Today · 2026-08-18

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⭐ Today's Slate

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Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather

🥇 Golden Slate 4 top-15 batters face HR-prone pitchers

#3 Matt Olson vs Zebby Matthews FIP 5.14 HR/FB 20.9% #9 Pro pick vs Cristian Javier FIP 5.69 HR/FB 28.6% #14 Pro pick vs Eric Lauer FIP 5.89 HR/FB 22.2% #15 Pro pick vs Merrill Kelly FIP 5.86 HR/FB 22.2%

📦 STACK George Klassen FIP 6.28 HR/FB 11.1% → #1 Yordan Alvarez, #13 Pro pick

📦 STACK Kevin Gausman FIP 3.6 HR/FB 13.9% → #2 Munetaka Murakami, #11 Pro pick

📦 STACK Eric Lauer FIP 5.89 HR/FB 17.4% → #4 Hunter Goodman, #14 Pro pick

📦 STACK Ryan Feltner FIP 5.75 HR/FB 18.2% → #6 Shohei Ohtani, #7 Pro pick

2025 full-season backtest

2025 backtest: a top-15 pick went yard on 92.9% of slates · top-50 picks hit 1.6x the field

Sample window: 2025 full-season backtest · 182 slates · 2025-03-27 to 2025-09-28 Live 2026 is current through 2026-08-17. Past performance ≠ guarantee.

