Today · 2026-09-23

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⭐ Today's Slate

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Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather

🥇 Golden Slate 5 top-15 batters face HR-prone pitchers

#3 Hunter Goodman vs Merrill Kelly FIP 5.51 HR/FB 20.4% #5 Pete Alonso vs Max Scherzer FIP 5.54 HR/FB 22.7% #13 Pro pick vs Mason Adams FIP 6.33 HR/FB 27.3% #14 Pro pick vs Jeffrey Springs FIP 6.02 HR/FB 22.6% #15 Pro pick vs Max Scherzer FIP 5.54 HR/FB 22.7%

📦 STACK Max Scherzer FIP 5.54 HR/FB 22.7% → #5 Pete Alonso, #15 Pro pick

2025 full-season backtest

2025 backtest: a top-15 pick went yard on 92.9% of slates · top-50 picks hit 1.6x the field

Sample window: 2025 full-season backtest · 182 slates · 2025-03-27 to 2025-09-28 Live 2026 is current through 2026-09-22. Past performance ≠ guarantee.

92.9% top-15 slates, 2025

1.6x top-50 vs field

92.7% Live 2026 top-15

See the full record

#	Batter	Score	Edge	Roster	Pitcher · Game	Time	Tier	Hand	'26 HR	Form	Last HR	Last 5	Due	BvP	BP	Weather
1	Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)	74	·	●	Ryan Gusto (RHP) MIA @ CHC · Wrigley Field	7:40p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	45	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%10.9% Avg EV90.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-09-20 OffCarson Spiers Exit Velo105.3 mph Angle33.0° Distance411 ft StadiumGreat American Ball Park	●○○●○	0.3×	·	MIA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.1% HR/91.11 FIP4.24 IP1393.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-48 Weather · Wrigley Field cool air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp65°F Wind8 mph NE Characterin HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind-48 · Red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note65°F, wind 8 mph NE (in) — modifier: -1 (first-pitch forecast)
2	Ben Rice (L)	71	·	●	Ian Seymour (LHP) TB @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	7:05p	🟡 B	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	39	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%11.9% Avg EV91.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	5d Last HR · 2026-09-18 OffEduardo Rodriguez Exit Velo103.6 mph Angle33.0° Distance390 ft StadiumChase Field	●○○○○	1.0×	1	TB Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.20 FIP4.02 IP1354.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-47 Weather · Yankee Stadium cool air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: conditions are working against carry tonight. Roofopen Temp63°F Wind10 mph NE Characterin HR Modifier-3 Spray/Wind-47 · Red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note63°F, wind 10 mph NE (in) — modifier: -3 (first-pitch forecast)
3	Hunter Goodman (R)	71	·	●	Merrill Kelly (RHP) AZ @ COL · Coors Field	8:40p	🟡 B	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	39	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%12.8% Avg EV90.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-09-20 OffAndrés Muñoz Exit Velo97.8 mph Angle34.0° Distance389 ft StadiumCoors Field	○○○●○	0.3×	1	AZ Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/91.16 FIP4.35 IP1364.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-8 Weather · Coors Field mild air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp70°F Wind2 mph NW Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-8 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note70°F, wind 2 mph NW (cross) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
4	Kyle Schwarber (L)	70	·	●	Logan Henderson (RHP) MIL @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	6:40p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	45	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%11.8% Avg EV92.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	8d Last HR · 2026-09-15 OffJackson Kent Exit Velo98.3 mph Angle33.0° Distance366 ft StadiumNationals Park	○○○○○	2.0×	·	MIL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.1% HR/91.05 FIP3.67 IP1284.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-50 Weather · Citizens Bank Park cool air · steady crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp62°F Wind10 mph NE Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-50 · Red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note62°F, wind 10 mph NE (cross) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
5	Pete Alonso (R)	69	·	●	Max Scherzer (RHP) TOR @ BAL · Camden Yards	1:35p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	40	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%11.2% Avg EV93.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-09-21 OffTyler Rogers Exit Velo112.9 mph Angle22.0° Distance400 ft StadiumCamden Yards	●○○●○	0.3×	·	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.5% HR/91.02 FIP3.88 IP1292.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-53 Weather · Camden Yards cool air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: conditions are working against carry tonight. Roofopen Temp63°F Wind12 mph ENE Characterin HR Modifier-3 Spray/Wind-53 · Red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note63°F, wind 12 mph ENE (in) — modifier: -3 (first-pitch forecast)
6	Pro pick (L)	68	·	●	Aaron Nola (RHP) MIL @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	6:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls16 BBE Barrel%11.2% Avg EV92.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	PHI Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.2% HR/91.19 FIP3.81 IP1357.4 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-47 Weather · Citizens Bank Park cool air · steady crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp62°F Wind10 mph NE Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-47 · Red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note62°F, wind 10 mph NE (cross) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
7	Pro pick (L)	68	·	●	Andrew Abbott (LHP) CIN @ ATL · Truist Park	7:15p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls40 BBE Barrel%10.8% Avg EV92.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.2% HR/91.35 FIP4.86 IP1349.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-20 Weather · Truist Park warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp72°F Wind7 mph E Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-20 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note72°F, wind 7 mph E (cross) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
8	Pro pick (L)	68	·	●	Seth Lugo (RHP) CWS @ KC · Kauffman Stadium	7:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls18 BBE Barrel%12.1% Avg EV93.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	KC Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.4% HR/91.32 FIP4.75 IP1380.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-33 Weather · Kauffman Stadium mild air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp68°F Wind7 mph E Characterin HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind-33 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note68°F, wind 7 mph E (in) — modifier: -1 (first-pitch forecast)
