Today · 2026-08-21

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⭐ Today's Slate

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Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather

2025 full-season backtest

2025 backtest: a top-15 pick went yard on 92.9% of slates · top-50 picks hit 1.6x the field

Sample window: 2025 full-season backtest · 182 slates · 2025-03-27 to 2025-09-28 Live 2026 is current through 2026-08-20. Past performance ≠ guarantee.

92.9% top-15 slates, 2025

1.6x top-50 vs field

92.4% Live 2026 top-15

See the full record

#	Batter	Score	Edge	Roster	Pitcher · Game	Time	Tier	Hand	'26 HR	Form	Last HR	Last 5	Due	BvP	BP	Weather
1	Kyle Schwarber (L)	78	·	●	STL Bullpen Proxy STL @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	6:40p	🟡 B	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	37	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%17.6% Avg EV93.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	8d Last HR · 2026-08-13 OffTaj Bradley Exit Velo108.0 mph Angle39.0° Distance355 ft StadiumField of Dreams	○○○○○	1.2×	·	STL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.1% HR/90.99 FIP4.09 IP1129.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+3 Weather · Citizens Bank Park warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp77°F Wind1 mph NE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+3 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 36 HR Note77°F, wind 1 mph NE (in) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
2	Munetaka Murakami (L) ⁴	74	-5.8	●	Sean Manaea (LHP) NYM @ CWS · Rate Field	7:40p	🟡 B	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	29	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%14.0% Avg EV94.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-08-18 OffKevin Gausman Exit Velo111.1 mph Angle39.0° Distance406 ft StadiumWrigley Field	●○●○○	0.7×	·	NYM Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.8% HR/91.10 FIP4.11 IP1203.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 29 HR NoteUnknown stadium
3	Ben Rice (L)	73	-2.8	●	TOR Bullpen Proxy TOR @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	7:05p	🟡 B	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	34	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%15.1% Avg EV92.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-08-19 OffChris Bassitt Exit Velo110.2 mph Angle33.0° Distance447 ft StadiumCamden Yards	○●○●○	0.3×	·	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.6% HR/91.03 FIP3.91 IP1067.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-26 Weather · Yankee Stadium warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74°F Wind5 mph E Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-26 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 33 HR Note74°F, wind 5 mph E (in) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
4	Shohei Ohtani (L) ³	66	-16.9	●	Bubba Chandler (RHP) PIT @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	10:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	30	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%9.9% Avg EV93.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-08-18 OffRyan Feltner Exit Velo105.6 mph Angle33.0° Distance448 ft StadiumCoors Field	○○●●○	0.2×	·	PIT Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.6% HR/91.06 FIP4.01 IP1115.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+27 Weather · Dodger Stadium hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp84°F Wind6 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+27 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 30 HR Note84°F, wind 6 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
5	Miguel Vargas (R) ⁵	65	-8.9	●	Sean Manaea (LHP) NYM @ CWS · Rate Field	7:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	28	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%11.6% Avg EV90.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	5d Last HR · 2026-08-16 OffJacob Waguespack Exit Velo98.0 mph Angle30.0° Distance381 ft StadiumComerica Park	●○○○○	0.8×	·	NYM Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.8% HR/91.10 FIP4.11 IP1203.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 28 HR NoteUnknown stadium
6	Pro pick (L) ⁵	64	-13.8	●	Bubba Chandler (RHP) PIT @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	10:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls46 BBE Barrel%9.2% Avg EV90.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	PIT Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.6% HR/91.06 FIP4.01 IP1115.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+26 Weather · Dodger Stadium hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp84°F Wind6 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+26 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 31 HR Note84°F, wind 6 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
7	Pro pick (L) ⁵	63	-15.0	●	J.T. Ginn (RHP) ATH @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	8:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%10.2% Avg EV94.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.3% HR/91.54 FIP5.01 IP1137.4 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+36 Weather · Minute Maid Park hot air · strong wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp94°F Wind14 mph S Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+36 · Green alignment Spray Sourceblend · 3 HR Note94°F, wind 14 mph S (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
8	Pro pick (L) ⁵	63	-10.3	●	Emerson Hancock (RHP) CHC @ SEA · T-Mobile Park	10:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%10.2% Avg EV90.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SEA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.0% HR/91.15 FIP3.86 IP1111.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+9 Weather · T-Mobile Park warm air · light partial wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp79°F Wind4 mph WNW Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+9 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 30 HR Note79°F, wind 4 mph WNW (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
9	Pro pick (R) ⁵	63	-10.0	●	Freddy Peralta (RHP) TB @ BAL · Camden Yards	7:15p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%9.4% Avg EV94.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TB Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.4% HR/91.22 FIP4.07 IP1103.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-18 Weather · Camden Yards warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp73°F Wind4 mph E Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-18 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 29 HR Note73°F, wind 4 mph E (cross) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
10	Pro pick (L) ⁵	60	·	●	Reid Detmers (LHP) LAA @ TEX · Globe Life Field	8:15p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls18 BBE Barrel%9.6% Avg EV92.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	LAA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.4% HR/91.13 FIP4.34 IP1135.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+3 Weather · Globe Life Field hot air · light wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp102°F Wind6 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+3 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR Note102°F, wind 6 mph SW (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
11	Pro pick (R) ⁵	60	-13.9	●	Trevor Rogers (LHP) TB @ BAL · Camden Yards	7:15p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%9.7% Avg EV92.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	BAL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.7% HR/91.08 FIP4.13 IP1114.8 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-11 Weather · Camden Yards warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp73°F Wind4 mph E Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-11 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 35 HR Note73°F, wind 4 mph E (cross) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
12	Pro pick (R) ⁵	63	·	●	SD Bullpen Proxy MIN @ SD · Petco Park	9:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls14 BBE Barrel%16.9% Avg EV90.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.8% HR/91.11 FIP4.21 IP1097.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+3 Weather · Petco Park warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp80°F Wind6 mph WSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+3 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 25 HR Note80°F, wind 6 mph WSW (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
13	Pro pick (L) ⁵	59	-7.1	●	Yoshinobu Yamamoto (RHP) PIT @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	10:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%9.1% Avg EV91.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	LAD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.23 FIP4.11 IP1137.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+23 Weather · Dodger Stadium hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp84°F Wind6 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+23 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 27 HR Note84°F, wind 6 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
14	Pro pick (L) ⁵	59	-9.0	●	Yoshinobu Yamamoto (RHP) PIT @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	10:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls3 BBE Barrel%10.4% Avg EV96.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	LAD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.23 FIP4.11 IP1137.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+26 Weather · Dodger Stadium hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp84°F Wind6 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+26 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 15 HR Note84°F, wind 6 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
