2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Max Muncy 9 HRs · 2 Pete Alonso 6 HRs · 3 Tristan Peters 6 HRs · 4 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 5 Brooks Lee 5 HRs · 6 Rafael Devers 5 HRs · 7 Heriberto Hernández 4 HRs · 8 Jake Burger 4 HRs · 9 Luis García Jr. 4 HRs · 10 Cal Raleigh 4 HRs · 11 Mickey Gasper 4 HRs · 12 Jordan Walker 4 HRs 1 Max Muncy 9 HRs · 2 Pete Alonso 6 HRs · 3 Tristan Peters 6 HRs · 4 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 5 Brooks Lee 5 HRs · 6 Rafael Devers 5 HRs · 7 Heriberto Hernández 4 HRs · 8 Jake Burger 4 HRs · 9 Luis García Jr. 4 HRs · 10 Cal Raleigh 4 HRs · 11 Mickey Gasper 4 HRs · 12 Jordan Walker 4 HRs
Willson Contreras
Willson Contreras
BOS · RHB
Willson Contreras

Willson Contreras

RHB
BOS · 121 appearances tracked
24 HRs
19.8% HR Rate
29.1% Avg HR/FB
90.6 Avg EV
0.224 ISO
#3 Best Rank
as of 2026-08-28
HR Profile Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
ISO
92
0.245
Avg EV
64
89.9
Barrel%
77
10.3%
HR/FB vs RHP
96
31.7%
Avg HR Dist
82
405
Match%
97
28.0%
Season HR%
19.8%
14D Pace
20.0%
ISO EV BRL HR/FB DIST MATCH
92
64
77
96
82
97
ISOEVBRLHR/FBDISTMATCH
BBE 29 · season HR% & 14D pace unranked
Pitch Analysis season · as of 2026-08-29
Pitch Seen Barrel% HR K%
Fastball 55.8%
11.0%
13
17.2%
Breaking 29.3%
14.3%
6
34.6%
Offspeed 14.9%
22.5%
6
37.0%
All 100% 13.4% 25 24.8%
Barrel vs. Whiff BRL K
Fastball Breaking Offspeed
Barrel & whiff rates by pitch family.
Batter vs. Pitcher vs Cam Schlittler · RHP · BOS
27 PA · since 2026
.111
AVG
.222
SLG
0
HR
3-for-27 across 27 plate appearances since 2026.
Modifiers 2 of 4 active
Yankee Stadium +HR Pitcher form Steady Platoon Even Weather +4
Edge by rate · batter vs pitcher-allowed
Barrel% 10.3 vs
10.3
HR/FB 31.7 vs 17.6 ▲ edge
31.7
17.6
K% 24.8 vs
24.8
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked. HR/FB compared head-to-head.
HR Days 24 this season · avg 408 ft
Date Opp · Pitcher Pitch EV Dist
Apr 25 Trevor Rogers · Camden Yards 104.2 418.0
Apr 26 Kyle Bradish · Camden Yards 108.6 406.0
Apr 29 Eric Lauer · Rogers Centre 103.9 406.0
May 16 Bryce Elder · Truist Park 106.1 426.0
Jun 4 vs BAL · Trevor Rogers 100.2 403
Jun 5 @ NYY · Ryan Weathers 112.8 419
Jun 12 vs TEX · Jack Leiter 104.3 379
Jun 14 vs TEX · Nathan Eovaldi 101.5 392
Jun 29 vs WSH · Miles Mikolas 104.5 421
Jul 4 @ LAA · Sam Aldegheri 108.9 421
