HR Vulnerability Snapshot
?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards.
Pool + today context
·
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
17.4%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
83th pctile
·
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
·
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
3.95
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
46th pctile
3.61
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
·
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
0%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
0
Pool Matchups
0
HRs Allowed (Pool)
0
Top-15 Matchups
0
HRs to Top-15
0%
HR Rate
Platoon Story
2
Platoon Edge Bats
6
Same-Side Bats
1
Switch Hitters
1L / 6R
Listed Hands
2 of 8 listed batters have the platoon edge against a RHP.
Wilyer Abreu
Anthony Seigler
Today Context
0.94
Park Factor
5.0
Wind MPH · S
15.5%
Bullpen HR Flag
confirmed
Lineup Source
Fenway Park
Roof open
85°F
Weather 2.0
BP FIP 4.78
Today's Threat Breakdown · 8 batters
WSH @ BOS · 1:35p
| # | Batter | Platoon | Tier | Score | Batter HR/FB ?Batter HR/FB for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | Pitcher HR/FB ?Pitcher HR/FB allowed for this matchup. A vs LHH/vs RHH chip means a handedness split is shown; the profile card shows overall HR/FB. | ISO | Context | BvP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 57 |
RvR
Same
|
🟠 C | 53 | 34.3%vs RHP | 15.4%vs RHH | 0.240 |
Park 0.94
Wind 5.0 S
Roof open
BP 15.5%
|
first look | |
| 120 |
LvR
Edge
|
⚪ D | 44 | 12.3%vs RHP | 23.5%vs LHH | 0.170 |
Park 0.94
Wind 5.0 S
Roof open
BP 15.5%
|
first look | |
| 154 |
RvR
Same
|
⚪ D | 39 | 20.0% | 15.4%vs RHH | 0.192 |
Park 0.94
Wind 5.0 S
Roof open
BP 15.5%
|
first look | |
| 159 |
RvR
Same
|
⚪ D | 39 | 0.0%vs RHP | 15.4%vs RHH | 0.137 |
Park 0.94
Wind 5.0 S
Roof open
BP 15.5%
|
first look | |
| 161 |
RvR
Same
|
⚪ D | 38 | 20.8%vs RHP | 15.4%vs RHH | 0.154 |
Park 0.94
Wind 5.0 S
Roof open
BP 15.5%
|
PA 1
HR 0
|
|
| 177 |
RvR
Same
|
⚪ D | 36 | 15.4%vs RHP | 15.4%vs RHH | 0.164 |
Park 0.94
Wind 5.0 S
Roof open
BP 15.5%
|
first look | |
| 178 |
RvR
Same
|
⚪ D | 36 | 0.0%vs RHP | 15.4%vs RHH | 0.120 |
Park 0.94
Wind 5.0 S
Roof open
BP 15.5%
|
first look | |
| 208 |
SvR
Edge
|
⚪ D | 27 | 25.0% | 23.5%vs LHH | 0.195 |
Park 0.94
Wind 5.0 S
Roof open
BP 15.5%
|
first look |
Fenway Park
HRs Allowed
No home runs allowed in our scored matchups.
Pitch Arsenal
| Pitch | Pitches | Usage | RV/100 | Avg EV | Avg LA | HRs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fastball | 351 | 37.0% | -0.2 | 82.4 | 28.4° | 1 |
| Sinker | 212 | 22.3% | -3.9 | 83.7 | 6.9° | 0 |
| Slider | 197 | 20.8% | -0.3 | 80.1 | 7.7° | 1 |
| Sweeper | 137 | 14.4% | +3.2 | 83.6 | 20.4° | 3 |
| Changeup | 52 | 5.5% | +3.9 | 77.4 | 0.8° | 1 |
All Scored Matchups
No scored matchups yet.