2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 James Wood 7 HRs · 2 Ben Rice 5 HRs · 3 Jordan Walker 5 HRs · 4 Junior Caminero 5 HRs · 5 Shohei Ohtani 4 HRs · 6 Yordan Alvarez 4 HRs · 7 Kyle Karros 4 HRs · 8 Juan Soto 4 HRs · 9 Jake Bauers 4 HRs · 10 Chase DeLauter 4 HRs · 11 Samuel Basallo 4 HRs · 12 Brayan Rocchio 3 HRs 1 James Wood 7 HRs · 2 Ben Rice 5 HRs · 3 Jordan Walker 5 HRs · 4 Junior Caminero 5 HRs · 5 Shohei Ohtani 4 HRs · 6 Yordan Alvarez 4 HRs · 7 Kyle Karros 4 HRs · 8 Juan Soto 4 HRs · 9 Jake Bauers 4 HRs · 10 Chase DeLauter 4 HRs · 11 Samuel Basallo 4 HRs · 12 Brayan Rocchio 3 HRs
Freddy Peralta

Freddy Peralta

RHP NYM
168 matchups scored · 20 game days
16
HRs allowed
9.5%
HR rate (pool)
16.9%
Overall HR/FB
4.05
FIP
3.86
xFIP
+0.19
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter STINGY
LEAKY 81
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
81
no model flags today
Vulnerability 81th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
74.1%
74.1%
Fly-ball rate
avg HR 101.7 EV · 386 ft max EV allowed 114.7
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
2026-05-12 · 1 HR 2026-05-17 · 1 HR 2026-05-23 · 1 HR 2026-05-29 · 1 HR 2026-06-03 · 1 HR 2026-06-09 · 1 HR 2026-06-20 · 2 HR 2026-07-06 · 1 HR 2026-07-11 · 2 HR
7D · 3 HR ↑ 15D · 3 HR ↑ 30D · 5 HR
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Not on today's slate — matchup context appears when he's next listed.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Freddy Peralta.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Fastball Hard 53.1% 84.2 29.5° 6 +0.1
Changeup Offspeed 21.2% 78.3 4.1° 3 +1.2
Curveball Breaking 13.3% 81.1 11.2° 4 +0.7
Slider Breaking 6.0% 81.1 25.2° 1 +0.7
Sweeper Breaking 4.8% 77.7 28.7° 0 -2.7
Slow Curve Other 1.6% 75.3 11.7° 1 +1.2
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups168
HRs allowed (pool)16
Pool HR rate9.5%
Pool HR/game day0.8
Top-15 matchups13
HRs to top-154
Overall HR/FB16.9% 81
HR/9
FIP4.05 50
xFIP3.86
FIP − xFIP+0.19 59
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed74.1%
FB%
K/9
BB/9
WHIP
IP
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-16
Fastball
Hard · 53.1% usage
+0.1 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against84.2 mph
Avg launch angle29.5°
HRs allowed6
Pitches1005
Changeup
Offspeed · 21.2% usage
+1.2 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against78.3 mph
Avg launch angle4.1°
HRs allowed3
Pitches401
Curveball
Breaking · 13.3% usage
+0.7 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.1 mph
Avg launch angle11.2°
HRs allowed4
Pitches252
Slider
Breaking · 6.0% usage
+0.7 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.1 mph
Avg launch angle25.2°
HRs allowed1
Pitches113
Sweeper
Breaking · 4.8% usage
-2.7 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against77.7 mph
Avg launch angle28.7°
HRs allowed0
Pitches91
Slow Curve
Other · 1.6% usage
+1.2 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against75.3 mph
Avg launch angle11.7°
HRs allowed1
Pitches31
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Freddy Peralta.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
16 allowed · scored pool
avg 101.7 EV · 386 ft 5 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
2026-07-11 Andruw Monasterio #146 42 Citi Field 98.7 29.0° 378
2026-07-11 Masataka Yoshida #215 33 Citi Field 104.2 25.0° 360
2026-07-06 Matt Olson #13 59 Truist Park 100.4 25.0° 379
2026-06-20 Kyle Schwarber #11 73 Citizens Bank Park 103.3 43.0° 359
2026-06-20 Bryce Harper #55 57 Citizens Bank Park 97.7 37.0° 385
2026-06-09 Alec Burleson #109 46 Citi Field 101.0 32.0° 378
2026-06-03 J.P. Crawford #135 41 T-Mobile Park 103.3 24.0° 409
2026-05-29 Owen Caissie #130 44 Citi Field 103.4 36.0° 397
2026-05-23 Liam Hicks #147 45 loanDepot Park 92.9 35.0° 356.0
2026-05-17 Ben Rice #8 86 Citi Field 102.0 26.0° 409.0
2026-05-12 Dillon Dingler #107 34 Citi Field 101.8 26.0° 369.0
2026-05-06 TJ Rumfield #126 33 Coors Field 96.3 39.0° 389.0
2026-04-30 CJ Abrams #43 43 Citi Field 105.0 30.0° 403.0
2026-04-18 Ian Happ #16 74 Wrigley Field 105.4 30.0° 431.0
2026-04-18 Carson Kelly #82 55 Wrigley Field 105.2 33.0° 405.0
2026-04-12 Nick Kurtz #9 49 Citi Field 106.5 28.0° 363.0
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 15 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-07-11 Citi Field 8 2 106.9
2026-07-06 Truist Park 7 1 105.5
2026-07-01 Rogers Centre 7 0 104.9
2026-06-25 Citi Field 8 0 106.7
2026-06-20 Citizens Bank Park 7 2 111.1
2026-06-14 Citi Field 8 0 106.0
2026-06-09 Citi Field 7 1 114.7
2026-06-03 T-Mobile Park 9 1 114.7
2026-05-29 Citi Field 9 1 110.3
2026-05-23 loanDepot Park 9 1 105.6
2026-05-17 Citi Field 9 1 108.5
2026-05-12 Citi Field 9 1 101.8
2026-05-06 Coors Field 9 1 106.7
2026-05-05 Coors Field 9 0
2026-04-30 Citi Field 9 1 106.3
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Freddy Peralta isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.
Six home runs to freedom

Freddy Peralta's full pitcher profile is waiting

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