9	Pro pick (L)	66	·	●	Robbie Ray (LHP) SD @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	10:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls41 BBE Barrel%10.3% Avg EV90.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.7% HR/91.09 FIP4.13 IP1312.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+10 Weather · Dodger Stadium hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp82°F Wind3 mph S Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+10 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note82°F, wind 3 mph S (out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
10	Pro pick (R)	69	·	●	TOR Bullpen Proxy TOR @ BAL · Camden Yards	6:35p	🔵 C+	RHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%14.7% Avg EV93.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.5% HR/91.02 FIP3.88 IP1292.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-41 Weather · Camden Yards cool air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp61°F Wind9 mph NE Characterin HR Modifier-2 Spray/Wind-41 · Red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note61°F, wind 9 mph NE (in) — modifier: -2 (first-pitch forecast)
11	Pro pick (R)	65	·	●	Gerrit Cole (RHP) TB @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	7:05p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls40 BBE Barrel%10.5% Avg EV92.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	NYY Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.9% HR/91.03 FIP3.75 IP1409.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-56 Weather · Yankee Stadium cool air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: conditions are working against carry tonight. Roofopen Temp63°F Wind10 mph NE Characterin HR Modifier-3 Spray/Wind-56 · Red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note63°F, wind 10 mph NE (in) — modifier: -3 (first-pitch forecast)
12	Pro pick (L)	64	·	●	Mason Adams (RHP) AZ @ COL · Coors Field	8:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%10.8% Avg EV91.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.8% HR/91.41 FIP4.89 IP1421.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-5 Weather · Coors Field mild air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp70°F Wind2 mph NW Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-5 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note70°F, wind 2 mph NW (cross) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
13	Pro pick (R)	64	·	●	Jeffrey Springs (LHP) LAA @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%10.0% Avg EV89.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATH Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.9% HR/91.49 FIP4.89 IP1411.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+7 Weather · Sutter Health Park warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp81°F Wind1 mph ENE Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+7 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note81°F, wind 1 mph ENE (in) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
14	Pro pick (R)	63	·	●	Max Scherzer (RHP) TOR @ BAL · Camden Yards	1:35p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%10.8% Avg EV91.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.5% HR/91.02 FIP3.88 IP1292.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-50 Weather · Camden Yards cool air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: conditions are working against carry tonight. Roofopen Temp63°F Wind12 mph ENE Characterin HR Modifier-3 Spray/Wind-50 · Red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note63°F, wind 12 mph ENE (in) — modifier: -3 (first-pitch forecast)
15	Pro pick (R)	62	·	●	Seth Lugo (RHP) CWS @ KC · Kauffman Stadium	7:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%10.3% Avg EV90.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	KC Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.4% HR/91.32 FIP4.75 IP1380.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-25 Weather · Kauffman Stadium mild air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp68°F Wind7 mph E Characterin HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind-25 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note68°F, wind 7 mph E (in) — modifier: -1 (first-pitch forecast)
16	Pro pick (R)	61	·	●	Jeffrey Springs (LHP) LAA @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls25 BBE Barrel%11.8% Avg EV89.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATH Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.9% HR/91.49 FIP4.89 IP1411.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+6 Weather · Sutter Health Park warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp81°F Wind1 mph ENE Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+6 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note81°F, wind 1 mph ENE (in) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
17	Pro pick (R)	61	·	●	Aaron Nola (RHP) MIL @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	6:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%10.5% Avg EV91.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	PHI Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.2% HR/91.19 FIP3.81 IP1357.4 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-41 Weather · Citizens Bank Park cool air · steady crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp62°F Wind10 mph NE Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-41 · Red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note62°F, wind 10 mph NE (cross) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
18	Pro pick (S)	61	·	●	Chris Sale (LHP) CIN @ ATL · Truist Park	7:15p	🔵 C+	SHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%10.0% Avg EV94.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.1% HR/91.16 FIP4.21 IP1300.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-26 Weather · Truist Park warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp72°F Wind7 mph E Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-26 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note72°F, wind 7 mph E (cross) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
19	Pro pick (L)	61	·	●	Merrill Kelly (RHP) AZ @ COL · Coors Field	8:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls19 BBE Barrel%10.3% Avg EV89.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	AZ Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/91.16 FIP4.35 IP1364.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-4 Weather · Coors Field mild air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp70°F Wind2 mph NW Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-4 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note70°F, wind 2 mph NW (cross) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
