Elly De La Cruz
SHB
CIN
· 112 appearances tracked
17
HRs
15.2%
HR Rate
24.4%
Avg HR/FB
94.2
Avg EV
0.231
ISO
#1
Best Rank
HR Profile
Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
ISO0.210
Avg EV93.8
Barrel%9.4%
HR/FB vs LHP36.0%
Avg HR Dist398
Match%16.4%
Season HR%
15.8%
14D Pace
7.1%
Pitch Analysis
season · as of 2026-08-28
Pitch
Seen
Barrel%
HR
K%
Fastball
49.2%
13
Breaking
30.6%
6
Offspeed
20.2%
1
All
100%
13.2%
20
27.2%
Barrel vs. Whiff
BRL
K
Fastball
Breaking
Offspeed
Crushes the fastball — whiffs climb on breaking & offspeed.
Batter vs. Pitcher
vs David Peterson · LHP · CIN
SMALL SAMPLE · 9 PA · since 2025
.333
AVG
.444
SLG
0
HR
3-for-9 across 9 plate appearances since 2025. Thin sample — lean on the season profile.
Modifiers
3 of 4 active
Wrigley +HR
Pitcher form Steady
Platoon Edge
Weather +1
Edge by rate
· batter ●
vs pitcher-allowed ●
Barrel%
9.4
vs
—
HR/FB
36.0
vs
11.5 ▲ edge
K%
27.2
vs
—
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked. HR/FB compared head-to-head.
HR Days
17 this season · avg 399 ft
Date
Opp · Pitcher
Pitch
EV
Dist
Mar 28
Sonny Gray · Great American Ball Park
—
106.8
379.0
Apr 10
Jack Kochanowicz · Great American Ball Park
—
110.0
384.0
Apr 12
José Soriano · Great American Ball Park
—
109.6
405.0
Apr 21
Steven Matz · Tropicana Field
—
108.5
406.0
Apr 25
Jack Flaherty · Great American Ball Park
—
107.6
415.0
May 17
Gavin Williams · Progressive Field
—
109.0
400.0
May 23
vs STL · Kyle Leahy
—
106.7
387.0
Jun 29
@ MIL · Robert Gasser
—
102.5
412
Jul 10
vs CHC · Shota Imanaga
—
108.5
400
Jul 17
@ COL · Jeff Criswell
—
105.8
434
Jul 21
@ SEA · Luis Castillo
—
101.1
395
Jul 26
@ STL · Kyle Leahy
—
105.5
410
Aug 6
vs ATH · Mason Barnett
—
104.2
381
Aug 7
@ WSH · Cade Cavalli
—
101.6
379
HR by month
Jun
Jul
Aug
All Appearances
112 tracked · 17 HR · 86 top‑50
Date
Opp · Pitcher
BIP
Max EV
Result
HR
Aug 28
@ CHC · David Peterson
4
100.5
4 BIP
Aug 26
@ SF · Logan Webb
6
112.1
6 BIP
Aug 25
@ SF · Adrian Houser
4
107.9
4 BIP
Aug 24
@ SF · Carson Whisenhunt
1
93.2
1 BIP
Aug 23
@ AZ · Mitch Bratt
3
99.7
3 BIP
Aug 22
@ AZ · Michael Soroka
5
115.2
HR
5 BIP
Aug 21
@ AZ · Eduardo Rodriguez
3
105.0
3 BIP
Aug 20
vs STL · Michael McGreevy
2
105.3
2 BIP
Aug 19
vs STL · Matthew Liberatore
3
97.6
3 BIP
Aug 18
vs STL · Kyle Leahy
2
109.9
2 BIP
Aug 17
vs STL · Andre Pallante
3
110.9
3 BIP
Aug 16
vs MIA · Eury Pérez
2
107.0
2 BIP
Aug 15
vs MIA · Ryan Gusto
2
96.4
2 BIP
Aug 14
vs MIA · Sandy Alcantara
3
102.1
3 BIP
Aug 13
@ CWS · Davis Martin
2
84.6
2 BIP
Aug 12
@ CWS · Luis Castillo
3
104.1
3 BIP
Aug 11
@ CWS · Sean Burke
4
111.4
4 BIP
Aug 9
@ WSH · Brad Lord
3
90.3
3 BIP
Aug 8
@ WSH · Andrew Alvarez
3
