2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Esmerlyn Valdez 6 HRs · 2 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 3 Elly De La Cruz 4 HRs · 4 Eugenio Suárez 4 HRs · 5 Nick Gonzales 4 HRs · 6 Willy Adames 4 HRs · 7 Yordan Alvarez 4 HRs · 8 Wilyer Abreu 4 HRs · 9 Ty France 4 HRs · 10 Spencer Torkelson 4 HRs · 11 Seiya Suzuki 4 HRs · 12 Nolan Arenado 4 HRs 1 Esmerlyn Valdez 6 HRs · 2 Ben Rice 4 HRs · 3 Elly De La Cruz 4 HRs · 4 Eugenio Suárez 4 HRs · 5 Nick Gonzales 4 HRs · 6 Willy Adames 4 HRs · 7 Yordan Alvarez 4 HRs · 8 Wilyer Abreu 4 HRs · 9 Ty France 4 HRs · 10 Spencer Torkelson 4 HRs · 11 Seiya Suzuki 4 HRs · 12 Nolan Arenado 4 HRs
Willson Contreras
Willson Contreras
BOS · RHB
Willson Contreras

Willson Contreras

RHB
BOS · 92 appearances tracked
20 HRs
21.7% HR Rate
28.5% Avg HR/FB
90.7 Avg EV
0.215 ISO
#4 Best Rank
as of 2026-07-23
HR Profile Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
No HR profile for this matchup yet. The percentile ladder populates once this batter is on a scored slate.
Pitch Analysis season · as of 2026-07-22
Pitch Seen Barrel% HR K%
Fastball 56.2%
12.1%
13
16.2%
Breaking 28.5%
15.4%
3
37.8%
Offspeed 15.3%
21.2%
5
37.3%
All 100% 14.0% 21 24.8%
Barrel vs. Whiff BRL K
Fastball Breaking Offspeed
Barrel & whiff rates by pitch family.
Batter vs. Pitcher head-to-head
NO SAMPLE · 0 PA
AVG
SLG
HR
No probable pitcher set for this matchup. Lean on the season profile and the modifiers below.
Modifiers 0 of 4 active
Ballpark Pitcher form Platoon Weather
Edge by rate · batter vs pitcher-allowed
K% 24.8 vs
24.8
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked.
HR Days 20 this season · avg 409 ft
Date Opp · Pitcher Pitch EV Dist
Apr 25 Trevor Rogers · Camden Yards 104.2 418.0
Apr 26 Kyle Bradish · Camden Yards 108.6 406.0
Apr 29 Eric Lauer · Rogers Centre 103.9 406.0
May 16 Bryce Elder · Truist Park 106.1 426.0
Jun 4 vs BAL · Trevor Rogers 100.2 403
Jun 5 @ NYY · Ryan Weathers 112.8 419
Jun 12 vs TEX · Jack Leiter 104.3 379
Jun 14 vs TEX · Nathan Eovaldi 101.5 392
Jun 29 vs WSH · Miles Mikolas 104.5 421
Jul 4 @ LAA · Sam Aldegheri 108.9 421
Jul 5 @ LAA · Ryan Johnson 112.2 446
Jul 17 vs TB · Mason Englert 107.6 367
Jul 19 vs TB · Shane McClanahan 106.8 414
HR by month
1
5
4
May Jun Jul
All Appearances 92 tracked · 20 HR · 48 top‑50
Date Opp · Pitcher BIP Max EV Result HR
Jul 22 vs BAL · Dean Kremer 5 108.8 5 BIP
Jul 21 vs BAL · Kyle Bradish 0
Jul 20 vs BAL · Shane Baz 3 111.0 3 BIP
Jul 19 vs TB · Shane McClanahan 3 106.8 HR 3 BIP
Jul 18 vs TB · Ian Seymour 2 100.9 2 BIP
Jul 17 vs TB · Mason Englert 1 107.6 HR 1 BIP
Jul 8 @ CWS · Davis Martin 2 107.5 2 BIP
Jul 7 @ CWS · Noah Schultz 3 100.2 3 BIP
Jul 5 @ LAA · Ryan Johnson 3 112.2 HR 3 BIP
Jul 4 @ LAA · Sam Aldegheri 5 108.9 HR 5 BIP
Jul 3 @ LAA · Reid Detmers 4 111.2 4 BIP
Jul 1 vs WSH · Brad Lord 4 113.4 4 BIP
Jun 30 vs WSH · Cade Cavalli 1 96.0 1 BIP
Jun 29 vs WSH · Miles Mikolas 1 104.5 HR 1 BIP
Jun 28 vs NYY · Carlos Rodón 2 96.0 2 BIP
Jun 27 vs NYY · Gerrit Cole 3 114.4 3 BIP
Jun 26 vs NYY · Will Warren 2 111.9 HR 2 BIP
Jun 25 vs NYY · Cam Schlittler 3 112.8 3 BIP
Jun 24 @ COL · Kyle Freeland 3 102.2 3 BIP
Jun 23 @ COL · Sean Sullivan 4 100.2 4 BIP
Jun 22 @ COL · Ryan Feltner 4 98.3 4 BIP
Jun 21 @ SEA · Logan Gilbert 1 96.8 1 BIP
Jun 20 @ SEA · Emerson Hancock 1 97.0 1 BIP
Jun 19 @ SEA · Bryce Miller 3 99.5 3 BIP
Jun 18 vs TOR · Trey Yesavage 3 92.0 3 BIP
Jun 17 vs TOR · Braydon Fisher 2 102.8 2 BIP