20	Pro pick (L)	64	·	●	TEX Bullpen Proxy NYM @ TEX · Globe Life Field	8:05p	🔵 C+	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls40 BBE Barrel%13.7% Avg EV92.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TEX Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.2% HR/91.20 FIP4.16 IP1323.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-13 Weather · Globe Life Field hot air · steady crosswind · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp89°F Wind8 mph E Charactercross HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind-13 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note89°F, wind 8 mph E (cross) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
21	Pro pick (L)	60	·	●	Matthew Liberatore (LHP) STL @ PIT · PNC Park	6:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%12.0% Avg EV94.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	STL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.3% HR/91.00 FIP4.12 IP1412.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-38 Weather · PNC Park cool air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp60°F Wind9 mph E Characterin HR Modifier-2 Spray/Wind-38 · Red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note60°F, wind 9 mph E (in) — modifier: -2 (first-pitch forecast)
22	Pro pick (L)	60	·	●	Matthew Liberatore (LHP) STL @ PIT · PNC Park	6:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%10.5% Avg EV91.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	STL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.3% HR/91.00 FIP4.12 IP1412.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-38 Weather · PNC Park cool air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp60°F Wind9 mph E Characterin HR Modifier-2 Spray/Wind-38 · Red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note60°F, wind 9 mph E (in) — modifier: -2 (first-pitch forecast)
23	Pro pick (R)	60	·	●	Mason Adams (RHP) AZ @ COL · Coors Field	8:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%7.7% Avg EV85.0 mph Surprise BarrelYes Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.8% HR/91.41 FIP4.89 IP1421.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-8 Weather · Coors Field mild air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp70°F Wind2 mph NW Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-8 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note70°F, wind 2 mph NW (cross) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
24	Pro pick (R)	60	·	●	Walbert Ureña (RHP) LAA @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%7.6% Avg EV89.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	LAA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.7% HR/91.05 FIP4.17 IP1470.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+7 Weather · Sutter Health Park warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp81°F Wind1 mph ENE Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+7 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note81°F, wind 1 mph ENE (in) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
25	Pro pick (L)	59	·	●	George Kirby (RHP) HOU @ SEA · T-Mobile Park	10:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%10.3% Avg EV94.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SEA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.2% HR/91.26 FIP4.10 IP1373.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-14 Weather · T-Mobile Park cool air · steady crosswind · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp61°F Wind8 mph N Charactercross HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind-14 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note61°F, wind 8 mph N (cross) — modifier: -1 (first-pitch forecast)
26	Pro pick (R)	62	·	●	TOR Bullpen Proxy TOR @ BAL · Camden Yards	6:35p	🔵 C+	RHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%13.5% Avg EV91.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.5% HR/91.02 FIP3.88 IP1292.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-39 Weather · Camden Yards cool air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp61°F Wind9 mph NE Characterin HR Modifier-2 Spray/Wind-39 · Red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note61°F, wind 9 mph NE (in) — modifier: -2 (first-pitch forecast)
27	Pro pick (R)	62	·	●	BAL Bullpen Proxy TOR @ BAL · Camden Yards	1:35p	🔵 C+	RHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%13.2% Avg EV90.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	BAL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.3% HR/91.04 FIP4.06 IP1354.3 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-50 Weather · Camden Yards cool air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: conditions are working against carry tonight. Roofopen Temp63°F Wind12 mph ENE Characterin HR Modifier-3 Spray/Wind-50 · Red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note63°F, wind 12 mph ENE (in) — modifier: -3 (first-pitch forecast)
28	Pro pick (R)	62	·	●	BAL Bullpen Proxy TOR @ BAL · Camden Yards	6:35p	🔵 C+	RHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%13.2% Avg EV90.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	BAL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.3% HR/91.04 FIP4.06 IP1354.3 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-39 Weather · Camden Yards cool air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp61°F Wind9 mph NE Characterin HR Modifier-2 Spray/Wind-39 · Red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note61°F, wind 9 mph NE (in) — modifier: -2 (first-pitch forecast)
29	Pro pick (S)	58	·	●	Ethan Pecko (RHP) HOU @ SEA · T-Mobile Park	10:10p	🟠 C	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%11.5% Avg EV89.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.33 FIP4.66 IP1391.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-16 Weather · T-Mobile Park cool air · steady crosswind · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp61°F Wind8 mph N Charactercross HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind-16 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note61°F, wind 8 mph N (cross) — modifier: -1 (first-pitch forecast)
30	Pro pick (L)	58	·	●	Ethan Pecko (RHP) HOU @ SEA · T-Mobile Park	10:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%10.4% Avg EV91.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.33 FIP4.66 IP1391.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-14 Weather · T-Mobile Park cool air · steady crosswind · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp61°F Wind8 mph N Charactercross HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind-14 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note61°F, wind 8 mph N (cross) — modifier: -1 (first-pitch forecast)

