13
HRs allowed
8.1%
HR rate (pool)
13.1%
Overall HR/FB
3.54
FIP
3.68
xFIP
-0.14
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
55
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 55th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
76.8%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 105.0 EV · 400 ft
max EV allowed 112.0
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 1 HR ↑
15D · 2 HR ↑
30D · 5 HR ↑
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against George Kirby.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Sweeper Breaking
29.9%
81.2
12.5°
2
-0.3
Fastball Hard
28.9%
85.3
27.3°
6
+0.1
Sinker Hard
20.9%
85.5
8.1°
1
-0.2
Knuckle Curve Breaking
9.9%
83.5
-8.5°
1
+2.9
Changeup Offspeed
7.4%
84.7
13.2°
1
+1.1
Cutter Hard
3.0%
84.2
21.6°
0
-4.8
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups160
HRs allowed (pool)13
Pool HR rate8.1%
Pool HR/game day0.72
Top-15 matchups6
HRs to top-151
Overall HR/FB13.1% 55
HR/9—
FIP3.54 31
xFIP3.68
FIP − xFIP-0.14 39
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed76.8%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-16
Sweeper
Breaking · 29.9% usage
-0.3
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.2 mph
Avg launch angle12.5°
HRs allowed2
Pitches518
Fastball
Hard · 28.9% usage
+0.1
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against85.3 mph
Avg launch angle27.3°
HRs allowed6
Pitches500
Sinker
Hard · 20.9% usage
-0.2
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against85.5 mph
Avg launch angle8.1°
HRs allowed1
Pitches363
Knuckle Curve
Breaking · 9.9% usage
+2.9
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.5 mph
Avg launch angle-8.5°
HRs allowed1
Pitches172
Changeup
Offspeed · 7.4% usage
+1.1
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against84.7 mph
Avg launch angle13.2°
HRs allowed1
Pitches128
Cutter
Hard · 3.0% usage
-4.8
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against84.2 mph
Avg launch angle21.6°
HRs allowed0
Pitches52
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against George Kirby.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
13 allowed · scored pool
avg 105.0 EV · 400 ft
5 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 15 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-07-08
9
1
105.4
2026-06-29
8
1
108.7
2026-06-23
9
0
106.3
2026-06-17
9
1
107.8
2026-06-10
8
2
106.5
2026-06-03
9
0
104.5
2026-05-29
9
1
104.7
2026-05-23
9
0
108.0
2026-05-17
9
1
106.9
2026-05-11
9
0
107.9
2026-05-05
9
1
110.5
2026-04-29
9
0
112.0
2026-04-24
9
0
111.9
2026-04-18
9
1
109.2
2026-04-13
9
1
107.4
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — George Kirby isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.