2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Rafael Devers 7 HRs · 2 Cal Raleigh 5 HRs · 3 Alex Bregman 5 HRs · 4 Tristan Peters 5 HRs · 5 Daylen Lile 4 HRs · 6 Heriberto Hernández 4 HRs · 7 Luis García Jr. 4 HRs · 8 Brooks Lee 4 HRs · 9 Carter Jensen 4 HRs · 10 Sal Stewart 4 HRs · 11 Randy Arozarena 4 HRs · 12 Pete Crow-Armstrong 4 HRs 1 Rafael Devers 7 HRs · 2 Cal Raleigh 5 HRs · 3 Alex Bregman 5 HRs · 4 Tristan Peters 5 HRs · 5 Daylen Lile 4 HRs · 6 Heriberto Hernández 4 HRs · 7 Luis García Jr. 4 HRs · 8 Brooks Lee 4 HRs · 9 Carter Jensen 4 HRs · 10 Sal Stewart 4 HRs · 11 Randy Arozarena 4 HRs · 12 Pete Crow-Armstrong 4 HRs
HB

HOU Bullpen Proxy

HOU
44 matchups scored · 5 game days
7
HRs allowed
15.9%
HR rate (pool)
14.6%
Overall HR/FB
4.82
FIP
4.82
xFIP
+0.00
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter STINGY
LEAKY 64
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
64
no model flags today
Vulnerability 64th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
20.5%
20.5%
Hard-Hit% allowed
65.0%
65.0%
Fly-ball rate
avg HR 103.4 EV · 389 ft max EV allowed 112.0
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
2026-07-20 · 2 HR 2026-07-26 · 3 HR 2026-08-25 · 2 HR
7D · 2 HR 15D · 2 HR 30D · 2 HR
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Not on today's slate — matchup context appears when he's next listed.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against HOU Bullpen Proxy.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
No arsenal data cached for this pitcher.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups44
HRs allowed (pool)7
Pool HR rate15.9%
Pool HR/game day1.4
Top-15 matchups4
HRs to top-152
Overall HR/FB14.6% 64
HR/9
FIP4.82 77
xFIP4.82
FIP − xFIP+0.00 48
Barrel% allowed20.5%
Hard-Hit% allowed65.0%
FB%
K/9
BB/9
WHIP
IP
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-09-04
No arsenal data cached for this pitcher.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against HOU Bullpen Proxy.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
7 allowed · scored pool
avg 103.4 EV · 389 ft 2 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
2026-08-25 Luis García Jr. #12 65 Yankee Stadium 109.5 20.0° 379
2026-08-25 Cody Bellinger #133 44 Yankee Stadium 102.0 29.0° 368
2026-07-26 Munetaka Murakami #9 65 Rate Field 101.8 27.0° 398
2026-07-26 Miguel Vargas #28 58 Rate Field 102.3 27.0° 393
2026-07-26 Chase Meidroth #238 30 Rate Field 98.8 35.0° 382
2026-07-20 Joe Mack #131 47 Minute Maid Park 107.9 35.0° 409
2026-07-20 Liam Hicks #188 41 Minute Maid Park 101.7 30.0° 393
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 5 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-08-25 Yankee Stadium 8 2 112.0
2026-08-19 Minute Maid Park 9 0 101.9
2026-07-29 Angel Stadium 9 0 108.2
2026-07-26 Rate Field 9 3 104.1
2026-07-20 Minute Maid Park 9 2 107.9
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — HOU Bullpen Proxy isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
HOU Bullpen Proxy isn't on a scored slate — no park to compare his damage against.
Venue splits
HRs allowed by venue · pool
VenueFacedHRRate
Rate Field 9 3 33%
Minute Maid Park 18 2 11%
Yankee Stadium 8 2 25%
Angel Stadium 9 0 0%
HRs allowed ÷ scored matchups at each park. Rate is per scored matchup, not HR/9 — box-score innings aren't tracked.
Six home runs to freedom

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44 more waiting in the on-deck circle

Common questions about HOU Bullpen Proxy

How many home runs has HOU Bullpen Proxy allowed this season?

HOU Bullpen Proxy has allowed 7 home runs across 5 scored game days in the TheHomeRuns pool this season.

Which batters have homered off HOU Bullpen Proxy?

In the TheHomeRuns scored pool, the batters with home runs against HOU Bullpen Proxy include Chase Meidroth (1), Cody Bellinger (1), Joe Mack (1) and 4 more.

Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.

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