Today · 2026-08-19

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⭐ Today's Slate

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Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather

🥇 Golden Slate 3 top-15 batters face HR-prone pitchers

#1 Junior Caminero vs Max Scherzer FIP 6.47 HR/FB 28.6% #12 Pro pick vs Aaron Nola FIP 5.15 HR/FB 32.5% #15 Pro pick vs Aaron Nola FIP 5.15 HR/FB 24.3%

📦 STACK Clay Holmes FIP 3.47 HR/FB 13.6% → #2 Munetaka Murakami, #14 Pro pick

📦 STACK Kyle Freeland FIP 4.72 HR/FB 10.0% → #3 Shohei Ohtani, #6 Pro pick

📦 STACK Aaron Nola FIP 5.15 HR/FB 32.5% → #12 Pro pick, #15 Pro pick

2025 full-season backtest

2025 backtest: a top-15 pick went yard on 92.9% of slates · top-50 picks hit 1.6x the field

Sample window: 2025 full-season backtest · 182 slates · 2025-03-27 to 2025-09-28 Live 2026 is current through 2026-08-18. Past performance ≠ guarantee.

92.9% top-15 slates, 2025

1.6x top-50 vs field

92.3% Live 2026 top-15

See the full record

#	Batter	Score	Edge	Roster	Pitcher · Game	Time	Tier	Hand	'26 HR	Form	Last HR	Last 5	Due	BvP	BP	Weather
1	Junior Caminero (R) ³	72	-8.2	●	Max Scherzer (RHP) TOR @ TB · Tropicana Field	6:40p	🟡 B	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	35	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%11.1% Avg EV92.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	8d Last HR · 2026-08-11 OffMason Barnett Exit Velo105.4 mph Angle25.0° Distance412 ft StadiumSutter Health Park	○○○○○	2.0×	·	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.6% HR/91.03 FIP3.91 IP1052.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Tropicana Field neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 35 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
2	Munetaka Murakami (L) ³	71	·	●	Clay Holmes (RHP) CWS @ CHC · Wrigley Field	2:20p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	29	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls25 BBE Barrel%10.8% Avg EV94.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-08-18 OffKevin Gausman Exit Velo111.1 mph Angle39.0° Distance406 ft StadiumWrigley Field	●○●○●	0.0×	·	CHC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB16.2% HR/91.55 FIP4.78 IP992.8 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-58 Weather · Wrigley Field warm air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: conditions are working against carry tonight. Roofopen Temp77°F Wind10 mph NE Characterin HR Modifier-3 Spray/Wind-58 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 28 HR Note77°F, wind 10 mph NE (in) — modifier: -3 (first-pitch forecast)
3	Shohei Ohtani (L) ⁵	71	-15.5	●	Kyle Freeland (LHP) LAD @ COL · Coors Field	8:40p	🟡 B	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	30	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%13.1% Avg EV93.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-08-18 OffRyan Feltner Exit Velo105.6 mph Angle33.0° Distance448 ft StadiumCoors Field	○○○●●	0.0×	1	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.0% HR/91.43 FIP4.92 IP1101.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+37 Weather · Coors Field hot air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp83°F Wind10 mph ESE Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+37 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 29 HR Note83°F, wind 10 mph ESE (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
4	Kyle Schwarber (L) ³	69	-16.1	●	Sandy Alcantara (RHP) MIA @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	6:05p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	37	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%9.9% Avg EV93.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	6d Last HR · 2026-08-13 OffTaj Bradley Exit Velo108.0 mph Angle39.0° Distance355 ft StadiumField of Dreams	●○○○○	1.0×	1	MIA Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.9% HR/91.06 FIP4.08 IP1122.0 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+6 Weather · Citizens Bank Park hot air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp82°F Wind6 mph WNW Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+6 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 36 HR Note82°F, wind 6 mph WNW (cross) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
5	Matt Olson (L) ³	68	-8.7	●	Taj Bradley (RHP) ATL @ MIN · Target Field	1:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	36	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%12.1% Avg EV92.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-08-16 OffBrandyn Garcia Exit Velo109.5 mph Angle24.0° Distance437 ft StadiumTruist Park	○○●○○	0.7×	·	MIN Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.9% HR/91.17 FIP4.36 IP1077.6 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+15 Weather · Target Field warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp75°F Wind3 mph WNW Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+15 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 36 HR Note75°F, wind 3 mph WNW (out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
6	Pro pick (L) ²	66	-9.9	●	Kyle Freeland (LHP) LAD @ COL · Coors Field	8:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls41 BBE Barrel%12.0% Avg EV90.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.0% HR/91.43 FIP4.92 IP1101.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+34 Weather · Coors Field hot air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp83°F Wind10 mph ESE Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+34 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 30 HR Note83°F, wind 10 mph ESE (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
7	Pro pick (R) ²	68	-6.2	●	HOU Bullpen Proxy LAA @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	8:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%15.9% Avg EV90.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.2% HR/91.36 FIP4.75 IP1112.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+37 Weather · Minute Maid Park hot air · strong wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp93°F Wind15 mph SSE Characterout HR Modifier6 Spray/Wind+37 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 20 HR Note93°F, wind 15 mph SSE (out) — modifier: +6 (first-pitch forecast)
8	Pro pick (L) ²	64	·	●	Sean Newcomb (LHP) CWS @ CHC · Wrigley Field	2:20p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%8.7% Avg EV90.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CWS Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.1% HR/91.09 FIP4.22 IP1064.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-54 Weather · Wrigley Field warm air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: conditions are working against carry tonight. Roofopen Temp77°F Wind10 mph NE Characterin HR Modifier-3 Spray/Wind-54 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 29 HR Note77°F, wind 10 mph NE (in) — modifier: -3 (first-pitch forecast)