92.9% top-15 slates, 2025

1.6x top-50 vs field

92.2% Live 2026 top-15

See the full record

#	Batter	Score	Edge	Roster	Pitcher · Game	Time	Tier	Hand	'26 HR	Form	Last HR	Last 5	Due	BvP	BP	Weather
1	Munetaka Murakami (L)	72	-7.3	●	Kevin Gausman (RHP) CWS @ CHC · Wrigley Field	8:05p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	28	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%12.4% Avg EV94.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-08-16 OffTyler Holton Exit Velo102.4 mph Angle33.0° Distance393 ft StadiumComerica Park	○●○●○	0.3×	·	CHC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB16.2% HR/91.55 FIP4.79 IP985.1 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+46 Weather · Wrigley Field warm air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp79°F Wind9 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+46 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 28 HR Note79°F, wind 9 mph SW (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
2	Matt Olson (L) ⁵	72	-7.8	●	Zebby Matthews (RHP) ATL @ MIN · Target Field	7:40p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	36	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%13.1% Avg EV92.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-08-16 OffBrandyn Garcia Exit Velo109.5 mph Angle24.0° Distance437 ft StadiumTruist Park	○○○●○	0.3×	·	MIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.0% HR/91.18 FIP4.38 IP1069.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+24 Weather · Target Field warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp76°F Wind5 mph N Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+24 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 36 HR Note76°F, wind 5 mph N (slight_out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
3	Hunter Goodman (R) ⁴	71	-12.6	●	Eric Lauer (LHP) LAD @ COL · Coors Field	8:40p	🟡 B	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	34	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls20 BBE Barrel%13.1% Avg EV90.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	9d Last HR · 2026-08-09 OffGeorge Soriano Exit Velo104.0 mph Angle36.0° Distance394 ft StadiumBusch Stadium	●○○○○	1.3×	1	LAD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.9% HR/91.24 FIP4.14 IP1109.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-42 Weather · Coors Field hot air · steady crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp86°F Wind11 mph ENE Charactercross HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind-42 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 33 HR Note86°F, wind 11 mph ENE (cross) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
4	Shohei Ohtani (L) ⁵	71	-15.5	●	Ryan Feltner (RHP) LAD @ COL · Coors Field	8:40p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	29	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls39 BBE Barrel%13.1% Avg EV93.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-08-17 OffJuan Mejia Exit Velo106.8 mph Angle31.0° Distance452 ft StadiumCoors Field	○○○○●	0.0×	·	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.9% HR/91.42 FIP4.89 IP1092.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-59 Weather · Coors Field hot air · steady crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp86°F Wind11 mph ENE Charactercross HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind-59 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 27 HR Note86°F, wind 11 mph ENE (cross) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
5	Yordan Alvarez (L) ⁵	70	-13.7	●	George Klassen (RHP) LAA @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	8:10p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	36	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%13.6% Avg EV94.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	4d Last HR · 2026-08-14 OffGeorge Kirby Exit Velo100.5 mph Angle35.0° Distance368 ft StadiumMinute Maid Park	○○●○○	0.7×	·	LAA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.4% HR/91.13 FIP4.36 IP1107.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+35 Weather · Minute Maid Park hot air · steady wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp90°F Wind12 mph S Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+35 · Green alignment Spray Sourceblend · 3 HR Note90°F, wind 12 mph S (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
6	Pro pick (L) ⁴	70	-13.7	●	Cade Gibson (LHP) MIA @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	6:40p	🟡 B	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%9.1% Avg EV93.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	MIA Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.9% HR/91.07 FIP4.07 IP1115.0 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+7 Weather · Citizens Bank Park warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp81°F Wind7 mph WNW Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+7 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 36 HR Note81°F, wind 7 mph WNW (cross) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
7	Pro pick (L) ⁴	69	-8.4	●	Ryan Feltner (RHP) LAD @ COL · Coors Field	8:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls44 BBE Barrel%12.0% Avg EV90.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.9% HR/91.42 FIP4.89 IP1092.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-59 Weather · Coors Field hot air · steady crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp86°F Wind11 mph ENE Charactercross HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind-59 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 29 HR Note86°F, wind 11 mph ENE (cross) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
8	Pro pick (R) ⁴	66	-6.9	●	José Soriano (RHP) TOR @ TB · Tropicana Field	6:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%10.4% Avg EV92.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.6% HR/91.03 FIP3.91 IP1051.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Tropicana Field neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 35 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
9	Pro pick (L) ⁴	69	-4.9	●	CWS Bullpen Proxy CWS @ CHC · Wrigley Field	8:05p	🔵 C+	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%12.1% Avg EV90.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CWS Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.0% HR/91.09 FIP4.21 IP1060.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+52 Weather · Wrigley Field warm air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp79°F Wind9 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+52 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 27 HR Note79°F, wind 9 mph SW (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
10	Pro pick (R) ⁴	65	-9.3	●	Cristian Javier (RHP) LAA @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	8:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%12.0% Avg EV90.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.2% HR/91.36 FIP4.75 IP1111.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+28 Weather · Minute Maid Park hot air · steady wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp90°F Wind12 mph S Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+28 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 20 HR Note90°F, wind 12 mph S (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
11	Pro pick (R) ⁴	64	-6.6	●	Kevin Gausman (RHP) CWS @ CHC · Wrigley Field	8:05p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%10.2% Avg EV90.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CHC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB16.2% HR/91.55 FIP4.79 IP985.1 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+28 Weather · Wrigley Field warm air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp79°F Wind9 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+28 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 28 HR Note79°F, wind 9 mph SW (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
12	Pro pick (L) ⁴	67	·	●	WSH Bullpen Proxy WSH @ TEX · Globe Life Field	8:05p	🔵 C+	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls18 BBE Barrel%11.4% Avg EV92.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	WSH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.3% HR/91.43 FIP4.83 IP1099.2 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+23 Weather · Globe Life Field hot air · steady wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp102°F Wind8 mph S Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+23 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR Note102°F, wind 8 mph S (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
13	Pro pick (R) ⁴	63	-5.3	●	George Klassen (RHP) LAA @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	8:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%9.9% Avg EV89.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	LAA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.4% HR/91.13 FIP4.36 IP1107.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+26 Weather · Minute Maid Park hot air · steady wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp90°F Wind12 mph S Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+26 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 23 HR Note90°F, wind 12 mph S (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
14	Pro pick (L) ⁴	63	·	●	Eric Lauer (LHP) LAD @ COL · Coors Field	8:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls24 BBE Barrel%10.8% Avg EV89.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	LAD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.9% HR/91.24 FIP4.14 IP1109.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-65 Weather · Coors Field hot air · steady crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp86°F Wind11 mph ENE Charactercross HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind-65 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 19 HR Note86°F, wind 11 mph ENE (cross) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
