Today · 2026-08-22

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⭐ Today's Slate

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Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather

🥇 Golden Slate 4 top-15 batters face HR-prone pitchers

#6 Jordan Walker vs Andrew Painter FIP 5.48 HR/FB 25.0% #7 Pro pick vs Ryan Johnson FIP 6.67 HR/FB 21.4% #10 Pro pick vs Andrew Painter FIP 5.48 HR/FB 22.0% #11 Pro pick vs Ryan Johnson FIP 6.67 HR/FB 21.4%

📦 STACK Jared Jones FIP 4.22 HR/FB 26.1% → #3 Max Muncy, #4 Shohei Ohtani

📦 STACK Christian Scott FIP 3.42 HR/FB 20.0% → #5 Munetaka Murakami, #15 Pro pick

📦 STACK Andrew Painter FIP 5.48 HR/FB 25.0% → #6 Jordan Walker, #10 Pro pick

📦 STACK Ryan Johnson FIP 6.67 HR/FB 21.4% → #7 Pro pick, #11 Pro pick

2025 full-season backtest

2025 backtest: a top-15 pick went yard on 92.9% of slates · top-50 picks hit 1.6x the field

Sample window: 2025 full-season backtest · 182 slates · 2025-03-27 to 2025-09-28 Live 2026 is current through 2026-08-21. Past performance ≠ guarantee.