9	Pro pick (L) ²	63	-11.7	●	Chris Bassitt (RHP) NYY @ BAL · Camden Yards	6:35p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls25 BBE Barrel%8.6% Avg EV92.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	BAL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.7% HR/91.08 FIP4.14 IP1097.8 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+11 Weather · Camden Yards hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp84°F Wind3 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+11 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 32 HR Note84°F, wind 3 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
10	Pro pick (L) ²	66	·	●	ATH Bullpen Proxy ATH @ KC · Kauffman Stadium	7:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls41 BBE Barrel%14.4% Avg EV93.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.4% HR/91.56 FIP5.00 IP1121.2 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-39 Weather · Kauffman Stadium hot air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp83°F Wind7 mph NNE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-39 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note83°F, wind 7 mph NNE (in) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
11	Pro pick (R) ²	62	-10.2	●	Will Warren (RHP) NYY @ BAL · Camden Yards	6:35p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%10.3% Avg EV94.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	NYY Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.7% HR/91.01 FIP3.76 IP1106.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+10 Weather · Camden Yards hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp84°F Wind3 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+10 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 28 HR Note84°F, wind 3 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
12	Pro pick (R) ²	62	·	●	Clay Holmes (RHP) CWS @ CHC · Wrigley Field	2:20p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%8.9% Avg EV90.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CHC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB16.2% HR/91.55 FIP4.78 IP992.8 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-52 Weather · Wrigley Field warm air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: conditions are working against carry tonight. Roofopen Temp77°F Wind10 mph NE Characterin HR Modifier-3 Spray/Wind-52 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 28 HR Note77°F, wind 10 mph NE (in) — modifier: -3 (first-pitch forecast)
13	Pro pick (L) ²	62	-4.6	●	Aaron Nola (RHP) MIA @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	6:05p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls16 BBE Barrel%12.1% Avg EV91.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	PHI Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.4% HR/91.21 FIP3.82 IP1081.1 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+2 Weather · Citizens Bank Park hot air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp82°F Wind6 mph WNW Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+2 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 13 HR Note82°F, wind 6 mph WNW (cross) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
14	Pro pick (L) ²	61	-13.6	●	Walbert Ureña (RHP) LAA @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	8:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%9.6% Avg EV94.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	LAA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.14 FIP4.37 IP1109.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+41 Weather · Minute Maid Park hot air · strong wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp93°F Wind15 mph SSE Characterout HR Modifier6 Spray/Wind+41 · Green alignment Spray Sourceblend · 3 HR Note93°F, wind 15 mph SSE (out) — modifier: +6 (first-pitch forecast)
15	Pro pick (L) ²	61	-4.9	●	Cade Cavalli (RHP) WSH @ TEX · Globe Life Field	8:05p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls15 BBE Barrel%9.1% Avg EV92.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	WSH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.3% HR/91.44 FIP4.85 IP1102.9 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+18 Weather · Globe Life Field hot air · steady wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp102°F Wind10 mph S Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+18 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR Note102°F, wind 10 mph S (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
16	Pro pick (S) ²	61	-11.0	●	Matthew Liberatore (LHP) STL @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	6:40p	🔵 C+	SHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%10.6% Avg EV93.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	STL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.3% HR/91.00 FIP4.11 IP1110.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+23 Weather · Great American Ball Park warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp78°F Wind6 mph WSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+23 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 20 HR Note78°F, wind 6 mph WSW (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
17	Pro pick (L) ²	60	-9.1	●	Roki Sasaki (RHP) LAD @ COL · Coors Field	8:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls22 BBE Barrel%10.4% Avg EV89.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	LAD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.8% HR/91.23 FIP4.13 IP1118.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+31 Weather · Coors Field hot air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp83°F Wind10 mph ESE Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+31 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 19 HR Note83°F, wind 10 mph ESE (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
18	Pro pick (R) ²	59	-8.1	●	Aaron Nola (RHP) MIA @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	6:05p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls23 BBE Barrel%11.0% Avg EV91.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	PHI Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.4% HR/91.21 FIP3.82 IP1081.1 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-5 Weather · Citizens Bank Park hot air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp82°F Wind6 mph WNW Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-5 · Neutral Spray Sourceblend · 1 HR Note82°F, wind 6 mph WNW (cross) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
19	Pro pick (R) ²	59	-12.9	●	Matthew Liberatore (LHP) STL @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	6:40p	🟠 C	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls39 BBE Barrel%10.4% Avg EV90.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	STL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.3% HR/91.00 FIP4.11 IP1110.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+19 Weather · Great American Ball Park warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp78°F Wind6 mph WSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+19 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 26 HR Note78°F, wind 6 mph WSW (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
