Today · 2026-08-24

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⭐ Today's Slate

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Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather

🥇 Golden Slate 8 top-15 batters face HR-prone pitchers

#2 Pete Crow-Armstrong vs Merrill Kelly FIP 5.94 HR/FB 25.0% #3 Byron Buxton vs Jeffrey Springs FIP 6.29 HR/FB 24.1% #5 Kody Clemens vs Jeffrey Springs FIP 6.29 HR/FB 21.6% #9 Pro pick vs Merrill Kelly FIP 5.94 HR/FB 21.6% #11 Pro pick vs Jeffrey Springs FIP 6.29 HR/FB 24.1% #12 Pro pick vs Jeffrey Springs FIP 6.29 HR/FB 24.1% #13 Pro pick vs Jeffrey Springs FIP 6.29 HR/FB 24.1% #14 Pro pick vs Merrill Kelly FIP 5.94 HR/FB 25.0%

📦 STACK Kumar Rocker FIP 4.47 HR/FB 19.0% → #1 Munetaka Murakami, #7 Pro pick

📦 STACK Merrill Kelly FIP 5.94 HR/FB 25.0% → #2 Pete Crow-Armstrong, #9 Pro pick, #14 Pro pick

📦 STACK Jeffrey Springs FIP 6.29 HR/FB 24.1% → #3 Byron Buxton, #5 Kody Clemens, #11 Pro pick, #12 Pro pick, #13 Pro pick

📦 STACK Logan Gilbert FIP 3.64 HR/FB 17.7% → #4 Kyle Schwarber, #15 Pro pick

2025 full-season backtest

2025 backtest: a top-15 pick went yard on 92.9% of slates · top-50 picks hit 1.6x the field

Sample window: 2025 full-season backtest · 182 slates · 2025-03-27 to 2025-09-28 Live 2026 is current through 2026-08-23. Past performance ≠ guarantee.