🔥

Six home runs to freedom

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Slate reference

Symbol Guide

Every icon, badge, and shorthand on the slate. Hover the table itself for quick tips; use this when you want the full translation.

Row Actions

👁: WatchTrack a batter without counting him as one of today's locked picks.
🔒: LockAdd this batter to today's tracked picks. Locked picks are the choices that count.
★: FavoriteYou starred this batter so he is easier to find on crowded slates.
▲ / ▼: Conviction editYour notes or tags adjusted the recommendation score up or down.

Batter and Pitcher Marks

R L S: Batter handR = right-handed, L = left-handed, S = switch-hitter. Pitchers show RHP or LHP.
: Platoon advantageGreen means the batter has an opposite-handed or switch-hitter look.
: Neutral handGold means the matchup is neutral, most commonly righty versus righty.
: Same-side cautionRed means lefty versus lefty, usually the toughest handedness setup for hitters.
◎: Pitcher flagTop HR-susceptible pitcher. Open the row and inspect the full matchup.

Lightning and Tags

⚡: Arsenal EdgePitch-type mismatch. The batter damages a pitch the opposing pitcher throws and allows damage on. A small number means multiple exploitable pitch types.
⚡²: Chip firingOne or more saved Chips matched this batter tonight. This only appears when the Chip system is active for the user.
2: Your tag countNumber of your saved tags on the batter. Hover the number on the slate to see the tag names.
💬 ↑ ↓: Community toolsComment link and limited daily up/down votes. These are hidden when the launch-minimal UI is active.

Score and Tier

82: ScoreComposite 0-100 HR grade for tonight. Higher means more of the model's power, pitcher, park, and context signals agree.
🥇 S: S tierElite, score 95+.
🔥 A+: A+ tierPremium, score 90-94.
🟢 A: A tierExcellent, score 80-89.
🟡 B: B tierAbove average, score 70-79.
🔵 C+: C+ tierValue, score 60-69.
🟠 C: C tierBelow average, score 50-59.
⚪ D: D tierBelow 50.