20	Pro pick (L) ²	59	-9.6	●	Jackson Jobe (RHP) DET @ PIT · PNC Park	12:35p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls25 BBE Barrel%11.3% Avg EV91.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	DET Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.8% HR/91.00 FIP3.92 IP1130.7 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+19 Weather · PNC Park warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp75°F Wind7 mph WSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+19 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 26 HR Note75°F, wind 7 mph WSW (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
21	Pro pick ²	59	-9.4	●	Jackson Jobe (RHP) DET @ PIT · PNC Park	12:35p	🟠 C	?HH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	— Form · — SignalUNKNOWN Batted Balls0 BBE Barrel%13.0% Avg EV96.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	DET Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.8% HR/91.00 FIP3.92 IP1130.7 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+28 Weather · PNC Park warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp75°F Wind7 mph WSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+28 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 14 HR Note75°F, wind 7 mph WSW (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
22	Pro pick (L) ²	58	-9.3	●	Kumar Rocker (RHP) WSH @ TEX · Globe Life Field	8:05p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%8.7% Avg EV89.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TEX Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.25 FIP4.19 IP1069.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+22 Weather · Globe Life Field hot air · steady wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp102°F Wind10 mph S Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+22 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceblend · 1 HR Note102°F, wind 10 mph S (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
23	Pro pick (L) ²	58	-9.3	●	Sandy Alcantara (RHP) MIA @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	6:05p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%7.8% Avg EV90.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	MIA Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.9% HR/91.06 FIP4.08 IP1122.0 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-1 Weather · Citizens Bank Park hot air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp82°F Wind6 mph WNW Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-1 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 25 HR Note82°F, wind 6 mph WNW (cross) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
24	Pro pick (R) ²	58	-13.5	●	AJ Smith-Shawver (RHP) ATL @ MIN · Target Field	1:40p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls10 BBE Barrel%12.6% Avg EV90.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.21 FIP4.26 IP1074.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+21 Weather · Target Field warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp75°F Wind3 mph WNW Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+21 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 25 HR Note75°F, wind 3 mph WNW (out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
25	Pro pick (R) ²	60	-5.2	●	HOU Bullpen Proxy LAA @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	8:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%11.7% Avg EV89.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.2% HR/91.36 FIP4.75 IP1112.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+35 Weather · Minute Maid Park hot air · strong wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp93°F Wind15 mph SSE Characterout HR Modifier6 Spray/Wind+35 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 20 HR Note93°F, wind 15 mph SSE (out) — modifier: +6 (first-pitch forecast)
26	Pro pick (R) ²	56	·	●	Sean Newcomb (LHP) CWS @ CHC · Wrigley Field	2:20p	🟠 C	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%8.1% Avg EV88.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CWS Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.1% HR/91.09 FIP4.22 IP1064.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-58 Weather · Wrigley Field warm air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: conditions are working against carry tonight. Roofopen Temp77°F Wind10 mph NE Characterin HR Modifier-3 Spray/Wind-58 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR Note77°F, wind 10 mph NE (in) — modifier: -3 (first-pitch forecast)
27	Pro pick (L) ²	56	-10.8	●	Chase Burns (RHP) STL @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	6:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%9.2% Avg EV92.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.27 FIP4.70 IP1076.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+9 Weather · Great American Ball Park warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp78°F Wind6 mph WSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+9 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note78°F, wind 6 mph WSW (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
28	Pro pick (R) ²	56	-7.5	●	Will Warren (RHP) NYY @ BAL · Camden Yards	6:35p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%9.6% Avg EV92.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	NYY Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.7% HR/91.01 FIP3.76 IP1106.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+7 Weather · Camden Yards hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp84°F Wind3 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+7 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 14 HR Note84°F, wind 3 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
29	Pro pick (L) ²	55	-7.6	●	Matthew Liberatore (LHP) STL @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	6:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%9.0% Avg EV88.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	STL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.3% HR/91.00 FIP4.11 IP1110.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+7 Weather · Great American Ball Park warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp78°F Wind6 mph WSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+7 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 20 HR Note78°F, wind 6 mph WSW (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
30	Pro pick (R) ²	55	-10.2	●	Chase Burns (RHP) STL @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	6:40p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%9.8% Avg EV92.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.27 FIP4.70 IP1076.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+25 Weather · Great American Ball Park warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp78°F Wind6 mph WSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+25 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 24 HR Note78°F, wind 6 mph WSW (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)

