4
HRs allowed
10.0%
HR rate (pool)
9.5%
Overall HR/FB
4.68
FIP
5.55
xFIP
-0.87
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
21
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 21th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
68.6%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 107.1 EV · 396 ft
max EV allowed 113.0
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 1 HR
15D · 3 HR ↑
30D · 4 HR
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Sam Aldegheri.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Fastball Hard
47.2%
81.3
24.9°
1
-1.0
Changeup Offspeed
31.0%
77.7
19.4°
3
-0.7
Cutter Hard
9.7%
82.2
21.1°
0
+1.6
Curveball Breaking
7.5%
80.1
4.2°
0
-1.3
Slider Breaking
4.6%
89.5
8.1°
1
+8.8
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups40
HRs allowed (pool)4
Pool HR rate10.0%
Pool HR/game day0.8
Top-15 matchups0
HRs to top-150
Overall HR/FB9.5% 21
HR/9—
FIP4.68 72
xFIP5.55
FIP − xFIP-0.87 6
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed68.6%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-08-07
Fastball
Hard · 47.2% usage
-1.0
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.3 mph
Avg launch angle24.9°
HRs allowed1
Pitches288
Changeup
Offspeed · 31.0% usage
-0.7
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against77.7 mph
Avg launch angle19.4°
HRs allowed3
Pitches189
Cutter
Hard · 9.7% usage
+1.6
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against82.2 mph
Avg launch angle21.1°
HRs allowed0
Pitches59
Curveball
Breaking · 7.5% usage
-1.3
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against80.1 mph
Avg launch angle4.2°
HRs allowed0
Pitches46
Slider
Breaking · 4.6% usage
+8.8
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against89.5 mph
Avg launch angle8.1°
HRs allowed1
Pitches28
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Sam Aldegheri.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
4 allowed · scored pool
avg 107.1 EV · 396 ft
4 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 5 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-07-04
7
1
108.9
2026-06-28
8
0
107.8
2026-06-22
8
2
113.0
2026-06-17
8
1
110.3
2026-06-12
9
0
111.3
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Sam Aldegheri isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Sam Aldegheri isn't on a scored slate — no park to compare his damage against.
Venue splits
HRs allowed by venue · pool
VenueFacedHRRate
32
3
9%
8
1
12%
HRs allowed ÷ scored matchups at each park. Rate is per scored matchup, not HR/9 — box-score innings aren't tracked.