Today · 2026-08-23

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⭐ Today's Slate

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Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather

2025 full-season backtest

2025 backtest: a top-15 pick went yard on 92.9% of slates · top-50 picks hit 1.6x the field

Sample window: 2025 full-season backtest · 182 slates · 2025-03-27 to 2025-09-28 Live 2026 is current through 2026-08-22. Past performance ≠ guarantee.

92.9% top-15 slates, 2025

1.6x top-50 vs field

92.5% Live 2026 top-15

See the full record

#	Batter	Score	Edge	Roster	Pitcher · Game	Time	Tier	Hand	'26 HR	Form	Last HR	Last 5	Due	BvP	BP	Weather
1	Kyle Schwarber (L)	73	-13.0	●	Kyle Leahy (RHP) STL @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	1:35p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	38	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%13.1% Avg EV92.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-08-22 OffPedro Pagés Exit Velo108.4 mph Angle26.0° Distance367 ft StadiumCitizens Bank Park	○○○○●	0.0×	·	STL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.9% HR/90.98 FIP4.09 IP1152.7 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+21 Weather · Citizens Bank Park warm air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp79°F Wind9 mph W Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+21 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note79°F, wind 9 mph W (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
2	Max Muncy (L)	70	-10.7	●	Lake Bachar (RHP) PIT @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	4:10p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	6	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls51 BBE Barrel%11.1% Avg EV90.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-08-21 OffBubba Chandler Exit Velo104.3 mph Angle40.0° Distance392 ft StadiumDodger Stadium	○●●○○	0.3×	·	PIT Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.7% HR/91.07 FIP4.02 IP1130.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+51 Weather · Dodger Stadium hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp99°F Wind8 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+51 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note99°F, wind 8 mph SW (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
3	Shohei Ohtani (L)	70	-15.8	●	Lake Bachar (RHP) PIT @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	4:10p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	30	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%12.2% Avg EV93.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	5d Last HR · 2026-08-18 OffRyan Feltner Exit Velo105.6 mph Angle33.0° Distance448 ft StadiumCoors Field	●●○○○	0.8×	·	PIT Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.7% HR/91.07 FIP4.02 IP1130.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+51 Weather · Dodger Stadium hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp99°F Wind8 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+51 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note99°F, wind 8 mph SW (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
4	Munetaka Murakami (L)	68	·	●	Nolan McLean (RHP) NYM @ CWS · Rate Field	2:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	29	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%11.9% Avg EV94.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	5d Last HR · 2026-08-18 OffKevin Gausman Exit Velo111.1 mph Angle39.0° Distance406 ft StadiumWrigley Field	●○○○○	1.3×	·	NYM Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.2% HR/91.14 FIP4.16 IP1236.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteUnknown stadium
5	Ben Rice (L)	66	-3.4	●	José Soriano (RHP) TOR @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	1:35p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	34	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%10.9% Avg EV92.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	4d Last HR · 2026-08-19 OffChris Bassitt Exit Velo110.2 mph Angle33.0° Distance447 ft StadiumCamden Yards	○●○○○	1.0×	·	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.5% HR/91.02 FIP3.89 IP1089.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+45 Weather · Yankee Stadium warm air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp78°F Wind10 mph SSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+45 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note78°F, wind 10 mph SSW (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
6	Pro pick (L)	65	-9.3	●	Bryce Miller (RHP) CHC @ SEA · T-Mobile Park	4:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%9.5% Avg EV90.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SEA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.19 FIP3.91 IP1137.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+9 Weather · T-Mobile Park mild air · light wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp68°F Wind5 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+9 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note68°F, wind 5 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
7	Pro pick (R)	64	-11.3	●	Nick Martinez (RHP) TB @ BAL · Camden Yards	1:35p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls41 BBE Barrel%10.1% Avg EV94.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TB Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.24 FIP4.08 IP1122.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+21 Weather · Camden Yards warm air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp81°F Wind10 mph WNW Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+21 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note81°F, wind 10 mph WNW (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
8	Pro pick (L)	64	-2.7	●	Shane Drohan (LHP) ATL @ MIL · Journey Bank Ballpark	7:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%11.4% Avg EV92.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	MIL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.7% HR/91.00 FIP3.56 IP1128.0 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+0 Weather · Journey Bank Ballpark Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteUnknown stadium
9	Pro pick (R)	63	·	●	Nolan McLean (RHP) NYM @ CWS · Rate Field	2:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%10.2% Avg EV90.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	NYM Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.2% HR/91.14 FIP4.16 IP1236.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteUnknown stadium
10	Pro pick (L)	62	-5.6	●	Foster Griffin (LHP) CLE @ COL · Coors Field	3:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%9.7% Avg EV89.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CLE Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.1% HR/91.14 FIP3.92 IP1127.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+13 Weather · Coors Field hot air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp96°F Wind4 mph E Charactercross HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+13 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note96°F, wind 4 mph E (cross) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
11	Pro pick (L)	61	·	●	Brady Basso (LHP) ATH @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	2:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%10.9% Avg EV94.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.2% HR/91.53 FIP4.97 IP1158.4 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+6 Weather · Minute Maid Park hot air · light partial wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp97°F Wind2 mph SW Characterslight_out HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+6 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note97°F, wind 2 mph SW (slight_out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
12	Pro pick (R)	61	-2.1	●	Cristopher Sánchez (LHP) STL @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	1:35p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls42 BBE Barrel%9.9% Avg EV92.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	PHI Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.4% HR/91.21 FIP3.81 IP1120.1 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+3 Weather · Citizens Bank Park warm air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp79°F Wind9 mph W Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+3 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note79°F, wind 9 mph W (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
13	Pro pick (L)	60	-3.2	●	Tyler Mahle (RHP) ATL @ MIL · Journey Bank Ballpark	7:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%10.2% Avg EV92.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.18 FIP4.22 IP1105.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Journey Bank Ballpark Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteUnknown stadium
14	Pro pick (L)	60	-5.2	●	Kyle Leahy (RHP) STL @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	1:35p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%10.4% Avg EV90.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	STL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.9% HR/90.98 FIP4.09 IP1152.7 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+15 Weather · Citizens Bank Park warm air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp79°F Wind9 mph W Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+15 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note79°F, wind 9 mph W (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
