13
HRs allowed
9.5%
HR rate (pool)
12.3%
Overall HR/FB
3.3
FIP
3.42
xFIP
-0.12
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
46
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 46th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
72.8%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 104.1 EV · 400 ft
max EV allowed 114.3
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 4 HR ↑
15D · 4 HR ↑
30D · 5 HR ↑
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Logan Webb.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Sinker Hard
31.3%
87.2
7.7°
4
-2.1
Changeup Offspeed
24.2%
81.9
-8.1°
0
+0.4
Sweeper Breaking
18.9%
79.5
20.7°
1
-1.2
Fastball Hard
13.2%
80.7
26.9°
1
-2.0
Cutter Hard
12.4%
77.4
25.0°
2
+0.4
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups137
HRs allowed (pool)13
Pool HR rate9.5%
Pool HR/game day0.81
Top-15 matchups3
HRs to top-151
Overall HR/FB12.3% 46
HR/9—
FIP3.3 24
xFIP3.42
FIP − xFIP-0.12 40
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed72.8%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-16
Sinker
Hard · 31.3% usage
-2.1
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against87.2 mph
Avg launch angle7.7°
HRs allowed4
Pitches467
Changeup
Offspeed · 24.2% usage
+0.4
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.9 mph
Avg launch angle-8.1°
HRs allowed0
Pitches362
Sweeper
Breaking · 18.9% usage
-1.2
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against79.5 mph
Avg launch angle20.7°
HRs allowed1
Pitches283
Fastball
Hard · 13.2% usage
-2.0
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against80.7 mph
Avg launch angle26.9°
HRs allowed1
Pitches197
Cutter
Hard · 12.4% usage
+0.4
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against77.4 mph
Avg launch angle25.0°
HRs allowed2
Pitches185
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Logan Webb.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
13 allowed · scored pool
avg 104.1 EV · 400 ft
5 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 15 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-07-08
7
2
106.1
2026-07-03
9
2
109.6
2026-06-27
7
0
105.9
2026-06-21
9
1
106.2
2026-06-14
8
0
107.3
2026-06-08
7
0
114.3
2026-06-03
9
0
104.2
2026-05-29
9
2
107.1
2026-05-05
9
1
108.3
2026-04-30
9
2
113.0
2026-04-29
9
0
—
2026-04-23
9
0
107.7
2026-04-17
9
2
113.4
2026-04-11
9
1
110.6
2026-04-05
9
0
107.3
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Logan Webb isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.