92.9% top-15 slates, 2025

1.6x top-50 vs field

92.5% Live 2026 top-15

See the full record

#	Batter	Score	Edge	Roster	Pitcher · Game	Time	Tier	Hand	'26 HR	Form	Last HR	Last 5	Due	BvP	BP	Weather
1	Munetaka Murakami (L) ⁴	71	-9.3	●	Kumar Rocker (RHP) TEX @ CWS · Rate Field	7:40p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	29	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%12.7% Avg EV94.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	6d Last HR · 2026-08-18 OffKevin Gausman Exit Velo111.1 mph Angle39.0° Distance406 ft StadiumWrigley Field	○○○○○	1.7×	·	TEX Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.4% HR/91.22 FIP4.12 IP1113.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 29 HR NoteUnknown stadium
2	Pete Crow-Armstrong (L) ⁵	71	-6.9	●	Merrill Kelly (RHP) CHC @ AZ · Chase Field	9:40p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	33	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%12.2% Avg EV90.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-08-23 OffMichael Rucker Exit Velo110.7 mph Angle22.0° Distance355 ft StadiumT-Mobile Park	●○●○●	0.0×	·	AZ Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/91.16 FIP4.37 IP1120.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-5 Weather · Chase Field hot air · steady partial wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp103°F Wind9 mph W Characterslight_out HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind-5 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 31 HR Note103°F, wind 9 mph W (slight_out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
3	Byron Buxton (R) ³	71	-16.8	●	Jeffrey Springs (LHP) MIN @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🟡 B	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	25	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls22 BBE Barrel%12.3% Avg EV90.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	63d Last HR · 2026-06-22 OffWill Klein Exit Velo106.8 mph Angle35.0° Distance394 ft StadiumTarget Field	○○○○○	11.5×	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.2% HR/91.53 FIP4.97 IP1158.4 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+59 Weather · Sutter Health Park hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp87°F Wind12 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier6 Spray/Wind+59 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 25 HR Note87°F, wind 12 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +6 (first-pitch forecast)
4	Kyle Schwarber (L) ²	70	-12.2	●	Logan Gilbert (RHP) PHI @ SEA · T-Mobile Park	9:40p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	39	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%13.1% Avg EV92.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-08-23 OffRiley O'Brien Exit Velo108.5 mph Angle33.0° Distance459 ft StadiumCitizens Bank Park	○○○●●	0.0×	·	SEA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.19 FIP3.91 IP1137.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-10 Weather · T-Mobile Park warm air · steady wind in · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp72°F Wind8 mph N Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-10 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 37 HR Note72°F, wind 8 mph N (in) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
5	Kody Clemens (L) ⁴	67	-4.0	●	Jeffrey Springs (LHP) MIN @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	21	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%10.6% Avg EV92.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	8d Last HR · 2026-08-16 OffAndrew Painter Exit Velo104.9 mph Angle35.0° Distance400 ft StadiumTarget Field	○○○○○	1.5×	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.2% HR/91.53 FIP4.97 IP1158.4 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+41 Weather · Sutter Health Park hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp87°F Wind12 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier6 Spray/Wind+41 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note87°F, wind 12 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +6 (first-pitch forecast)
6	Pro pick (L) ²	67	·	●	Ryan Feltner (RHP) COL @ WSH · Nationals Park	6:45p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls21 BBE Barrel%10.5% Avg EV89.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.0% HR/91.43 FIP4.91 IP1140.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-18 Weather · Nationals Park warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp77°F Wind7 mph NW Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-18 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceblend · 1 HR Note77°F, wind 7 mph NW (cross) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
7	Pro pick (R) ²	66	-3.4	●	Kumar Rocker (RHP) TEX @ CWS · Rate Field	7:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%10.8% Avg EV90.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TEX Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.4% HR/91.22 FIP4.12 IP1113.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 29 HR NoteUnknown stadium
8	Pro pick (L) ²	63	-3.0	●	Cade Cavalli (RHP) COL @ WSH · Nationals Park	6:45p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%8.6% Avg EV89.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	WSH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.4% HR/91.45 FIP4.86 IP1150.7 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-11 Weather · Nationals Park warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp77°F Wind7 mph NW Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-11 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note77°F, wind 7 mph NW (cross) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
9	Pro pick (R) ²	59	-4.2	●	Merrill Kelly (RHP) CHC @ AZ · Chase Field	9:40p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%11.3% Avg EV88.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	AZ Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/91.16 FIP4.37 IP1120.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-20 Weather · Chase Field hot air · steady partial wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp103°F Wind9 mph W Characterslight_out HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind-20 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR Note103°F, wind 9 mph W (slight_out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
10	Pro pick (L) ²	59	-8.1	●	Robbie Ray (LHP) PIT @ SD · Petco Park	9:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls7 BBE Barrel%12.3% Avg EV96.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.6% HR/91.09 FIP4.19 IP1112.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+16 Weather · Petco Park warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp78°F Wind5 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+16 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 16 HR Note78°F, wind 5 mph SW (out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
11	Pro pick (R) ²	59	-12.0	●	Jeffrey Springs (LHP) MIN @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🟠 C	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%10.4% Avg EV89.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.2% HR/91.53 FIP4.97 IP1158.4 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+61 Weather · Sutter Health Park hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp87°F Wind12 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier6 Spray/Wind+61 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 13 HR Note87°F, wind 12 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +6 (first-pitch forecast)
12	Pro pick (S) ²	59	-7.1	●	Jeffrey Springs (LHP) MIN @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🟠 C	SHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%9.6% Avg EV90.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.2% HR/91.53 FIP4.97 IP1158.4 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+53 Weather · Sutter Health Park hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp87°F Wind12 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier6 Spray/Wind+53 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 17 HR Note87°F, wind 12 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +6 (first-pitch forecast)
13	Pro pick (R) ²	59	-11.5	●	Framber Valdez (LHP) TB @ DET · Comerica Park	6:40p	🟠 C	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls44 BBE Barrel%9.2% Avg EV92.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	DET Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.4% HR/91.06 FIP4.00 IP1171.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+24 Weather · Comerica Park mild air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp71°F Wind7 mph NW Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+24 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 35 HR Note71°F, wind 7 mph NW (out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
14	Pro pick (S) ²	58	-4.2	●	Jeffrey Springs (LHP) MIN @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🟠 C	SHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%5.9% Avg EV87.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.2% HR/91.53 FIP4.97 IP1158.4 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+39 Weather · Sutter Health Park hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp87°F Wind12 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier6 Spray/Wind+39 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 18 HR Note87°F, wind 12 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +6 (first-pitch forecast)