15	Pro pick (L) ⁵	58	-9.3	●	Joey Cantillo (LHP) CLE @ COL · Coors Field	8:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%9.5% Avg EV89.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CLE Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.1% HR/91.15 FIP3.92 IP1098.6000000000001 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+30 Weather · Coors Field warm air · strong crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp76°F Wind15 mph NW Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+30 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 20 HR Note76°F, wind 15 mph NW (cross) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
16	Pro pick (R) ⁵	58	·	●	Jesús Luzardo (LHP) STL @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	6:40p	🟠 C	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls41 BBE Barrel%8.9% Avg EV92.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	PHI Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.4% HR/91.20 FIP3.82 IP1101.1 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+8 Weather · Citizens Bank Park warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp77°F Wind1 mph NE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+8 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 25 HR Note77°F, wind 1 mph NE (in) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
17	Pro pick (L) ⁵	61	·	●	STL Bullpen Proxy STL @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	6:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%11.0% Avg EV90.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	STL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.1% HR/90.99 FIP4.09 IP1129.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+6 Weather · Citizens Bank Park warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp77°F Wind1 mph NE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+6 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 25 HR Note77°F, wind 1 mph NE (in) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
18	Pro pick (L) ⁵	57	-9.6	●	Jacob Misiorowski (RHP) ATL @ MIL · American Family Field	4:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%7.8% Avg EV92.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	MIL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.0% HR/91.02 FIP3.59 IP1101.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-12 Weather · American Family Field warm air · steady crosswind · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp77°F Wind11 mph SW Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-12 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 36 HR Note77°F, wind 11 mph SW (cross) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
19	Pro pick (L) ⁵	57	-6.1	●	Sean Manaea (LHP) NYM @ CWS · Rate Field	7:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls25 BBE Barrel%10.5% Avg EV88.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	NYM Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.8% HR/91.10 FIP4.11 IP1203.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 25 HR NoteUnknown stadium
20	Pro pick (R) ⁵	57	-6.1	●	J.T. Ginn (RHP) ATH @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	8:10p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%7.4% Avg EV89.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.3% HR/91.54 FIP5.01 IP1137.4 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+25 Weather · Minute Maid Park hot air · strong wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp94°F Wind14 mph S Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+25 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 23 HR Note94°F, wind 14 mph S (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
21	Pro pick (L) ⁵	57	-3.7	●	Matthew Boyd (LHP) CHC @ SEA · T-Mobile Park	10:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%11.3% Avg EV91.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CHC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB16.1% HR/91.54 FIP4.77 IP999.5 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+10 Weather · T-Mobile Park warm air · light partial wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp79°F Wind4 mph WNW Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+10 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 19 HR Note79°F, wind 4 mph WNW (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
22	Pro pick (R) ⁵	56	-3.5	●	J.T. Ginn (RHP) ATH @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	8:10p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls22 BBE Barrel%8.2% Avg EV89.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.3% HR/91.54 FIP5.01 IP1137.4 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+25 Weather · Minute Maid Park hot air · strong wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp94°F Wind14 mph S Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+25 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 17 HR Note94°F, wind 14 mph S (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
23	Pro pick (R) ⁵	56	-6.4	●	MacKenzie Gore (LHP) LAA @ TEX · Globe Life Field	8:15p	🟠 C	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%11.8% Avg EV90.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TEX Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.25 FIP4.18 IP1087.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+18 Weather · Globe Life Field hot air · light wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp102°F Wind6 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+18 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 20 HR Note102°F, wind 6 mph SW (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
24	Pro pick (L) ⁵	56	-5.1	●	Nick Lodolo (LHP) CIN @ AZ · Chase Field	9:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%10.0% Avg EV91.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.27 FIP4.69 IP1094.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+13 Weather · Chase Field hot air · steady partial wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp110°F Wind8 mph W Characterslight_out HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+13 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 18 HR Note110°F, wind 8 mph W (slight_out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
25	Pro pick (R) ⁵	56	·	●	Freddy Peralta (RHP) TB @ BAL · Camden Yards	7:15p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%8.7% Avg EV92.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TB Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.4% HR/91.22 FIP4.07 IP1103.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-7 Weather · Camden Yards warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp73°F Wind4 mph E Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-7 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 15 HR Note73°F, wind 4 mph E (cross) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
26	Pro pick (L) ⁵	55	·	●	Troy Melton (RHP) DET @ KC · Kauffman Stadium	8:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%9.0% Avg EV93.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	DET Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.0% HR/91.02 FIP3.95 IP1147.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-13 Weather · Kauffman Stadium hot air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp84°F Wind5 mph ESE Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-13 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note84°F, wind 5 mph ESE (cross) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
27	Pro pick (R) ⁵	54	-7.9	●	Emerson Hancock (RHP) CHC @ SEA · T-Mobile Park	10:10p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%9.5% Avg EV88.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SEA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.0% HR/91.15 FIP3.86 IP1111.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+10 Weather · T-Mobile Park warm air · light partial wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp79°F Wind4 mph WNW Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+10 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR Note79°F, wind 4 mph WNW (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
28	Pro pick (L) ⁵	54	·	●	Jesús Luzardo (LHP) STL @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	6:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%8.3% Avg EV92.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	PHI Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.4% HR/91.20 FIP3.82 IP1101.1 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+3 Weather · Citizens Bank Park warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp77°F Wind1 mph NE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+3 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note77°F, wind 1 mph NE (in) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
29	Pro pick (L) ⁵	53	-10.7	●	Freddy Peralta (RHP) TB @ BAL · Camden Yards	7:15p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls2 BBE Barrel%9.0% Avg EV91.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TB Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.4% HR/91.22 FIP4.07 IP1103.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-22 Weather · Camden Yards warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp73°F Wind4 mph E Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-22 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 16 HR Note73°F, wind 4 mph E (cross) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
30	Pro pick (R) ⁵	53	-5.1	●	Noah Cameron (LHP) DET @ KC · Kauffman Stadium	8:10p	🟠 C	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%9.2% Avg EV88.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	KC Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.5% HR/91.32 FIP4.75 IP1083.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-17 Weather · Kauffman Stadium hot air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp84°F Wind5 mph ESE Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-17 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 26 HR Note84°F, wind 5 mph ESE (cross) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)

