14
HRs allowed
10.5%
HR rate (pool)
10.6%
Overall HR/FB
3.1
FIP
3.65
xFIP
-0.55
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
30
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 30th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
18.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
69.8%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 102.6 EV · 394 ft
max EV allowed 115.2
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 3 HR ↑
15D · 3 HR ↑
30D · 5 HR
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Shane Drohan.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Fastball Hard
28.5%
80.8
30.4°
1
-1.9
Slider Breaking
20.7%
79.8
5.9°
2
-1.8
Sinker Hard
20.1%
87.8
4.6°
3
+2.5
Curveball Breaking
13.3%
79.2
2.4°
1
+1.2
Cutter Hard
12.4%
82.7
13.7°
1
-1.1
Changeup Offspeed
5.0%
76.4
8.6°
0
+3.2
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups133
HRs allowed (pool)14
Pool HR rate10.5%
Pool HR/game day0.88
Top-15 matchups4
HRs to top-151
Overall HR/FB10.6% 30
HR/9—
FIP3.1 15
xFIP3.65
FIP − xFIP-0.55 15
Barrel% allowed18.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed69.8%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-08-30
Fastball
Hard · 28.5% usage
-1.9
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against80.8 mph
Avg launch angle30.4°
HRs allowed1
Pitches470
Slider
Breaking · 20.7% usage
-1.8
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against79.8 mph
Avg launch angle5.9°
HRs allowed2
Pitches342
Sinker
Hard · 20.1% usage
+2.5
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against87.8 mph
Avg launch angle4.6°
HRs allowed3
Pitches331
Curveball
Breaking · 13.3% usage
+1.2
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against79.2 mph
Avg launch angle2.4°
HRs allowed1
Pitches219
Cutter
Hard · 12.4% usage
-1.1
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against82.7 mph
Avg launch angle13.7°
HRs allowed1
Pitches205
Changeup
Offspeed · 5.0% usage
+3.2
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against76.4 mph
Avg launch angle8.6°
HRs allowed0
Pitches82
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Shane Drohan.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
14 allowed · scored pool
avg 102.6 EV · 394 ft
5 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 15 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-08-29
9
2
107.7
2026-08-23
9
1
115.2
2026-08-13
7
1
111.7
2026-08-07
8
1
108.6
2026-07-31
8
0
106.4
2026-07-24
9
0
104.4
2026-07-18
9
0
104.3
2026-07-11
8
1
109.2
2026-07-06
9
0
107.6
2026-07-01
7
1
111.1
2026-06-24
9
1
112.8
2026-06-18
7
3
106.2
2026-06-13
8
1
106.4
2026-06-07
8
1
102.2
2026-06-01
9
1
107.7
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Shane Drohan isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Shane Drohan isn't on a scored slate — no park to compare his damage against.
Venue splits
HRs allowed by venue · pool
VenueFacedHRRate
66
9
14%
9
1
11%
9
1
11%
8
1
12%
8
1
12%
7
1
14%
HRs allowed ÷ scored matchups at each park · top 6 of 9. Rate is per scored matchup, not HR/9 — box-score innings aren't tracked.
Common questions about Shane Drohan
How many home runs has Shane Drohan allowed this season?
Shane Drohan has allowed 14 home runs across 16 scored game days in the TheHomeRuns pool this season.
Which batters have homered off Shane Drohan?
In the TheHomeRuns scored pool, the batters with home runs against Shane Drohan include Brandon Nimmo (1), Cody Freeman (1), David Fry (1) and 10 more.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.