15	Pro pick (S) ²	57	-3.6	●	Merrill Kelly (RHP) CHC @ AZ · Chase Field	9:40p	🟠 C	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%11.7% Avg EV89.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	AZ Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/91.16 FIP4.37 IP1120.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-11 Weather · Chase Field hot air · steady partial wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp103°F Wind9 mph W Characterslight_out HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind-11 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note103°F, wind 9 mph W (slight_out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
16	Pro pick (L) ²	57	-6.1	●	Logan Gilbert (RHP) PHI @ SEA · T-Mobile Park	9:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%10.4% Avg EV90.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SEA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.19 FIP3.91 IP1137.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-14 Weather · T-Mobile Park warm air · steady wind in · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp72°F Wind8 mph N Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-14 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 26 HR Note72°F, wind 8 mph N (in) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
17	Pro pick (L) ²	57	-7.7	●	Kumar Rocker (RHP) TEX @ CWS · Rate Field	7:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%9.9% Avg EV88.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TEX Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.4% HR/91.22 FIP4.12 IP1113.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 26 HR NoteUnknown stadium
18	Pro pick (R) ²	57	-4.8	●	Ryan Feltner (RHP) COL @ WSH · Nationals Park	6:45p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%10.2% Avg EV90.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.0% HR/91.43 FIP4.91 IP1140.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-33 Weather · Nationals Park warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp77°F Wind7 mph NW Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-33 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 10 HR Note77°F, wind 7 mph NW (cross) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
19	Pro pick (L) ²	60	-9.1	●	CWS Bullpen Proxy TEX @ CWS · Rate Field	7:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls18 BBE Barrel%10.9% Avg EV92.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CWS Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/91.10 FIP4.21 IP1100.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR NoteUnknown stadium
20	Pro pick (L) ²	59	-10.7	●	CWS Bullpen Proxy TEX @ CWS · Rate Field	7:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%15.1% Avg EV91.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CWS Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/91.10 FIP4.21 IP1100.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 13 HR NoteUnknown stadium
21	Pro pick (L) ²	55	-5.4	●	Zebby Matthews (RHP) MIN @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%9.1% Avg EV89.3 mph Surprise BarrelYes Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	MIN Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.9% HR/91.16 FIP4.33 IP1102.3 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+50 Weather · Sutter Health Park hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp87°F Wind12 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier6 Spray/Wind+50 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 11 HR Note87°F, wind 12 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +6 (first-pitch forecast)
22	Pro pick (L) ²	54	-5.6	●	Robbie Ray (LHP) PIT @ SD · Petco Park	9:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%10.2% Avg EV91.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.6% HR/91.09 FIP4.19 IP1112.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+19 Weather · Petco Park warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp78°F Wind5 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+19 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 27 HR Note78°F, wind 5 mph SW (out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
23	Pro pick (L) ²	54	-4.9	●	Ryan Feltner (RHP) COL @ WSH · Nationals Park	6:45p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%9.5% Avg EV88.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.0% HR/91.43 FIP4.91 IP1140.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-15 Weather · Nationals Park warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp77°F Wind7 mph NW Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-15 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 15 HR Note77°F, wind 7 mph NW (cross) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
24	Pro pick (R) ²	53	-5.1	●	Sandy Alcantara (RHP) BOS @ MIA · loanDepot Park	6:40p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%8.8% Avg EV89.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	MIA Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.6% HR/91.04 FIP4.07 IP1155.3 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-26 Weather · loanDepot Park hot air · steady wind in · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp84°F Wind12 mph SE Characterin HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind-26 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 26 HR Note84°F, wind 12 mph SE (in) — modifier: -1 (first-pitch forecast)
25	Pro pick (S) ²	53	-0.6	●	Ryan Feltner (RHP) COL @ WSH · Nationals Park	6:45p	🟠 C	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls22 BBE Barrel%7.3% Avg EV88.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.0% HR/91.43 FIP4.91 IP1140.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-18 Weather · Nationals Park warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp77°F Wind7 mph NW Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-18 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 8 HR Note77°F, wind 7 mph NW (cross) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
26	Pro pick (L) ²	52	·	●	Jeffrey Springs (LHP) MIN @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls25 BBE Barrel%8.3% Avg EV87.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.2% HR/91.53 FIP4.97 IP1158.4 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+36 Weather · Sutter Health Park hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp87°F Wind12 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier6 Spray/Wind+36 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 10 HR Note87°F, wind 12 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +6 (first-pitch forecast)
27	Pro pick (S) ²	52	-4.6	●	Zebby Matthews (RHP) MIN @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🟠 C	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%8.6% Avg EV87.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	MIN Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.9% HR/91.16 FIP4.33 IP1102.3 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+49 Weather · Sutter Health Park hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp87°F Wind12 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier6 Spray/Wind+49 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 11 HR Note87°F, wind 12 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +6 (first-pitch forecast)
28	Pro pick (R) ²	52	+3.4	●	Ryan Feltner (RHP) COL @ WSH · Nationals Park	6:45p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%8.2% Avg EV88.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.0% HR/91.43 FIP4.91 IP1140.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-33 Weather · Nationals Park warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp77°F Wind7 mph NW Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-33 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 10 HR Note77°F, wind 7 mph NW (cross) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
29	Pro pick (R) ²	51	+0.2	●	Zack Wheeler (RHP) PHI @ SEA · T-Mobile Park	9:40p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%6.9% Avg EV90.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	PHI Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.4% HR/91.21 FIP3.81 IP1120.1 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-14 Weather · T-Mobile Park warm air · steady wind in · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp72°F Wind8 mph N Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-14 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 19 HR Note72°F, wind 8 mph N (in) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
30	Pro pick (L) ²	51	-5.6	●	Zack Wheeler (RHP) PHI @ SEA · T-Mobile Park	9:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%8.6% Avg EV91.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	PHI Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.4% HR/91.21 FIP3.81 IP1120.1 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-12 Weather · T-Mobile Park warm air · steady wind in · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp72°F Wind8 mph N Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-12 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 19 HR Note72°F, wind 8 mph N (in) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)