15	Pro pick (R)	63	-10.3	●	SF Bullpen Proxy SF @ BOS · Fenway Park	3:15p	🔵 C+	RHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%14.2% Avg EV89.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SF Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.4% HR/90.95 FIP4.21 IP1160.1 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-3 Weather · Fenway Park warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp77°F Wind6 mph ESE Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-3 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note77°F, wind 6 mph ESE (cross) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
16	Pro pick (R)	58	-12.3	●	Shane Baz (RHP) TB @ BAL · Camden Yards	1:35p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls43 BBE Barrel%9.6% Avg EV92.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	BAL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.9% HR/91.09 FIP4.13 IP1148.1000000000001 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+15 Weather · Camden Yards warm air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp81°F Wind10 mph WNW Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+15 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note81°F, wind 10 mph WNW (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
17	Pro pick (L)	58	·	●	Yusei Kikuchi (LHP) LAA @ TEX · Globe Life Field	2:35p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls17 BBE Barrel%9.5% Avg EV92.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	LAA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.0% HR/91.09 FIP4.29 IP1168.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+11 Weather · Globe Life Field hot air · light wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp103°F Wind5 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+11 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note103°F, wind 5 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
18	Pro pick (L)	58	-4.5	●	Blake Snell (LHP) PIT @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	4:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls7 BBE Barrel%8.8% Avg EV96.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	LAD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.22 FIP4.09 IP1149.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+50 Weather · Dodger Stadium hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp99°F Wind8 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+50 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note99°F, wind 8 mph SW (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
19	Pro pick (L)	57	-4.0	●	Shota Imanaga (LHP) CHC @ SEA · T-Mobile Park	4:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%10.9% Avg EV91.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CHC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB16.1% HR/91.54 FIP4.77 IP1011.1 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+8 Weather · T-Mobile Park mild air · light wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp68°F Wind5 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+8 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note68°F, wind 5 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
20	Pro pick (L)	60	+1.4	●	DET Bullpen Proxy DET @ KC · Kauffman Stadium	2:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%14.4% Avg EV93.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	DET Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.4% HR/91.06 FIP4.00 IP1171.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-15 Weather · Kauffman Stadium mild air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp69°F Wind6 mph E Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-15 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note69°F, wind 6 mph E (cross) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
21	Pro pick (L)	56	·	●	Nolan McLean (RHP) NYM @ CWS · Rate Field	2:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%9.3% Avg EV88.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	NYM Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.2% HR/91.14 FIP4.16 IP1236.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteUnknown stadium
22	Pro pick (R)	56	-12.9	●	Walker Buehler (RHP) MIN @ SD · Petco Park	4:10p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls20 BBE Barrel%11.4% Avg EV90.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.6% HR/91.09 FIP4.19 IP1112.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-24 Weather · Petco Park hot air · steady crosswind · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp94°F Wind8 mph WNW Charactercross HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind-24 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note94°F, wind 8 mph WNW (cross) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
23	Pro pick (R)	55	-10.2	●	Nick Martinez (RHP) TB @ BAL · Camden Yards	1:35p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%9.6% Avg EV92.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TB Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.24 FIP4.08 IP1122.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+12 Weather · Camden Yards warm air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp81°F Wind10 mph WNW Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+12 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note81°F, wind 10 mph WNW (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
24	Pro pick (R)	55	-5.4	●	Bryce Miller (RHP) CHC @ SEA · T-Mobile Park	4:10p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%8.8% Avg EV88.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SEA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.19 FIP3.91 IP1137.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+7 Weather · T-Mobile Park mild air · light wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp68°F Wind5 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+7 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note68°F, wind 5 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
25	Pro pick (L)	55	-6.7	●	José Soriano (RHP) TOR @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	1:35p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%8.8% Avg EV90.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.5% HR/91.02 FIP3.89 IP1089.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+46 Weather · Yankee Stadium warm air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp78°F Wind10 mph SSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+46 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note78°F, wind 10 mph SSW (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
26	Pro pick (R)	55	·	●	Brady Basso (LHP) ATH @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	2:10p	🟠 C	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%7.9% Avg EV89.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.2% HR/91.53 FIP4.97 IP1158.4 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+6 Weather · Minute Maid Park hot air · light partial wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp97°F Wind2 mph SW Characterslight_out HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+6 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note97°F, wind 2 mph SW (slight_out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
27	Pro pick (R)	55	-9.2	●	Carlos Rodón (LHP) TOR @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	1:35p	🟠 C	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%9.3% Avg EV90.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	NYY Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.6% HR/91.00 FIP3.73 IP1153.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+55 Weather · Yankee Stadium warm air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp78°F Wind10 mph SSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+55 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note78°F, wind 10 mph SSW (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
28	Pro pick (L)	54	-10.5	●	Nick Martinez (RHP) TB @ BAL · Camden Yards	1:35p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls8 BBE Barrel%9.9% Avg EV91.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TB Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.24 FIP4.08 IP1122.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+35 Weather · Camden Yards warm air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp81°F Wind10 mph WNW Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+35 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note81°F, wind 10 mph WNW (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
29	Pro pick (R)	54	·	●	Brady Basso (LHP) ATH @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	2:10p	🟠 C	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%8.9% Avg EV89.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.2% HR/91.53 FIP4.97 IP1158.4 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+6 Weather · Minute Maid Park hot air · light partial wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp97°F Wind2 mph SW Characterslight_out HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+6 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note97°F, wind 2 mph SW (slight_out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
30	Pro pick (L)	54	-0.3	●	Cristopher Sánchez (LHP) STL @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	1:35p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls40 BBE Barrel%9.1% Avg EV92.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	PHI Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.4% HR/91.21 FIP3.81 IP1120.1 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+19 Weather · Citizens Bank Park warm air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp79°F Wind9 mph W Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+19 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note79°F, wind 9 mph W (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)

