2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Matt Olson 7 HRs · 2 Ceddanne Rafaela 5 HRs · 3 Sal Stewart 5 HRs · 4 Kyle Stowers 4 HRs · 5 Pete Crow-Armstrong 4 HRs · 6 Ozzie Albies 4 HRs · 7 Wilyer Abreu 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Chase Meidroth 3 HRs · 10 Ezequiel Duran 3 HRs · 11 Royce Lewis 3 HRs · 12 Randy Arozarena 3 HRs 1 Matt Olson 7 HRs · 2 Ceddanne Rafaela 5 HRs · 3 Sal Stewart 5 HRs · 4 Kyle Stowers 4 HRs · 5 Pete Crow-Armstrong 4 HRs · 6 Ozzie Albies 4 HRs · 7 Wilyer Abreu 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Chase Meidroth 3 HRs · 10 Ezequiel Duran 3 HRs · 11 Royce Lewis 3 HRs · 12 Randy Arozarena 3 HRs
TB

TOR Bullpen Proxy

TOR
17 matchups scored · 2 game days
4
HRs allowed
23.5%
HR rate (pool)
13.5%
Overall HR/FB
4.04
FIP
4.04
xFIP
+0.00
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter STINGY
LEAKY 56
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
56
no model flags today
Vulnerability 56th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
88.2%
88.2%
Fly-ball rate
avg HR 107.6 EV · 409 ft max EV allowed 108.9
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
2026-06-23 · 3 HR 2026-06-28 · 1 HR
7D · 4 HR 15D · 4 HR 30D · 4 HR
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Not on today's slate — matchup context appears when he's next listed.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against TOR Bullpen Proxy.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
No arsenal data cached for this pitcher.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups17
HRs allowed (pool)4
Pool HR rate23.5%
Pool HR/game day2.0
Top-15 matchups3
HRs to top-151
Overall HR/FB13.5% 56
HR/9
FIP4.04 49
xFIP4.04
FIP − xFIP+0.00 46
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed88.2%
FB%
K/9
BB/9
WHIP
IP
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-08-07
No arsenal data cached for this pitcher.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against TOR Bullpen Proxy.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
4 allowed · scored pool
avg 107.6 EV · 409 ft 4 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
2026-06-28 Joc Pederson #9 65 Rogers Centre 108.9 35.0° 388
2026-06-23 Cam Smith #71 53 Rogers Centre 106.7 25.0° 436
2026-06-23 Taylor Trammell #169 36 Rogers Centre 108.3 35.0° 421
2026-06-23 Yainer Diaz #181 34 Rogers Centre 106.3 25.0° 391
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 2 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-06-28 Rogers Centre 9 1 108.9
2026-06-23 Rogers Centre 8 3 108.3
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — TOR Bullpen Proxy isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
TOR Bullpen Proxy isn't on a scored slate — no park to compare his damage against.
Venue splits
HRs allowed by venue · pool
VenueFacedHRRate
Rogers Centre 17 4 24%
HRs allowed ÷ scored matchups at each park. Rate is per scored matchup, not HR/9 — box-score innings aren't tracked.
Six home runs to freedom

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