Today · 2026-08-20

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⭐ Today's Slate

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Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather

🥇 Golden Slate 4 top-15 batters face HR-prone pitchers

#3 Junior Caminero vs Shane Bieber FIP 5.8 HR/FB 28.6% #7 Pro pick vs Brady Singer FIP 5.22 HR/FB 23.5% #8 Pro pick vs Grayson Rodriguez FIP 5.19 HR/FB 23.8% #10 Pro pick vs Grayson Rodriguez FIP 5.19 HR/FB 23.8%

📦 STACK Grant Holmes FIP 4.98 HR/FB 19.4% → #1 Munetaka Murakami, #5 Miguel Vargas

📦 STACK Grayson Rodriguez FIP 5.19 HR/FB 17.2% → #2 Yordan Alvarez, #8 Pro pick, #10 Pro pick

📦 STACK Brady Singer FIP 5.22 HR/FB 23.5% → #7 Pro pick, #9 Pro pick

📦 STACK Michael McGreevy FIP 4.33 HR/FB 15.8% → #12 Pro pick, #13 Pro pick, #14 Pro pick

2025 full-season backtest

2025 backtest: a top-15 pick went yard on 92.9% of slates · top-50 picks hit 1.6x the field

Sample window: 2025 full-season backtest · 182 slates · 2025-03-27 to 2025-09-28 Live 2026 is current through 2026-08-19. Past performance ≠ guarantee.

