Rafael Devers
LHB
SF
· 120 appearances tracked
24
HRs
20.0%
HR Rate
17.1%
Avg HR/FB
91.6
Avg EV
0.179
ISO
#9
Best Rank
HR Profile
Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
ISO0.240
Avg EV92.6
Barrel%11.6%
HR/FB vs LHP10.3%
Avg HR Dist399
Match%25.1%
Season HR%
20.0%
14D Pace
38.5%
Pitch Analysis
season · as of 2026-08-29
Pitch
Seen
Barrel%
HR
K%
Fastball
63.6%
21
Breaking
24.3%
7
Offspeed
12.0%
1
All
100%
11.0%
29
25.6%
Barrel vs. Whiff
BRL
K
Fastball
Breaking
Offspeed
Crushes the fastball — whiffs climb on breaking & offspeed.
Batter vs. Pitcher
vs Kohl Drake · LHP · SF
NO SAMPLE · 0 PA
—
AVG
—
SLG
—
HR
No prior plate appearances vs Kohl Drake in our data. Lean on the season profile and the modifiers below.
Modifiers
2 of 4 active
Oracle Neutral
Pitcher form Cold
Platoon Even
Weather +2
Edge by rate
· batter ●
vs pitcher-allowed ●
Barrel%
11.6
vs
—
HR/FB
10.3
vs
33.3 ▼ risk
K%
25.6
vs
—
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked. HR/FB compared head-to-head.
HR Days
24 this season · avg 402 ft
Date
Opp · Pitcher
Pitch
EV
Dist
May 11
Roki Sasaki · Dodger Stadium
—
102.7
401.0
Jul 3
@ COL · Ryan Feltner
—
104.1
432
Jul 5
@ COL · Tanner Gordon
—
110.3
463
Jul 10
vs COL · Tanner Gordon
—
98.3
347
Jul 24
vs LAA · Grayson Rodriguez
—
101.8
362
Jul 25
vs LAA · Brent Suter
—
105.8
401
Aug 25
vs CIN · Brady Singer
—
100.8
400
Aug 26
vs CIN · Nick Lodolo
—
105.5
414
HR by month
May
Jul
Aug
All Appearances
120 tracked · 24 HR · 37 top‑50
Date
Opp · Pitcher
BIP
Max EV
Result
HR
Aug 28
vs AZ · Kohl Drake
2
99.9
2 BIP
Aug 27
vs AZ · Jose Cabrera
4
105.5
4 BIP
Aug 26
vs CIN · Nick Lodolo
4
105.5
HR
4 BIP
Aug 25
vs CIN · Brady Singer
2
100.8
HR
2 BIP
Aug 24
vs CIN · Chase Burns
4
108.9
HR
4 BIP
Aug 23
@ BOS · Jake Bennett
1
86.4
1 BIP
Aug 22
@ BOS · Patrick Sandoval
4
103.1
4 BIP
Aug 21
@ BOS · Sonny Gray
2
107.1
HR
2 BIP
Aug 20
@ CLE · Gavin Williams
3
101.4
3 BIP
Aug 19
@ CLE · Parker Messick
3
98.1
3 BIP
Aug 18
@ CLE · Foster Griffin
1
85.6
1 BIP
Aug 16
vs COL · Gabriel Hughes
5
105.5
HR
5 BIP
Aug 15
vs COL · Michael Lorenzen
5
106.5
5 BIP
Aug 14
vs COL · Kyle Freeland
3
99.5
3 BIP
Aug 12
vs HOU · Bryan King
2
109.0
2 BIP
Aug 11
vs HOU · Hunter Brown
1
91.5
1 BIP
Aug 10
vs HOU · Hayden Wesneski
1
85.5
1 BIP
Aug 9
vs DET · Troy Melton
3
108.4
3 BIP
Aug 8
vs DET · DET Bullpen Proxy
1
101.0
1 BIP
Aug 7
vs DET · Keider Montero
4
100.0
HR
4 BIP
Aug 5
@ TEX · TEX Bullpen Proxy
4
106.2
4 BIP
Aug 4
@ TEX · MacKenzie Gore
2
109.3
2 BIP
Aug 3
@ TEX · Cal Quantrill
3
107.3
3 BIP
Aug 2
@ SD · Kyle Hart
2
97.4
HR
2 BIP
Aug 1
@ SD · Walker Buehler
4
103.9
4 BIP
Jul 31
