13
HRs allowed
9.0%
HR rate (pool)
16.3%
Overall HR/FB
4.22
FIP
3.91
xFIP
+0.31
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
78
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 78th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
70.7%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 106.1 EV · 401 ft
max EV allowed 112.8
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 0 HR
15D · 1 HR
30D · 2 HR
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Michael McGreevy.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Fastball Hard
25.5%
86.1
23.6°
6
+0.2
Changeup Offspeed
20.4%
82.1
4.7°
1
-1.0
Sinker Hard
16.4%
81.2
6.5°
1
-3.9
Cutter Hard
11.4%
80.1
21.7°
2
-0.3
Curveball Breaking
11.2%
84.9
-2.5°
1
-0.3
Sweeper Breaking
10.6%
83.8
10.7°
3
+2.4
Slider Breaking
4.4%
92.8
8.3°
0
+1.8
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups144
HRs allowed (pool)13
Pool HR rate9.0%
Pool HR/game day0.76
Top-15 matchups3
HRs to top-151
Overall HR/FB16.3% 78
HR/9—
FIP4.22 57
xFIP3.91
FIP − xFIP+0.31 66
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed70.7%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-16
Fastball
Hard · 25.5% usage
+0.2
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against86.1 mph
Avg launch angle23.6°
HRs allowed6
Pitches415
Changeup
Offspeed · 20.4% usage
-1.0
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against82.1 mph
Avg launch angle4.7°
HRs allowed1
Pitches332
Sinker
Hard · 16.4% usage
-3.9
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.2 mph
Avg launch angle6.5°
HRs allowed1
Pitches267
Cutter
Hard · 11.4% usage
-0.3
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against80.1 mph
Avg launch angle21.7°
HRs allowed2
Pitches186
Curveball
Breaking · 11.2% usage
-0.3
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against84.9 mph
Avg launch angle-2.5°
HRs allowed1
Pitches182
Sweeper
Breaking · 10.6% usage
+2.4
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.8 mph
Avg launch angle10.7°
HRs allowed3
Pitches173
Slider
Breaking · 4.4% usage
+1.8
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against92.8 mph
Avg launch angle8.3°
HRs allowed0
Pitches71
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Michael McGreevy.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
13 allowed · scored pool
avg 106.1 EV · 401 ft
2 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 15 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-07-08
7
0
111.9
2026-07-01
8
1
103.8
2026-06-26
9
0
110.9
2026-06-25
8
0
—
2026-06-19
6
1
110.5
2026-06-14
8
0
111.8
2026-06-07
8
2
111.6
2026-06-01
9
0
106.6
2026-05-26
9
2
108.9
2026-05-20
9
1
111.2
2026-05-14
9
2
111.8
2026-05-08
9
0
107.9
2026-05-02
9
0
107.3
2026-04-26
9
1
109.8
2026-04-20
9
1
111.8
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Michael McGreevy isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.