1
HRs allowed
11.1%
HR rate (pool)
11.0%
Overall HR/FB
2.99
FIP
3.36
xFIP
-0.37
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
32
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 32th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
77.8%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 105.8 EV · 430 ft
max EV allowed 105.8
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
Not enough scored game days for a trend line yet.
7D · 1 HR
15D · 1 HR
30D · 1 HR
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Sean Newcomb.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Fastball Hard
36.6%
79.8
34.0°
1
-1.8
Slurve Breaking
33.1%
81.9
9.8°
2
-0.5
Sinker Hard
23.4%
84.2
7.2°
0
+0.4
Changeup Offspeed
2.9%
82.4
9.1°
0
+2.2
Curveball Breaking
2.3%
81.5
2.6°
0
-2.6
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups9
HRs allowed (pool)1
Pool HR rate11.1%
Pool HR/game day1.0
Top-15 matchups0
HRs to top-150
Overall HR/FB11.0% 32
HR/9—
FIP2.99 13
xFIP3.36
FIP − xFIP-0.37 23
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed77.8%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-08-07
Fastball
Hard · 36.6% usage
-1.8
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against79.8 mph
Avg launch angle34.0°
HRs allowed1
Pitches366
Slurve
Breaking · 33.1% usage
-0.5
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.9 mph
Avg launch angle9.8°
HRs allowed2
Pitches331
Sinker
Hard · 23.4% usage
+0.4
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against84.2 mph
Avg launch angle7.2°
HRs allowed0
Pitches234
Changeup
Offspeed · 2.9% usage
+2.2
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against82.4 mph
Avg launch angle9.1°
HRs allowed0
Pitches29
Curveball
Breaking · 2.3% usage
-2.6
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.5 mph
Avg launch angle2.6°
HRs allowed0
Pitches23
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Sean Newcomb.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
1 allowed · scored pool
avg 105.8 EV · 430 ft
1 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 1 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-06-20
9
1
105.8
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Sean Newcomb isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Sean Newcomb isn't on a scored slate — no park to compare his damage against.
Venue splits
HRs allowed by venue · pool
VenueFacedHRRate
9
1
11%
HRs allowed ÷ scored matchups at each park. Rate is per scored matchup, not HR/9 — box-score innings aren't tracked.