92.9% top-15 slates, 2025

1.6x top-50 vs field

92.4% Live 2026 top-15

See the full record

#	Batter	Score	Edge	Roster	Pitcher · Game	Time	Tier	Hand	'26 HR	Form	Last HR	Last 5	Due	BvP	BP	Weather
1	Kyle Schwarber (L)	78	-6.3	●	STL Bullpen Proxy STL @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	6:05p	🟡 B	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	37	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%17.6% Avg EV93.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	9d Last HR · 2026-08-13 OffTaj Bradley Exit Velo108.0 mph Angle39.0° Distance355 ft StadiumField of Dreams	○○○○○	1.5×	·	STL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.1% HR/90.99 FIP4.10 IP1138.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+11 Weather · Citizens Bank Park warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp72°F Wind7 mph SSE Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+11 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 36 HR Note72°F, wind 7 mph SSE (out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
2	Max Muncy (L) ²	69	-7.9	●	Jared Jones (RHP) PIT @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	7:15p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	6	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls47 BBE Barrel%10.9% Avg EV90.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-08-21 OffBubba Chandler Exit Velo104.3 mph Angle40.0° Distance392 ft StadiumDodger Stadium	●●○●●	0.0×	·	PIT Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.6% HR/91.06 FIP4.01 IP1115.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+41 Weather · Dodger Stadium hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp91°F Wind8 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+41 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 31 HR Note91°F, wind 8 mph SW (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
3	Shohei Ohtani (L) ³	69	-14.1	●	Jared Jones (RHP) PIT @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	7:15p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	30	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%11.8% Avg EV93.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	4d Last HR · 2026-08-18 OffRyan Feltner Exit Velo105.6 mph Angle33.0° Distance448 ft StadiumCoors Field	○●●○○	0.5×	1	PIT Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.6% HR/91.06 FIP4.01 IP1115.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+41 Weather · Dodger Stadium hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp91°F Wind8 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+41 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 30 HR Note91°F, wind 8 mph SW (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
4	Munetaka Murakami (L) ³	69	-11.7	●	Christian Scott (RHP) NYM @ CWS · Rate Field	7:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	29	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%12.2% Avg EV94.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	4d Last HR · 2026-08-18 OffKevin Gausman Exit Velo111.1 mph Angle39.0° Distance406 ft StadiumWrigley Field	○●○○○	1.0×	·	NYM Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.7% HR/91.10 FIP4.11 IP1203.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 29 HR NoteUnknown stadium
5	Jordan Walker (R) ³	68	-6.2	●	Andrew Painter (RHP) STL @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	6:05p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	27	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls44 BBE Barrel%10.4% Avg EV92.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-08-21 OffJesús Luzardo Exit Velo107.3 mph Angle23.0° Distance392 ft StadiumCitizens Bank Park	○○●●●	0.0×	·	PHI Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.4% HR/91.20 FIP3.82 IP1101.1 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+27 Weather · Citizens Bank Park warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp72°F Wind7 mph SSE Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+27 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 26 HR Note72°F, wind 7 mph SSE (out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
6	Pro pick (L) ³	65	-12.4	●	Jacob Lopez (LHP) ATH @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	7:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%10.0% Avg EV94.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.3% HR/91.54 FIP5.01 IP1143.0 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+33 Weather · Minute Maid Park hot air · steady wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp96°F Wind11 mph SE Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+33 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceblend · 3 HR Note96°F, wind 11 mph SE (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
7	Pro pick (L) ³	65	-7.2	●	Ryan Johnson (RHP) LAA @ TEX · Globe Life Field	7:05p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls16 BBE Barrel%11.0% Avg EV92.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	LAA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.12 FIP4.31 IP1146.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-18 Weather · Globe Life Field hot air · light wind in · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp97°F Wind4 mph NE Characterin HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind-18 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR Note97°F, wind 4 mph NE (in) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
8	Pro pick (L) ³	68	-7.1	●	SEA Bullpen Proxy CHC @ SEA · T-Mobile Park	7:15p	🔵 C+	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%12.7% Avg EV90.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SEA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.9% HR/91.14 FIP3.85 IP1117.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+18 Weather · T-Mobile Park warm air · steady wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp74°F Wind8 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+18 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 30 HR Note74°F, wind 8 mph SW (out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
9	Pro pick (L) ³	63	-5.5	●	Dylan Cease (RHP) TOR @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	1:35p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%8.9% Avg EV92.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.5% HR/91.02 FIP3.89 IP1076.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-27 Weather · Yankee Stadium warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp73°F Wind6 mph SE Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-27 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 33 HR Note73°F, wind 6 mph SE (cross) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
10	Pro pick (L) ³	63	-5.3	●	Andrew Painter (RHP) STL @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	6:05p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls39 BBE Barrel%9.8% Avg EV92.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	PHI Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.4% HR/91.20 FIP3.82 IP1101.1 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+10 Weather · Citizens Bank Park warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp72°F Wind7 mph SSE Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+10 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note72°F, wind 7 mph SSE (out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
11	Pro pick (L) ³	63	-9.9	●	Ryan Johnson (RHP) LAA @ TEX · Globe Life Field	7:05p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%12.9% Avg EV91.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	LAA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.12 FIP4.31 IP1146.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-17 Weather · Globe Life Field hot air · light wind in · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp97°F Wind4 mph NE Characterin HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind-17 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 13 HR Note97°F, wind 4 mph NE (in) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
12	Pro pick (L) ³	62	-14.4	●	Logan Henderson (RHP) ATL @ MIL · American Family Field	2:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%11.5% Avg EV92.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	MIL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.9% HR/91.01 FIP3.58 IP1110.1 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+38 Weather · American Family Field warm air · steady wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp73°F Wind12 mph NW Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+38 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 36 HR Note73°F, wind 12 mph NW (out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
13	Pro pick (R) ³	62	-8.2	●	Shane McClanahan (LHP) TB @ BAL · Camden Yards	7:05p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls41 BBE Barrel%10.9% Avg EV94.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TB Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.24 FIP4.09 IP1113.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+7 Weather · Camden Yards mild air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp71°F Wind6 mph SE Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+7 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 29 HR Note71°F, wind 6 mph SE (slight_out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
14	Pro pick (L) ³	61	-2.9	●	Tarik Skubal (LHP) PIT @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	7:15p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls6 BBE Barrel%11.0% Avg EV96.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	LAD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.23 FIP4.11 IP1137.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+42 Weather · Dodger Stadium hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp91°F Wind8 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+42 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 15 HR Note91°F, wind 8 mph SW (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