🔥

Six home runs to freedom

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Slate reference

Symbol Guide

Every icon, badge, and shorthand on the slate. Hover the table itself for quick tips; use this when you want the full translation.

Row Actions

👁: WatchTrack a batter without counting him as one of today's locked picks.
🔒: LockAdd this batter to today's tracked picks. Locked picks are the choices that count.
★: FavoriteYou starred this batter so he is easier to find on crowded slates.
▲ / ▼: Conviction editYour notes or tags adjusted the recommendation score up or down.

Batter and Pitcher Marks

R L S: Batter handR = right-handed, L = left-handed, S = switch-hitter. Pitchers show RHP or LHP.
: Platoon advantageGreen means the batter has an opposite-handed or switch-hitter look.
: Neutral handGold means the matchup is neutral, most commonly righty versus righty.
: Same-side cautionRed means lefty versus lefty, usually the toughest handedness setup for hitters.
◎: Pitcher flagTop HR-susceptible pitcher. Open the row and inspect the full matchup.

Lightning and Tags

⚡: Arsenal EdgePitch-type mismatch. The batter damages a pitch the opposing pitcher throws and allows damage on. A small number means multiple exploitable pitch types.
⚡²: Chip firingOne or more saved Chips matched this batter tonight. This only appears when the Chip system is active for the user.
2: Your tag countNumber of your saved tags on the batter. Hover the number on the slate to see the tag names.
💬 ↑ ↓: Community toolsComment link and limited daily up/down votes. These are hidden when the launch-minimal UI is active.

Score and Tier

82: ScoreComposite 0-100 HR grade for tonight. Higher means more of the model's power, pitcher, park, and context signals agree.
🥇 S: S tierElite, score 95+.
🔥 A+: A+ tierPremium, score 90-94.
🟢 A: A tierExcellent, score 80-89.
🟡 B: B tierAbove average, score 70-79.
🔵 C+: C+ tierValue, score 60-69.
🟠 C: C tierBelow average, score 50-59.
⚪ D: D tierBelow 50.