Jul 5 @ LAA · Ryan Johnson 112.2 446
Jul 17 vs TB · Mason Englert 107.6 367
Jul 19 vs TB · Shane McClanahan 106.8 414
Jul 30 @ ATH · Luis Medina 104.8 414
Aug 12 @ TOR · José Soriano 105.9 408
Aug 17 vs AZ · Zack Littell 89.9 342
Aug 21 vs SF · Logan Webb 116.0 452
HR by month
5
5
3
Jun Jul Aug
All Appearances 121 tracked · 24 HR · 75 top‑50
Date Opp · Pitcher BIP Max EV Result HR
Aug 28 @ NYY · Cam Schlittler 2 80.9 2 BIP
Aug 25 @ MIA · Tyler Phillips 5 107.0 5 BIP
Aug 24 @ MIA · Sandy Alcantara 4 98.1 4 BIP
Aug 23 vs SF · SF Bullpen Proxy 3 103.3 3 BIP
Aug 22 vs SF · Blade Tidwell 3 87.9 3 BIP
Aug 21 vs SF · Logan Webb 2 116.0 HR 2 BIP
Aug 19 vs AZ · Brandon Pfaadt 3 92.6 3 BIP
Aug 18 vs AZ · Merrill Kelly 2 112.7 2 BIP
Aug 17 vs AZ · Mitch Bratt 4 102.2 HR 4 BIP
Aug 15 @ PIT · Jared Jones 1 90.8 1 BIP
Aug 14 @ PIT · Bubba Chandler 2 65.1 2 BIP
Aug 13 @ TOR · Max Scherzer 4 96.0 4 BIP
Aug 12 @ TOR · José Soriano 3 105.9 HR 3 BIP
Aug 11 @ TOR · Dylan Cease 3 83.0 3 BIP
Aug 10 @ TOR · Jameson Taillon 2 64.1 2 BIP
Aug 9 vs ATH · J.T. Ginn 1 103.3 1 BIP
Aug 8 vs ATH · Gage Jump 2 100.0 2 BIP
Aug 5 vs CWS · Sean Burke 1 86.2 1 BIP
Aug 4 vs CWS · Davis Martin 3 114.9 3 BIP
Aug 2 @ LAD · Emmet Sheehan 3 94.2 3 BIP
Aug 1 @ LAD · Yoshinobu Yamamoto 0
Jul 31 @ LAD · Edgardo Henriquez 0
Jul 30 @ ATH · Mason Barnett 3 104.8 HR 3 BIP
Jul 29 @ ATH · Jacob Lopez 1 108.8 1 BIP
Jul 28 @ ATH · Gage Jump 1 71.9 1 BIP
Jul 27 @ ATH · Jack Perkins 1 91.7 1 BIP
Jul 26 vs TOR · Kevin Gausman 2 95.9 2 BIP
Jul 25 vs TOR · Dylan Cease 0
Jul 24 vs TOR · Trey Yesavage 2 87.7 2 BIP
Jul 22 vs BAL · Dean Kremer 5 108.8 5 BIP
Jul 21 vs BAL · Kyle Bradish 0
Jul 20 vs BAL · Shane Baz 3 111.0 3 BIP
Jul 19 vs TB · Shane McClanahan 3 106.8 HR 3 BIP
Jul 18 vs TB · Ian Seymour 2 100.9 2 BIP
Jul 17 vs TB · Mason Englert 1 107.6 HR 1 BIP
Jul 8 @ CWS · Davis Martin 2 107.5 2 BIP
Jul 7 @ CWS · Noah Schultz 3 100.2 3 BIP
Jul 5 @ LAA · Ryan Johnson 3 112.2 HR 3 BIP
Jul 4 @ LAA · Sam Aldegheri 5 108.9 HR 5 BIP
Jul 3 @ LAA · Reid Detmers 4 111.2 4 BIP
Jul 1 vs WSH · Brad Lord 4 113.4 4 BIP
Jun 30 vs WSH · Cade Cavalli 1 96.0 1 BIP
Jun 29 vs WSH · Miles Mikolas 1 104.5 HR 1 BIP
Jun 28 vs NYY · Carlos Rodón 2 96.0 2 BIP
Jun 27 vs NYY · Gerrit Cole 3 114.4 3 BIP
Jun 26 vs NYY · Will Warren 2 111.9 HR 2 BIP
Jun 25 vs NYY · Cam Schlittler 3 112.8 3 BIP
