16
HRs allowed
9.5%
HR rate (pool)
16.9%
Overall HR/FB
4.05
FIP
3.86
xFIP
+0.19
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
81
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 81th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
74.1%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 101.7 EV · 386 ft
max EV allowed 114.7
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 3 HR ↑
15D · 3 HR ↑
30D · 5 HR
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Freddy Peralta.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Fastball Hard
53.1%
84.2
29.5°
6
+0.1
Changeup Offspeed
21.2%
78.3
4.1°
3
+1.2
Curveball Breaking
13.3%
81.1
11.2°
4
+0.7
Slider Breaking
6.0%
81.1
25.2°
1
+0.7
Sweeper Breaking
4.8%
77.7
28.7°
0
-2.7
Slow Curve Other
1.6%
75.3
11.7°
1
+1.2
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups168
HRs allowed (pool)16
Pool HR rate9.5%
Pool HR/game day0.8
Top-15 matchups13
HRs to top-154
Overall HR/FB16.9% 81
HR/9—
FIP4.05 50
xFIP3.86
FIP − xFIP+0.19 59
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed74.1%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-16
Fastball
Hard · 53.1% usage
+0.1
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against84.2 mph
Avg launch angle29.5°
HRs allowed6
Pitches1005
Changeup
Offspeed · 21.2% usage
+1.2
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against78.3 mph
Avg launch angle4.1°
HRs allowed3
Pitches401
Curveball
Breaking · 13.3% usage
+0.7
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.1 mph
Avg launch angle11.2°
HRs allowed4
Pitches252
Slider
Breaking · 6.0% usage
+0.7
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.1 mph
Avg launch angle25.2°
HRs allowed1
Pitches113
Sweeper
Breaking · 4.8% usage
-2.7
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against77.7 mph
Avg launch angle28.7°
HRs allowed0
Pitches91
Slow Curve
Other · 1.6% usage
+1.2
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against75.3 mph
Avg launch angle11.7°
HRs allowed1
Pitches31
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Freddy Peralta.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
16 allowed · scored pool
avg 101.7 EV · 386 ft
5 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 15 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-07-11
8
2
106.9
2026-07-06
7
1
105.5
2026-07-01
7
0
104.9
2026-06-25
8
0
106.7
2026-06-20
7
2
111.1
2026-06-14
8
0
106.0
2026-06-09
7
1
114.7
2026-06-03
9
1
114.7
2026-05-29
9
1
110.3
2026-05-23
9
1
105.6
2026-05-17
9
1
108.5
2026-05-12
9
1
101.8
2026-05-06
9
1
106.7
2026-05-05
9
0
—
2026-04-30
9
1
106.3
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Freddy Peralta isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.