🔥

Six home runs to freedom

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Slate reference

Symbol Guide

Every icon, badge, and shorthand on the slate. Hover the table itself for quick tips; use this when you want the full translation.

Row Actions

👁: WatchTrack a batter without counting him as one of today's locked picks.
🔒: LockAdd this batter to today's tracked picks. Locked picks are the choices that count.
★: FavoriteYou starred this batter so he is easier to find on crowded slates.
▲ / ▼: Conviction editYour notes or tags adjusted the recommendation score up or down.

Batter and Pitcher Marks

R L S: Batter handR = right-handed, L = left-handed, S = switch-hitter. Pitchers show RHP or LHP.
: Platoon advantageGreen means the batter has an opposite-handed or switch-hitter look.
: Neutral handGold means the matchup is neutral, most commonly righty versus righty.
: Same-side cautionRed means lefty versus lefty, usually the toughest handedness setup for hitters.
◎: Pitcher flagTop HR-susceptible pitcher. Open the row and inspect the full matchup.

Lightning and Tags

⚡: Arsenal EdgePitch-type mismatch. The batter damages a pitch the opposing pitcher throws and allows damage on. A small number means multiple exploitable pitch types.
⚡²: Chip firingOne or more saved Chips matched this batter tonight. This only appears when the Chip system is active for the user.
2: Your tag countNumber of your saved tags on the batter. Hover the number on the slate to see the tag names.
💬 ↑ ↓: Community toolsComment link and limited daily up/down votes. These are hidden when the launch-minimal UI is active.

Score and Tier

82: ScoreComposite 0-100 HR grade for tonight. Higher means more of the model's power, pitcher, park, and context signals agree.
🥇 S: S tierElite, score 95+.
🔥 A+: A+ tierPremium, score 90-94.
🟢 A: A tierExcellent, score 80-89.
🟡 B: B tierAbove average, score 70-79.
🔵 C+: C+ tierValue, score 60-69.
🟠 C: C tierBelow average, score 50-59.
⚪ D: D tierBelow 50.