Colors

Color meaning changes by surface. Percentile bars use Baseball Savant-style heat, where red means elite. Spray and wind use green for favorable and red for unfavorable.

Surface	Green	Orange	Red
Percentile bars	Average range	Above average	Elite / great
Spray chart	Favorable HR zone or wind fit	Neutral / mixed	Unfavorable zone or wind fit
Slate weather	Carry help	Neutral or dome context	Carry drag
Edge and results	Model ahead or hit	Mostly aligned / watch	Market ahead or miss

Edge

Edge is model probability minus market consensus probability, shown in percentage points.

+3.1: Model aheadThe model is higher than the market, a price-positive signal.
+0.2: Mostly alignedThe model and market are close.
-3.1: Market aheadThe book is more optimistic than the model, so treat the price with caution.

Form

🔥 HOT: HotRecent contact quality is running above the batter's baseline.
↗ WARM: WarmRecent indicators are positive, but not screaming.
— NTRL: NeutralNo meaningful hot or cold form signal.
↘ COOL: CoolRecent contact quality is softening.
❄ COLD: ColdRecent indicators are materially below baseline.

Timing and History

2d: Last HRDays since the batter's last home run.
●○: Last 5Home run results across the last five games. Filled dot = homered; open dot = did not homer.
1.6×: DueHow far past the batter's usual HR cadence he is. 1.5× or higher is strongly overdue; use it as a tiebreaker.
2: BvPHome runs versus today's pitcher in the app's data. Useful color, usually a small sample.

Bullpen

🔥: VulnerableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 15%.
!: WatchOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 12%, but below the vulnerable threshold.
✓: StableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is below 12%.
—: No readNo reliable bullpen value is available.

Weather

→: Tail / carry helpWeather modifier is +3 or better. Conditions are helping fly-ball carry.
←: Head / carry dragWeather modifier is -3 or worse. Conditions are working against carry.
⌂: Dome or retractable roofRoof context keeps weather noise low.
+24: Spray/WindOptional batter-specific wind read, comparing wind direction to where this batter usually hits home runs.

Roster and Results

●: Roster activeActive in the roster feed. This is not a health guarantee.
?: QuestionableManual availability risk flag. The batter remains visible, but the recommendation score is discounted.
IL: Injured listThe roster feed reports an IL status. These batters should be excluded from active slate scoring.
PPD: PostponedOfficial MLB game status says postponed. Treat the row as unavailable tonight.
✓: HitPast-slate result: this batter homered.
×: MissPast-slate result: no home run.
?: PendingPast-slate result has not loaded yet.

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Full board + 6-pick cards — Pro

Season · Top 50 Catch Rate

last 30 days

16.7%

▼ -3.2 pts

avg daily catch rate · vs 18.3% prior 15d

Yesterday · 2026-09-22

22 HRs

31%

7 caught / 22 HRs

in top 50

#3 Elly De La Cruz

31.0%

🟡

#7 Yordan Álvarez

26.7%

🔵

#13 Eugenio Suárez

29.8%

🔵

#16 Munetaka Murakami

27.1%

🔵

#18 Zack Gelof

22.6%

🔵

#25 Kyle Stowers

16.1%

🟠

#28 Nolan Arenado

29.5%

🟠

Missed

Randal Grichuk Mickey Moniak Christian Walker CJ Abrams Cody Bellinger +10 more

7-Day Streaks

top 50 pool

🔥 Hot

Pete Alonso ×3 Elly De La Cruz ×2 Brandon Lowe ×2 Miguel Vargas ×2 Munetaka Murakami ×2

❄️ Cold

Junior Caminero 0 of 7d Corey Seager 0 of 6d Kazuma Okamoto 0 of 6d Kyle Schwarber 0 of 6d Coby Mayo 0 of 6d

Model Health · HR catch rate by tier

season-to-date

A+

C+

S 0.0%

A+ 16.7%

A 19.2%

B 20.1%

C+ 17.2%

C 13.9%

D 9.1%

Best Day

32.0%

May 29

Today · 2026-09-23

The free preview stops at 5. Tonight's board doesn't.

Yesterday's results + tonight's board. Every morning.