Jun 16 vs TOR · Dylan Cease 0
Jun 14 vs TEX · Nathan Eovaldi 3 101.5 HR 3 BIP
Jun 13 vs TEX · Jacob deGrom 4 104.0 4 BIP
Jun 12 vs TEX · Jack Leiter 3 104.3 HR 3 BIP
Jun 10 @ TB · Drew Rasmussen 1 58.2 1 BIP
Jun 9 @ TB · Nick Martinez 3 69.9 3 BIP
Jun 8 @ TB · Ian Seymour 2 96.9 2 BIP
Jun 7 @ NYY · Cam Schlittler 3 110.0 3 BIP
Jun 6 @ NYY · Will Warren 0
Jun 5 @ NYY · Ryan Weathers 3 112.8 HR 3 BIP
Jun 4 vs BAL · Trevor Rogers 3 105.5 HR 3 BIP
Jun 3 vs BAL · Chris Bassitt 4 109.8 4 BIP
Jun 2 vs BAL · Shane Baz 1 94.4 1 BIP
May 30 @ CLE · Parker Messick 2 105.8 2 BIP
May 29 @ CLE · Slade Cecconi 3 112.1 3 BIP
May 28 vs ATL · Chris Sale 2 93.9 2 BIP
May 27 vs ATL · Bryce Elder 3 103.7 3 BIP
May 26 vs ATL · Spencer Strider 4 107.6 4 BIP
May 24 vs MIN · Bailey Ober 3 105.6 HR 3 BIP
May 23 vs MIN · Taj Bradley 3 101.2 3 BIP
May 22 vs MIN · Connor Prielipp 3 102.2 3 BIP
May 20 @ KC · Michael Wacha 4 99.1 4 BIP
May 19 @ KC · Bailey Falter 4 97.3 4 BIP
May 18 @ KC · Seth Lugo 4 110.0 HR 4 BIP
May 17 @ ATL · Grant Holmes 3 101.0 3 BIP
May 16 @ ATL · Bryce Elder 3 113.0 HR 3 BIP
May 15 @ ATL · Spencer Strider 2 82.1 2 BIP
May 14 vs PHI · Jesús Luzardo 4 97.9 4 BIP
May 13 vs PHI · Andrew Painter 3 105.0 3 BIP
May 12 vs PHI · Zack Wheeler 2 102.6 2 BIP
May 10 vs TB · Nick Martinez 1 68.5 1 BIP
May 9 vs TB · Nick Martinez 5 108.5 5 BIP
May 8 vs TB · Jesse Scholtens 1 60.5 1 BIP
May 7 vs TB · Griffin Jax 3 111.9 3 BIP
May 6 @ DET · Jack Flaherty 1 76.2 1 BIP
May 5 @ DET · Framber Valdez 3 111.9 HR 3 BIP
May 4 @ DET · Tarik Skubal 2 79.4 2 BIP
May 3 vs HOU · Cody Bolton 3 110.5 3 BIP
May 2 vs HOU · Spencer Arrighetti 5 109.5 5 BIP
May 1 vs HOU · Mike Burrows 1 91.2 1 BIP
Apr 29 @ TOR · Eric Lauer 4 108.0 HR 4 BIP
Apr 27 @ TOR · Dylan Cease 3 96.8 3 BIP
Apr 26 @ BAL · Kyle Bradish 2 108.6 HR 2 BIP
Apr 25 @ BAL · Trevor Rogers 4 106.4 HR 4 BIP
Apr 24 @ BAL · Brandon Young 4 100.9 4 BIP
Apr 23 vs NYY · Cam Schlittler 2 100.2 2 BIP
Apr 22 vs NYY · Max Fried 2 71.5 2 BIP
Apr 21 vs NYY · Luis Gil 4 113.2 4 BIP
Apr 20 vs DET · Jack Flaherty 4 108.9 4 BIP
Apr 19 vs DET · Framber Valdez 3 109.4 HR 3 BIP
Apr 18 vs DET · Tarik Skubal 1 100.8 1 BIP
Apr 17 vs DET · Casey Mize 2 102.9 2 BIP
Apr 13 vs CLE · Gavin Williams 1 76.6 1 BIP
Apr 12 @ STL · Andre Pallante 5 106.2 HR 5 BIP
Apr 11 @ STL · Ranger Suarez 2 112.8 2 BIP
Apr 10 @ STL · Dustin May 2 106.9 2 BIP
Apr 8 vs STL · Miles Mikolas 3 108.6 3 BIP
Apr 7 vs STL · Cade Cavalli 1 94.4 1 BIP
Apr 6 vs STL · Zack Littell 3 105.3 HR 3 BIP
Apr 5 vs STL · Keider Montero 2 91.5 2 BIP
Apr 4 vs STL · Jack Flaherty 3 104.2 3 BIP
Apr 1 vs NYM · Freddy Peralta 2 103.6 2 BIP
Mar 31 vs NYM · Kodai Senga 4 100.8 4 BIP
Mar 30 vs NYM · Clay Holmes 2 101.2 2 BIP
Mar 29 @ CIN · Rhett Lowder 3 110.3 3 BIP
Mar 26 vs TB · Drew Rasmussen 3 87.7 3 BIP
Ballpark park factor · wind · spray
Ballpark conditions unavailable — this batter isn’t on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
TONIGHT board — not posted yet next game Fri 7/24
Dueness now
0.75×
not yet due — gap ÷ cadence
Cadence
4 gm
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
3 gm
since his last HR, Jul 19
Season
20 HR
92 games · 2 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
one dot per gap · 19 gaps · median 4 gm · MAD ± 2 gm · now marker = current gap
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat

Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.

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