15	Pro pick (R) ³	61	-8.8	●	Christian Scott (RHP) NYM @ CWS · Rate Field	7:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%10.1% Avg EV90.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	NYM Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.7% HR/91.10 FIP4.11 IP1203.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 28 HR NoteUnknown stadium
16	Pro pick (R) ³	61	-11.0	●	Brandon Young (RHP) TB @ BAL · Camden Yards	7:05p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls41 BBE Barrel%9.6% Avg EV92.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	BAL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.8% HR/91.09 FIP4.13 IP1124.1 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+18 Weather · Camden Yards mild air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp71°F Wind6 mph SE Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+18 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 35 HR Note71°F, wind 6 mph SE (slight_out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
17	Pro pick (L) ³	60	-12.9	●	Tanner Bibee (RHP) CLE @ COL · Coors Field	8:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%9.5% Avg EV89.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CLE Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.1% HR/91.15 FIP3.92 IP1107.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+29 Weather · Coors Field warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp73°F Wind5 mph E Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+29 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 20 HR Note73°F, wind 5 mph E (cross) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
18	Pro pick (L) ³	59	-3.5	●	Tarik Skubal (LHP) PIT @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	7:15p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%9.6% Avg EV91.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	LAD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.23 FIP4.11 IP1137.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+41 Weather · Dodger Stadium hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp91°F Wind8 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+41 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 27 HR Note91°F, wind 8 mph SW (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
19	Pro pick (R) ³	59	-7.1	●	Jacob Lopez (LHP) ATH @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	7:10p	🟠 C	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%7.3% Avg EV89.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.3% HR/91.54 FIP5.01 IP1143.0 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+32 Weather · Minute Maid Park hot air · steady wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp96°F Wind11 mph SE Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+32 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 23 HR Note96°F, wind 11 mph SE (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
20	Pro pick (L) ³	58	-1.9	●	Drew Anderson (RHP) DET @ KC · Kauffman Stadium	7:15p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%10.8% Avg EV93.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	DET Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.0% HR/91.02 FIP3.95 IP1147.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-26 Weather · Kauffman Stadium warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp77°F Wind5 mph NNE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-26 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note77°F, wind 5 mph NNE (in) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
21	Pro pick (R) ³	58	-5.8	●	Ryan Johnson (RHP) LAA @ TEX · Globe Life Field	7:05p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%10.8% Avg EV89.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	LAA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.12 FIP4.31 IP1146.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-11 Weather · Globe Life Field hot air · light wind in · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp97°F Wind4 mph NE Characterin HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind-11 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note97°F, wind 4 mph NE (in) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
22	Pro pick (L) ³	61	-3.3	●	STL Bullpen Proxy STL @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	6:05p	🔵 C+	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%11.0% Avg EV90.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	STL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.1% HR/90.99 FIP4.10 IP1138.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+21 Weather · Citizens Bank Park warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp72°F Wind7 mph SSE Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+21 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 25 HR Note72°F, wind 7 mph SSE (out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
23	Pro pick (R) ³	57	-4.4	●	Jacob Lopez (LHP) ATH @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	7:10p	🟠 C	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls25 BBE Barrel%8.1% Avg EV89.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.3% HR/91.54 FIP5.01 IP1143.0 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+33 Weather · Minute Maid Park hot air · steady wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp96°F Wind11 mph SE Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+33 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 17 HR Note96°F, wind 11 mph SE (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
24	Pro pick (R) ³	57	-4.8	●	Ryan Weathers (LHP) TOR @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	1:35p	🟠 C	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%10.1% Avg EV90.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	NYY Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.8% HR/91.01 FIP3.76 IP1135.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-7 Weather · Yankee Stadium warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp73°F Wind6 mph SE Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-7 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 25 HR Note73°F, wind 6 mph SE (cross) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
25	Pro pick (R) ³	56	-7.3	●	Shane McClanahan (LHP) TB @ BAL · Camden Yards	7:05p	🟠 C	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%10.1% Avg EV92.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TB Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.24 FIP4.09 IP1113.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+22 Weather · Camden Yards mild air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp71°F Wind6 mph SE Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+22 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 15 HR Note71°F, wind 6 mph SE (slight_out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
26	Pro pick (R) ³	56	-6.4	●	Blade Tidwell (RHP) SF @ BOS · Fenway Park	7:15p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%9.8% Avg EV90.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SF Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.4% HR/90.95 FIP4.20 IP1143.2 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-27 Weather · Fenway Park mild air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp71°F Wind5 mph NE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-27 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 25 HR Note71°F, wind 5 mph NE (in) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
27	Pro pick (L) ³	55	-12.7	●	Christian Scott (RHP) NYM @ CWS · Rate Field	7:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%9.2% Avg EV88.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	NYM Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.7% HR/91.10 FIP4.11 IP1203.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 25 HR NoteUnknown stadium
28	Pro pick (R) ³	55	-6.7	●	Ryan Johnson (RHP) LAA @ TEX · Globe Life Field	7:05p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%9.2% Avg EV89.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	LAA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.12 FIP4.31 IP1146.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-4 Weather · Globe Life Field hot air · light wind in · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp97°F Wind4 mph NE Characterin HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind-4 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 14 HR Note97°F, wind 4 mph NE (in) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
29	Pro pick (L) ³	54	-4.1	●	David Peterson (LHP) CHC @ SEA · T-Mobile Park	7:15p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%9.2% Avg EV91.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CHC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB16.1% HR/91.54 FIP4.77 IP999.5 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+18 Weather · T-Mobile Park warm air · steady wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp74°F Wind8 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+18 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 19 HR Note74°F, wind 8 mph SW (out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
30	Pro pick (R) ³	54	-5.3	●	Michael Wacha (RHP) DET @ KC · Kauffman Stadium	7:15p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%8.7% Avg EV88.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	KC Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.5% HR/91.31 FIP4.74 IP1088.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-29 Weather · Kauffman Stadium warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp77°F Wind5 mph NNE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-29 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 26 HR Note77°F, wind 5 mph NNE (in) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)

