2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs
CWS Bullpen Proxy CWS
9 matchups scored · 1 game days
2 HRs Allowed
22.2% HR Rate (Pool)
11.6% Overall HR/FB
4.32 FIP
4.32 xFIP
+0.00 FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot Pool + today context
2.0
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
11.6%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
42th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
66.7%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
4.32
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
61th pctile
4.32
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
+0.00
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
50th pctile
22.2%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
9
Pool Matchups
2
HRs Allowed (Pool)
2
Top-15 Matchups
0
HRs to Top-15
22.2%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
trend vs full-pool HR rate
Window Matchups Game Days HR HR Rate HR/Game Avg Max EV Avg HR EV Avg HR LA Avg HR Dist Trend
Last 7 9 1 2 22.2% 2.0 91.9mph 100.4mph 26.0° 380ft Flat +0.0pp
Last 15 9 1 2 22.2% 2.0 91.9mph 100.4mph 26.0° 380ft Flat +0.0pp
Last 30 9 1 2 22.2% 2.0 91.9mph 100.4mph 26.0° 380ft Flat +0.0pp
Batted-Ball Damage
9 tracked BBE from 9 pool matchups
91.9
105.9
6
0
100.4
26.0°
380
Date Batter Max EV HR EV HR LA HR Dist HR?
2026-06-07 Trea Turner 105.9mph · · · ·
2026-06-07 Bryce Harper 104.4mph · · · ·
2026-06-07 Brandon Marsh 101.8mph 100.3mph 28° 383ft Yes
2026-06-07 Kyle Schwarber 101.6mph · · · ·
2026-06-07 Rafael Marchán 100.5mph 100.5mph 24° 376ft Yes
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
1 days · 2 total HRs
HRs Allowed
2 home runs against scored batters
Date Batter Rank Score Stadium EV Angle Dist
2026-06-07 Brandon Marsh #40 60 Citizens Bank Park 100.3mph 28.0° 383ft
2026-06-07 Rafael Marchán #223 21 Citizens Bank Park 100.5mph 24.0° 376ft
Quality of Contact
FanGraphs season stats
Barrel%
0.0%
0.0%
HardHit%
66.7%
66.7%
All Scored Matchups
9 matchups · newest first
Date Batter Rank Score Tier Form HR?
2026-06-07 Rafael Marchán #223 21 ⚪ D ❄ COLD 💥
2026-06-07 Justin Crawford #207 26 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-07 Trea Turner #148 38 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-07 Alec Bohm #129 41 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-07 Adolis García #80 50 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-07 Bryson Stott #61 54 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-07 Brandon Marsh #40 60 🔵 C+ 🔥 HOT 💥
2026-06-07 Bryce Harper #5 75 🟡 B 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-07 Kyle Schwarber #1 87 🟢 A 📉 COOL ·
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