Colors

Color meaning changes by surface. Percentile bars use Baseball Savant-style heat, where red means elite. Spray and wind use green for favorable and red for unfavorable.

Surface	Green	Orange	Red
Percentile bars	Average range	Above average	Elite / great
Spray chart	Favorable HR zone or wind fit	Neutral / mixed	Unfavorable zone or wind fit
Slate weather	Carry help	Neutral or dome context	Carry drag
Edge and results	Model ahead or hit	Mostly aligned / watch	Market ahead or miss

Edge

Edge is model probability minus market consensus probability, shown in percentage points.

+3.1: Model aheadThe model is higher than the market, a price-positive signal.
+0.2: Mostly alignedThe model and market are close.
-3.1: Market aheadThe book is more optimistic than the model, so treat the price with caution.

Form

🔥 HOT: HotRecent contact quality is running above the batter's baseline.
↗ WARM: WarmRecent indicators are positive, but not screaming.
— NTRL: NeutralNo meaningful hot or cold form signal.
↘ COOL: CoolRecent contact quality is softening.
❄ COLD: ColdRecent indicators are materially below baseline.

Timing and History

2d: Last HRDays since the batter's last home run.
●○: Last 5Home run results across the last five games. Filled dot = homered; open dot = did not homer.
1.6×: DueHow far past the batter's usual HR cadence he is. 1.5× or higher is strongly overdue; use it as a tiebreaker.
2: BvPHome runs versus today's pitcher in the app's data. Useful color, usually a small sample.

Bullpen

🔥: VulnerableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 15%.
!: WatchOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 12%, but below the vulnerable threshold.
✓: StableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is below 12%.
—: No readNo reliable bullpen value is available.

Weather

→: Tail / carry helpWeather modifier is +3 or better. Conditions are helping fly-ball carry.
←: Head / carry dragWeather modifier is -3 or worse. Conditions are working against carry.
⌂: Dome or retractable roofRoof context keeps weather noise low.
+24: Spray/WindOptional batter-specific wind read, comparing wind direction to where this batter usually hits home runs.

Roster and Results

●: Roster activeActive in the roster feed. This is not a health guarantee.
?: QuestionableManual availability risk flag. The batter remains visible, but the recommendation score is discounted.
IL: Injured listThe roster feed reports an IL status. These batters should be excluded from active slate scoring.
PPD: PostponedOfficial MLB game status says postponed. Treat the row as unavailable tonight.
✓: HitPast-slate result: this batter homered.
×: MissPast-slate result: no home run.
?: PendingPast-slate result has not loaded yet.

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Full board + 6-pick cards — Pro

Season · Top 50 Catch Rate

last 30 days

15.3%

▼ -0.3 pts

avg daily catch rate · vs 15.4% prior 15d

Yesterday · 2026-08-18

31 HRs

16%

5 caught / 31 HRs

in top 50

#2 Munetaka Murakami

34.4%

🟡

#4 Shohei Ohtani

30.4%

🟡

#12 Griffin Conine

42.8%

🔵

#15 Pete Crow-Armstrong

28.2%

🔵

#17 Cam Smith

23.3%

🔵

Missed

Bryce Eldridge Kazuma Okamoto Oneil Cruz Drake Baldwin Josh Lowe +21 more

7-Day Streaks

top 50 pool

🔥 Hot

Max Muncy ×4 Shohei Ohtani ×3 Pete Crow-Armstrong ×3 Munetaka Murakami ×3 Jake Burger ×2

❄️ Cold

Elly De La Cruz 0 of 8d Esmerlyn Valdez 0 of 7d Bryce Harper 0 of 6d Junior Caminero 0 of 6d JJ Bleday 0 of 6d

Model Health · HR catch rate by tier

season-to-date

A+

C+

S 0.0%

A+ 16.7%

A 19.3%

B 20.3%

C+ 16.9%

C 13.5%

D 8.9%

Best Day

32.0%

May 29

Today · 2026-08-19

The free preview stops at 5. Tonight's board doesn't.

Yesterday's results + tonight's board. Every morning.