2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 James Wood 7 HRs · 2 Ben Rice 5 HRs · 3 Jordan Walker 5 HRs · 4 Junior Caminero 5 HRs · 5 Shohei Ohtani 4 HRs · 6 Yordan Alvarez 4 HRs · 7 Kyle Karros 4 HRs · 8 Juan Soto 4 HRs · 9 Jake Bauers 4 HRs · 10 Chase DeLauter 4 HRs · 11 Samuel Basallo 4 HRs · 12 Brayan Rocchio 3 HRs 1 James Wood 7 HRs · 2 Ben Rice 5 HRs · 3 Jordan Walker 5 HRs · 4 Junior Caminero 5 HRs · 5 Shohei Ohtani 4 HRs · 6 Yordan Alvarez 4 HRs · 7 Kyle Karros 4 HRs · 8 Juan Soto 4 HRs · 9 Jake Bauers 4 HRs · 10 Chase DeLauter 4 HRs · 11 Samuel Basallo 4 HRs · 12 Brayan Rocchio 3 HRs
JR Ritchie

JR Ritchie

RHP ATL
49 matchups scored · 6 game days
8
HRs allowed
16.3%
HR rate (pool)
25.7%
Overall HR/FB
5.86
FIP
4.4
xFIP
+1.45
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter STINGY
LEAKY 95
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
95
Meltdown Risk
Vulnerability 95th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
77.3%
77.3%
Fly-ball rate
avg HR 102.9 EV · 389 ft max EV allowed 109.1
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
2026-04-23 · 2 HR 2026-05-04 · 2 HR 2026-05-18 · 2 HR 2026-06-17 · 2 HR
7D · 2 HR 15D · 2 HR 30D · 2 HR
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Not on today's slate — matchup context appears when he's next listed.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against JR Ritchie.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Curveball Breaking 26.9% 81.3 -1.3° 1 -0.9
Sinker Hard 20.3% 83.6 7.1° 0 -2.8
Fastball Hard 18.3% 84.4 32.2° 3 +3.6
Changeup Offspeed 17.1% 85.9 -0.5° 2 +2.5
Cutter Hard 8.9% 81.5 21.1° 0 +1.0
Slider Breaking 8.5% 77.0 19.2° 1 -1.9
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups49
HRs allowed (pool)8
Pool HR rate16.3%
Pool HR/game day1.33
Top-15 matchups4
HRs to top-152
Overall HR/FB25.7% 95
HR/9
FIP5.86 92
xFIP4.4
FIP − xFIP+1.45 96
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed77.3%
FB%
K/9
BB/9
WHIP
IP
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-16
Curveball
Breaking · 26.9% usage
-0.9 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.3 mph
Avg launch angle-1.3°
HRs allowed1
Pitches229
Sinker
Hard · 20.3% usage
-2.8 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.6 mph
Avg launch angle7.1°
HRs allowed0
Pitches173
Fastball
Hard · 18.3% usage
+3.6 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against84.4 mph
Avg launch angle32.2°
HRs allowed3
Pitches156
Changeup
Offspeed · 17.1% usage
+2.5 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against85.9 mph
Avg launch angle-0.5°
HRs allowed2
Pitches146
Cutter
Hard · 8.9% usage
+1.0 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.5 mph
Avg launch angle21.1°
HRs allowed0
Pitches76
Slider
Breaking · 8.5% usage
-1.9 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against77.0 mph
Avg launch angle19.2°
HRs allowed1
Pitches72
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against JR Ritchie.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
8 allowed · scored pool
avg 102.9 EV · 389 ft 2 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
2026-06-17 Willy Adames #126 44 Truist Park 102.1 32.0° 400
2026-06-17 Luis Arráez #195 31 Truist Park 98.6 36.0° 380
2026-05-18 Xavier Edwards #114 44 loanDepot Park 101.2 24.0° 397.0
2026-05-18 Javier Sanoja #232 21 loanDepot Park 105.4 21.0° 375.0
2026-05-04 Luke Raley #88 35 T-Mobile Park 105.5 25.0° 388.0
2026-05-04 J.P. Crawford #138 23 T-Mobile Park 100.7 39.0° 357.0
2026-04-23 James Wood #1 90 Nationals Park 102.4 32.0° 387.0
2026-04-23 CJ Abrams #7 70 Nationals Park 107.1 26.0° 426.0
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 6 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-06-23 Petco Park 6 0 104.9
2026-06-17 Truist Park 7 2 106.2
2026-05-18 loanDepot Park 9 2 105.4
2026-05-13 Truist Park 9 0 102.1
2026-05-04 T-Mobile Park 9 2 109.1
2026-04-23 Nationals Park 9 2 107.1
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — JR Ritchie isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.
Six home runs to freedom

JR Ritchie's full pitcher profile is waiting

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49 more waiting in the on-deck circle
THR 3.3.92 · build 597

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