Jun 24 @ COL · Kyle Freeland 3 102.2 3 BIP
Jun 23 @ COL · Sean Sullivan 4 100.2 4 BIP
Jun 22 @ COL · Ryan Feltner 4 98.3 4 BIP
Jun 21 @ SEA · Logan Gilbert 1 96.8 1 BIP
Jun 20 @ SEA · Emerson Hancock 1 97.0 1 BIP
Jun 19 @ SEA · Bryce Miller 3 99.5 3 BIP
Jun 18 vs TOR · Trey Yesavage 3 92.0 3 BIP
Jun 17 vs TOR · Braydon Fisher 2 102.8 2 BIP
Jun 16 vs TOR · Dylan Cease 0
Jun 14 vs TEX · Nathan Eovaldi 3 101.5 HR 3 BIP
Jun 13 vs TEX · Jacob deGrom 4 104.0 4 BIP
Jun 12 vs TEX · Jack Leiter 3 104.3 HR 3 BIP
Jun 10 @ TB · Drew Rasmussen 1 58.2 1 BIP
Jun 9 @ TB · Nick Martinez 3 69.9 3 BIP
Jun 8 @ TB · Ian Seymour 2 96.9 2 BIP
Jun 7 @ NYY · Cam Schlittler 3 110.0 3 BIP
Jun 6 @ NYY · Will Warren 0
Jun 5 @ NYY · Ryan Weathers 3 112.8 HR 3 BIP
Jun 4 vs BAL · Trevor Rogers 3 105.5 HR 3 BIP
Jun 3 vs BAL · Chris Bassitt 4 109.8 4 BIP
Jun 2 vs BAL · Shane Baz 1 94.4 1 BIP
May 30 @ CLE · Parker Messick 2 105.8 2 BIP
May 29 @ CLE · Slade Cecconi 3 112.1 3 BIP
May 28 vs ATL · Chris Sale 2 93.9 2 BIP
May 27 vs ATL · Bryce Elder 3 103.7 3 BIP
May 26 vs ATL · Spencer Strider 4 107.6 4 BIP
May 24 vs MIN · Bailey Ober 3 105.6 HR 3 BIP
May 23 vs MIN · Taj Bradley 3 101.2 3 BIP
May 22 vs MIN · Connor Prielipp 3 102.2 3 BIP
May 20 @ KC · Michael Wacha 4 99.1 4 BIP
May 19 @ KC · Bailey Falter 4 97.3 4 BIP
May 18 @ KC · Seth Lugo 4 110.0 HR 4 BIP
May 17 @ ATL · Grant Holmes 3 101.0 3 BIP
May 16 @ ATL · Bryce Elder 3 113.0 HR 3 BIP
May 15 @ ATL · Spencer Strider 2 82.1 2 BIP
May 14 vs PHI · Jesús Luzardo 4 97.9 4 BIP
May 13 vs PHI · Andrew Painter 3 105.0 3 BIP
May 12 vs PHI · Zack Wheeler 2 102.6 2 BIP
May 10 vs TB · Nick Martinez 1 68.5 1 BIP
May 9 vs TB · Nick Martinez 5 108.5 5 BIP
May 8 vs TB · Jesse Scholtens 1 60.5 1 BIP
May 7 vs TB · Griffin Jax 3 111.9 3 BIP
May 6 @ DET · Jack Flaherty 1 76.2 1 BIP
May 5 @ DET · Framber Valdez 3 111.9 HR 3 BIP
May 4 @ DET · Tarik Skubal 2 79.4 2 BIP
May 3 vs HOU · Cody Bolton 3 110.5 3 BIP
May 2 vs HOU · Spencer Arrighetti 5 109.5 5 BIP
May 1 vs HOU · Mike Burrows 1 91.2 1 BIP
Apr 29 @ TOR · Eric Lauer 4 108.0 HR 4 BIP
Apr 27 @ TOR · Dylan Cease 3 96.8 3 BIP
Apr 26 @ BAL · Kyle Bradish 2 108.6 HR 2 BIP
Apr 25 @ BAL · Trevor Rogers 4 106.4 HR 4 BIP
Apr 24 @ BAL · Brandon Young 4 100.9 4 BIP
Apr 23 vs NYY · Cam Schlittler 2 100.2 2 BIP
Apr 22 vs NYY · Max Fried 2 71.5 2 BIP
Apr 21 vs NYY · Luis Gil 4 113.2 4 BIP
Apr 20 vs DET · Jack Flaherty 4 108.9 4 BIP