🔥

Six home runs to freedom

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Slate reference

Symbol Guide

Every icon, badge, and shorthand on the slate. Hover the table itself for quick tips; use this when you want the full translation.

Row Actions

👁: WatchTrack a batter without counting him as one of today's locked picks.
🔒: LockAdd this batter to today's tracked picks. Locked picks are the choices that count.
★: FavoriteYou starred this batter so he is easier to find on crowded slates.
▲ / ▼: Conviction editYour notes or tags adjusted the recommendation score up or down.

Batter and Pitcher Marks

R L S: Batter handR = right-handed, L = left-handed, S = switch-hitter. Pitchers show RHP or LHP.
: Platoon advantageGreen means the batter has an opposite-handed or switch-hitter look.
: Neutral handGold means the matchup is neutral, most commonly righty versus righty.
: Same-side cautionRed means lefty versus lefty, usually the toughest handedness setup for hitters.
◎: Pitcher flagTop HR-susceptible pitcher. Open the row and inspect the full matchup.

Lightning and Tags

⚡: Arsenal EdgePitch-type mismatch. The batter damages a pitch the opposing pitcher throws and allows damage on. A small number means multiple exploitable pitch types.
⚡²: Chip firingOne or more saved Chips matched this batter tonight. This only appears when the Chip system is active for the user.
2: Your tag countNumber of your saved tags on the batter. Hover the number on the slate to see the tag names.
💬 ↑ ↓: Community toolsComment link and limited daily up/down votes. These are hidden when the launch-minimal UI is active.