92.9% top-15 slates, 2025

1.6x top-50 vs field

92.3% Live 2026 top-15

See the full record

#	Batter	Score	Edge	Roster	Pitcher · Game	Time	Tier	Hand	'26 HR	Form	Last HR	Last 5	Due	BvP	BP	Weather
1	Munetaka Murakami (L) ³	76	-9.7	●	Grant Holmes (RHP) ATL @ CWS · Rate Field	2:10p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	29	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%13.7% Avg EV94.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-08-18 OffKevin Gausman Exit Velo111.1 mph Angle39.0° Distance406 ft StadiumWrigley Field	○●○●○	0.3×	·	ATL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.20 FIP4.25 IP1076.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 29 HR NoteUnknown stadium
2	Junior Caminero (R) ³	71	-11.0	●	Shane Bieber (RHP) TOR @ TB · Tropicana Field	1:10p	🟡 B	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	35	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%11.9% Avg EV92.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	9d Last HR · 2026-08-11 OffMason Barnett Exit Velo105.4 mph Angle25.0° Distance412 ft StadiumSutter Health Park	○○○○○	2.3×	1	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.6% HR/91.03 FIP3.92 IP1058.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Tropicana Field neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 35 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
3	Matt Olson (L) ⁶	71	-6.9	●	Anthony Kay (LHP) ATL @ CWS · Rate Field	2:10p	🟡 B	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	36	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%11.5% Avg EV92.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	4d Last HR · 2026-08-16 OffBrandyn Garcia Exit Velo109.5 mph Angle24.0° Distance437 ft StadiumTruist Park	○●○○○	1.0×	·	CWS Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/91.10 FIP4.23 IP1072.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 36 HR NoteUnknown stadium
4	Yordan Alvarez (L) ⁴	69	-14.3	●	Grayson Rodriguez (RHP) LAA @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	8:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	36	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%13.4% Avg EV94.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	6d Last HR · 2026-08-14 OffGeorge Kirby Exit Velo100.5 mph Angle35.0° Distance368 ft StadiumMinute Maid Park	○●○○○	1.0×	·	LAA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.12 FIP4.35 IP1128.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+39 Weather · Minute Maid Park hot air · strong wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp94°F Wind14 mph SSE Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+39 · Green alignment Spray Sourceblend · 3 HR Note94°F, wind 14 mph SSE (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
5	Miguel Vargas (R) ³	66	-6.9	●	Grant Holmes (RHP) ATL @ CWS · Rate Field	2:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	28	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls39 BBE Barrel%11.4% Avg EV90.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	4d Last HR · 2026-08-16 OffJacob Waguespack Exit Velo98.0 mph Angle30.0° Distance381 ft StadiumComerica Park	○●○○○	0.6×	1	ATL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.20 FIP4.25 IP1076.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 28 HR NoteUnknown stadium
6	Pro pick (L) ³	65	-8.9	●	Kyle Bradish (RHP) NYY @ BAL · Camden Yards	6:35p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%10.6% Avg EV92.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	BAL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.7% HR/91.08 FIP4.13 IP1106.8 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-45 Weather · Camden Yards warm air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: conditions are working against carry tonight. Roofopen Temp73°F Wind10 mph N Characterin HR Modifier-3 Spray/Wind-45 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 32 HR Note73°F, wind 10 mph N (in) — modifier: -3 (first-pitch forecast)
7	Pro pick (R) ³	63	-7.8	●	Brady Singer (RHP) STL @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	12:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls41 BBE Barrel%10.8% Avg EV92.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.27 FIP4.69 IP1085.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+12 Weather · Great American Ball Park warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74°F Wind2 mph W Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+12 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 24 HR Note74°F, wind 2 mph W (out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
8	Pro pick (L) ³	62	-11.5	●	Brady Singer (RHP) STL @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	12:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%10.1% Avg EV92.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.27 FIP4.69 IP1085.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+11 Weather · Great American Ball Park warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74°F Wind2 mph W Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+11 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note74°F, wind 2 mph W (out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
9	Pro pick (R) ³	62	-2.2	●	Grayson Rodriguez (RHP) LAA @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	8:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls22 BBE Barrel%10.8% Avg EV89.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	LAA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.12 FIP4.35 IP1128.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+33 Weather · Minute Maid Park hot air · strong wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp94°F Wind14 mph SSE Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+33 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 17 HR Note94°F, wind 14 mph SSE (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
10	Pro pick (R) ³	62	-6.0	●	Grayson Rodriguez (RHP) LAA @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	8:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%9.8% Avg EV89.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	LAA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.12 FIP4.35 IP1128.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+32 Weather · Minute Maid Park hot air · strong wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp94°F Wind14 mph SSE Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+32 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 23 HR Note94°F, wind 14 mph SSE (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
11	Pro pick (R) ³	61	-5.9	●	Michael McGreevy (RHP) STL @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	12:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls43 BBE Barrel%11.3% Avg EV90.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	STL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/90.99 FIP4.09 IP1119.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+12 Weather · Great American Ball Park warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74°F Wind2 mph W Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+12 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 26 HR Note74°F, wind 2 mph W (out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
12	Pro pick (R) ³	60	-10.4	●	Gerrit Cole (RHP) NYY @ BAL · Camden Yards	6:35p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls39 BBE Barrel%10.5% Avg EV94.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	NYY Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.7% HR/91.01 FIP3.76 IP1115.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-48 Weather · Camden Yards warm air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: conditions are working against carry tonight. Roofopen Temp73°F Wind10 mph N Characterin HR Modifier-3 Spray/Wind-48 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 28 HR Note73°F, wind 10 mph N (in) — modifier: -3 (first-pitch forecast)
13	Pro pick (S) ³	60	-9.6	●	Michael McGreevy (RHP) STL @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	12:40p	🔵 C+	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%11.5% Avg EV93.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	STL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/90.99 FIP4.09 IP1119.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+12 Weather · Great American Ball Park warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74°F Wind2 mph W Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+12 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 20 HR Note74°F, wind 2 mph W (out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
14	Pro pick (R) ³	59	-9.0	●	Peter Lambert (RHP) LAA @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	8:10p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%10.3% Avg EV90.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.2% HR/91.36 FIP4.74 IP1121.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+34 Weather · Minute Maid Park hot air · strong wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp94°F Wind14 mph SSE Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+34 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 20 HR Note94°F, wind 14 mph SSE (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
