Morning Wizard

2026-08-19 · 258 matchups scored

1 of 9 steps done

Step 1 of 9 15 candidates · 0 locked from this step

Park + Weather

Today's most HR-friendly environments — parks and weather conditions that favor the long ball.

LAA

HOU

LAA @ HOU Wind out 1.890

Minute Maid Park Park × 1.18 hot air · strong wind out · retractable roof

1.18× 94°F 15 mph retractable

· #10 Mike Trout 2nd signal park · top ·

WSH

TEX

WSH @ TEX Wind out 1.566

Globe Life Field Park × 1.04 hot air · steady wind out · retractable roof

1.04× 101°F 10 mph retractable

· · #47 Corey Seager

NYM

SD @ NYM Wind out 1.533

Citi Field Park × 0.96 hot air · steady wind out · roof open

0.96× 87°F 11 mph open

#58 Francisco Lindor · ·

MIA

PHI

MIA @ PHI Wind out 1.440

Citizens Bank Park Park × 1.11 hot air · light partial wind out · roof open

1.11× 85°F 7 mph open

· #5 Kyle Schwarber 2nd signal park · top ·

BOS

AZ @ BOS Wind out 1.252

Fenway Park Park × 0.89 hot air · steady wind out · roof open

0.89× 87°F 8 mph open

· · #74 Corbin Carroll

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Step 2 of 9 2 candidates · 0 locked from this step

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Susceptible Pitchers

Pitchers on today's slate with the highest HR-susceptibility scores — they give up dingers at elevated rates.

Aaron Nola ⚠️ High

30 HRs · 0.235 HR/IP · 22.2% HR/FB · 5.15 ERA

FIP 5.15 · xFIP 3.74 · Gap +1.41

Jeffrey Springs ⚠️ High

28 HRs · 0.265 HR/IP · 19.6% HR/FB · 6.23 ERA

FIP 6.23 · xFIP 4.9 · Gap +1.33

View full report →

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The Wizard has more to show you

Steps 3–9 include FIP-xFIP gap risk, splits edges, arsenal matchups, hot/cold streaks, unlucky barrels, and your final picks summary.

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Morning Wizard

Park + Weather

Susceptible Pitchers

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