2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs
MIA Bullpen Proxy TB
9 matchups scored · 1 game days
1 HRs Allowed
11.1% HR Rate (Pool)
10.6% Overall HR/FB
3.98 FIP
3.98 xFIP
+0.00 FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot Pool + today context
1.0
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
10.6%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
33th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
66.7%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
3.98
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
48th pctile
3.98
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
+0.00
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
50th pctile
11.1%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
9
Pool Matchups
1
HRs Allowed (Pool)
0
Top-15 Matchups
0
HRs to Top-15
11.1%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
trend vs full-pool HR rate
Window Matchups Game Days HR HR Rate HR/Game Avg Max EV Avg HR EV Avg HR LA Avg HR Dist Trend
Last 7 9 1 1 11.1% 1.0 100.6mph 102.5mph 31.0° 397ft Flat +0.0pp
Last 15 9 1 1 11.1% 1.0 100.6mph 102.5mph 31.0° 397ft Flat +0.0pp
Last 30 9 1 1 11.1% 1.0 100.6mph 102.5mph 31.0° 397ft Flat +0.0pp
Batted-Ball Damage
9 tracked BBE from 9 pool matchups
100.6
110.2
6
0
102.5
31.0°
397
Date Batter Max EV HR EV HR LA HR Dist HR?
2026-06-05 Yandy Díaz 110.2mph · · · ·
2026-06-05 Junior Caminero 109.3mph · · · ·
2026-06-05 Ryan Vilade 109.3mph · · · ·
2026-06-05 Cedric Mullins 102.5mph 102.5mph 31° 397ft Yes
2026-06-05 Richie Palacios 101.6mph · · · ·
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
1 days · 1 total HRs
HRs Allowed
1 home runs against scored batters
Date Batter Rank Score Stadium EV Angle Dist
2026-06-05 Cedric Mullins #172 35 loanDepot Park 102.5mph 31.0° 397ft
Quality of Contact
FanGraphs season stats
Barrel%
0.0%
0.0%
HardHit%
66.7%
66.7%
All Scored Matchups
9 matchups · newest first
Date Batter Rank Score Tier Form HR?
2026-06-05 Nick Fortes #237 13 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-05 Taylor Walls #229 18 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-05 Richie Palacios #227 20 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-05 Chandler Simpson #224 21 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-05 Ryan Vilade #187 32 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-05 Cedric Mullins #172 35 ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-06-05 Junior Caminero #47 58 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-05 Yandy Díaz #39 60 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-05 Jonathan Aranda #17 69 🔵 C+ 🔥 HOT ·
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