Heriberto Hernández
RHB
MIA
· 72 appearances tracked
13
HRs
18.1%
HR Rate
17.2%
Avg HR/FB
91.1
Avg EV
0.160
ISO
#9
Best Rank
HR Profile
Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
ISO0.233
Avg EV91.4
Barrel%9.1%
HR/FB vs LHP41.7%
Avg HR Dist409
Match%34.9%
Season HR%
18.1%
14D Pace
41.7%
Pitch Analysis
season · as of 2026-08-30
Pitch
Seen
Barrel%
HR
K%
Fastball
55.5%
11
Breaking
32.9%
7
Offspeed
11.6%
3
All
100%
13.4%
21
26.8%
Barrel vs. Whiff
BRL
K
Fastball
Breaking
Offspeed
Barrel & whiff rates by pitch family.
K% shown per family; true swing-whiff pending.
Batter vs. Pitcher
vs Andrew Alvarez · LHP · MIA
SMALL SAMPLE · 6 PA · since 2026
.000
AVG
.000
SLG
0
HR
0-for-6 across 6 plate appearances since 2026. Thin sample — lean on the season profile.
Modifiers
3 of 4 active
Nationals +HR
Pitcher form Steady
Platoon Edge
Weather +5
Edge by rate
· batter ●
vs pitcher-allowed ●
Barrel%
9.1
vs
—
HR/FB
41.7
vs
9.4 ▲ edge
K%
26.8
vs
—
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked. HR/FB compared head-to-head.
HR Days
13 this season · avg 400 ft
Date
Opp · Pitcher
Pitch
EV
Dist
Jul 10
vs CLE · Parker Messick
—
99.6
380
Jul 24
vs SD · Wandy Peralta
—
110.8
423
Aug 16
@ CIN · Tejay Antone
—
102.0
359
Aug 22
vs WSH · Jake Irvin
—
109.2
393
Aug 28
@ WSH · Max Kranick
—
106.9
445
Aug 29
@ WSH · Brad Lord
—
103.7
398
HR by month
Jul
Aug
All Appearances
72 tracked · 13 HR · 27 top‑50
Date
Opp · Pitcher
BIP
Max EV
Result
HR
Aug 29
@ WSH · Cade Cavalli
3
103.7
HR
3 BIP
Aug 28
@ WSH · Jackson Kent
3
106.9
HR
3 BIP
Aug 26
vs BOS · Sonny Gray
3
103.1
3 BIP
Aug 25
vs BOS · Payton Tolle
5
104.4
HR
5 BIP
Aug 24
vs BOS · Ranger Suarez
4
92.9
4 BIP
Aug 23
vs WSH · Jackson Kent
2
111.3
2 BIP
Aug 22
vs WSH · Jake Irvin
3
109.2
HR
3 BIP
Aug 21
vs WSH · Brad Lord
2
98.6
2 BIP
Aug 19
@ PHI · Aaron Nola
3
106.8
3 BIP
Aug 18
@ PHI · Zack Wheeler
2
98.9
2 BIP
Aug 17
@ PHI · Cristopher Sánchez
2
82.1
2 BIP
Aug 16
@ CIN · Nick Lodolo
2
102.0
HR
2 BIP
Aug 15
@ CIN · Brady Singer
3
106.0
3 BIP
Aug 14
@ CIN · Chase Burns
1
105.7
1 BIP
Aug 12
vs PIT · Carmen Mlodzinski
2
108.1
HR
2 BIP
Aug 11
vs PIT · Paul Skenes
1
79.1
1 BIP
Aug 9
vs LAA · Grayson Rodriguez
2
98.9
2 BIP
Aug 8
vs LAA · Walbert Ureña
2
97.3
2 BIP
Aug 6
@ ATL · Martín Pérez
2
98.7
2 BIP
Aug 5
@ ATL · Bryce Elder
4
103.6
4 BIP
Aug 4
@ ATL · Grant Holmes
3
103.4
3 BIP
Aug 1
@ NYM · Zac Thornton
3
91.4
3 BIP
Jul 31
@ NYM · Kodai Senga
1
85.6
1 BIP
Jul 30
@ NYM · Nolan McLean
1
97.6
1 BIP
Jul 29
vs PHI · Jesús Luzardo
4
104.3
HR
4 BIP
Jul 28
vs PHI · Aaron Nola
1
91.1
1 BIP
Jul 27
vs PHI · Zack Wheeler
2
100.1
HR
2 BIP
Jul 26
vs SD · Walker Buehler
3
96.8
3 BIP
Jul 25
vs SD · Randy Vásquez
3
95.9
3 BIP
Jul 24
vs SD · Germán Márquez
2
110.8
HR
2 BIP
Jul 20
@ HOU · HOU Bullpen Proxy
3
104.6
3 BIP
Jul 19
@ MIL · Robert Gasser
3
103.5
3 BIP
Jul 18
@ MIL · Shane Drohan
1
92.0
1 BIP
Jul 17
@ MIL · Logan Henderson
3
108.0
3 BIP
Jul 12
vs CLE · Joey Cantillo
1
91.6
1 BIP
Jul 11
vs CLE · Tanner Bibee
3
83.7
3 BIP
Jul 10
vs CLE · Parker Messick
3
100.4
HR
3 BIP
Jul 9
vs SEA · Bryce Miller
