2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Max Muncy 9 HRs · 2 Pete Alonso 6 HRs · 3 Tristan Peters 6 HRs · 4 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 5 Brooks Lee 5 HRs · 6 Rafael Devers 5 HRs · 7 Heriberto Hernández 4 HRs · 8 Jake Burger 4 HRs · 9 Luis García Jr. 4 HRs · 10 Cal Raleigh 4 HRs · 11 Mickey Gasper 4 HRs · 12 Jordan Walker 4 HRs 1 Max Muncy 9 HRs · 2 Pete Alonso 6 HRs · 3 Tristan Peters 6 HRs · 4 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 5 Brooks Lee 5 HRs · 6 Rafael Devers 5 HRs · 7 Heriberto Hernández 4 HRs · 8 Jake Burger 4 HRs · 9 Luis García Jr. 4 HRs · 10 Cal Raleigh 4 HRs · 11 Mickey Gasper 4 HRs · 12 Jordan Walker 4 HRs
Heriberto Hernández

Heriberto Hernández

RHB
MIA · 71 appearances tracked
12 HRs
16.9% HR Rate
17.2% Avg HR/FB
91.1 Avg EV
0.159 ISO
#9 Best Rank
as of 2026-08-28
HR Profile Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
ISO
87
0.226
Avg EV
86
91.6
Barrel%
75
10.2%
HR/FB vs LHP
99
41.7%
Avg HR Dist
86
407
Match%
100
39.6%
Season HR%
15.7%
14D Pace
25.0%
ISO EV BRL HR/FB DIST MATCH
87
86
75
99
86
100
ISOEVBRLHR/FBDISTMATCH
BBE 32 · season HR% & 14D pace unranked
Pitch Analysis season · as of 2026-08-29
Pitch Seen Barrel% HR K%
Fastball 52.6%
12.8%
10
21.6%
Breaking 33.7%
13.5%
7
30.6%
Offspeed 13.7%
14.3%
3
43.2%
All 100% 13.1% 20 27.1%
Barrel vs. Whiff BRL K
Fastball Breaking Offspeed
Barrel & whiff rates by pitch family.
Batter vs. Pitcher vs Jackson Kent · LHP · MIA
SMALL SAMPLE · 6 PA · since 2026
.500
AVG
1.000
SLG
0
HR
3-for-6 across 6 plate appearances since 2026. Thin sample — lean on the season profile.
Modifiers 4 of 4 active
Nationals +HR Pitcher form Cold Platoon Edge Weather +2
Edge by rate · batter vs pitcher-allowed
Barrel% 10.2 vs
10.2
HR/FB 41.7 vs 20.0 ▲ edge
41.7
20.0
K% 27.1 vs
27.1
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked. HR/FB compared head-to-head.
HR Days 12 this season · avg 400 ft
Date Opp · Pitcher Pitch EV Dist
Jul 10 vs CLE · Parker Messick 99.6 380
Jul 24 vs SD · Wandy Peralta 110.8 423
Aug 16 @ CIN · Tejay Antone 102.0 359
Aug 22 vs WSH · Jake Irvin 109.2 393
Aug 28 @ WSH · Max Kranick 106.9 445
HR by month
2
3
Jul Aug
All Appearances 71 tracked · 12 HR · 26 top‑50
Date Opp · Pitcher BIP Max EV Result HR
Aug 28 @ WSH · Jackson Kent 3 106.9 HR 3 BIP
Aug 26 vs BOS · Sonny Gray 3 103.1 3 BIP
Aug 25 vs BOS · Payton Tolle 5 104.4 HR 5 BIP
Aug 24 vs BOS · Ranger Suarez 4 92.9 4 BIP
Aug 23 vs WSH · Jackson Kent 2 111.3 2 BIP
Aug 22 vs WSH · Jake Irvin 3 109.2 HR 3 BIP
Aug 21 vs WSH · Brad Lord 2 98.6 2 BIP
Aug 19 @ PHI · Aaron Nola 3 106.8 3 BIP
Aug 18 @ PHI · Zack Wheeler 2 98.9 2 BIP
Aug 17 @ PHI · Cristopher Sánchez 2 82.1 2 BIP
Aug 16 @ CIN · Nick Lodolo 2 102.0 HR 2 BIP
Aug 15 @ CIN · Brady Singer 3 106.0 3 BIP
Aug 14 @ CIN · Chase Burns 1 105.7 1 BIP
Aug 12 vs PIT · Carmen Mlodzinski 2 108.1 HR 2 BIP
Aug 11 vs PIT · Paul Skenes 1 79.1 1 BIP
Aug 9 vs LAA · Grayson Rodriguez 2 98.9 2 BIP
Aug 8 vs LAA · Walbert Ureña 2 97.3 2 BIP
Aug 6 @ ATL · Martín Pérez 2 98.7 2 BIP
Aug 5 @ ATL · Bryce Elder 4 103.6 4 BIP
Aug 4 @ ATL · Grant Holmes 3 103.4 3 BIP
Aug 1 @ NYM · Zac Thornton 3 91.4 3 BIP
Jul 31 @ NYM · Kodai Senga 1 85.6 1 BIP
Jul 30 @ NYM · Nolan McLean 1 97.6 1 BIP
Jul 29 vs PHI · Jesús Luzardo 4 104.3 HR 4 BIP
Jul 28 vs PHI · Aaron Nola 1 91.1 1 BIP
Jul 27 vs PHI · Zack Wheeler 2 100.1 HR 2 BIP