🔥

Six home runs to freedom

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Slate reference

Symbol Guide

Every icon, badge, and shorthand on the slate. Hover the table itself for quick tips; use this when you want the full translation.

Row Actions

👁: WatchTrack a batter without counting him as one of today's locked picks.
🔒: LockAdd this batter to today's tracked picks. Locked picks are the choices that count.
★: FavoriteYou starred this batter so he is easier to find on crowded slates.
▲ / ▼: Conviction editYour notes or tags adjusted the recommendation score up or down.

Batter and Pitcher Marks

R L S: Batter handR = right-handed, L = left-handed, S = switch-hitter. Pitchers show RHP or LHP.
: Platoon advantageGreen means the batter has an opposite-handed or switch-hitter look.
: Neutral handGold means the matchup is neutral, most commonly righty versus righty.
: Same-side cautionRed means lefty versus lefty, usually the toughest handedness setup for hitters.
◎: Pitcher flagTop HR-susceptible pitcher. Open the row and inspect the full matchup.

Lightning and Tags

⚡: Arsenal EdgePitch-type mismatch. The batter damages a pitch the opposing pitcher throws and allows damage on. A small number means multiple exploitable pitch types.
⚡²: Chip firingOne or more saved Chips matched this batter tonight. This only appears when the Chip system is active for the user.
2: Your tag countNumber of your saved tags on the batter. Hover the number on the slate to see the tag names.
💬 ↑ ↓: Community toolsComment link and limited daily up/down votes. These are hidden when the launch-minimal UI is active.

Score and Tier

82: ScoreComposite 0-100 HR grade for tonight. Higher means more of the model's power, pitcher, park, and context signals agree.
🥇 S: S tierElite, score 95+.
🔥 A+: A+ tierPremium, score 90-94.
🟢 A: A tierExcellent, score 80-89.
🟡 B: B tierAbove average, score 70-79.
🔵 C+: C+ tierValue, score 60-69.
🟠 C: C tierBelow average, score 50-59.
⚪ D: D tierBelow 50.

Colors

Color meaning changes by surface. Percentile bars use Baseball Savant-style heat, where red means elite. Spray and wind use green for favorable and red for unfavorable.