15	Pro pick (R) ⁴	63	-4.3	●	Merrill Kelly (RHP) AZ @ BOS · Fenway Park	7:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%13.2% Avg EV90.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	AZ Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/91.15 FIP4.34 IP1083.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+3 Weather · Fenway Park warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp73°F Wind5 mph ESE Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+3 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 24 HR Note73°F, wind 5 mph ESE (cross) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
16	Pro pick (L) ⁴	61	-6.5	●	Jack Perkins (RHP) ATH @ KC · Kauffman Stadium	7:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls44 BBE Barrel%11.3% Avg EV93.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.4% HR/91.56 FIP5.00 IP1114.6 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-48 Weather · Kauffman Stadium hot air · steady crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp84°F Wind8 mph E Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-48 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note84°F, wind 8 mph E (cross) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
17	Pro pick (L) ⁴	61	-9.3	●	Shane Baz (RHP) NYY @ BAL · Camden Yards	6:35p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%10.1% Avg EV92.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	BAL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.4% HR/91.05 FIP4.09 IP1091.2 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-6 Weather · Camden Yards warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp80°F Wind4 mph NNW Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-6 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 32 HR Note80°F, wind 4 mph NNW (cross) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
18	Pro pick (R) ⁴	61	-1.0	●	George Klassen (RHP) LAA @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	8:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls21 BBE Barrel%10.9% Avg EV89.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	LAA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.4% HR/91.13 FIP4.36 IP1107.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+27 Weather · Minute Maid Park hot air · steady wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp90°F Wind12 mph S Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+27 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 16 HR Note90°F, wind 12 mph S (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
19	Pro pick (L) ⁴	60	-6.8	●	Merrill Kelly (RHP) AZ @ BOS · Fenway Park	7:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls41 BBE Barrel%12.4% Avg EV89.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	AZ Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/91.15 FIP4.34 IP1083.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-16 Weather · Fenway Park warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp73°F Wind5 mph ESE Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-16 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR Note73°F, wind 5 mph ESE (cross) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
20	Pro pick (R) ⁴	60	-10.4	●	Andrew Abbott (LHP) STL @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	6:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%9.8% Avg EV92.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.28 FIP4.73 IP1057.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+17 Weather · Great American Ball Park warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp79°F Wind5 mph NW Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+17 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 24 HR Note79°F, wind 5 mph NW (out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
21	Pro pick (R) ⁴	60	-6.2	●	Cristian Javier (RHP) LAA @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	8:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%10.2% Avg EV89.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.2% HR/91.36 FIP4.75 IP1111.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+27 Weather · Minute Maid Park hot air · steady wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp90°F Wind12 mph S Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+27 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 20 HR Note90°F, wind 12 mph S (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
22	Pro pick (L) ⁴	59	-9.0	●	Andrew Abbott (LHP) STL @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	6:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%9.1% Avg EV92.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.28 FIP4.73 IP1057.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+20 Weather · Great American Ball Park warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp79°F Wind5 mph NW Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+20 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note79°F, wind 5 mph NW (out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
23	Pro pick (L) ⁴	59	-9.0	●	Cal Quantrill (RHP) WSH @ TEX · Globe Life Field	8:05p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%8.9% Avg EV89.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TEX Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.25 FIP4.19 IP1069.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+24 Weather · Globe Life Field hot air · steady wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp102°F Wind8 mph S Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+24 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceblend · 1 HR Note102°F, wind 8 mph S (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
24	Pro pick (S) ⁴	59	-7.1	●	Kyle Leahy (RHP) STL @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	6:40p	🟠 C	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%11.5% Avg EV93.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	STL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/91.00 FIP4.14 IP1092.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+17 Weather · Great American Ball Park warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp79°F Wind5 mph NW Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+17 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 20 HR Note79°F, wind 5 mph NW (out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
25	Pro pick (R) ⁴	59	-12.4	●	Tyler Mahle (RHP) ATL @ MIN · Target Field	7:40p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls10 BBE Barrel%11.1% Avg EV90.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.8% HR/91.21 FIP4.27 IP1067.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+18 Weather · Target Field warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp76°F Wind5 mph N Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+18 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 25 HR Note76°F, wind 5 mph N (slight_out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
26	Pro pick (R) ⁴	59	-9.0	●	Kyle Leahy (RHP) STL @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	6:40p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls42 BBE Barrel%11.5% Avg EV90.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	STL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/91.00 FIP4.14 IP1092.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+18 Weather · Great American Ball Park warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp79°F Wind5 mph NW Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+18 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 26 HR Note79°F, wind 5 mph NW (out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
27	Pro pick (L) ⁴	62	-4.6	●	WSH Bullpen Proxy WSH @ TEX · Globe Life Field	8:05p	🔵 C+	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%15.6% Avg EV91.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	WSH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.3% HR/91.43 FIP4.83 IP1099.2 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+24 Weather · Globe Life Field hot air · steady wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp102°F Wind8 mph S Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+24 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 12 HR Note102°F, wind 8 mph S (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
28	Pro pick (L) ⁴	58	-7.4	●	Cade Gibson (LHP) MIA @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	6:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%7.2% Avg EV90.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	MIA Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.9% HR/91.07 FIP4.07 IP1115.0 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-6 Weather · Citizens Bank Park warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp81°F Wind7 mph WNW Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-6 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 25 HR Note81°F, wind 7 mph WNW (cross) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
29	Pro pick (R) ⁴	57	-7.1	●	Ryan Feltner (RHP) LAD @ COL · Coors Field	8:40p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls41 BBE Barrel%9.0% Avg EV89.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.9% HR/91.42 FIP4.89 IP1092.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-35 Weather · Coors Field hot air · steady crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp86°F Wind11 mph ENE Charactercross HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind-35 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note86°F, wind 11 mph ENE (cross) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
30	Pro pick (L) ⁴	57	-7.7	●	Foster Griffin (LHP) SF @ CLE · Progressive Field	6:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%9.8% Avg EV92.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CLE Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.16 FIP3.97 IP1086.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+26 Weather · Progressive Field warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp76°F Wind6 mph WSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+26 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 25 HR Note76°F, wind 6 mph WSW (slight_out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)