Jul 26 vs SD · Walker Buehler 3 96.8 3 BIP
Jul 25 vs SD · Randy Vásquez 3 95.9 3 BIP
Jul 24 vs SD · Germán Márquez 2 110.8 HR 2 BIP
Jul 20 @ HOU · HOU Bullpen Proxy 3 104.6 3 BIP
Jul 19 @ MIL · Robert Gasser 3 103.5 3 BIP
Jul 18 @ MIL · Shane Drohan 1 92.0 1 BIP
Jul 17 @ MIL · Logan Henderson 3 108.0 3 BIP
Jul 12 vs CLE · Joey Cantillo 1 91.6 1 BIP
Jul 11 vs CLE · Tanner Bibee 3 83.7 3 BIP
Jul 10 vs CLE · Parker Messick 3 100.4 HR 3 BIP
Jul 9 vs SEA · Bryce Miller 3 98.9 3 BIP
Jul 8 vs SEA · George Kirby 1 105.2 1 BIP
Jul 5 @ ATH · Gage Jump 3 108.6 HR 3 BIP
Jun 28 @ STL · Kyle Leahy 2 105.1 2 BIP
Jun 27 @ STL · Andre Pallante 3 91.7 3 BIP
Jun 24 vs TEX · Jacob deGrom 3 92.0 3 BIP
Jun 23 vs TEX · Cal Quantrill 3 103.2 HR 3 BIP
Jun 22 vs TEX · Tyler Alexander 3 104.8 3 BIP
Jun 3 @ WSH · Andrew Alvarez 2 84.4 2 BIP
Jun 2 @ WSH · Richard Lovelady 3 109.7 HR 3 BIP
May 26 @ TOR · Braydon Fisher 2 101.5 2 BIP
May 19 vs ATL · Martín Pérez 2 102.8 2 BIP
May 13 @ MIN · Simeon Woods Richardson 0
May 12 @ MIN · Bailey Ober 2 94.9 2 BIP
May 9 vs WSH · Zack Littell 0
May 8 vs WSH · Foster Griffin 0
May 7 vs BAL · Cade Povich 4 103.1 4 BIP
May 6 vs BAL · Brandon Young 0
May 5 vs BAL · Chris Bassitt 0
May 4 vs PHI · Aaron Nola 0
May 3 vs PHI · Jesús Luzardo 0
May 2 vs PHI · Andrew Painter 0
May 1 vs PHI · Zack Wheeler 0
Apr 29 @ LAD · Tyler Glasnow 0
Apr 28 @ LAD · Shohei Ohtani 0
Apr 27 @ LAD · Yoshinobu Yamamoto 0
Apr 26 @ SF · Landen Roupp 1 65.2 1 BIP
Apr 25 @ SF · Robbie Ray 4 98.5 4 BIP
Apr 22 vs STL · Kyle Leahy 4 108.9 4 BIP
Apr 21 vs STL · Dustin May 1 99.0 1 BIP
Apr 20 vs STL · Michael McGreevy 0
Apr 18 vs MIL · Brandon Woodruff 4 104.2 4 BIP
Apr 15 @ ATL · Bryce Elder 1 59.3 1 BIP
Apr 12 @ DET · Tarik Skubal 1 85.8 1 BIP
Mar 29 vs COL · Jose Quintana 2 94.9 2 BIP
Ballpark Nationals Park · open-air
Park Factor 1.205 Wind 3 mph from ENE Temp 86°F Roof Open
TimeWindTempFIT
6:45p 3 86° +6
7:45p 3 86° +6
8:45p 3 85° +5
9:45p 3 83° +4
10:45p 2 82° +5
+5
Slight green alignment
true spray · live hourly FIT · open-air wind signal
HIT LOCATIONS'25–'26
3 mph 0% 0% 32% 21% 47% OPPO PULL Nationals Park
Game-window avg wind · blowing straight in (from NE)

Open the Dueness Calendar → His month grid, rhythm tightness, and tonight’s crossing mark load on demand.

Score Breakdown Base 65 → 62
ISO (Power)
+21.6
Barrel Matchup
+14.5
Park Factor
+11.6
HR/FB Matchup
+5.5
season hr rate
+4.2
Pitcher FIP
+3.5
recent hr density 14d
+2.9
Exit Velocity
+1.4
Six home runs to freedom

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Common questions about Heriberto Hernández

Will Heriberto Hernández hit a home run today?

Heriberto Hernández is on today's TheHomeRuns slate, ranked #11 among tonight's scored batters for home run likelihood, facing Jackson Kent at Nationals Park. That's a model ranking, not a prediction of a certain outcome — even the model's top-ranked bats homer in roughly one of five games. Not gambling advice.

How often does Heriberto Hernández hit home runs?

Across 71 scored games this season, Heriberto Hernández has 12 home runs — one every 5.9 games, or about 17% of his scored games.

Has Heriberto Hernández homered off Jackson Kent before?

Not yet — Heriberto Hernández has faced Jackson Kent 6 times without a home run.

Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.

THR 3.3.164 · build 668

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