Michael Conforto

LHB

CHC · 49 appearances tracked

5 HRs

10.2% HR Rate

14.4% Avg HR/FB

92.6 Avg EV

0.215 ISO

#13 Best Rank

as of 2026-08-28

HR Profile Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds

ISO

0.235

Avg EV

90.8

Barrel%

10.2%

HR/FB vs RHP

18.9%

Avg HR Dist

396

Match%

27.3%

Season HR%

—

10.4%

14D Pace

—

50.0%

ISOEVBRLHR/FBDISTMATCH

BBE 18 · season HR% & 14D pace unranked

Pitch Analysis season · as of 2026-08-29

Pitch Seen Barrel% HR K%

Fastball 50.0%

10.5%

21.1%

Breaking 31.1%

16.7%

39.3%

Offspeed 18.9%

11.1%

40.0%

All 100% 11.7% 12 29.5%

Barrel vs. Whiff BRL K

Fastball Breaking Offspeed

Barrel & whiff rates by pitch family.

Batter vs. Pitcher vs Rhett Lowder · RHP · CHC

SMALL SAMPLE · 3 PA · since 2026

1.000

AVG

4.000

SLG

3-for-3 with 3 homers across 3 plate appearances since 2026. Thin sample — lean on the season profile.

Modifiers 4 of 4 active

Wrigley +HR Pitcher form Cold Platoon Edge Weather +1

Edge by rate · batter ● vs pitcher-allowed ●

Barrel% 10.2 vs —

10.2

HR/FB 18.9 vs 14.7 ▲ edge

18.9

14.7

K% 29.5 vs —

29.5

Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked. HR/FB compared head-to-head.

HR Days 5 this season · avg 391 ft

Date Opp · Pitcher Pitch EV Dist

May 17 Erick Fedde · Rate Field — 107.3 414.0

Jul 8 @ BAL · Dean Kremer — 94.5 368

HR by month

May Jul

All Appearances 49 tracked · 5 HR · 19 top‑50

Date Opp · Pitcher BIP Max EV Result HR

Aug 28 vs CIN · Rhett Lowder 2 96.7 2 BIP

Aug 23 @ SEA · Bryce Miller 2 94.3 HR 2 BIP

Aug 18 vs CWS · Bryan Hudson 2 76.6 2 BIP

Aug 16 vs STL · Hunter Dobbins 2 93.5 2 BIP

Aug 15 vs STL · Michael McGreevy 1 107.1 HR 1 BIP

Aug 13 @ WSH · Cade Cavalli 1 94.4 1 BIP

Aug 11 @ WSH · Jake Irvin 2 98.5 2 BIP

Aug 9 @ KC · Randy Dobnak 4 91.0 4 BIP

Aug 6 vs TOR · Dylan Cease 2 102.4 2 BIP

Aug 4 vs LAD · Tarik Skubal 0 — —

Aug 3 vs LAD · Justin Wrobleski 0 — —

Jul 31 vs NYY · Will Warren 0 — —

Jul 30 @ STL · Andre Pallante 4 92.4 4 BIP

Jul 29 @ STL · Dustin May 1 77.6 1 BIP

Jul 28 @ STL · Michael McGreevy 3 101.4 3 BIP

Jul 26 @ PIT · Braxton Ashcraft 3 91.1 3 BIP

Jul 22 vs DET · Keider Montero 0 — —

Jul 17 vs MIN · Bailey Ober 3 104.2 3 BIP

Jul 10 @ CIN · Hunter Greene 0 — —

Jul 8 @ BAL · Dean Kremer 3 98.7 HR 3 BIP

Jul 7 @ BAL · Shane Baz 3 100.7 3 BIP

Jul 3 vs STL · Andre Pallante 3 93.1 3 BIP

Jul 1 vs SD · Walker Buehler 4 106.4 HR 4 BIP

Jun 29 vs SD · Griffin Canning 3 90.8 3 BIP

Jun 28 @ MIL · Brandon Woodruff 2 91.5 2 BIP

Jun 24 @ NYM · Nolan McLean 3 103.7 3 BIP

Jun 14 @ SF · Logan Webb 1 89.2 1 BIP

Jun 6 vs SF · Landen Roupp 1 66.4 1 BIP

Jun 4 vs ATH · J.T. Ginn 2 96.5 2 BIP

May 29 @ STL · Andre Pallante 1 104.0 1 BIP

May 25 @ PIT · Carmen Mlodzinski 3 97.8 3 BIP

May 24 vs HOU · Peter Lambert 2 88.9 2 BIP

May 23 vs HOU · Kai-Wei Teng 1 85.6 1 BIP

May 17 @ CWS · Erick Fedde 4 107.3 HR 4 BIP

Apr 15 vs NYM · Clay Holmes 0 — —

Apr 14 vs NYM · Nolan McLean 0 — —

Apr 13 vs NYM · David Peterson 0 — —

Apr 11 vs TEX · Jack Leiter 2 107.0 2 BIP

Apr 8 vs LAD · Dylan Cease 2 105.4 2 BIP

Apr 7 vs LAD · Kevin Gausman 3 105.5 3 BIP

Apr 6 vs LAD · Max Scherzer 1 87.5 1 BIP

Apr 4 vs LAD · Jake Irvin 0 — —

Apr 1 vs CLE · Gavin Williams 0 — —

Mar 31 vs CLE · Tanner Bibee 0 — —

Mar 30 vs CLE · Parker Messick 0 — —

Mar 29 vs WSH · Jake Irvin 1 98.1 1 BIP

Mar 28 vs AZ · Eduardo Rodriguez 0 — —

Mar 27 vs AZ · Ryne Nelson 0 — —

Mar 26 vs AZ · Zac Gallen 0 — —

Ballpark Wrigley Field · open-air

Park Factor 1.072 Wind 1 mph from SW Temp 80°F Roof Open

TimeWindTempFIT

1:20p 1 ↑ 80° +4

2:20p 1 ↑ 80° +4

3:20p 1 ↑ 80° +4

4:20p 1 ↑ 80° +4

5:20p 1 ↑ 80° +4

Neutral alignment

true spray · live hourly FIT · open-air wind signal

HIT LOCATIONS'25–'26

Game-window avg wind · blowing out to center (from SW)

Open the Dueness Calendar → His month grid, rhythm tightness, and tonight’s crossing mark load on demand.

Score Breakdown Base 60 → 60

ISO (Power)

+21.3

Barrel Matchup

+14.3

Park Factor

+8.6

Pitcher FIP

+4.5

HR/FB Matchup

+4.3

recent hr density 14d

+3.4

season hr rate

+2.7

Exit Velocity

+1.2

⚾

Six home runs to freedom

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Common questions about Michael Conforto

Will Michael Conforto hit a home run today?

Michael Conforto is on today's TheHomeRuns slate, ranked #19 among tonight's scored batters for home run likelihood, facing Rhett Lowder at Wrigley Field. That's a model ranking, not a prediction of a certain outcome — even the model's top-ranked bats homer in roughly one of five games. Not gambling advice.

How often does Michael Conforto hit home runs?

Across 49 scored games this season, Michael Conforto has 5 home runs — one every 9.8 games, or about 10% of his scored games.

Has Michael Conforto homered off Rhett Lowder before?

Yes — Michael Conforto has taken Rhett Lowder deep 3 times in 3 career plate appearances against him.

Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.