Score and Tier

82: ScoreComposite 0-100 HR grade for tonight. Higher means more of the model's power, pitcher, park, and context signals agree.
🥇 S: S tierElite, score 95+.
🔥 A+: A+ tierPremium, score 90-94.
🟢 A: A tierExcellent, score 80-89.
🟡 B: B tierAbove average, score 70-79.
🔵 C+: C+ tierValue, score 60-69.
🟠 C: C tierBelow average, score 50-59.
⚪ D: D tierBelow 50.

Colors

Color meaning changes by surface. Percentile bars use Baseball Savant-style heat, where red means elite. Spray and wind use green for favorable and red for unfavorable.

Surface	Green	Orange	Red
Percentile bars	Average range	Above average	Elite / great
Spray chart	Favorable HR zone or wind fit	Neutral / mixed	Unfavorable zone or wind fit
Slate weather	Carry help	Neutral or dome context	Carry drag
Edge and results	Model ahead or hit	Mostly aligned / watch	Market ahead or miss

Edge

Edge is model probability minus market consensus probability, shown in percentage points.

+3.1: Model aheadThe model is higher than the market, a price-positive signal.
+0.2: Mostly alignedThe model and market are close.
-3.1: Market aheadThe book is more optimistic than the model, so treat the price with caution.

Form

🔥 HOT: HotRecent contact quality is running above the batter's baseline.
↗ WARM: WarmRecent indicators are positive, but not screaming.
— NTRL: NeutralNo meaningful hot or cold form signal.
↘ COOL: CoolRecent contact quality is softening.
❄ COLD: ColdRecent indicators are materially below baseline.

Timing and History

2d: Last HRDays since the batter's last home run.
●○: Last 5Home run results across the last five games. Filled dot = homered; open dot = did not homer.
1.6×: DueHow far past the batter's usual HR cadence he is. 1.5× or higher is strongly overdue; use it as a tiebreaker.
2: BvPHome runs versus today's pitcher in the app's data. Useful color, usually a small sample.

Bullpen

🔥: VulnerableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 15%.
!: WatchOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 12%, but below the vulnerable threshold.
✓: StableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is below 12%.
—: No readNo reliable bullpen value is available.

Weather

→: Tail / carry helpWeather modifier is +3 or better. Conditions are helping fly-ball carry.
←: Head / carry dragWeather modifier is -3 or worse. Conditions are working against carry.
⌂: Dome or retractable roofRoof context keeps weather noise low.
+24: Spray/WindOptional batter-specific wind read, comparing wind direction to where this batter usually hits home runs.

Roster and Results

●: Roster activeActive in the roster feed. This is not a health guarantee.
?: QuestionableManual availability risk flag. The batter remains visible, but the recommendation score is discounted.
IL: Injured listThe roster feed reports an IL status. These batters should be excluded from active slate scoring.
PPD: PostponedOfficial MLB game status says postponed. Treat the row as unavailable tonight.
✓: HitPast-slate result: this batter homered.
×: MissPast-slate result: no home run.
?: PendingPast-slate result has not loaded yet.

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Full board + 6-pick cards — Pro

Season · Top 50 Catch Rate

last 30 days

16.0%

▲ +3.4 pts

avg daily catch rate · vs 14.3% prior 15d

Yesterday · 2026-08-22

32 HRs

18%

6 caught / 32 HRs

in top 50

#3 Kyle Schwarber

33.1%

🟡

#20 Mickey Moniak

19.7%

🔵

#26 Bryce Harper

14.0%

🟠

#41 Heriberto Hernández

23.3%

🟠

#45 Luis García Jr.

19.7%

🟠

#46 Jake Bauers

19.2%

🟠

Missed

Nolan Arenado Jackson Merrill Randy Arozarena Jo Adell Carson Benge +21 more

7-Day Streaks

top 50 pool

🔥 Hot

Max Muncy ×7 Jordan Walker ×4 Pete Crow-Armstrong ×4 Pete Alonso ×3 Ben Rice ×2

❄️ Cold

Junior Caminero 0 of 7d Eugenio Suárez 0 of 6d Elly De La Cruz 0 of 6d Jac Caglianone 0 of 6d Yordan Alvarez 0 of 5d

Model Health · HR catch rate by tier

season-to-date

A+

C+

S 0.0%

A+ 16.7%

A 19.3%

B 20.1%

C+ 17.0%

C 13.5%

D 8.9%

Best Day

32.0%

May 29

Today · 2026-08-23

The free preview stops at 5. Tonight's board doesn't.

Yesterday's results + tonight's board. Every morning.