9
HRs allowed
12.2%
HR rate (pool)
10.3%
Overall HR/FB
2.96
FIP
3.58
xFIP
-0.62
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
28
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 28th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
75.4%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 102.6 EV · 388 ft
max EV allowed 112.8
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 1 HR
15D · 2 HR
30D · 7 HR ↑
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Shane Drohan.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Fastball Hard
30.4%
80.8
31.9°
1
-2.3
Slider Breaking
20.6%
79.0
1.9°
1
-0.9
Sinker Hard
20.1%
88.3
5.1°
2
+2.1
Curveball Breaking
13.7%
78.7
2.1°
1
+0.3
Cutter Hard
10.6%
84.6
16.2°
1
-1.4
Changeup Offspeed
4.6%
73.3
4.7°
0
+1.4
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups74
HRs allowed (pool)9
Pool HR rate12.2%
Pool HR/game day1.0
Top-15 matchups1
HRs to top-151
Overall HR/FB10.3% 28
HR/9—
FIP2.96 14
xFIP3.58
FIP − xFIP-0.62 15
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed75.4%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-16
Fastball
Hard · 30.4% usage
-2.3
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against80.8 mph
Avg launch angle31.9°
HRs allowed1
Pitches332
Slider
Breaking · 20.6% usage
-0.9
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against79.0 mph
Avg launch angle1.9°
HRs allowed1
Pitches225
Sinker
Hard · 20.1% usage
+2.1
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against88.3 mph
Avg launch angle5.1°
HRs allowed2
Pitches220
Curveball
Breaking · 13.7% usage
+0.3
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against78.7 mph
Avg launch angle2.1°
HRs allowed1
Pitches150
Cutter
Hard · 10.6% usage
-1.4
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against84.6 mph
Avg launch angle16.2°
HRs allowed1
Pitches116
Changeup
Offspeed · 4.6% usage
+1.4
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against73.3 mph
Avg launch angle4.7°
HRs allowed0
Pitches50
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Shane Drohan.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
9 allowed · scored pool
avg 102.6 EV · 388 ft
7 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 9 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-07-11
8
1
109.2
2026-07-06
9
0
107.6
2026-07-01
7
1
111.1
2026-06-24
9
1
112.8
2026-06-18
7
3
106.2
2026-06-13
8
1
106.4
2026-06-07
8
1
102.2
2026-06-01
9
1
107.7
2026-04-08
9
0
105.6
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Shane Drohan isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.