@ SD · Bradgley Rodriguez
2
101.1
2 BIP
Jul 30
@ SD · JP Sears
5
104.0
5 BIP
Jul 29
vs MIL · MIL Bullpen Proxy
2
94.3
2 BIP
Jul 28
vs MIL · Logan Henderson
3
111.1
3 BIP
Jul 27
vs MIL · Brandon Sproat
3
97.7
3 BIP
Jul 26
vs LAA · José Soriano
2
102.9
2 BIP
Jul 25
vs LAA · Ryan Johnson
4
112.5
HR
4 BIP
Jul 24
vs LAA · Grayson Rodriguez
3
101.8
HR
3 BIP
Jul 22
@ KC · Seth Lugo
3
110.5
3 BIP
Jul 21
@ KC · Luinder Avila
4
101.7
4 BIP
Jul 20
@ KC · Michael Wacha
2
96.6
2 BIP
Jul 19
@ SEA · Logan Gilbert
1
80.6
1 BIP
Jul 18
@ SEA · Bryan Woo
2
98.6
HR
2 BIP
Jul 17
@ SEA · Bryce Miller
2
93.1
2 BIP
Jul 12
vs COL · Michael Lorenzen
2
111.4
2 BIP
Jul 11
vs COL · Kyle Freeland
1
92.0
1 BIP
Jul 10
vs COL · Tanner Gordon
4
108.7
HR
4 BIP
Jul 9
vs COL · Ryan Feltner
3
104.9
3 BIP
Jul 8
vs TOR · Dylan Cease
3
109.3
3 BIP
Jul 7
vs TOR · Spencer Miles
4
101.3
4 BIP
Jul 6
vs TOR · Kevin Gausman
2
98.1
2 BIP
Jul 5
@ COL · Tanner Gordon
3
110.3
HR
3 BIP
Jul 4
@ COL · Sean Sullivan
4
93.5
4 BIP
Jul 3
@ COL · Ryan Feltner
4
104.1
HR
4 BIP
Jul 1
@ AZ · Zac Gallen
3
97.9
3 BIP
Jun 30
@ AZ · AZ Bullpen Proxy
2
111.3
HR
2 BIP
Jun 29
@ AZ · Eduardo Rodriguez
3
111.4
3 BIP
Jun 28
vs ATL · Chris Sale
2
78.0
2 BIP
Jun 27
vs ATL · Bryce Elder
2
102.4
HR
2 BIP
Jun 26
vs ATL · Reynaldo López
4
106.6
4 BIP
Jun 25
vs ATH · Jeffrey Springs
2
99.4
2 BIP
Jun 24
vs ATH · Gage Jump
2
106.1
HR
2 BIP
Jun 23
vs ATH · Aaron Civale
4
101.7
4 BIP
Jun 21
@ MIA · Ryan Gusto
2
102.2
2 BIP
Jun 20
@ MIA · Max Meyer
3
96.7
3 BIP
Jun 19
@ MIA · Lake Bachar
3
107.7
HR
3 BIP
Jun 18
@ ATL · Martín Pérez
0
—
—
Jun 17
@ ATL · Grant Holmes
2
91.7
2 BIP
Jun 16
@ ATL · Grant Holmes
0
—
—
Jun 14
vs CHC · Ryan Rolison
3
100.7
3 BIP
Jun 13
vs CHC · Ben Brown
3
102.9
3 BIP
Jun 12
vs CHC · Javier Assad
2
94.1
2 BIP
Jun 10
vs WSH · Foster Griffin
3
101.3
HR
3 BIP
Jun 9
vs WSH · Andrew Alvarez
3
107.3
3 BIP
Jun 8
vs WSH · Miles Mikolas
3
108.8
3 BIP
Jun 7
@ CHC · Jameson Taillon
0
—
—
Jun 6
@ CHC · Ben Brown
3
108.6
HR
3 BIP
Jun 5
@ CHC · Edward Cabrera
3
104.9
3 BIP
Jun 4
@ MIL · Coleman Crow
5
107.0
5 BIP
Jun 3
@ MIL · Robert Gasser
3
103.6
3 BIP
Jun 2
@ MIL · Kyle Harrison
1
107.8
1 BIP
Jun 1
@ MIL · Shane Drohan
0
—
—
May 31
@ COL · Tanner Gordon
5
107.0
5 BIP
May 30
@ COL · Ryan Feltner
2
105.6
2 BIP
May 29
@ COL · Michael Lorenzen
3
108.6
3 BIP
May 27
vs AZ · Michael Soroka
2
88.1
2 BIP
May 26
vs AZ · Eduardo Rodriguez
3
104.9
3 BIP
May 25
vs AZ · Merrill Kelly
3
107.6
3 BIP
May 24
vs CWS · Noah Schultz
3
104.5
HR
3 BIP
May 23
vs CWS · Bryan Hudson
4
105.5
4 BIP
May 22
vs CWS · Davis Martin
1
—
1 BIP
May 20
@ AZ · Merrill Kelly
