COL Bullpen Proxy
COL
4
HRs Allowed
23.5%
HR Rate (Pool)
13.7%
Overall HR/FB
4.8
FIP
4.8
xFIP
+0.00
FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot
?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards.
Pool + today context
2.0
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
13.7%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
62th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
60.0%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
4.8
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
74th pctile
4.8
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
+0.00
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
50th pctile
23.5%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
17
Pool Matchups
4
HRs Allowed (Pool)
5
Top-15 Matchups
2
HRs to Top-15
23.5%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
| Window | Matchups | Game Days | HR | HR Rate | HR/Game | Avg Max EV | Avg HR EV | Avg HR LA | Avg HR Dist | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 7 | 17 | 2 | 4 | 23.5% | 2.0 | 95.5mph | 103.6mph | 36.2° | 417ft | Flat +0.0pp |
| Last 15 | 17 | 2 | 4 | 23.5% | 2.0 | 95.5mph | 103.6mph | 36.2° | 417ft | Flat +0.0pp |
| Last 30 | 17 | 2 | 4 | 23.5% | 2.0 | 95.5mph | 103.6mph | 36.2° | 417ft | Flat +0.0pp |
Batted-Ball Damage
95.5
Avg Max EV
108.9
Max EV Allowed
9
Hard-Hit Proxy · 60.0%
0
Barrel Flags · 0.0%
103.6
Avg HR EV
36.2°
Avg HR Launch
417
Avg HR Distance
| Date | Batter | Max EV | HR EV | HR LA | HR Dist | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-17 | Matt Shaw | 102.4mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Michael Busch | 102.1mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Dansby Swanson | 102.0mph | 102.0mph | 46° | 384ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-17 | Pete Crow-Armstrong | 99.2mph | 99.2mph | 41° | 364ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-12 | Nick Kurtz | 108.9mph | 108.9mph | 31° | 471ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-12 | Zack Gelof | 104.7mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Shea Langeliers | 104.2mph | 104.2mph | 27° | 450ft | Yes |
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
HRs Allowed
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Stadium | EV | Angle | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-17 | Pete Crow-Armstrong | #25 | 67 | Wrigley Field | 99.2mph | 41.0° | 364ft |
| 2026-06-17 | Dansby Swanson | #180 | 33 | Wrigley Field | 102.0mph | 46.0° | 384ft |
| 2026-06-12 | Nick Kurtz | #1 | 92 | Las Vegas Ballpark | 108.9mph | 31.0° | 471ft |
| 2026-06-12 | Shea Langeliers | #3 | 83 | Las Vegas Ballpark | 104.2mph | 27.0° | 450ft |
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
0.0%
HardHit%
60.0%
All Scored Matchups
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Tier | Form | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-17 | Nico Hoerner | #216 | 23 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Carson Kelly | #182 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Dansby Swanson | #180 | 33 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | 💥 |
| 2026-06-17 | Alex Bregman | #179 | 33 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Matt Shaw | #127 | 44 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Michael Busch | #70 | 54 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Seiya Suzuki | #38 | 62 | 🔵 C+ | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-06-17 | Pete Crow-Armstrong | #25 | 67 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-17 | Ian Happ | #14 | 72 | 🟡 B | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Jeff Mcneil | #208 | 25 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Lawrence Butler | #126 | 43 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Carlos Cortes | #75 | 52 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Zack Gelof | #45 | 59 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Tyler Soderstrom | #11 | 73 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Brent Rooker | #6 | 79 | 🟡 B | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-12 | Shea Langeliers | #3 | 83 | 🟢 A | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-12 | Nick Kurtz | #1 | 92 | 🔥 A+ | 📈 WARM | 💥 |