2	●	Jacob deGrom (RHP) TEX @ CWS · Rate Field	7:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%10.4% Avg EV88.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TEX Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.4% HR/91.22 FIP4.11 IP1122.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 26 HR NoteUnknown stadium
30	Pro pick (R) ²	54	-7.9	●	Will Warren (RHP) HOU @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	7:05p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%8.5% Avg EV89.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	NYY Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.5% HR/90.99 FIP3.72 IP1163.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+6 Weather · Yankee Stadium warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp73°F Wind7 mph NW Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+6 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 23 HR Note73°F, wind 7 mph NW (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)

🔥

Six home runs to freedom

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Slate reference

Symbol Guide

Every icon, badge, and shorthand on the slate. Hover the table itself for quick tips; use this when you want the full translation.

Row Actions

👁: WatchTrack a batter without counting him as one of today's locked picks.
🔒: LockAdd this batter to today's tracked picks. Locked picks are the choices that count.
★: FavoriteYou starred this batter so he is easier to find on crowded slates.
▲ / ▼: Conviction editYour notes or tags adjusted the recommendation score up or down.

Batter and Pitcher Marks

R L S: Batter handR = right-handed, L = left-handed, S = switch-hitter. Pitchers show RHP or LHP.
: Platoon advantageGreen means the batter has an opposite-handed or switch-hitter look.
: Neutral handGold means the matchup is neutral, most commonly righty versus righty.
: Same-side cautionRed means lefty versus lefty, usually the toughest handedness setup for hitters.
◎: Pitcher flagTop HR-susceptible pitcher. Open the row and inspect the full matchup.

Lightning and Tags

⚡: Arsenal EdgePitch-type mismatch. The batter damages a pitch the opposing pitcher throws and allows damage on. A small number means multiple exploitable pitch types.
⚡²: Chip firingOne or more saved Chips matched this batter tonight. This only appears when the Chip system is active for the user.
2: Your tag countNumber of your saved tags on the batter. Hover the number on the slate to see the tag names.
💬 ↑ ↓: Community toolsComment link and limited daily up/down votes. These are hidden when the launch-minimal UI is active.

Score and Tier

82: ScoreComposite 0-100 HR grade for tonight. Higher means more of the model's power, pitcher, park, and context signals agree.
🥇 S: S tierElite, score 95+.
🔥 A+: A+ tierPremium, score 90-94.
🟢 A: A tierExcellent, score 80-89.
🟡 B: B tierAbove average, score 70-79.
🔵 C+: C+ tierValue, score 60-69.
🟠 C: C tierBelow average, score 50-59.
⚪ D: D tierBelow 50.

Colors

Color meaning changes by surface. Percentile bars use Baseball Savant-style heat, where red means elite. Spray and wind use green for favorable and red for unfavorable.

Surface	Green	Orange	Red
Percentile bars	Average range	Above average	Elite / great
Spray chart	Favorable HR zone or wind fit	Neutral / mixed	Unfavorable zone or wind fit
Slate weather	Carry help	Neutral or dome context	Carry drag
Edge and results	Model ahead or hit	Mostly aligned / watch	Market ahead or miss

Edge

Edge is model probability minus market consensus probability, shown in percentage points.

+3.1: Model aheadThe model is higher than the market, a price-positive signal.
+0.2: Mostly alignedThe model and market are close.
-3.1: Market aheadThe book is more optimistic than the model, so treat the price with caution.

Form

🔥 HOT: HotRecent contact quality is running above the batter's baseline.
↗ WARM: WarmRecent indicators are positive, but not screaming.
— NTRL: NeutralNo meaningful hot or cold form signal.
↘ COOL: CoolRecent contact quality is softening.
❄ COLD: ColdRecent indicators are materially below baseline.

Timing and History

2d: Last HRDays since the batter's last home run.
●○: Last 5Home run results across the last five games. Filled dot = homered; open dot = did not homer.
1.6×: DueHow far past the batter's usual HR cadence he is. 1.5× or higher is strongly overdue; use it as a tiebreaker.
2: BvPHome runs versus today's pitcher in the app's data. Useful color, usually a small sample.

Bullpen

🔥: VulnerableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 15%.
!: WatchOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 12%, but below the vulnerable threshold.
✓: StableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is below 12%.
—: No readNo reliable bullpen value is available.

Weather

→: Tail / carry helpWeather modifier is +3 or better. Conditions are helping fly-ball carry.
←: Head / carry dragWeather modifier is -3 or worse. Conditions are working against carry.
⌂: Dome or retractable roofRoof context keeps weather noise low.
+24: Spray/WindOptional batter-specific wind read, comparing wind direction to where this batter usually hits home runs.

Roster and Results

●: Roster activeActive in the roster feed. This is not a health guarantee.
?: QuestionableManual availability risk flag. The batter remains visible, but the recommendation score is discounted.
IL: Injured listThe roster feed reports an IL status. These batters should be excluded from active slate scoring.
PPD: PostponedOfficial MLB game status says postponed. Treat the row as unavailable tonight.
✓: HitPast-slate result: this batter homered.
×: MissPast-slate result: no home run.
?: PendingPast-slate result has not loaded yet.

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Full board + 6-pick cards — Pro

Season · Top 50 Catch Rate

last 30 days

15.6%

▼ -2.6 pts

avg daily catch rate · vs 16.9% prior 15d

Yesterday · 2026-08-24

13 HRs

30%

4 caught / 13 HRs

in top 50

#25 Jake Burger

25.6%

🟠

#29 Daylen Lile

11.5%

🟠

#37 Wyatt Langford

18.1%

⚪

#47 Tristan Peters

17.7%

⚪

Missed

Rafael Devers Cal Raleigh Willi Castro Julio Rodríguez Ezequiel Tovar +4 more

7-Day Streaks

top 50 pool

🔥 Hot

Max Muncy ×6 Jordan Walker ×3 Pete Crow-Armstrong ×3 Ian Happ ×2 Luis García Jr. ×2

❄️ Cold

Junior Caminero 0 of 7d Matt Olson 0 of 6d Zack Gelof 0 of 6d Seiya Suzuki 0 of 6d Alec Burleson 0 of 5d

Model Health · HR catch rate by tier

season-to-date

A+

C+

S 0.0%

A+ 16.7%

A 19.3%

B 20.2%

C+ 16.9%

C 13.4%

D 8.9%

Best Day

32.0%

May 29

Today · 2026-08-25

The free preview stops at 5. Tonight's board doesn't.

Yesterday's results + tonight's board. Every morning.