2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Ceddanne Rafaela 7 HRs · 2 Matt Olson 6 HRs · 3 Jeremy Peña 6 HRs · 4 Sal Stewart 5 HRs · 5 Kyle Manzardo 4 HRs · 6 Jackson Merrill 4 HRs · 7 Kyle Stowers 4 HRs · 8 Salvador Perez 4 HRs · 9 Ozzie Albies 4 HRs · 10 JJ Bleday 3 HRs · 11 Isaac Paredes 3 HRs · 12 Heriberto Hernández 3 HRs 1 Ceddanne Rafaela 7 HRs · 2 Matt Olson 6 HRs · 3 Jeremy Peña 6 HRs · 4 Sal Stewart 5 HRs · 5 Kyle Manzardo 4 HRs · 6 Jackson Merrill 4 HRs · 7 Kyle Stowers 4 HRs · 8 Salvador Perez 4 HRs · 9 Ozzie Albies 4 HRs · 10 JJ Bleday 3 HRs · 11 Isaac Paredes 3 HRs · 12 Heriberto Hernández 3 HRs
Blade Tidwell

Blade Tidwell

RHP
0 matchups scored · 0 game days · 8 listed today
0
HRs allowed
0%
HR rate (pool)
7.7%
Overall HR/FB
3.57
FIP
4.17
xFIP
#28
Leakiest SP today (of 30, by FIP−xFIP)
Leak meter STINGY
LEAKY 10
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
10
no model flags today
Vulnerability 10th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
5 of 8 listed bats hold the platoon edge
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
Hard-Hit% allowed
Fly-ball rate
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
Not enough scored game days for a trend line yet.
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
SF @ TEX 8:05p · Globe Life Field Park 0.89 Wind 6.0 SSW out Roof retractable · 100°F BP FIP 4.23 BP HR 11.9% 5L / 3R listed · lineup: proxy_pa_leaders
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
cell = batter Barrel% vs that pitch family — higher runs hotter cold hot
FB 41.8% BRK 40.7% Overall Score
Neutral · 1
46 Joc Pederson L Edge
14.0% 13.3% 11.5% C 55
Long shots · 7 — below the fade line
5.4% 13.5% 8.8% D 49
100 Jake Burger R
10.4% 12.5% 11.1% D 46
109 Corey Seager L Edge
15.1% 15.2% 15.7% D 45
137 Brandon Nimmo L Edge
9.4% 17.5% 11.5% D 42
7.8% 6.5% 6.4% D 40
187 Evan Carter L Edge
7.8% 5.0% 5.7% D 34
214 Alejandro Osuna L Edge
0.0% 0.0% 0.6% D 21
Read the columns: the fastball family (41.8% usage) carries his damage — FB is the leak. 5 of 8 listed bats hold the platoon edge. Cells are each batter's season damage vs that family (not vs this pitcher specifically).
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Fastball Hard 41.8% 87.3 32.9° 1 -0.1
Sweeper Breaking 40.7% 80.1 29.1° 0 +0.6
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups0
HRs allowed (pool)0
Pool HR rate0%
Pool HR/game day
Top-15 matchups0
HRs to top-150
Overall HR/FB7.7% 10
HR/9
FIP3.57 31
xFIP4.17
FIP − xFIP
Barrel% allowed
Hard-Hit% allowed
FB%
K/9
BB/9
WHIP
IP
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-08-04
Fastball
Hard · 41.8% usage
-0.1 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against87.3 mph
Avg launch angle32.9°
HRs allowed1
Pitches76
Sweeper
Breaking · 40.7% usage
+0.6 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against80.1 mph
Avg launch angle29.1°
HRs allowed0
Pitches74
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
BatterPAHHRKwOBALast damage
Joc Pederson L 0 never faced
Wyatt Langford R 0 never faced
Jake Burger R 0 never faced
Corey Seager L 0 never faced
Brandon Nimmo L 0 never faced
Ezequiel Duran R 0 never faced
Evan Carter L 0 never faced
Alejandro Osuna L 0 never faced
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
0 allowed · scored pool
No home runs allowed in our scored matchups.
Game-day log
last 0 scored game days · pool
No scored game days yet for Blade Tidwell.
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight — Globe Life Field
open-air · game-window conditions
Park Factor 0.894 Wind 6 mph from SSW Temp 100°F Roof Retractable
TimeWindTempFIT
7:05p 6 100° +6
8:05p 6 96° +5
9:05p 6 93° +5
10:05p 6 89° +5
11:05p 9 87° +7
+6
Slight green alignment
park + weather FIT · batter-neutral signal
Game-window avg wind 7 mph from SSW
FIT = park + game-window weather HR signal, batter-neutral. Per-batter spray overlays live on each batter's profile.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
LF
329ft
avg
CF
407ft
avg
RF
326ft
avg
vs LHH → RF
355ft
0 HRs allowed
vs RHH → LF
360ft
0 HRs allowed
Shortest: RF 326 ft
Fence marks are published; power-alley + pull-side depths come from the park's outfield geometry, calibrated to those marks. We don't track HR spray direction — pull side is inferred from batter handedness (LHH→RF, RHH→LF), not a measured read.
Venue splits
HRs allowed by venue · pool
No scored matchups by venue yet for Blade Tidwell.
Six home runs to freedom

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