104.2
3 BIP
Aug 7
@ WSH · Cade Cavalli
2
101.6
HR
2 BIP
Aug 6
vs ATH · Mason Barnett
4
104.2
HR
4 BIP
Aug 5
vs ATH · Jacob Lopez
2
94.1
2 BIP
Aug 4
vs ATH · J.T. Ginn
2
90.8
2 BIP
Aug 2
vs PIT · Mitch Keller
3
108.6
3 BIP
Aug 1
vs PIT · Braxton Ashcraft
3
111.7
3 BIP
Jul 31
vs PIT · Paul Skenes
2
99.2
2 BIP
Jul 30
vs PIT · Yohan Ramírez
4
115.7
4 BIP
Jul 29
vs CLE · Joey Cantillo
3
99.9
3 BIP
Jul 28
vs CLE · Gavin Williams
4
112.5
4 BIP
Jul 27
vs CLE · Slade Cecconi
0
—
—
Jul 26
@ STL · Kyle Leahy
3
107.0
HR
3 BIP
Jul 25
@ STL · Andre Pallante
2
100.8
2 BIP
Jul 24
@ STL · Dustin May
3
110.2
3 BIP
Jul 22
@ SEA · Emerson Hancock
3
85.1
3 BIP
Jul 21
@ SEA · Luis Castillo
3
101.1
HR
3 BIP
Jul 20
@ SEA · George Kirby
2
108.1
2 BIP
Jul 19
@ COL · Ryan Feltner
4
103.7
4 BIP
Jul 18
@ COL · Tomoyuki Sugano
4
111.4
4 BIP
Jul 17
@ COL · Gabriel Hughes
5
105.8
HR
5 BIP
Jul 12
vs CHC · Matthew Boyd
4
98.2
4 BIP
Jul 11
vs CHC · Javier Assad
3
112.4
3 BIP
Jul 10
vs CHC · Shota Imanaga
5
108.5
HR
5 BIP
Jul 9
vs PHI · Jesús Luzardo
1
99.6
1 BIP
Jul 8
vs PHI · Alan Rangel
3
107.1
HR
3 BIP
Jul 7
vs PHI · Zack Wheeler
2
107.9
2 BIP
Jul 5
vs BAL · Kyle Bradish
1
65.0
1 BIP
Jul 4
vs BAL · Brandon Young
3
108.9
3 BIP
Jul 3
vs BAL · Trevor Rogers
2
93.1
2 BIP
Jul 2
@ MIL · Jacob Misiorowski
4
116.2
4 BIP
Jul 1
@ MIL · Shane Drohan
2
110.8
2 BIP
Jun 30
@ MIL · Brandon Sproat
3
113.9
3 BIP
Jun 29
@ MIL · Robert Gasser
3
102.5
HR
3 BIP
Jun 28
@ PIT · Mitch Keller
4
104.0
4 BIP
Jun 27
@ PIT · Jared Jones
3
107.0
3 BIP
Jun 26
@ PIT · Paul Skenes
3
97.2
3 BIP
Jun 24
vs MIL · Shane Drohan
4
111.6
4 BIP
Jun 23
vs MIL · Brandon Sproat
1
100.5
1 BIP
May 31
vs ATL · Spencer Strider
2
111.5
2 BIP
May 30
vs ATL · Martín Pérez
3
106.6
3 BIP
May 29
vs ATL · Grant Holmes
1
91.9
1 BIP
May 27
@ NYM · Huascar Brazobán
3
101.1
3 BIP
May 26
@ NYM · David Peterson
3
108.7
3 BIP
May 25
@ NYM · Nolan McLean
1
105.5
1 BIP
May 24
vs STL · Brycen Mautz
0
—
—
May 23
vs STL · Kyle Leahy
6
111.7
HR
6 BIP
May 22
vs STL · Kyle Leahy
0
—
—
May 20
@ PHI · Aaron Nola
2
89.5
2 BIP
May 19
@ PHI · Jesús Luzardo
1
103.2
1 BIP
May 18
@ PHI · Andrew Painter
2
94.8
2 BIP
May 17
@ CLE · Gavin Williams
3
109.0
HR
3 BIP
May 16
@ CLE · Joey Cantillo
2
105.0
2 BIP
May 15
@ CLE · Tanner Bibee
4
98.5
4 BIP
May 14
vs WSH · Foster Griffin
3
113.4
3 BIP
May 13
vs WSH · Jake Irvin
4
110.7
4 BIP
May 12
vs WSH · Miles Mikolas
3
115.9
3 BIP
May 10
vs HOU · Kai-Wei Teng
4
109.0
4 BIP
May 9
vs HOU · Spencer Arrighetti
3
87.0
3 BIP
May 8
vs HOU · Mike Burrows
3
108.0
3 BIP
May 7
@ CHC · Shota Imanaga
4
116.3
4 BIP
May 6
@ CHC · Colin Rea
3
98.6
3 BIP
May 5
@ CHC · Jameson Taillon
4
95.2
4 BIP
May 4