Colors

Color meaning changes by surface. Percentile bars use Baseball Savant-style heat, where red means elite. Spray and wind use green for favorable and red for unfavorable.

Surface	Green	Orange	Red
Percentile bars	Average range	Above average	Elite / great
Spray chart	Favorable HR zone or wind fit	Neutral / mixed	Unfavorable zone or wind fit
Slate weather	Carry help	Neutral or dome context	Carry drag
Edge and results	Model ahead or hit	Mostly aligned / watch	Market ahead or miss

Edge

Edge is model probability minus market consensus probability, shown in percentage points.

+3.1: Model aheadThe model is higher than the market, a price-positive signal.
+0.2: Mostly alignedThe model and market are close.
-3.1: Market aheadThe book is more optimistic than the model, so treat the price with caution.

Form

🔥 HOT: HotRecent contact quality is running above the batter's baseline.
↗ WARM: WarmRecent indicators are positive, but not screaming.
— NTRL: NeutralNo meaningful hot or cold form signal.
↘ COOL: CoolRecent contact quality is softening.
❄ COLD: ColdRecent indicators are materially below baseline.

Timing and History

2d: Last HRDays since the batter's last home run.
●○: Last 5Home run results across the last five games. Filled dot = homered; open dot = did not homer.
1.6×: DueHow far past the batter's usual HR cadence he is. 1.5× or higher is strongly overdue; use it as a tiebreaker.
2: BvPHome runs versus today's pitcher in the app's data. Useful color, usually a small sample.

Bullpen

🔥: VulnerableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 15%.
!: WatchOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 12%, but below the vulnerable threshold.
✓: StableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is below 12%.
—: No readNo reliable bullpen value is available.

Weather

→: Tail / carry helpWeather modifier is +3 or better. Conditions are helping fly-ball carry.
←: Head / carry dragWeather modifier is -3 or worse. Conditions are working against carry.
⌂: Dome or retractable roofRoof context keeps weather noise low.
+24: Spray/WindOptional batter-specific wind read, comparing wind direction to where this batter usually hits home runs.

Roster and Results

●: Roster activeActive in the roster feed. This is not a health guarantee.
?: QuestionableManual availability risk flag. The batter remains visible, but the recommendation score is discounted.
IL: Injured listThe roster feed reports an IL status. These batters should be excluded from active slate scoring.
PPD: PostponedOfficial MLB game status says postponed. Treat the row as unavailable tonight.
✓: HitPast-slate result: this batter homered.
×: MissPast-slate result: no home run.
?: PendingPast-slate result has not loaded yet.

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Full board + 6-pick cards — Pro

Season · Top 50 Catch Rate

last 30 days

15.9%

▲ +0.3 pts

avg daily catch rate · vs 15.7% prior 15d

Yesterday · 2026-08-23

28 HRs

28%

8 caught / 28 HRs

in top 50

#1 Max Muncy

39.5%

🟡

#2 Kyle Schwarber

38.7%

🟡

#3 Max Muncy

32.9%

🟡

#8 Pete Crow-Armstrong

28.4%

🔵

#21 Brian Serven

37.1%

🟠

#31 Trent Grisham

24.4%

🟠

#37 Randy Arozarena

21.4%

🟠

#46 Ian Happ

18.7%

🟠

Missed

Zach Neto Jackson Merrill Michael Conforto Colton Cowser Michael Harris II +15 more

7-Day Streaks

top 50 pool

🔥 Hot

Max Muncy ×7 Pete Crow-Armstrong ×4 Jordan Walker ×3 Pete Alonso ×3 Ian Happ ×2

❄️ Cold

Alec Burleson 0 of 7d Zack Gelof 0 of 7d Matt Olson 0 of 7d Junior Caminero 0 of 7d Elly De La Cruz 0 of 6d

Model Health · HR catch rate by tier

season-to-date

A+

C+

S 0.0%

A+ 16.7%

A 19.3%

B 20.3%

C+ 17.0%

C 13.5%

D 8.9%

Best Day

32.0%

May 29

Today · 2026-08-24

The free preview stops at 5. Tonight's board doesn't.

Yesterday's results + tonight's board. Every morning.