Brady Basso

LHP ATH

36 matchups scored · 4 game days · 9 listed today

HRs allowed

5.6%

HR rate (pool)

12.5%

Overall HR/FB

3.32

FIP

3.82

xFIP

-0.50

FIP − xFIP gap

#27

Leakiest SP today (of 30, by FIP−xFIP)

Leak meter STINGY

LEAKY 45

season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone

Tonight's read

vulnerability percentile · model flags

no model flags today

Vulnerability 45th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
7 of 9 listed bats hold the platoon edge

Where he leaks

quality of contact allowed · season

Barrel% allowed

13.9%

Hard-Hit% allowed

55.6%

Fly-ball rate

—

avg HR 96.0 EV · 360 ft max EV allowed 110.7

Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.

Recent form

HR allowed by scored game day

7D · 0 HR 15D · 2 HR 30D · 2 HR

Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.

TOR @ ATH 3:05p · Sutter Health Park Park 1.23 Wind 7.0 NW cross Roof open · 89°F BP FIP 4.88 BP HR 14.9% 2L / 6R listed (+1S) · lineup: confirmed

Threat Matrix

tonight's lineup × his arsenal families

cell = batter Barrel% vs that pitch family — higher runs hotter cold hot

Overall Score

Neutral · 1

14 Kazuma Okamoto R Edge

13.4% C+ 63

Long shots · 8 — below the fade line

104 Brandon Valenzuela S Edge

7.1% D 45

114 Alejandro Kirk R Edge

3.9% D 44

164 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. R Edge

6.6% D 40

169 Charles Mcadoo R Edge

5.2% D 39

189 Andres Gimenez L

3.5% D 36

191 Myles Straw R Edge

3.1% D 36

199 Ernie Clement R Edge

2.1% D 35

244 Brett Bateman L

0.0% D 27

7 of 9 listed bats hold the platoon edge. Cells are each batter's season damage vs that family (not vs this pitcher specifically).

Arsenal ledger

per-pitch damage against · season

No arsenal data cached for this pitcher.

Full ledger

pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked

Pool matchups36

HRs allowed (pool)2

Pool HR rate5.6%

Pool HR/game day0.5

Top-15 matchups1

HRs to top-150

Overall HR/FB12.5% 45

HR/9—

FIP3.32 21

xFIP3.82

FIP − xFIP-0.50 17

Barrel% allowed13.9%

Hard-Hit% allowed55.6%

FB%—

K/9—

BB/9—

WHIP—

IP—

Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-09-09

No arsenal data cached for this pitcher.

Pitcher vs. Batter

career PA vs tonight's listed order

BatterPAHHRKwOBALast damage

Kazuma Okamoto R 0———— never faced

Brandon Valenzuela S 0———— never faced

Alejandro Kirk R 0———— never faced

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. R 0———— never faced

Charles Mcadoo R 0———— never faced

Andres Gimenez L 0———— never faced

Myles Straw R 0———— never faced

Ernie Clement R 0———— never faced

Brett Bateman L 0———— never faced

BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.

HR Log

2 allowed · scored pool

avg 96.0 EV · 360 ft 2 in last 30D

DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist

2026-08-23 Isaac Paredes #117 45 Minute Maid Park 96.6 38.0° 350

2026-08-23 Jose Altuve #134 43 Minute Maid Park 95.4 28.0° 370

Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.

Game-day log

last 4 scored game days · pool

DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV

2026-09-01 Globe Life Field 9 0 110.7

2026-08-23 Minute Maid Park 9 2 104.7

2026-08-18 Kauffman Stadium 9 0 107.6

2026-07-25 Target Field 9 0 105.4

Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.

Tonight — Sutter Health Park

open-air · game-window conditions

Park Factor 1.233 Wind 7 mph from NW Temp 89°F Roof Open

TimeWindTempFIT

3:05p 7 89° +8

4:05p 7 89° +8

5:05p 7 89° +8

6:05p 7 89° +8

7:05p 7 89° +8

Slight green alignment

park + weather FIT · batter-neutral signal

Game-window avg wind 7 mph from NW

FIT = park + game-window weather HR signal, batter-neutral. Per-batter spray overlays live on each batter's profile.

Fences vs his leak

wall distance · damage overlay

325ft

avg

403ft

avg

325ft

avg

No short porch vs league HRs allowed avg 360 ft · n=2 by hand — L 0 · R 2

A's temporary park (Sacramento)

Fence marks are published; power-alley + pull-side depths come from the park's outfield geometry, calibrated to those marks. We don't track HR spray direction — pull side is inferred from batter handedness (LHH→RF, RHH→LF), not a measured read.

Venue splits

HRs allowed by venue · pool

VenueFacedHRRate

Minute Maid Park 9 2 22%

Globe Life Field 9 0 0%

Kauffman Stadium 9 0 0%

Target Field 9 0 0%

HRs allowed ÷ scored matchups at each park. Rate is per scored matchup, not HR/9 — box-score innings aren't tracked.

⚾

Six home runs to freedom

Brady Basso's full pitcher profile is waiting

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36 more waiting in the on-deck circle

Common questions about Brady Basso

Is Brady Basso likely to give up a home run tonight?

Brady Basso pitches tonight (TOR @ ATH at Sutter Health Park). This season he has allowed 2 home runs across 4 scored game days. TheHomeRuns model scores every batter he faces; see the matchup table on this page for tonight's most dangerous bats. Model output, not a guarantee. Not gambling advice.

How many home runs has Brady Basso allowed this season?

Brady Basso has allowed 2 home runs across 4 scored game days in the TheHomeRuns pool this season.

Which batters have homered off Brady Basso?

In the TheHomeRuns scored pool, the batters with home runs against Brady Basso include Isaac Paredes (1), Jose Altuve (1).

Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.