@ CHC · Edward Cabrera
3
105.4
3 BIP
May 3
@ PIT · Braxton Ashcraft
2
97.9
2 BIP
May 2
@ PIT · Carmen Mlodzinski
1
87.7
1 BIP
May 1
@ PIT · Mitch Keller
3
94.2
3 BIP
Apr 30
vs COL · Michael Lorenzen
2
74.7
2 BIP
Apr 29
vs COL · Tomoyuki Sugano
2
97.0
2 BIP
Apr 26
vs DET · Keider Montero
1
76.8
1 BIP
Apr 25
vs DET · Jack Flaherty
3
115.3
HR
3 BIP
Apr 24
vs DET · Framber Valdez
4
112.6
4 BIP
Apr 22
@ TB · Nick Martinez
2
101.1
2 BIP
Apr 21
@ TB · Steven Matz
5
112.0
HR
5 BIP
Apr 19
@ MIN · Bailey Ober
4
109.3
4 BIP
Apr 18
@ MIN · Taj Bradley
3
108.9
3 BIP
Apr 17
@ MIN · Joe Ryan
3
112.2
3 BIP
Apr 16
vs SF · Landen Roupp
1
87.3
1 BIP
Apr 14
vs SF · Robbie Ray
2
103.4
2 BIP
Apr 12
vs LAA · José Soriano
4
109.6
HR
4 BIP
Apr 11
vs LAA · George Klassen
3
103.3
3 BIP
Apr 10
vs LAA · Jack Kochanowicz
3
110.0
HR
3 BIP
Apr 9
@ MIA · Max Meyer
2
105.7
2 BIP
Apr 8
@ MIA · Eury Pérez
2
91.9
2 BIP
Apr 7
@ MIA · Sandy Alcantara
3
97.4
3 BIP
Apr 6
@ MIA · Janson Junk
4
111.9
4 BIP
Apr 5
@ TEX · Jack Leiter
4
104.1
4 BIP
Apr 4
@ TEX · Kumar Rocker
3
107.5
3 BIP
Apr 1
vs PIT · Paul Skenes
3
103.6
3 BIP
Mar 31
vs PIT · Bubba Chandler
4
111.3
HR
4 BIP
Mar 30
vs PIT · Braxton Ashcraft
2
110.1
2 BIP
Mar 29
vs BOS · Connelly Early
1
83.2
1 BIP
Mar 28
vs BOS · Sonny Gray
2
106.8
HR
2 BIP
Mar 26
vs BOS · Garrett Crochet
2
78.5
2 BIP
Ballpark
Wrigley Field · open-air
Park Factor
1.072
Wind
1 mph from SW
Temp
80°F
Roof
Open
TimeWindTempFIT
1:20p
1 ↑
80°
+4
2:20p
1 ↑
80°
+4
3:20p
1 ↑
80°
+4
4:20p
1 ↑
80°
+4
5:20p
1 ↑
80°
+4
+4
Neutral alignment
true spray · live hourly FIT · open-air wind signal
HIT LOCATIONS'25–'26
Game-window avg wind · blowing out to center (from SW)
Open the Dueness Calendar → His month grid, rhythm tightness, and tonight’s crossing mark load on demand.
Score Breakdown
Base 56 → 56
ISO (Power)
Barrel Matchup
Park Factor
season hr rate
Pitcher FIP
HR/FB Matchup
Exit Velocity
recent hr density 14d
Common questions about Elly De La Cruz
Will Elly De La Cruz hit a home run today?
Elly De La Cruz is on today's TheHomeRuns slate, ranked #28 among tonight's scored batters for home run likelihood, facing David Peterson at Wrigley Field. That's a model ranking, not a prediction of a certain outcome — even the model's top-ranked bats homer in roughly one of five games. Not gambling advice.
How often does Elly De La Cruz hit home runs?
Across 112 scored games this season, Elly De La Cruz has 17 home runs — one every 6.6 games, or about 15% of his scored games.
Has Elly De La Cruz homered off David Peterson before?
Not yet — Elly De La Cruz has faced David Peterson 9 times without a home run.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.