0
HRs allowed
0.0%
HR rate (pool)
12.2%
Overall HR/FB
4.13
FIP
4.13
xFIP
+0.00
FIP − xFIP gap
#15
Leakiest SP today (of 30, by FIP−xFIP)
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
43
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 43th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
0 of 8 listed bats hold the platoon edge
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
42.9%
Fly-ball rate
—
max EV allowed 107.7
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
Not enough scored game days for a trend line yet.
7D · 0 HR
15D · 0 HR
30D · 0 HR
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
Overall
Score
Prime targets · 1
Neutral · 1
Long shots · 6 — below the fade line
0 of 8 listed bats hold the platoon edge.
Cells are each batter's season damage vs that family (not vs this pitcher specifically).
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
No arsenal data cached for this pitcher.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups8
HRs allowed (pool)0
Pool HR rate0.0%
Pool HR/game day0.0
Top-15 matchups0
HRs to top-150
Overall HR/FB12.2% 43
HR/9—
FIP4.13 54
xFIP4.13
FIP − xFIP+0.00 46
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed42.9%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-08-22
No arsenal data cached for this pitcher.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
BatterPAHHRKwOBALast damage
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
0 allowed · scored pool
No home runs allowed in our scored matchups.
Game-day log
last 1 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-08-01
8
0
107.7
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight — Citizens Bank Park
open-air · game-window conditions
Park Factor
1.102
Wind
7 mph from SSE
Temp
72°F
Roof
Open
TimeWindTempFIT
6:05p
7
72°
+9
7:05p
6
71°
+7
8:05p
6
70°
+7
9:05p
6
69°
+6
10:05p
5
69°
+5
+7
Slight green alignment
park + weather FIT · batter-neutral signal
Game-window avg wind 6 mph from SE
FIT = park + game-window weather HR signal, batter-neutral. Per-batter spray overlays live on each batter's profile.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
LF
329ft
avg
CF
401ft
avg
RF
330ft
avg
vs LHH → RF
342ft
0 HRs allowed · short porch
vs RHH → LF
345ft
0 HRs allowed · short porch
Shortest: LF 329 ft
Fence marks are published; power-alley + pull-side depths come from the park's outfield geometry, calibrated to those marks. We don't track HR spray direction — pull side is inferred from batter handedness (LHH→RF, RHH→LF), not a measured read.
Venue splits
HRs allowed by venue · pool
VenueFacedHRRate
8
0
0%
HRs allowed ÷ scored matchups at each park. Rate is per scored matchup, not HR/9 — box-score innings aren't tracked.
Common questions about STL Bullpen Proxy
Is STL Bullpen Proxy likely to give up a home run tonight?
STL Bullpen Proxy pitches tonight (STL @ PHI at Citizens Bank Park). This season he has allowed 0 home runs across 1 scored game day. TheHomeRuns model scores every batter he faces; see the matchup table on this page for tonight's most dangerous bats. Model output, not a guarantee. Not gambling advice.
How many home runs has STL Bullpen Proxy allowed this season?
STL Bullpen Proxy has allowed 0 home runs across 1 scored game day in the TheHomeRuns pool this season.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.