🔥

Six home runs to freedom

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204 more waiting in the on-deck circle

Slate reference

Symbol Guide

Every icon, badge, and shorthand on the slate. Hover the table itself for quick tips; use this when you want the full translation.

Row Actions

👁: WatchTrack a batter without counting him as one of today's locked picks.
🔒: LockAdd this batter to today's tracked picks. Locked picks are the choices that count.
★: FavoriteYou starred this batter so he is easier to find on crowded slates.
▲ / ▼: Conviction editYour notes or tags adjusted the recommendation score up or down.

Batter and Pitcher Marks

R L S: Batter handR = right-handed, L = left-handed, S = switch-hitter. Pitchers show RHP or LHP.
: Platoon advantageGreen means the batter has an opposite-handed or switch-hitter look.
: Neutral handGold means the matchup is neutral, most commonly righty versus righty.
: Same-side cautionRed means lefty versus lefty, usually the toughest handedness setup for hitters.
◎: Pitcher flagTop HR-susceptible pitcher. Open the row and inspect the full matchup.

Lightning and Tags

⚡: Arsenal EdgePitch-type mismatch. The batter damages a pitch the opposing pitcher throws and allows damage on. A small number means multiple exploitable pitch types.
⚡²: Chip firingOne or more saved Chips matched this batter tonight. This only appears when the Chip system is active for the user.
2: Your tag countNumber of your saved tags on the batter. Hover the number on the slate to see the tag names.
💬 ↑ ↓: Community toolsComment link and limited daily up/down votes. These are hidden when the launch-minimal UI is active.

Score and Tier

82: ScoreComposite 0-100 HR grade for tonight. Higher means more of the model's power, pitcher, park, and context signals agree.
🥇 S: S tierElite, score 95+.
🔥 A+: A+ tierPremium, score 90-94.
🟢 A: A tierExcellent, score 80-89.
🟡 B: B tierAbove average, score 70-79.
🔵 C+: C+ tierValue, score 60-69.
🟠 C: C tierBelow average, score 50-59.
⚪ D: D tierBelow 50.

Colors

Color meaning changes by surface. Percentile bars use Baseball Savant-style heat, where red means elite. Spray and wind use green for favorable and red for unfavorable.