15	Pro pick (L) ³	58	·	●	Andrew Alvarez (LHP) WSH @ TEX · Globe Life Field	8:05p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls18 BBE Barrel%8.0% Avg EV92.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	WSH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.3% HR/91.44 FIP4.84 IP1120.9 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+14 Weather · Globe Life Field hot air · steady wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp101°F Wind9 mph S Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+14 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR Note101°F, wind 9 mph S (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
16	Pro pick (L) ³	58	-9.9	●	Grant Holmes (RHP) ATL @ CWS · Rate Field	2:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%10.3% Avg EV88.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.20 FIP4.25 IP1076.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 25 HR NoteUnknown stadium
17	Pro pick (L) ³	57	-8.7	●	Gavin Williams (RHP) SF @ CLE · Progressive Field	1:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%11.0% Avg EV92.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CLE Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.2% HR/91.16 FIP3.96 IP1088.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-37 Weather · Progressive Field warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp77°F Wind6 mph NE Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-37 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 25 HR Note77°F, wind 6 mph NE (cross) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
18	Pro pick (L) ³	56	-11.6	●	Jacob deGrom (RHP) WSH @ TEX · Globe Life Field	8:05p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%9.3% Avg EV89.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TEX Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.24 FIP4.17 IP1078.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+17 Weather · Globe Life Field hot air · steady wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp101°F Wind9 mph S Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+17 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceblend · 1 HR Note101°F, wind 9 mph S (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
19	Pro pick (L) ³	56	-4.3	●	Gavin Williams (RHP) SF @ CLE · Progressive Field	1:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%11.6% Avg EV92.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CLE Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.2% HR/91.16 FIP3.96 IP1088.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-45 Weather · Progressive Field warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp77°F Wind6 mph NE Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-45 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 14 HR Note77°F, wind 6 mph NE (cross) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
20	Pro pick (R) ³	56	-7.7	●	Ian Seymour (LHP) TOR @ TB · Tropicana Field	1:10p	🟠 C	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%10.8% Avg EV90.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TB Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.4% HR/91.23 FIP4.08 IP1094.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Tropicana Field neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 24 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
21	Pro pick (L) ³	55	·	●	Gage Jump (LHP) ATH @ KC · Kauffman Stadium	2:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls42 BBE Barrel%9.3% Avg EV93.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.3% HR/91.55 FIP4.99 IP1129.1 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-39 Weather · Kauffman Stadium warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp79°F Wind7 mph NNE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-39 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note79°F, wind 7 mph NNE (in) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
22	Pro pick (R) ³	55	-5.0	●	Grayson Rodriguez (RHP) LAA @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	8:10p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%7.4% Avg EV88.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	LAA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.12 FIP4.35 IP1128.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+32 Weather · Minute Maid Park hot air · strong wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp94°F Wind14 mph SSE Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+32 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 12 HR Note94°F, wind 14 mph SSE (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
23	Pro pick (L) ³	54	-8.5	●	Michael McGreevy (RHP) STL @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	12:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%9.8% Avg EV88.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	STL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/90.99 FIP4.09 IP1119.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+11 Weather · Great American Ball Park warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74°F Wind2 mph W Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+11 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 20 HR Note74°F, wind 2 mph W (out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
24	Pro pick (L) ³	54	-9.5	●	George Kirby (RHP) SEA @ MIL · American Family Field	2:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%10.0% Avg EV92.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SEA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.9% HR/91.15 FIP3.86 IP1101.6000000000001 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-13 Weather · American Family Field warm air · light wind in · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp79°F Wind5 mph ESE Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-13 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR Note79°F, wind 5 mph ESE (in) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
25	Pro pick (R) ³	54	-6.9	●	Michael McGreevy (RHP) STL @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	12:40p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls24 BBE Barrel%11.1% Avg EV91.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	STL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/90.99 FIP4.09 IP1119.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+12 Weather · Great American Ball Park warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74°F Wind2 mph W Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+12 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 12 HR Note74°F, wind 2 mph W (out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
26	Pro pick (R) ³	54	-9.5	●	Gerrit Cole (RHP) NYY @ BAL · Camden Yards	6:35p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%9.7% Avg EV92.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	NYY Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.7% HR/91.01 FIP3.76 IP1115.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-53 Weather · Camden Yards warm air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: conditions are working against carry tonight. Roofopen Temp73°F Wind10 mph N Characterin HR Modifier-3 Spray/Wind-53 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 15 HR Note73°F, wind 10 mph N (in) — modifier: -3 (first-pitch forecast)
27	Pro pick (R) ³	54	-7.9	●	Peter Lambert (RHP) LAA @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	8:10p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%8.8% Avg EV89.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.2% HR/91.36 FIP4.74 IP1121.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+33 Weather · Minute Maid Park hot air · strong wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp94°F Wind14 mph SSE Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+33 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 20 HR Note94°F, wind 14 mph SSE (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
28	Pro pick (L) ³	53	-8.2	●	Anthony Kay (LHP) ATL @ CWS · Rate Field	2:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls47 BBE Barrel%10.6% Avg EV91.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CWS Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/91.10 FIP4.23 IP1072.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR NoteUnknown stadium
29	Pro pick (L) ³	53	-8.2	●	Kyle Bradish (RHP) NYY @ BAL · Camden Yards	6:35p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%8.6% Avg EV90.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	BAL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.7% HR/91.08 FIP4.13 IP1106.8 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-40 Weather · Camden Yards warm air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: conditions are working against carry tonight. Roofopen Temp73°F Wind10 mph N Characterin HR Modifier-3 Spray/Wind-40 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 17 HR Note73°F, wind 10 mph N (in) — modifier: -3 (first-pitch forecast)
30	Pro pick (L) ³	53	-7.2	●	Robert Gasser (LHP) SEA @ MIL · American Family Field	2:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%9.5% Avg EV91.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	MIL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.0% HR/91.03 FIP3.59 IP1094.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-13 Weather · American Family Field warm air · light wind in · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp79°F Wind5 mph ESE Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-13 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 19 HR Note79°F, wind 5 mph ESE (in) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)

