8
HRs allowed
16.3%
HR rate (pool)
25.7%
Overall HR/FB
5.86
FIP
4.4
xFIP
+1.45
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
95
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
Meltdown Risk
Vulnerability 95th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
77.3%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 102.9 EV · 389 ft
max EV allowed 109.1
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 2 HR
15D · 2 HR
30D · 2 HR
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against JR Ritchie.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Curveball Breaking
26.9%
81.3
-1.3°
1
-0.9
Sinker Hard
20.3%
83.6
7.1°
0
-2.8
Fastball Hard
18.3%
84.4
32.2°
3
+3.6
Changeup Offspeed
17.1%
85.9
-0.5°
2
+2.5
Cutter Hard
8.9%
81.5
21.1°
0
+1.0
Slider Breaking
8.5%
77.0
19.2°
1
-1.9
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups49
HRs allowed (pool)8
Pool HR rate16.3%
Pool HR/game day1.33
Top-15 matchups4
HRs to top-152
Overall HR/FB25.7% 95
HR/9—
FIP5.86 92
xFIP4.4
FIP − xFIP+1.45 96
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed77.3%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-16
Curveball
Breaking · 26.9% usage
-0.9
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.3 mph
Avg launch angle-1.3°
HRs allowed1
Pitches229
Sinker
Hard · 20.3% usage
-2.8
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.6 mph
Avg launch angle7.1°
HRs allowed0
Pitches173
Fastball
Hard · 18.3% usage
+3.6
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against84.4 mph
Avg launch angle32.2°
HRs allowed3
Pitches156
Changeup
Offspeed · 17.1% usage
+2.5
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against85.9 mph
Avg launch angle-0.5°
HRs allowed2
Pitches146
Cutter
Hard · 8.9% usage
+1.0
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.5 mph
Avg launch angle21.1°
HRs allowed0
Pitches76
Slider
Breaking · 8.5% usage
-1.9
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against77.0 mph
Avg launch angle19.2°
HRs allowed1
Pitches72
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against JR Ritchie.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
8 allowed · scored pool
avg 102.9 EV · 389 ft
2 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 6 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-06-23
6
0
104.9
2026-06-17
7
2
106.2
2026-05-18
9
2
105.4
2026-05-13
9
0
102.1
2026-05-04
9
2
109.1
2026-04-23
9
2
107.1
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — JR Ritchie isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.