Surface	Green	Orange	Red
Percentile bars	Average range	Above average	Elite / great
Spray chart	Favorable HR zone or wind fit	Neutral / mixed	Unfavorable zone or wind fit
Slate weather	Carry help	Neutral or dome context	Carry drag
Edge and results	Model ahead or hit	Mostly aligned / watch	Market ahead or miss

Edge

Edge is model probability minus market consensus probability, shown in percentage points.

+3.1: Model aheadThe model is higher than the market, a price-positive signal.
+0.2: Mostly alignedThe model and market are close.
-3.1: Market aheadThe book is more optimistic than the model, so treat the price with caution.

Form

🔥 HOT: HotRecent contact quality is running above the batter's baseline.
↗ WARM: WarmRecent indicators are positive, but not screaming.
— NTRL: NeutralNo meaningful hot or cold form signal.
↘ COOL: CoolRecent contact quality is softening.
❄ COLD: ColdRecent indicators are materially below baseline.

Timing and History

2d: Last HRDays since the batter's last home run.
●○: Last 5Home run results across the last five games. Filled dot = homered; open dot = did not homer.
1.6×: DueHow far past the batter's usual HR cadence he is. 1.5× or higher is strongly overdue; use it as a tiebreaker.
2: BvPHome runs versus today's pitcher in the app's data. Useful color, usually a small sample.

Bullpen

🔥: VulnerableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 15%.
!: WatchOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 12%, but below the vulnerable threshold.
✓: StableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is below 12%.
—: No readNo reliable bullpen value is available.

Weather

→: Tail / carry helpWeather modifier is +3 or better. Conditions are helping fly-ball carry.
←: Head / carry dragWeather modifier is -3 or worse. Conditions are working against carry.
⌂: Dome or retractable roofRoof context keeps weather noise low.
+24: Spray/WindOptional batter-specific wind read, comparing wind direction to where this batter usually hits home runs.

Roster and Results

●: Roster activeActive in the roster feed. This is not a health guarantee.
?: QuestionableManual availability risk flag. The batter remains visible, but the recommendation score is discounted.
IL: Injured listThe roster feed reports an IL status. These batters should be excluded from active slate scoring.
PPD: PostponedOfficial MLB game status says postponed. Treat the row as unavailable tonight.
✓: HitPast-slate result: this batter homered.
×: MissPast-slate result: no home run.
?: PendingPast-slate result has not loaded yet.

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Full board + 6-pick cards — Pro

Season · Top 50 Catch Rate

last 30 days

16.4%

▲ +2.6 pts

avg daily catch rate · vs 15.1% prior 15d

Yesterday · 2026-08-21

25 HRs

44%

11 caught / 25 HRs

in top 50

#5 Max Muncy

25.8%

🔵

#7 Max Muncy

30.9%

🔵

#8 Miguel Vargas

29.7%

🔵

#9 Pete Crow-Armstrong

28.8%

🔵

#10 Pete Alonso

28.4%

🔵

#14 Jordan Walker

30.3%

🟠

#17 Oneil Cruz

22.2%

🟠

#27 Colson Montgomery

17.2%

🟠

#28 Randal Grichuk

16.9%

🟠

#41 Willson Contreras

22.9%

🟠

#49 Ian Happ

17.7%

🟠

Missed

Rafael Devers Spencer Jones Ty France Cal Raleigh Carter Jensen +9 more

7-Day Streaks

top 50 pool

🔥 Hot

Max Muncy ×7 Pete Alonso ×4 Jordan Walker ×4 Pete Crow-Armstrong ×4 Alec Burleson ×2

❄️ Cold

Elly De La Cruz 0 of 7d Junior Caminero 0 of 7d Eugenio Suárez 0 of 7d Bryce Harper 0 of 6d Kyle Schwarber 0 of 6d

Model Health · HR catch rate by tier

season-to-date

A+

C+

S 0.0%

A+ 16.7%

A 19.3%

B 20.0%

C+ 17.1%

C 13.5%

D 8.9%

Best Day

32.0%

May 29

Today · 2026-08-22

The free preview stops at 5. Tonight's board doesn't.

Yesterday's results + tonight's board. Every morning.