2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 James Wood 7 HRs · 2 Ben Rice 5 HRs · 3 Jordan Walker 5 HRs · 4 Junior Caminero 5 HRs · 5 Shohei Ohtani 4 HRs · 6 Yordan Alvarez 4 HRs · 7 Kyle Karros 4 HRs · 8 Juan Soto 4 HRs · 9 Jake Bauers 4 HRs · 10 Chase DeLauter 4 HRs · 11 Samuel Basallo 4 HRs · 12 Brayan Rocchio 3 HRs 1 James Wood 7 HRs · 2 Ben Rice 5 HRs · 3 Jordan Walker 5 HRs · 4 Junior Caminero 5 HRs · 5 Shohei Ohtani 4 HRs · 6 Yordan Alvarez 4 HRs · 7 Kyle Karros 4 HRs · 8 Juan Soto 4 HRs · 9 Jake Bauers 4 HRs · 10 Chase DeLauter 4 HRs · 11 Samuel Basallo 4 HRs · 12 Brayan Rocchio 3 HRs
Logan Henderson

Logan Henderson

RHP MIL
36 matchups scored · 4 game days
3
HRs allowed
8.3%
HR rate (pool)
12.0%
Overall HR/FB
2.69
FIP
3.09
xFIP
-0.39
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter STINGY
LEAKY 44
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
44
no model flags today
Vulnerability 44th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
58.1%
58.1%
Fly-ball rate
avg HR 104.4 EV · 381 ft max EV allowed 107.8
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
2026-05-10 · 1 HR 2026-05-16 · 1 HR 2026-07-09 · 1 HR
7D · 1 HR ↑ 15D · 1 HR ↑ 30D · 1 HR ↑
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Not on today's slate — matchup context appears when he's next listed.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Logan Henderson.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Fastball Hard 42.1% 80.5 32.0° 1 -0.8
Changeup Offspeed 32.4% 81.0 26.9° 0 -2.3
Cutter Hard 21.3% 81.3 22.0° 1 -0.1
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups36
HRs allowed (pool)3
Pool HR rate8.3%
Pool HR/game day0.75
Top-15 matchups0
HRs to top-150
Overall HR/FB12.0% 44
HR/9
FIP2.69 9
xFIP3.09
FIP − xFIP-0.39 24
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed58.1%
FB%
K/9
BB/9
WHIP
IP
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-16
Fastball
Hard · 42.1% usage
-0.8 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against80.5 mph
Avg launch angle32.0°
HRs allowed1
Pitches188
Changeup
Offspeed · 32.4% usage
-2.3 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.0 mph
Avg launch angle26.9°
HRs allowed0
Pitches145
Cutter
Hard · 21.3% usage
-0.1 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.3 mph
Avg launch angle22.0°
HRs allowed1
Pitches95
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Logan Henderson.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
3 allowed · scored pool
avg 104.4 EV · 381 ft 1 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
2026-07-09 Jordan Walker #21 55 Busch Stadium 106.5 28.0° 406
2026-05-16 Trevor Larnach #216 28 Target Field 102.3 23.0° 363.0
2026-05-10 Aaron Judge #33 46 American Family Field 104.4 26.0° 373.0
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 4 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-07-09 Busch Stadium 9 1 107.8
2026-05-22 American Family Field 9 0 102.6
2026-05-16 Target Field 9 1 107.3
2026-05-10 American Family Field 9 1 106.5
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Logan Henderson isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.
Six home runs to freedom

Logan Henderson's full pitcher profile is waiting

Upgrade to see the Threat Matrix, vulnerability signals, arsenal damage, BvP history, HR log, and ballpark conditions.

36 more waiting in the on-deck circle
THR 3.3.92 · build 597

Yesterday's results + tonight's board. Every morning.

Yesterday's picks graded in full — hits and misses — plus tonight's ranked board, free in your inbox before first pitch.

No spam. Unsubscribe anytime. Just picks and results.