Surface	Green	Orange	Red
Percentile bars	Average range	Above average	Elite / great
Spray chart	Favorable HR zone or wind fit	Neutral / mixed	Unfavorable zone or wind fit
Slate weather	Carry help	Neutral or dome context	Carry drag
Edge and results	Model ahead or hit	Mostly aligned / watch	Market ahead or miss

Edge

Edge is model probability minus market consensus probability, shown in percentage points.

+3.1: Model aheadThe model is higher than the market, a price-positive signal.
+0.2: Mostly alignedThe model and market are close.
-3.1: Market aheadThe book is more optimistic than the model, so treat the price with caution.

Form

🔥 HOT: HotRecent contact quality is running above the batter's baseline.
↗ WARM: WarmRecent indicators are positive, but not screaming.
— NTRL: NeutralNo meaningful hot or cold form signal.
↘ COOL: CoolRecent contact quality is softening.
❄ COLD: ColdRecent indicators are materially below baseline.

Timing and History

2d: Last HRDays since the batter's last home run.
●○: Last 5Home run results across the last five games. Filled dot = homered; open dot = did not homer.
1.6×: DueHow far past the batter's usual HR cadence he is. 1.5× or higher is strongly overdue; use it as a tiebreaker.
2: BvPHome runs versus today's pitcher in the app's data. Useful color, usually a small sample.

Bullpen

🔥: VulnerableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 15%.
!: WatchOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 12%, but below the vulnerable threshold.
✓: StableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is below 12%.
—: No readNo reliable bullpen value is available.

Weather

→: Tail / carry helpWeather modifier is +3 or better. Conditions are helping fly-ball carry.
←: Head / carry dragWeather modifier is -3 or worse. Conditions are working against carry.
⌂: Dome or retractable roofRoof context keeps weather noise low.
+24: Spray/WindOptional batter-specific wind read, comparing wind direction to where this batter usually hits home runs.

Roster and Results

●: Roster activeActive in the roster feed. This is not a health guarantee.
?: QuestionableManual availability risk flag. The batter remains visible, but the recommendation score is discounted.
IL: Injured listThe roster feed reports an IL status. These batters should be excluded from active slate scoring.
PPD: PostponedOfficial MLB game status says postponed. Treat the row as unavailable tonight.
✓: HitPast-slate result: this batter homered.
×: MissPast-slate result: no home run.
?: PendingPast-slate result has not loaded yet.

🔒

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Full board + 6-pick cards — Pro

Season · Top 50 Catch Rate

last 30 days

14.9%

▲ +4.0 pts

avg daily catch rate · vs 12.9% prior 15d

Yesterday · 2026-08-17

21 HRs

47%

10 caught / 21 HRs

in top 50

#3 Shohei Ohtani

30.7%

🟡

#6 Max Muncy

29.3%

🔵

#8 Pete Crow-Armstrong

31.2%

🔵

#14 Seiya Suzuki

24.2%

🔵

#15 Pete Alonso

22.7%

🔵

#26 Randal Grichuk

19.1%

🟠

#34 Christian Encarnacion-Strand

28.4%

🟠

#37 Willson Contreras

14.6%

🟠

#42 Bobby Witt Jr.

12.4%

🟠

#45 Coby Mayo

16.1%

🟠

Missed

Ryan Vilade Yandy Díaz Iván Herrera Jorge Mateo Brian Serven +6 more

7-Day Streaks

top 50 pool

🔥 Hot

Max Muncy ×4 Seiya Suzuki ×3 Pete Crow-Armstrong ×3 Pete Alonso ×3 Miguel Vargas ×3

❄️ Cold

Elly De La Cruz 0 of 8d Esmerlyn Valdez 0 of 7d Brandon Lowe 0 of 6d JJ Bleday 0 of 6d Ian Happ 0 of 6d

Model Health · HR catch rate by tier

season-to-date

A+

C+

S 0.0%

A+ 16.7%

A 19.3%

B 20.1%

C+ 16.9%

C 13.5%

D 8.9%

Best Day

32.0%

May 29

Today · 2026-08-18

The free preview stops at 5. Tonight's board doesn't.

Yesterday's results + tonight's board. Every morning.