2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Esmerlyn Valdez 5 HRs · 2 James Wood 5 HRs · 3 Cole Young 4 HRs · 4 Eugenio Suárez 4 HRs · 5 Chase DeLauter 4 HRs · 6 Lane Thomas 4 HRs · 7 Jose Altuve 4 HRs · 8 Jordan Walker 4 HRs · 9 Jake Bauers 4 HRs · 10 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 11 Nolan Arenado 4 HRs · 12 Shohei Ohtani 4 HRs 1 Esmerlyn Valdez 5 HRs · 2 James Wood 5 HRs · 3 Cole Young 4 HRs · 4 Eugenio Suárez 4 HRs · 5 Chase DeLauter 4 HRs · 6 Lane Thomas 4 HRs · 7 Jose Altuve 4 HRs · 8 Jordan Walker 4 HRs · 9 Jake Bauers 4 HRs · 10 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 11 Nolan Arenado 4 HRs · 12 Shohei Ohtani 4 HRs
HB

HOU Bullpen Proxy

0 matchups scored · 0 game days · 9 listed today
0
HRs allowed
0%
HR rate (pool)
15.1%
Overall HR/FB
4.92
FIP
4.92
xFIP
#18
Leakiest SP today (of 30, by FIP−xFIP)
Leak meter STINGY
LEAKY 71
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
71
no model flags today
Vulnerability 71th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
0 of 9 listed bats hold the platoon edge
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
Hard-Hit% allowed
Fly-ball rate
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
Not enough scored game days for a trend line yet.
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
MIA @ HOU 8:10p · Minute Maid Park Park 1.03 Wind 4.0 W in Roof retractable · 93°F BP FIP 4.92 BP HR 15.1% 5L / 2R listed (+1S) · lineup: confirmed
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
cell = batter Barrel% vs that pitch family — higher runs hotter cold hot
Overall Score
Neutral · 3
16.7% C+ 66
12.1% C+ 60
11.7% C 57
Long shots · 6 — below the fade line
121 Joe Mack L
8.2% D 47
172 Liam Hicks L
3.5% D 41
4.2% D 37
4.4% D 37
219 Jakob Marsee L
3.2% D 34
1.4% D 34
0 of 9 listed bats hold the platoon edge. Cells are each batter's season damage vs that family (not vs this pitcher specifically).
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
No arsenal data cached for this pitcher.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups0
HRs allowed (pool)0
Pool HR rate0%
Pool HR/game day
Top-15 matchups0
HRs to top-150
Overall HR/FB15.1% 71
HR/9
FIP4.92 78
xFIP4.92
FIP − xFIP
Barrel% allowed
Hard-Hit% allowed
FB%
K/9
BB/9
WHIP
IP
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-20
No arsenal data cached for this pitcher.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
BatterPAHHRKwOBALast damage
Griffin Conine L 0 never faced
Heriberto Hernández R 0 never faced
Kyle Stowers L 0 never faced
Joe Mack L 0 never faced
Liam Hicks L 0 never faced
Graham Pauley 0 never faced
Xavier Edwards S 0 never faced
Jakob Marsee L 0 never faced
Javier Sanoja R 0 never faced
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
0 allowed · scored pool
No home runs allowed in our scored matchups.
Game-day log
last 0 scored game days · pool
No scored game days yet for HOU Bullpen Proxy.
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight — Minute Maid Park
open-air · game-window conditions
Park Factor 1.034 Wind 4 mph from W Temp 93°F Roof Retractable
TimeWindTempFIT
8:10p 4 93° +0
9:10p 4 93° +0
10:10p 4 93° +0
11:10p 4 93° +0
12:10a 4 93° +0
+0
Neutral alignment
park + weather FIT · batter-neutral signal
Game-window avg wind 4 mph from W
FIT = park + game-window weather HR signal, batter-neutral. Per-batter spray overlays live on each batter's profile.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.
Six home runs to freedom

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