🔥

Six home runs to freedom

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203 more waiting in the on-deck circle

Slate reference

Symbol Guide

Every icon, badge, and shorthand on the slate. Hover the table itself for quick tips; use this when you want the full translation.

Row Actions

👁: WatchTrack a batter without counting him as one of today's locked picks.
🔒: LockAdd this batter to today's tracked picks. Locked picks are the choices that count.
★: FavoriteYou starred this batter so he is easier to find on crowded slates.
▲ / ▼: Conviction editYour notes or tags adjusted the recommendation score up or down.

Batter and Pitcher Marks

R L S: Batter handR = right-handed, L = left-handed, S = switch-hitter. Pitchers show RHP or LHP.
: Platoon advantageGreen means the batter has an opposite-handed or switch-hitter look.
: Neutral handGold means the matchup is neutral, most commonly righty versus righty.
: Same-side cautionRed means lefty versus lefty, usually the toughest handedness setup for hitters.
◎: Pitcher flagTop HR-susceptible pitcher. Open the row and inspect the full matchup.

Lightning and Tags

⚡: Arsenal EdgePitch-type mismatch. The batter damages a pitch the opposing pitcher throws and allows damage on. A small number means multiple exploitable pitch types.
⚡²: Chip firingOne or more saved Chips matched this batter tonight. This only appears when the Chip system is active for the user.
2: Your tag countNumber of your saved tags on the batter. Hover the number on the slate to see the tag names.
💬 ↑ ↓: Community toolsComment link and limited daily up/down votes. These are hidden when the launch-minimal UI is active.