🔥

Six home runs to freedom

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Slate reference

Symbol Guide

Every icon, badge, and shorthand on the slate. Hover the table itself for quick tips; use this when you want the full translation.

Row Actions

👁: WatchTrack a batter without counting him as one of today's locked picks.
🔒: LockAdd this batter to today's tracked picks. Locked picks are the choices that count.
★: FavoriteYou starred this batter so he is easier to find on crowded slates.
▲ / ▼: Conviction editYour notes or tags adjusted the recommendation score up or down.

Batter and Pitcher Marks

R L S: Batter handR = right-handed, L = left-handed, S = switch-hitter. Pitchers show RHP or LHP.
: Platoon advantageGreen means the batter has an opposite-handed or switch-hitter look.
: Neutral handGold means the matchup is neutral, most commonly righty versus righty.
: Same-side cautionRed means lefty versus lefty, usually the toughest handedness setup for hitters.
◎: Pitcher flagTop HR-susceptible pitcher. Open the row and inspect the full matchup.

Lightning and Tags

⚡: Arsenal EdgePitch-type mismatch. The batter damages a pitch the opposing pitcher throws and allows damage on. A small number means multiple exploitable pitch types.
⚡²: Chip firingOne or more saved Chips matched this batter tonight. This only appears when the Chip system is active for the user.
2: Your tag countNumber of your saved tags on the batter. Hover the number on the slate to see the tag names.
💬 ↑ ↓: Community toolsComment link and limited daily up/down votes. These are hidden when the launch-minimal UI is active.

Score and Tier

82: ScoreComposite 0-100 HR grade for tonight. Higher means more of the model's power, pitcher, park, and context signals agree.
🥇 S: S tierElite, score 95+.
🔥 A+: A+ tierPremium, score 90-94.
🟢 A: A tierExcellent, score 80-89.
🟡 B: B tierAbove average, score 70-79.
🔵 C+: C+ tierValue, score 60-69.
🟠 C: C tierBelow average, score 50-59.
⚪ D: D tierBelow 50.

Colors

Color meaning changes by surface. Percentile bars use Baseball Savant-style heat, where red means elite. Spray and wind use green for favorable and red for unfavorable.