3
98.9
3 BIP
Jul 8
vs SEA · George Kirby
1
105.2
1 BIP
Jul 5
@ ATH · Gage Jump
3
108.6
HR
3 BIP
Jun 28
@ STL · Kyle Leahy
2
105.1
2 BIP
Jun 27
@ STL · Andre Pallante
3
91.7
3 BIP
Jun 24
vs TEX · Jacob deGrom
3
92.0
3 BIP
Jun 23
vs TEX · Cal Quantrill
3
103.2
HR
3 BIP
Jun 22
vs TEX · Tyler Alexander
3
104.8
3 BIP
Jun 3
@ WSH · Andrew Alvarez
2
84.4
2 BIP
Jun 2
@ WSH · Richard Lovelady
3
109.7
HR
3 BIP
May 26
@ TOR · Braydon Fisher
2
101.5
2 BIP
May 19
vs ATL · Martín Pérez
2
102.8
2 BIP
May 13
@ MIN · Simeon Woods Richardson
0
—
—
May 12
@ MIN · Bailey Ober
2
94.9
2 BIP
May 9
vs WSH · Zack Littell
0
—
—
May 8
vs WSH · Foster Griffin
0
—
—
May 7
vs BAL · Cade Povich
4
103.1
4 BIP
May 6
vs BAL · Brandon Young
0
—
—
May 5
vs BAL · Chris Bassitt
0
—
—
May 4
vs PHI · Aaron Nola
0
—
—
May 3
vs PHI · Jesús Luzardo
0
—
—
May 2
vs PHI · Andrew Painter
0
—
—
May 1
vs PHI · Zack Wheeler
0
—
—
Apr 29
@ LAD · Tyler Glasnow
0
—
—
Apr 28
@ LAD · Shohei Ohtani
0
—
—
Apr 27
@ LAD · Yoshinobu Yamamoto
0
—
—
Apr 26
@ SF · Landen Roupp
1
65.2
1 BIP
Apr 25
@ SF · Robbie Ray
4
98.5
4 BIP
Apr 22
vs STL · Kyle Leahy
4
108.9
4 BIP
Apr 21
vs STL · Dustin May
1
99.0
1 BIP
Apr 20
vs STL · Michael McGreevy
0
—
—
Apr 18
vs MIL · Brandon Woodruff
4
104.2
4 BIP
Apr 15
@ ATL · Bryce Elder
1
59.3
1 BIP
Apr 12
@ DET · Tarik Skubal
1
85.8
1 BIP
Mar 29
vs COL · Jose Quintana
2
94.9
2 BIP
Ballpark
Nationals Park · open-air
Park Factor
1.202
Wind
10 mph from SW
Temp
83°F
Roof
Open
TimeWindTempFIT
12:15p
10 ↑
83°
+17
1:15p
10 ↑
83°
+17
2:15p
10 ↑
83°
+17
3:15p
9 ↑
85°
+16
4:15p
7 ↑
87°
+15
+16
Strong green alignment
true spray · live hourly FIT · open-air wind signal
HIT LOCATIONS'25–'26
Game-window avg wind · blowing out to center (from SW)
TONIGHT
board — not posted yet
next game Sun 8/30
Dueness now
0.00×
not yet due — gap ÷ cadence
Cadence
3 gm
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
0 gm
since his last HR, Aug 29
Season
13 HR
72 games · 4 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
one dot per gap · 12 gaps · median 3 gm · MAD ± 1.0 gm · now marker = current gap
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.
Score Breakdown
Base 65 → 65
ISO (Power)
Barrel Matchup
Park Factor
HR/FB Matchup
season hr rate
recent hr density 14d
Pitcher FIP
Exit Velocity
Common questions about Heriberto Hernández
Will Heriberto Hernández hit a home run today?
Heriberto Hernández is on today's TheHomeRuns slate, ranked #8 among tonight's scored batters for home run likelihood, facing Andrew Alvarez at Nationals Park. That's a model ranking, not a prediction of a certain outcome — even the model's top-ranked bats homer in roughly one of five games. Not gambling advice.
How often does Heriberto Hernández hit home runs?
Across 72 scored games this season, Heriberto Hernández has 13 home runs — one every 5.5 games, or about 18% of his scored games.
Has Heriberto Hernández homered off Andrew Alvarez before?
Not yet — Heriberto Hernández has faced Andrew Alvarez 6 times without a home run.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.