CWS Bullpen Proxy
CWS
2
HRs Allowed
22.2%
HR Rate (Pool)
11.6%
Overall HR/FB
4.32
FIP
4.32
xFIP
+0.00
FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot
?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards.
Pool + today context
2.0
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
11.6%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
42th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
66.7%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
4.32
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
61th pctile
4.32
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
+0.00
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
50th pctile
22.2%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
9
Pool Matchups
2
HRs Allowed (Pool)
2
Top-15 Matchups
0
HRs to Top-15
22.2%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
| Window | Matchups | Game Days | HR | HR Rate | HR/Game | Avg Max EV | Avg HR EV | Avg HR LA | Avg HR Dist | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 7 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 22.2% | 2.0 | 91.9mph | 100.4mph | 26.0° | 380ft | Flat +0.0pp |
| Last 15 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 22.2% | 2.0 | 91.9mph | 100.4mph | 26.0° | 380ft | Flat +0.0pp |
| Last 30 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 22.2% | 2.0 | 91.9mph | 100.4mph | 26.0° | 380ft | Flat +0.0pp |
Batted-Ball Damage
91.9
Avg Max EV
105.9
Max EV Allowed
6
Hard-Hit Proxy · 66.7%
0
Barrel Flags · 0.0%
100.4
Avg HR EV
26.0°
Avg HR Launch
380
Avg HR Distance
| Date | Batter | Max EV | HR EV | HR LA | HR Dist | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-07 | Trea Turner | 105.9mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Bryce Harper | 104.4mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Brandon Marsh | 101.8mph | 100.3mph | 28° | 383ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-07 | Kyle Schwarber | 101.6mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Rafael Marchán | 100.5mph | 100.5mph | 24° | 376ft | Yes |
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
HRs Allowed
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Stadium | EV | Angle | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-07 | Brandon Marsh | #40 | 60 | Citizens Bank Park | 100.3mph | 28.0° | 383ft |
| 2026-06-07 | Rafael Marchán | #223 | 21 | Citizens Bank Park | 100.5mph | 24.0° | 376ft |
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
0.0%
HardHit%
66.7%
All Scored Matchups
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Tier | Form | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-07 | Rafael Marchán | #223 | 21 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | 💥 |
| 2026-06-07 | Justin Crawford | #207 | 26 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Trea Turner | #148 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Alec Bohm | #129 | 41 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Adolis García | #80 | 50 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Bryson Stott | #61 | 54 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Brandon Marsh | #40 | 60 | 🔵 C+ | 🔥 HOT | 💥 |
| 2026-06-07 | Bryce Harper | #5 | 75 | 🟡 B | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Kyle Schwarber | #1 | 87 | 🟢 A | 📉 COOL | · |