Score and Tier

82: ScoreComposite 0-100 HR grade for tonight. Higher means more of the model's power, pitcher, park, and context signals agree.
🥇 S: S tierElite, score 95+.
🔥 A+: A+ tierPremium, score 90-94.
🟢 A: A tierExcellent, score 80-89.
🟡 B: B tierAbove average, score 70-79.
🔵 C+: C+ tierValue, score 60-69.
🟠 C: C tierBelow average, score 50-59.
⚪ D: D tierBelow 50.

Colors

Color meaning changes by surface. Percentile bars use Baseball Savant-style heat, where red means elite. Spray and wind use green for favorable and red for unfavorable.

Surface	Green	Orange	Red
Percentile bars	Average range	Above average	Elite / great
Spray chart	Favorable HR zone or wind fit	Neutral / mixed	Unfavorable zone or wind fit
Slate weather	Carry help	Neutral or dome context	Carry drag
Edge and results	Model ahead or hit	Mostly aligned / watch	Market ahead or miss

Edge

Edge is model probability minus market consensus probability, shown in percentage points.

+3.1: Model aheadThe model is higher than the market, a price-positive signal.
+0.2: Mostly alignedThe model and market are close.
-3.1: Market aheadThe book is more optimistic than the model, so treat the price with caution.

Form

🔥 HOT: HotRecent contact quality is running above the batter's baseline.
↗ WARM: WarmRecent indicators are positive, but not screaming.
— NTRL: NeutralNo meaningful hot or cold form signal.
↘ COOL: CoolRecent contact quality is softening.
❄ COLD: ColdRecent indicators are materially below baseline.

Timing and History

2d: Last HRDays since the batter's last home run.
●○: Last 5Home run results across the last five games. Filled dot = homered; open dot = did not homer.
1.6×: DueHow far past the batter's usual HR cadence he is. 1.5× or higher is strongly overdue; use it as a tiebreaker.
2: BvPHome runs versus today's pitcher in the app's data. Useful color, usually a small sample.

Bullpen

🔥: VulnerableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 15%.
!: WatchOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 12%, but below the vulnerable threshold.
✓: StableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is below 12%.
—: No readNo reliable bullpen value is available.

Weather

→: Tail / carry helpWeather modifier is +3 or better. Conditions are helping fly-ball carry.
←: Head / carry dragWeather modifier is -3 or worse. Conditions are working against carry.
⌂: Dome or retractable roofRoof context keeps weather noise low.
+24: Spray/WindOptional batter-specific wind read, comparing wind direction to where this batter usually hits home runs.

Roster and Results

●: Roster activeActive in the roster feed. This is not a health guarantee.
?: QuestionableManual availability risk flag. The batter remains visible, but the recommendation score is discounted.
IL: Injured listThe roster feed reports an IL status. These batters should be excluded from active slate scoring.
PPD: PostponedOfficial MLB game status says postponed. Treat the row as unavailable tonight.
✓: HitPast-slate result: this batter homered.
×: MissPast-slate result: no home run.
?: PendingPast-slate result has not loaded yet.

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Full board + 6-pick cards — Pro

Season · Top 50 Catch Rate

last 30 days

15.7%

▲ +2.3 pts

avg daily catch rate · vs 14.6% prior 15d

Yesterday · 2026-08-20

12 HRs

50%

6 caught / 12 HRs

in top 50

#7 Jordan Walker

24.9%

🔵

#23 Kazuma Okamoto

14.4%

🟠

#29 Zach Neto

13.8%

🟠

#31 Luis García Jr.

17.9%

🟠

#44 Corey Seager

13.4%

🟠

#50 Matt McLain

13.2%

⚪

Missed

Bobby Witt Jr. Willy Adames Spencer Jones Garrett Mitchell Dylan Beavers +1 more

7-Day Streaks

top 50 pool

🔥 Hot

Max Muncy ×5 Jordan Walker ×3 Munetaka Murakami ×3 Pete Crow-Armstrong ×3 Pete Alonso ×3

❄️ Cold

Elly De La Cruz 0 of 8d Eugenio Suárez 0 of 7d Junior Caminero 0 of 7d Esmerlyn Valdez 0 of 6d JJ Bleday 0 of 6d

Model Health · HR catch rate by tier

season-to-date

A+

C+

S 0.0%

A+ 16.7%

A 19.3%

B 20.1%

C+ 17.0%

C 13.5%

D 8.9%

Best Day

32.0%

May 29

Today · 2026-08-21

The free preview stops at 5. Tonight's board doesn't.

Yesterday's results + tonight's board. Every morning.