4
112.4
4 BIP
May 19
@ AZ · Ryne Nelson
3
111.2
HR
3 BIP
May 18
@ AZ · Zac Gallen
3
106.4
3 BIP
May 17
@ ATH · Jeffrey Springs
5
108.2
5 BIP
May 16
@ ATH · Luis Severino
2
107.7
2 BIP
May 15
@ ATH · Aaron Civale
2
94.6
2 BIP
May 14
@ LAD · Emmet Sheehan
3
78.6
3 BIP
May 13
@ LAD · Shohei Ohtani
2
108.5
2 BIP
May 12
@ LAD · Yoshinobu Yamamoto
1
93.1
1 BIP
May 11
@ LAD · Roki Sasaki
3
102.7
HR
3 BIP
May 10
vs PIT · Bubba Chandler
4
101.2
4 BIP
May 9
vs PIT · Braxton Ashcraft
1
97.7
1 BIP
May 8
vs PIT · Carmen Mlodzinski
2
109.0
HR
2 BIP
May 6
vs SD · Matt Waldron
2
100.5
HR
2 BIP
May 5
vs SD · Walker Buehler
3
106.3
3 BIP
May 4
vs SD · Randy Vásquez
3
96.5
3 BIP
May 3
@ TB · Steven Matz
1
59.1
1 BIP
May 2
@ TB · Griffin Jax
4
102.6
4 BIP
May 1
@ TB · Shane McClanahan
2
106.6
2 BIP
Apr 30
@ PHI · Cristopher Sánchez
5
96.9
5 BIP
Apr 29
@ PHI · Cristopher Sánchez
0
—
—
Apr 28
@ PHI · Jesús Luzardo
2
94.9
2 BIP
Apr 26
vs MIA · Max Meyer
3
108.2
3 BIP
Apr 25
vs MIA · Eury Pérez
3
85.6
3 BIP
Apr 24
vs MIA · Sandy Alcantara
2
88.5
2 BIP
Apr 23
vs LAD · Tyler Glasnow
0
—
—
Apr 22
vs LAD · Shohei Ohtani
4
110.3
4 BIP
Apr 21
vs LAD · Yoshinobu Yamamoto
2
98.1
2 BIP
Apr 19
@ WSH · PJ Poulin
3
99.7
3 BIP
Apr 18
@ WSH · Cade Cavalli
5
100.8
5 BIP
Apr 17
@ WSH · Zack Littell
2
101.8
2 BIP
Apr 16
@ CIN · Chase Burns
2
78.1
2 BIP
Apr 15
@ CIN · Rhett Lowder
3
101.6
3 BIP
Apr 10
@ BAL · Shane Baz
5
108.1
5 BIP
Ballpark
Oracle Park · open-air
Park Factor
0.877
Wind
8 mph from W
Temp
66°F
Roof
Open
TimeWindTempFIT
7:15p
8 ↑
66°
+4
8:15p
8 ↑
66°
+4
9:15p
7 ↑
65°
+3
10:15p
6 ↑
63°
+1
11:15p
5 ↑
62°
+0
+2
Neutral alignment
true spray · live hourly FIT · open-air wind signal
HIT LOCATIONS'25–'26
Game-window avg wind · blowing out to center (from WSW)
Open the Dueness Calendar → His month grid, rhythm tightness, and tonight’s crossing mark load on demand.
Score Breakdown
Base 61 → 61
ISO (Power)
Barrel Matchup
season hr rate
Pitcher FIP
recent hr density 14d
HR/FB Matchup
Exit Velocity
Park Factor
Common questions about Rafael Devers
Will Rafael Devers hit a home run today?
Rafael Devers is on today's TheHomeRuns slate, ranked #16 among tonight's scored batters for home run likelihood, facing Kohl Drake at Oracle Park. That's a model ranking, not a prediction of a certain outcome — even the model's top-ranked bats homer in roughly one of five games. Not gambling advice.
How often does Rafael Devers hit home runs?
Across 120 scored games this season, Rafael Devers has 24 home runs — one every 5.0 games, or about 20% of his scored games.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.