12
HRs allowed
12.2%
HR rate (pool)
6.9%
Overall HR/FB
3.26
FIP
4.05
xFIP
-0.79
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
8
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 8th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
18.4%
Hard-Hit% allowed
73.9%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 103.1 EV · 402 ft
max EV allowed 115.1
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 3 HR ↑
15D · 3 HR
30D · 7 HR
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Gabriel Hughes.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Fastball Hard
49.7%
81.6
18.8°
2
-0.7
Curveball Breaking
12.1%
81.5
8.0°
2
+1.4
Changeup Offspeed
11.1%
83.3
13.1°
1
+1.0
Sinker Hard
10.4%
79.7
15.1°
0
-0.5
Sweeper Breaking
8.7%
85.9
25.3°
1
+1.8
Slider Breaking
8.0%
82.9
24.8°
1
+0.8
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups98
HRs allowed (pool)12
Pool HR rate12.2%
Pool HR/game day1.0
Top-15 matchups5
HRs to top-150
Overall HR/FB6.9% 8
HR/9—
FIP3.26 19
xFIP4.05
FIP − xFIP-0.79 7
Barrel% allowed18.4%
Hard-Hit% allowed73.9%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-10-17
Fastball
Hard · 49.7% usage
-0.7
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.6 mph
Avg launch angle18.8°
HRs allowed2
Pitches568
Curveball
Breaking · 12.1% usage
+1.4
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.5 mph
Avg launch angle8.0°
HRs allowed2
Pitches138
Changeup
Offspeed · 11.1% usage
+1.0
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.3 mph
Avg launch angle13.1°
HRs allowed1
Pitches127
Sinker
Hard · 10.4% usage
-0.5
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against79.7 mph
Avg launch angle15.1°
HRs allowed0
Pitches119
Sweeper
Breaking · 8.7% usage
+1.8
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against85.9 mph
Avg launch angle25.3°
HRs allowed1
Pitches99
Slider
Breaking · 8.0% usage
+0.8
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against82.9 mph
Avg launch angle24.8°
HRs allowed1
Pitches91
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Gabriel Hughes.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
12 allowed · scored pool
avg 103.1 EV · 402 ft
7 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 12 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-09-18
8
1
105.4
2026-09-13
9
2
103.2
2026-09-08
9
0
103.4
2026-09-01
7
1
107.8
2026-08-27
9
2
105.9
2026-08-22
8
1
113.8
2026-08-16
8
1
105.5
2026-08-10
7
1
105.6
2026-08-04
9
0
110.0
2026-07-29
8
0
103.5
2026-07-22
8
0
115.1
2026-07-17
8
3
108.8
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Gabriel Hughes isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Gabriel Hughes isn't on a scored slate — no park to compare his damage against.
Venue splits
HRs allowed by venue · pool
VenueFacedHRRate
48
6
12%
9
2
22%
9
2
22%
8
1
12%
7
1
14%
9
0
0%
HRs allowed ÷ scored matchups at each park · top 6 of 7. Rate is per scored matchup, not HR/9 — box-score innings aren't tracked.
Common questions about Gabriel Hughes
How many home runs has Gabriel Hughes allowed this season?
Gabriel Hughes has allowed 12 home runs across 12 scored game days in the TheHomeRuns pool this season.
Which batters have homered off Gabriel Hughes?
In the TheHomeRuns scored pool, the batters with home runs against Gabriel Hughes include Daylen Lile (1), Elly De La Cruz (1), Eugenio Suárez (1) and 9 more.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.