Surface	Green	Orange	Red
Percentile bars	Average range	Above average	Elite / great
Spray chart	Favorable HR zone or wind fit	Neutral / mixed	Unfavorable zone or wind fit
Slate weather	Carry help	Neutral or dome context	Carry drag
Edge and results	Model ahead or hit	Mostly aligned / watch	Market ahead or miss

Edge

Edge is model probability minus market consensus probability, shown in percentage points.

+3.1: Model aheadThe model is higher than the market, a price-positive signal.
+0.2: Mostly alignedThe model and market are close.
-3.1: Market aheadThe book is more optimistic than the model, so treat the price with caution.

Form

🔥 HOT: HotRecent contact quality is running above the batter's baseline.
↗ WARM: WarmRecent indicators are positive, but not screaming.
— NTRL: NeutralNo meaningful hot or cold form signal.
↘ COOL: CoolRecent contact quality is softening.
❄ COLD: ColdRecent indicators are materially below baseline.

Timing and History

2d: Last HRDays since the batter's last home run.
●○: Last 5Home run results across the last five games. Filled dot = homered; open dot = did not homer.
1.6×: DueHow far past the batter's usual HR cadence he is. 1.5× or higher is strongly overdue; use it as a tiebreaker.
2: BvPHome runs versus today's pitcher in the app's data. Useful color, usually a small sample.

Bullpen

🔥: VulnerableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 15%.
!: WatchOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 12%, but below the vulnerable threshold.
✓: StableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is below 12%.
—: No readNo reliable bullpen value is available.

Weather

→: Tail / carry helpWeather modifier is +3 or better. Conditions are helping fly-ball carry.
←: Head / carry dragWeather modifier is -3 or worse. Conditions are working against carry.
⌂: Dome or retractable roofRoof context keeps weather noise low.
+24: Spray/WindOptional batter-specific wind read, comparing wind direction to where this batter usually hits home runs.

Roster and Results

●: Roster activeActive in the roster feed. This is not a health guarantee.
?: QuestionableManual availability risk flag. The batter remains visible, but the recommendation score is discounted.
IL: Injured listThe roster feed reports an IL status. These batters should be excluded from active slate scoring.
PPD: PostponedOfficial MLB game status says postponed. Treat the row as unavailable tonight.
✓: HitPast-slate result: this batter homered.
×: MissPast-slate result: no home run.
?: PendingPast-slate result has not loaded yet.

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Full board + 6-pick cards — Pro

Season · Top 50 Catch Rate

last 30 days

16.0%

▲ +0.6 pts

avg daily catch rate · vs 15.7% prior 15d

Yesterday · 2026-08-19

23 HRs

43%

10 caught / 23 HRs

in top 50

#8 Max Muncy

27.5%

🔵

#13 Max Muncy

29.0%

🔵

#15 Ben Rice

27.1%

🔵

#16 Pete Alonso

29.7%

🔵

#24 Mickey Moniak

19.1%

🔵

#25 Brandon Lowe

29.2%

🟠

#28 Sal Stewart

16.5%

🟠

#43 Yandy Díaz

18.0%

🟠

#46 Jordan Walker

13.6%

🟠

#47 Andrés Chaparro

23.1%

🟠

Missed

Mookie Betts José Tena Javier Sanoja Carson Benge Vinnie Pasquantino +8 more

7-Day Streaks

top 50 pool

🔥 Hot

Max Muncy ×6 Pete Crow-Armstrong ×3 Munetaka Murakami ×3 Pete Alonso ×3 Jordan Walker ×2

❄️ Cold

Elly De La Cruz 0 of 8d Esmerlyn Valdez 0 of 7d Junior Caminero 0 of 6d JJ Bleday 0 of 6d Bryce Harper 0 of 6d

Model Health · HR catch rate by tier

season-to-date

A+

C+

S 0.0%

A+ 16.7%

A 19.3%

B 20.2%

C+ 17.0%

C 13.5%

D 8.9%

Best Day

32.0%

May 29

Today · 2026-08-20

The free preview stops at 5. Tonight's board doesn't.

Yesterday's results + tonight's board. Every morning.