Apr 19 vs DET · Framber Valdez 3 109.4 HR 3 BIP
Apr 18 vs DET · Tarik Skubal 1 100.8 1 BIP
Apr 17 vs DET · Casey Mize 2 102.9 2 BIP
Apr 13 vs CLE · Gavin Williams 1 76.6 1 BIP
Apr 12 @ STL · Andre Pallante 5 106.2 HR 5 BIP
Apr 11 @ STL · Ranger Suarez 2 112.8 2 BIP
Apr 10 @ STL · Dustin May 2 106.9 2 BIP
Apr 8 vs STL · Miles Mikolas 3 108.6 3 BIP
Apr 7 vs STL · Cade Cavalli 1 94.4 1 BIP
Apr 6 vs STL · Zack Littell 3 105.3 HR 3 BIP
Apr 5 vs STL · Keider Montero 2 91.5 2 BIP
Apr 4 vs STL · Jack Flaherty 3 104.2 3 BIP
Apr 1 vs NYM · Freddy Peralta 2 103.6 2 BIP
Mar 31 vs NYM · Kodai Senga 4 100.8 4 BIP
Mar 30 vs NYM · Clay Holmes 2 101.2 2 BIP
Mar 29 @ CIN · Rhett Lowder 3 110.3 3 BIP
Mar 26 vs TB · Drew Rasmussen 3 87.7 3 BIP
Ballpark Yankee Stadium · open-air
Park Factor 1.066 Wind 12 mph from NNW Temp 82°F Roof Open
TimeWindTempFIT
7:15p 12 82° +4
8:15p 12 81° +4
9:15p 11 79° +3
10:15p 11 76° +2
11:15p 10 74° +1
+3
Neutral alignment
true spray · live hourly FIT · open-air wind signal
HIT LOCATIONS'25–'26
11 mph 0% 4% 19% 38% 38% OPPO PULL Yankee Stadium
Game-window avg wind · blowing across to oppo (from NNW)

Open the Dueness Calendar → His month grid, rhythm tightness, and tonight’s crossing mark load on demand.

Score Breakdown Base 60 → 60
ISO (Power)
+23.6
Barrel Matchup
+14.7
Park Factor
+8.3
season hr rate
+5.4
HR/FB Matchup
+4.4
recent hr density 14d
+2.2
Exit Velocity
+1.0
Pitcher FIP
+0.0
Six home runs to freedom

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Common questions about Willson Contreras

Will Willson Contreras hit a home run today?

Willson Contreras is on today's TheHomeRuns slate, ranked #18 among tonight's scored batters for home run likelihood, facing Cam Schlittler at Yankee Stadium. That's a model ranking, not a prediction of a certain outcome — even the model's top-ranked bats homer in roughly one of five games. Not gambling advice.

How often does Willson Contreras hit home runs?

Across 121 scored games this season, Willson Contreras has 24 home runs — one every 5.0 games, or about 20% of his scored games.

Has Willson Contreras homered off Cam Schlittler before?

Not yet — Willson Contreras has faced Cam Schlittler 27 times without a home run.

Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.

THR 3.3.164 · build 668

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